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Racing Chat - Saturday 5th October
The Equaliser and 4 others reacted to richard-westwood for a topic
335 ascot ...full and class Carrytheone. 425 421 446 12/1 Val 0.78 Golden mind 412 409 421 14/1 Val 0.85 Star of Orion 411 415 426 33/1 Val 2.01 Fresh 412 415 427 7/1 Val 0.43 Divine Libra 408 402 410 Overall value bet appears to be star of Orion who looks overpriced at 33/1 .....top 3 all look capable of handling soft and decent prices ....I'll try 5pt wins all 3 and forecasts Carrytheone ...star of Orion ...golden mind5 points -
Racing Chat - Saturday 5th October
yossa6133 and 3 others reacted to The Brigadier for a topic
Newmarket 1.30 The first of eight races covered by the ITV cameras today is this class 2 1M 2F fillies handicap. The race has an open look about it with William Haggas’s unexposed Min Huna heading the market following a 2L victory at Sandown in August. She’s unproven on soft ground and is up 8lb so is worth opposing in my opinion. One filly that is very unexposed is the Ralph Beckett trained Treasure who was a heavy ground winner at Nottingham this time last year and was only fourth, beaten 1 3/4L in the Lingfield Oaks Trial won by the now 113 rated You Got Me prior to finishing down the field in the Epsom Oaks. She may have found the ground too fast in the Golden Gates Handicap at Royal Ascot and with a 105 day break could be well treated off of 92. A market move for her would obviously be interesting. TREASURE 1 point each way @ 10/1 bet365 1/5th 1234 Ascot 1.50 Just six have declared for this listed 5F BetMGM Rous Stakes. William Haggas’s three-year-old Relief Rally ran a blinder following a 126 day break when finishing runner up, beaten 1 1/4L, to No Half Measures who is fancied to run well in the Prix de l’Abbaye at Longchamp on Sunday. With that run behind him and his ability to handle plenty of cut in the ground he can go one better under Cieran Fallon who replaces Tom Marquand whose services are needed at Longchamp this afternoon. RELIEF RALLY 1 point win @ 13/8 Betfred Newmarket 2.05 A maximum field of twenty run in this 6F Tattersalls October Auction Stakes for two-year-olds. The highest rated at the weights is the Archie Watson trained Tafreej but he’s here on the back of a 106 day absence and has yet to encounter soft ground. One horse who arrives in good form and is a winner already on good to soft is the Andrew Balding trained Brighton Boy who was last seen dropping back to this trip when winning a class 3 nursery at York last month. It’s a little bit disconcerting that he sports first time cheek pieces as he certainly didn’t do anything wrong at York. Oisin Murphy was on top last time and retains the ride and in an open enough sales race is the selection in a race in which there is very little soft ground form. BRIGHTON BOY 1 point win @ 4/1 bet365 Ascot 2.25 We have eight runners in the 1M 4F Group 3 BetMGM Cumberland Lodge Stakes with Newmarket trainer William Haggas holding a strong hand with his brace of Al Aasy and Hamish. Both have to carry 3lb penalties with preference for the latter who may have had his excuses on his last two starts and will relish any juice in the ground. Karl Burke’s Al Qareem won this race a year ago and comes here in fine form having won a listed race at Chester last time out. He’s 3lb better off for a neck beating by Hamish in the John Porter at Newbury back in the spring and maybe able to turn the tables on his old rival and go back to back in this race under Clifford Lee. AL QAREEM 1 point win @ 5/2 Ladbrokes Newmarket 2.40 Just six have declared for the feature race of the day at Headquarters in the Group 1 Virgin Bet Sun Chariot Stakes for fillies and mares. John & Thady Gosden set a poser by running both last year’s easy winner Inspiral and Nashwa who hasn’t been seen for 189 days and is overlooked here. The latter has to be a major player although she wouldn’t want the ground too soft and has the tendency to fall out of the stalls as she did last time out on France. I do feel she’s the one to beat however. David Menusier is having his best ever season and saddles his Group 3 Atalanta Stakes winner Tamfana who appreciated dropping back to a mile that day and has to be a player here. If the ground was to get even softer (unlikely with the weather forecast) then the Karl Burke trained Darnation looks massively overpriced with her form figures on soft ground reading 1111. Betfred are the only firm paying three places on this seven runner contest and if privy to their odds then it’s without doubt worth a small stakes each way wager on a horse who is only rated 8lb behind Inspiral and 4lb behind Tamfana. The main bet though has to be Inspiral who has a bit of class about her and is unbeaten on the Rowley Mile track. INSPIRAL 1 point win @ 3/1 William Hill DARNATION 1/4 point each way @ 33/1 Betfred 1/5th 123 Ascot 3.00 The 6F Group 3 John Guest Racing Benbough Stakes has attracted a field of nine and with 5lb on official ratings covering the entire field has an open look a bout it. The most interesting runner is the Owen Burrows trained Jarraaf who’s scored back to back handicaps over course and distance this summer. This is a step up in class for the lightly raced three-year-old and he also has to prove his ability to cope with softish ground. Andrew Balding’s Purosangue is a horse who will appreciate the soft ground and having finished runner up to Quinault in a listed race at York last time should be thereabouts. Also in the mix should be Ed Walker’s English Oak who has had a few excuses for a few below par runs since winning here at the Royal meeting and is now dropped in trip. A tight call but I’ll take a chance that Jarraaf will cope with the ease in the ground and as the least exposed in the field can win again with Saffie Osborne in the saddle. JARRAAF 1 point win @ 4/1 BetVictor Redcar 3.20 Twenty go for this 6F listed contest, the William Hill Two Year Old Trophy for two-year-olds. The clear best in at the weights is the Eve Johnson Houghton trained Billboard Star who has been plying his trade on his last four starts in Group 2 company, handles soft ground and is the one they all have to beat. Johnson Houghton won with a similar type in Chipotle three years ago in this race. One horse who may be a bit of value against the favourite is the Michael Dods runner Northern Ticker who although having a whopping 22lb to find with Billboard Star at these weights on official ratings is highly thought of by his shrewd handler. Paul Mulrennan rode him last time when winning at Carlisle and stated afterwards that he “he’s one of the best horses I’ve ridden for a long time”. His trainer has also said some very encouraging things about him mentioning this race as his target back in a Racing Post stable tour in August calling him “pretty useful”. He looks solid each way value with an additional place. NORTHERN TICKER 1 point each way @ 8/1 1/5th 12345 Ascot 3.35 The big handicap of the day is the BetMGM Challenge Cup run over the straight 7F for which there is a maximum field of eighteen. Ralph Beckett has his string in excellent shape and his Qirat is one for the short list having won a class 2 handicap at Goodwood last time out from Witness Stand who’s since won a listed race by 3L. He looks sure to be thereabouts and is the main pick. James Fanshawe’s course specialist Fresh arrives in good form and is another who can run well along with the 2nd and 3rd from the 7F handicap at Haydock 20 days ago in Golden Mind and Germanic. The former finished 1/2L in front of his rival that day and looks value at double the odds to run well. I’ll add him to my staking plan for this open handicap. QIRAT 1 point each way @ 6/1 bet365 1/5th 12345 GOLDEN MIND 1/2 point each way @ 14/1 bet365 1/5th 123454 points -
Some would argue there’s no such thing!4 points
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Weekend Football Bets > 4th - 7th October
Pete50 and one other reacted to MinellaWorksop for a topic
Good effort mate. 3 out of 4 angrymen read the script. Trai Hume let us both down. He needs to be more angry in future lol.2 points -
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Weekend Football Bets > 4th - 7th October
monty63 and one other reacted to MinellaWorksop for a topic
25% boosted bet builder on tonight's Sunderland vs Leeds United game: Player to be booked: Trai Hume Double Chance: Sunderland or Draw Total Goals: Under 5 Odds boosted to 6.602 points -
Weekend Football Bets > 4th - 7th October
MinellaWorksop and one other reacted to monty63 for a topic
here one tonight Bet Builder (4 legs) 8.84 Sunderland v Leeds 20:00 Today Dennis Cirkin Player To Be Fouled 2 Or More Times Largie Ramazani Player To Commit 2 Or More Fouls Mateo Joseph Player To Commit 1 Or More Fouls Sunderland Goalkeeper Goalkeeper To Make 2 Or More Saves Stake £5.00 Potential Returns £44.222 points -
Racing chat Friday 4th October
Wildgarden and one other reacted to black rabbit for a topic
Wodaq 4 30 Asc 1/40th of a pt ew 40/1 -4th Dashing Rodger 5 05 Asc 1/40th of a pt ew 22/12 points -
8:30 reg, no late reg, would be the better option, I think. This week I was providing childcare over in Pudsey so joined just before 8:30 and played the first 25 minutes in the car on my phone, while Mrs McG drove. Mind you, looking at a smaller screen, and wearing no spectacles, made for an interesting short session. I don’t think I intentionally join late, but I am conscious that my starting time has become later and later over the years, and we all know that Leo will join with a few minutes to go due to his other commitments.2 points
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Sanderson Farms
MinellaWorksop reacted to fd1972uk for a topic
Went with 3 for this one Rodgers, Cole and kuchar. Dad has went hughes and svensson.1 point -
Weekend Football Bets > 4th - 7th October
MinellaWorksop reacted to Mrjol. for a topic
He did have a try for us lol Back tmoz for another go, 1 each from four games is much easier.1 point -
Sticking with one of the lover Norway divisions tomorrow [2pm] Draw no Bet Tiller over Verdal @ 1.72 with Betway As they have beaten them easily the last couple of times they have met1 point
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Arc de triomph early look
black rabbit reacted to LEE-GRAYS for a topic
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Sunderland v Leeds the main attraction on these shores tonight though the FA Trophy involving "City of Liverpool" against Macclesfield mildly intrigues me. There's action in Wales and either side of the border in Ireland, for what's that might be worth in terms of anyone's inclination to post bets on those leagues. Spain, Germany, Italy, France and Portugal all offer opportunities for a punt as well. Tomorrow the Premier League gets underway with Palace v Liverpool. Comfortable looking home ties for Arsenal and Man City are among the 5 games at 3:00 and Everton v Newcastle is the later game. All of the usual domestic leagues are in action along with a plethora of FA Trophy ties. There's action in all of the major European leagues and from Brazil's Serie A. 3 Prem games on Sunday include a potentially awkward trip to Villa for Man U who aren't exactly in sound defensive form of late. Chelsea host Forest and Brighton entertain Spurs in the other games. Both of the big boys are in action in the SPL and there's no shortage of European action as well. Monday looks a good night to go the cinema or do something else with very little of note as we head toward another International break. So, make sure you've had your punting fill between now and Sunday and hit us below with your selections.1 point
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Racing chat Friday 4th October
black rabbit reacted to Tedthewolf for a topic
4.30 Ascot last years winner Rohaan looks an e/w bet to nothing @ 5/1 3 places should go very close 2pts e/w1 point -
Racing chat Friday 4th October
black rabbit reacted to LEE-GRAYS for a topic
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We are on fire! Another 27 winning bets and our most profitable week so far which has now put us back into overall total profit. @Wtrylika and @waggy continued their impressive successes now both with 5 out of 5. In most cases these are not simply odds on winners. They are at the top of the overall with over £1000 and over £500 bank respectively, some way ahead of the chasers. The top 5 are all from Divisions 5 and 6 who are really showing the top divisions how to do it. I've bagged the bet of the week for myself with a 7.8 double, followed by @BARNSLEYCHOP with a 5.6 treble.1 point
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Introduce Yourself!
tschurchy reacted to missionary for a topic
Hello, I am seeking help to bring me up-to-date with the pools in 2024. I used to do fixed odds years ago, and as a professional economist who plays with figures, I did quite well even with 4 home wins and one away each Saturday. Now that I live on a meagre pension I think its time I revived my old pastime and did the fixed odds again. But fixed odds coupons no longer seem to exist, the staff at my local William Hill just say do my best on the regular coupon and when they put it in their machine it will be understood. They did one as an example and the machine didn't understand ! But I am sure some of you reading this might be able to help. Thanks. m1 point -
£20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome
Wildgarden reacted to silver fox for a topic
4.55 Fontwell: Greatness Awaits @ 5/2 (Bet365)1 point -
Naps - Friday 4th October
Wildgarden reacted to silver fox for a topic
4.10 Gowran Park: Tullyveery Lad @ 12/1 E/W (Bet365)1 point -
£20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome
Wildgarden reacted to Nigwilliam for a topic
Newc 700 Gordonstoun 6/1 £10 ew skybet 4 pl.1 point -
£20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome
Wildgarden reacted to waggy for a topic
Dundalk 19.15 £20 Bernard Shaw @11/8 bet3651 point -
We knowwwwwwwwwwwwwwwww.1 point
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Naps - Friday 4th October
Wildgarden reacted to Wanderlust for a topic
1630 ASC WOBWOBWOB 20/1 betfred EACH WAY1 point -
Naps - Friday 4th October
Wildgarden reacted to Johnrobertson for a topic
1620 Fontwell Midnight Jewel 3/1 bet3651 point -
DAILY LUCKY 15
black rabbit reacted to LEE-GRAYS for a topic
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I like a good cash out to be honest 👍1 point
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8pm is peak time for me so its a real struggle as I have a lot of tables at that time and most most tables are 6 max no time banks! I think 8.30pm no late reg is fine as late reg ends by then anyway then its not such a issue playing at the start as I can't be playing 2 or 3 handed with sometimes 10-12 tables at 8pm, some times I am already playing hu at that time but I would of stopped regging some if I am at a short handed final table and end up late regging my pko's sometimes too which is not ideal.1 point
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hello all here's the mad acc from me just going to try predit what one thing may happen in the 10 match in the prem here goes Accumulator (x1) 255.94 PP Eddie Nketiah 1.62 Player To Commit 2 Or More Fouls - Crystal Palace v Liverpool 12:30 Saturday Flynn Downes 1.8 Player To Commit 2 Or More Fouls - Arsenal v Southampton 15:00 Saturday Joao Gomes 1.4 Player To Commit 2 Or More Fouls - Brentford v Wolves 15:00 Saturday Stephy Mavididi 2.6 Player To Be Fouled 2 Or More Times - Leicester v Bournemouth 15:00 Saturday Kenny Tete 2.0 Player To Commit 2 Or More Fouls - Man City v Fulham 15:00 Saturday Sam Morsy 1.44 Player To Commit 2 Or More Fouls - West Ham v Ipswich 15:00 Saturday Abdoulaye Doucoure 1.62 Player To Commit 2 Or More Fouls - Everton v Newcastle 17:30 Saturday Youri Tielemans 2.5 Player To Commit 2 Or More Fouls - Aston Villa v Man Utd 14:00 Sunday Moises Caicedo 1.73 Player To Commit 2 Or More Fouls - Chelsea v Nottm Forest 14:00 Sunday James Maddison 1.2 Player To Be Fouled 2 Or More Times - Brighton v Tottenham 16:30 Sunday Stake £2.50 Potential Returns £639.85 good luck what every you do1 point
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Naps - Friday 4th October
LordMulberry reacted to Quartu SE for a topic
Subsequent 1557 hrs Asc 10/3 BV1 point -
£20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome
Bedlam reacted to silver fox for a topic
Won Profit +£50 Month +£101 point -
DPW Tour Alfred Dunhill Links C'ship 2024
tonythepaint reacted to CakeCakeCake for a topic
I've shortlisted the below for this weekend - * Brooks Koepka win 23/1 * Matt Wallace win 43/1 * Peter Uihlein 84/1 * Dean Burmester 94/1 * Thorbjorn Olesen 149/1 Will look at top 10 options All prices Betfair Good luck on your bets this weekend!1 point -
DPW Tour Alfred Dunhill Links C'ship 2024
tonythepaint reacted to fd1972uk for a topic
Went with koepka and lawrence for this. Dad has went Fleetwood and horschel. Did think Hatton or fitzpatrick but stuck with my two.1 point -
DPW Tour Alfred Dunhill Links C'ship 2024
tonythepaint reacted to MinellaWorksop for a topic
One I like for this event is: Oliver Wilson 450/1 Bet365 Enhanced Win market One at a massive price here. Won this tournament many moons ago. Now in his 40's Oliver is a player I always look out his results for as he is from nearby Mansfield. Normally he is pretty pants and misses the cut but since missing the cut at the Scottish Open he has made every cut since. Will he win? The odds suggest otherwise but I feel he is worth a chance at big odds in a tournament format (Pro-am event, long rounds etc) he has excelled in before.1 point -
Division 3 - Week 5 Selections
avongirl reacted to daisychain for a topic
Arsenal 1.18 Monaco 1.33 Dortmund 1.25 10 pts Treble1 point -
Bournemouth v Southampton (1) @ 1.67 Chelsea v Brighton (O2.5 ) @ 1.53 £10 double please.1 point
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Division 4 - Week 5 Selections
avongirl reacted to BARNSLEYCHOP for a topic
10pt Treble pls Birmingham @ 1.57 Blackpool @ 1.53 Tottenham @ 2.751 point -
Monaco 1.33 Roma 1.44 Napoli 1.40 30 £ treble1 point
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Division 4 - Week 5 Selections
avongirl reacted to Fire and Ice for a topic
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Wolves v Liverpool Over 2.5 goals @ 1.44 Ipswich v Aston Villa Over 2.5 goals @ 1.73 Everton v Crystal Palace Over 2.5 goals @ 1.85 £15 win treble1 point
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Division 4 - Week 5 Selections
avongirl reacted to Sugardaddyken for a topic
Everton @ 2.80 Arsenal @ 1.18 Chelsea @ 1.75 10 point treble please1 point -
Chelsea @ 1.75 AC Milan @ 1.40 Roma @ 1.44 £20 treble1 point
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Napoli win @1.40 Wolfsburg - Stuttgart, over 2,5 goals yes @1.53 Holstein Kiel - Eintracht, over 2.5 goals yes @1.50 Half bank in thi treble please thanks1 point
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35.60 double Ipswich game over 2.5 at 1.73 Birmingham game over 2.5 at 1.571 point
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Villarreal 1.53 Napoli 1.40 Monaco 1.33 £100 Treble1 point
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Rangers @ 1.36 AC Milan @ 1.40 Arsenal Vs Leicester O2.5 @ 1.44 1/2 Bank Treble Please1 point
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Result Ayr 16:48 Dain Ma Nut In 1st 10/3F Todays Profit = 33.33 pts Current Years Profit 2024 = -17 pts Bank = + 1979.91 pts. Profit = + 1879.91 pts. Current Winning Run = 11 point