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mark22

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  1. Majchrzak - Wolf over 22.5 games @1.78 with WWin I predict close match here. Majchrzak is often on my over picks and rarely dissapoints. He has good serve (10 aces in 1st round) and poor return game against players of same game plan. I don´t know Wolf´s game at all, but he had some good matches this summer against Tiafoe, Isner, Nakashima and I wouldn´t underestimate him, against Istomin he won 92% 1st serves. Gaston - Bemelmans; Bemelmans over 9.5 games @1.75 with WWin French is big favorite in this match with @1.30, he beat Kopriva who played only on clay for last 5 months. Also Gaston came here straight from clay and his game is optimal for clay courts, his record on hard is nothing special. I disagree with bookies, since Bemelmans played some good matches in last 2 years when he was underdog and he is better players than ranking shows at the moment. He served 12 aces against de Jong and if he will hold this level, Gaston will have troubles beating him.
  2. Don´t forget this is pre-grand slam tournament, where some players will save their power for US Open.. so 1st round is just guessing, you will see who means seriously after 2 or 3 matches. GIron has very low odds, if you are sure than take him with some HC. Second bet.. in my opinion this goes in over only if there will be 3 sets. Rinderknech is miles above Simon this year, if his serve will work Simon has no chances. Simon can only count on bad day form and many UE from Rinderknech, also thight sets are not very likely between that kinf of player profiles. Good luck.
  3. Challenger Lexington: Escobedo - King 2 @3.64 with Marathonbet Darian King made return after 1 year without tennis in February. He didn't have much success till this tournament, where he obviously found form with quality that he definetly has. He was already 106. on ATP rankings 4 years ago. Here he won against very good Cressy in last round, he was also big underdog in another match. While I expected much lower odds on him, this is a must try for me. Escobedo didn't show much this year, his last match against Sid Subervi was very average on his serve, King could use it by easier hold of his service games. Good luck.
  4. Period after Wimbledon is actually very sucessfull for me, but as I played mostly combos and some lower odds didn´t post here lately much. As I also see, most people post/comment just when there is GS, but don´t even know players outside top 100. Which is sad for serious bettors, since it´s easier to find some value as you are familiar from all tournaments from GS down to challengers. And as I learned in previous month, grand slams are no ´´safer´´ option to bet as they were like some years ago. Here is one tip for today. Zverev - Chardy; Chardy +4.5 games @2.04 with WWin Chardy has an excellent tournament here. He managed to win against Barrios, Karatsev and yesterday Broady, who has good season. Zverev had only 2BP against Basilashvili, but used them both to get close win. Chardy fired 16 aces per match, which will be tough even for Zverev if he doesn´t feel good on return. As we see from H2H matches, no match was easy for the German and I expect Chardy to cover HC line.
  5. this is true, well for now he somehow stays on some level. it's good to see we both won 👍
  6. I wouldn´t expect Viola feels at home on clay at all, but anyway I checked the data. Just not to be ´´smartass´´ and then be wrong at the end. As you can see below, Viola has better win ratio on hard (51%) than on clay (42%). Matches (122-119) > Time Span: Career; Surface: Hard; Level: All ATP, Qualifying, Challengers, CH Qualies Matches (106-144) > Time Span: Career; Surface: Clay; Level: All ATP, Qualifying, Challengers, CH Qualies As I watched his match also in Umag few years back, I can say he has bad defence, he relys on his strong serve mostly and ends up points after few shots. This is the only match caught in my eyes today, before I checked forum hehe Viola had some hard matches in last weeks, so I think he can keep it close, and line is pretty low. over 21.5 games @1.77 with WWin
  7. Anderson to win + 20.5 games @2.25 with Marathonbet Yesterday matches went as I predicted. Brooksby won after losing in 2nd set, Anderson was set and break down.. but then turned gear up and won with great game. In finals I bet on man who has much more experience in big matches, but I expect at least one TB and over games in this low line. Gaio - Vilella 1 @2.17 with Marathonbet Finals of Todi challenger. Gaio played excellent against Etcheverry yesterday, who was in good form lately. He showed no weakness on his serve, while he made many breaks on oponent strong service game. Vilella had a long match against Brazilian youngster yesterday. He lost second set, otherwise he showed nice form here. I bet on Gaio, who shouldn't be underdog, he has 7 matches in CH finals, while Vilella only 2. Gaio can count on home crowd also.
  8. I covered this tournament pretty accurate, so here are few words about Newport. Brooksby is 31:5 this season! He is very good player for his age, I thought he is just fast court player like most Americans.. then he came to RG and made it to main draw if that isn´t a sign then I don´t know. Maybe his serve is not so strong, but he has good strokes and he doesn´t misses a lot, has good numbers on return points won. I was also impressed by Gojowzyk number on serve, but also aware of Brooksby quality. So this result is no suprise. Here we have very tricky pairs. Thompson is similar player, better in field than firing aces, but he is older and more experienced. I think he wasn´t tested yet on this tournament (Cressy almost took it to 3rd set) and Brooksby has some chances, but odds are too low. In other semi-final we have Bublik, who is the best player left here in my opinion. He has strong serve, most powerful strokes. I´m just worried about his mental strength, since he delivered me some bad losses, not caring about result?? Anderson found some good form here, we already know his qualities. Beside high ace numbers he can cover court very well, especially at the net. I wouldn´t trust no one in this match, but Anderson is underdog and maybe worth of try here. Anderson to win + total games over 22.5 @2.95 with Marathonbet
  9. yeah i saw this, but you have to consider surface and easy serve holds! this line is low even if it´s women match and also H2H suggested there is big posibility of 3rd set also. Sabalenka-Pliskova was an easy over for me.. in finals there was just too many drops in the game, otherwise this would go in over also in 2 sets (at least TB in 2nd set). If I were thinking the opossite, I would gor for Barty -3.5, which would be he safest bet at the end.
  10. while most of us thinking in that way, all bet would be on edge of loss when Barty was set and break up. over 21.5 games, Pliskova over 11.5 games, Pliskova +1.5 set/+4 games were my picks. but as she won set in most H2H matches, with not really close sets, this was the right pick 😉 and also luck can show us sometimes, as there was almost none for me on Wimbledon.
  11. my comment on women´s final: watched the match till 6:5 in 2nd set, after all I saw had no hope for Pliskova.. even later bet was won, finals disappointed me. In first set there was NO Pliskova at all, serving was horrible, but she still had chance to get back like on 5:3 because of Barty doing the same. Pliskova showed all you discussed she IS NOT on this tournament, but she could be no game plan, bad movement, missed shots, just keeping the ball in game and she even failed to do that after 4-5 shots in point. In second set Pliskova choked again, if she wouldn´t gift Barty that first break, she would won it easily. Than she played better, but had no luck when Barty hit the line 3x in one game. Top of her game was point, where she was standing near serve T, putting the ball 3 times on same spot on court, and eventualy missing cross court shot by miles?? That point would be like trailer for this match if it was a movie. Ok she got that 2nd set, but I´m sure she could win this with ease, since Barty showed nothing special to be honest. Level of tennis was just too shaky for match called finals of Wimbledon.
  12. Berrettini impressed me this season, no weak points in his game overall. I would say only mental side is the one he has to work on. That was seen in final against Zverev (Madrid as I remember), where he was playing great, but he was still far from winning that match. No matter Fedex made many mistakes yesterday, his UE/winners ratio was good anyway, also 70% on net points won. Even with his best game this would be very close. Odds: 3.00 on Hurkacz, and if we compare HC line is like +3.5 games at even odds, and totals at 40.5 games! Should be like +5.5 and over 36.5 in my opinion. If you player over, he must win a set to won it. Definitely no value here for me, only if you go for higher HC line. Nice combination is Hurkacz, Hubert To Win + Total Games Over 35.5 @3.86. Berrettini should lost at least set in best case, but I think Hurkacz has chance here.
  13. Honestly I think most of our minds gone completely wrong way in Wimbledon. For me it started very good, now it`s the opposite. When you use all your knowledge, season is on it´s top, you have statistic, play big odds and you even get VIDEO material form almost every match (that you can´t get on every GS) and you actually see how players performs, next round pick goes totally other way. Johnson (not getting advantage in 5th set against Fritz) Ostapenko Linette ( vs Badosa; had 3:0/A:40 in 3rd set) Bublik (played excellent against Dimitrov, total blowout against Hurkacz, who looked to me as a ´´robot´´ in movement on grass) Juvan (HC, mentally not capable of even winning some games she should take) Thompson (over games vs Ivashka, who was swept later by Berettini; very good tournament till this match) Korda, Samsonova (also has very good feeling, at least for Samsonova) I don´t know whether to continue or just wait for next tournaments, also on this forum is too much guessing and contrary opinions about matches. What´s your opinion? Good luck.
  14. Too many ´´good´´ bets today to not play.. + some combo on favorites Garin over 37.5 Svitolina over 19.5 + Ostapenko Siniakova + Chardy over 38.5 Johnson
  15. tournament started good if anyone followed some of my tips. today I combined some of yours, have one combo (korda, agut, evans all three -1.5 set HC and nakashima to win). I´ll also try with this high odd bet. Johnson - Novak over 38.5 games + Johnson to win @3.15 with WWin
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