Jump to content
Announcements
** May Poker League Result : 1st Elliott Sutcliffe, 2nd juanmoment, 3rd Rhino_Power **
** Football Tipster Competition Result : 1st andellio, 2nd Heisenberg68, 3rd Alastair, 4th mickyftm32, 5th PercyP **
** May Naps Competition Result: 1st justanotherpunter, 2nd sirspread, 3rd adamross, 4th kenisbusy. KO Cup Winner Alastair. Most Winners Alastair: **

mark22

Regular Members
  • Posts

    53
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Recent Profile Visitors

704 profile views
  1. Kukushkin - Brooksby 1 @3.10 with Wwin Brooksby showed very bad games in last months, also on grass what is strange if you look at his good run in Newport last summer. Kukushkin's best years are over, but he still can show good tennis on fast courts and win at some very high odds. I think he is worth a shot here, he successfully made it through qualies and is ready to take advantage of Brooksby's bad recent form. Goffin - Albot over 37.5 games @1.77 with Wwin Albot made nice run on grass this year, while Goffin played only 1 match on grass. H2H is 4:0, but 3/4 ended with Albot taking a set with nice number of TB. I expect something like that also tomorrow, line is set pretty low. Goffin is not in form like he wanted before Wimbledon. 3:1 or 3:2 for Goffin. Sock - Zapata Miralles over 38.5 games @1.75 with Wwin Another underdog who caught my eye is Zapata Miralles, who gave a nice fight here in Wimbledon last year against Garin. Good all round player, who knows to play on all surfaces. Now he's through qualies again, ready to face Sock. He took smo nice wins at start of the grass season and deserves to be favourite. He also had to made it through qualies, but to be honest both players had very average opponents here. Sock is making a return to ATP top 100, but he has weak points and is not a player he was few years ago. I expect close sets and Spaniard takes at least one.
  2. had a bet on Korda vs. Norrie in Delray Beach (18.02.) and watched the match. Korda had everything under control in 3rd set, 5:4 and serve for the win.. He got last service games by ease, the got broken like noob.. later he lost 7:4 in TB. this one is even worse
  3. My point of view on today´s finals. Last few days were not that good as previous weeks, so just an accumulator today. Anyway, i watched some matches and highlights so feeling is good. FAA - Rublev 1 @1.63 Rematch from Amsterdam 8 days ago. Felix continues his journey to 2nd title in two weeks. If you look at the scoreline, he could win there even 2:0. He is more reliable than Rublev, who lost sets in every match here in Marseille. I think this will be crucial today - consistency. Rublev can take sets from any player on ATP tour, but Felix will play smart and take every UE from him, so Rublev will have to risk everything and this can end up fast. FFA had very though opponent in semifinal - Safiulin, who played a great tournament. Draper - van Rijthoven over 21.5 games @1.63 Challenger Forli is played on hard indoor surface. van Rijthoven is my common ´´customer´´ on that type of bets. He can play tiebreaks with low quality players, but at the same time he is very dangerous for most of average players on hard courts. He is even favourite today, but I wouldn´t underestimate Draper, who showed his skills on main tournaments and won this one about month ago. Both players have high ace rate, and this odds for 21.5 games limit is a must bet. Norrie - Opelka over 22.5 games @1.56 Opelka amazed me in this two weeks. If he wasn´t playing with Milmann 3 hours I would definitely take him as a winner here. He had long matches here and fatigue can be a factor. Still he is pretty much unbreakable on his serve and Norrie shouldn˝t be favourite here. I watched his match against Korda, who outplayed him in 2nd and end of 3rd set. He had service for the match but then by some strange errors he throw it all away. Bad match from both players. Norrie raised his form in last weeks, we have to admit that. I expect some easier service holds for both players and at least one tiebreak. Alcaraz - Schwartzman 1 @1.37 I had a bet on Ruud in last weeks final, where Schwartzman even took first set, but then Ruud completely demolished him in 3rd set. When I thought he recovered well and he will take a walk to title this week, he already had big troubles on this way - Cerundolo and Andujar. I´m wondering what can he even do against Alcaraz, who is playing outstanding in Rio. Berettini and Fognini are his last trophies and you can´t imagine much tougher challenge on clay than this 2 Italians. His game is full of winners and good service performance, so I thinf Schwartzman will have very hard job to be competitive, since he has no real weapons at the moment.
  4. Opelka is much faster than Isner, had better backhand and almost 45% ace rate! This is insane.. Isner had his chances in TB, but lost it by stupid mistakes, which Opelka didn't do. So for me completely deserved win for younger American. Now I watched also Brooksby highlights, he played for almost 3 hours, saving MP.. he got it in the end. Now he has much less recovery time than Opelka. He beat him in Antwerp (simillar conditions), where Opelka didn't have single BP. I think the same can happen to Brooksby today, Opelka should get more aces here. Brooksby plays good against tall players. Hard to predict, but i would say over 25.5 games and Opelka to win.
  5. when i saw 25.5 games line this was a banker, but my bookie offered only 26.5 which is automatically line to not play as you need 3 sets also in play offer was bad (TB only @1.40). Opelka looks better in long points, but he also had some lucky shots in TB of set 1. Let see how second one finishes. I˝m rather watching Sonego:Schwartzman, Italian made great comeback!
  6. after watching some highlights and stats Azarenka looks very good here, Sakkari seems in better shape and especially quicker around the court than Pegula.. Berettini´s bombs will be too much to handle for PCB i think, he had a day off so I hope he recovered well. It will be interesting to see where he can reach now when there is no Djokovic who stopped him regulary on GS last year Doubles side: Kokkinakis/Kyrgios seems to have a lot of chemistry and won against Mektic/Pavic was no coincidence. Their serve stats was great (17 aces) and Behar/Escobar are not heavier oponents at all, they should advance in front of home crowd.
  7. I never said winning on low odds is not possible. But every experienced betting player knows that sometimes is @1.80 bet more reliable than some @1.30. If you get accumulator of 3 bets with that odds you have 2.2 or 5.8 odds ticket. Probability that one will go wrong is almost the same on each ticket! Now you can calculate profit from both bet triple and see where I´m pointing.. Sure you can have luck, I had it too sometimes.. but don´t worry it will pass when you´ll start losing you will lost all profit and more. And then you will start thinking why the hell low odds don´t make you money despite you´re winning tickets. It´s about finding bookmakers wrong odds or lines and earn on them because of your knowledge, not finding the best @1.10 winner! And that is what this forum should be about..
  8. He started with bad talk.. i have a right to comment his betting, like he comments most of everyone´s else posts with no need. Of course I don´t place his bets, don´t worry but I´m saying he makes thread messed up for anyone looking for QUALITY tips and opinions! When there is GS going on, everyone like him is smart as ´´f***´´ about tennis, when there are challengers etc. there is few posts. Why? Because they know only top 50 players everyone can write essays about Federer and Nadal..
  9. Second, fifth, tenth bet in a day who cares then? give ONE bet that will be winner. @CzechPunter should be an example to everyone writing something here and I contribute posts like he does, when I do. I see you´re also nonstop editing your posts no one does it since it´s really necessary.. Doesn´t matter what you calculate, if someone follows you blindly this week he would already lose everything. Betting on 5-10 pairs with odds 1.70 is just gambling, and anyone who does this can´t go in with low stake.. And as I can see I´m not the only one bothered with your posts.
  10. hahaha, what a suprise huh? with you rude answer when I just told my opinion on your strategy, what will you say now? you´re gonna have a lot of stress days with your betting writing 100 posts with your ´´analysis´´ of odds 1.15 doesn´t help anyone. And I think it´s also not point of this forum, when you´ll write some VALUE bets and reasons for it, then you will have my respect. If betting was clicking on the favorites, everyone would be rich.. think about that
  11. @neilovan you made this thread completely messed up with tournament not even started, with your @1.10 picks and even football picks? Yeah, those accumulators with favorites maybe passed like 5-10 years ago, but in recent years GS tournaments became very hard to predict as many suprises comes up in 1st rounds. Some players didn´t play for more than one month. Even at 5-10 pairs combo 1 ALWAYS defeats you. Option is only cashout if you are lucky to get most of matches through. Otherwise I think there is no bigger value in grand slam matches since odds drop very fast on good bets. This 2 weeks of new season went good for me, but I´ll start here very carefully because of the reasons I mentioned. Here are some picks. Harris should be to strong for Vukic, but he is in good form and I expect some close sets. Otte already played in AUS this year, while Tseng didn`t and has not muxh experience in mathes like this. Bagnis and Garin could go in 5 sets here, I think Bagnis could even win the match given the current form and Garin is known as ´´slow starter´´ on GS. Rune and Kwon had tough match on clay last season and I expect nothing different here. Rune had bad luck in facing Moutet twice in a row, Kwon is favourite by odds and form, but I just can´t see 3:0 win for any of them. GL. Harris, Lloyd To Win + Total Games Over 32.5 Otte, Oscar To Win + Total Sets Under 4.5 F.Bagnis vs C.Garin Total Games: Over 36.5 H.Rune vs S.Kwon Total Sets: Over 3.5
  12. I agree with you here, before match Brooksby: van de Zandschulp i looked at outrights, former was @19 to win tournament, Brooksby wasn˝t even on the list. Now I´m looking at the same table and Brooksby is 3.80 to win?! Sinner on example is 1st with 2.90. Crazy @carina007 I played on Cilic in last round, where odds were great to take. In 1st set against Paul he had many troubles and it could go either way. In 2nd he showed some better game, but Paul is poor server.. I expected maybe even easier win from Cilic, he makes stupid mistakes where he got the point already won, and this could cost him against better players. Now he is only @1.44, he should win but also over games are likely to happen here.
  13. Friiitz what a match again.. didn´t have balls to play him just because Zverev f.. me up few times, when he was big favorite and I was against him. HC line 4.5 seemed too low if you look at Zverev win odds - 1.15-1.20. In match against Monfils he looked very good, unfortonately I just missed MP from Zverev, but otherwise he hardly could play better. Now he´s 1.53 against Basilasvili, no value I think..
  14. This Indian Wells results are strange, I´ll rather wait for next weeks when indoor hard CH continues.. where we can find better value bets just one for today. Melzer - Tirante 1 @2.22 with Marathonbet Tirante won challenger in Ambato, where he beat Austrian too. Last week Melzer got revenge by easy win (6:4 6:2). Tirante had problems in 2:1 win against Seyboth Wild in 1st round here in Santiago and it looks like he dropped in form a little bit. This week they play on same courts, so this should be advantage for Melzer. In 1st round he won against Jarry in close match. In may he returned after 2 year break from tennis and now he shows again, how good player he is. Odds should be at least 1.75 on Melzer.
  15. Maaan, looks like you have too much time to stick in EVERY word I comment. I just commented Punter's pick of Azarenka:Pegula match, and at the end maybe my comments and alerts helped somebody to change the pick. Because my comment was BEFORE match and it was HELPFUL. Why do you even bother if I didn't say a word about you? Read it and go on.. I often place my bets literraly in last minute, because I just don't have enough time. So also my picks and comments often come late. But to analyse matches and picks is crucial for me to see where I did it wrong, exclude luck here. Sorry to like posts here ? seemed like a good pick, I also like yours so I don't see any problem here.. Peace.
×
×
  • Create New...