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Liberty lane wins ... CLass will out lol

Won 8-0⚽

Hi all from the sunshine in Meloneras 🌞 🍸 👙.......our friends from Newmarket back for day 3 at HQ 🐎 and 🤞 for another day like they had on day 2......small fields on soft ground, so they upped their stakes and it paid off 💷.....in opener Sirona @ 2/1 WON......Time Lock @ 6/4 WON.......Bubbling ( main bet / nap) @ 6/4 WON........Task Force @ 5/2 3rd......Seaplane @ 13/8 WON........Military Academy 10/11 2nd.............. Soooo... he said there a big word for the French today in the soft going with Daylight in 2.25 ( also Lake Victoria as saver ).......in the opener likes 2 of Ghost Run and Magic love.....in Royal Lodge likes Wimbledon Hawkeye........Middle park a surprise maybe with Defence Minister to upset the fav...... wish you all well with your racing today 🤞 and especially with your picks in the Cambridgeshire 😱

Boston v Maidenhead Both teams have only won twice this season, but I am hoping that the home side are the ones to make it 3. I've put up Boston the last two Saturday's and they could easily have won both rather than drawn both. They were always going to find things tough at Gateshead on Tuesday night, but they didn't play badly and this is a winnable game for them. Maidenhead had lost 3 on the bounce prior to beating Ebbsfleet on Tuesday night and away to a lesser side in the division is a game that Maidenhead have struggled in over the years and they lost 3-1 at the other National League North promoted side Tamworth 3-1 a couple of weeks ago. I'd have the home side as clear favs for this . Southend v Gateshead I'm going to take Southend on again here. Solihull put in a shocker of a performance last week when I backed them and Southend took full advantage, but they then only picked up a point against Wealdstone and they suffered another couple of injuries during the game. I also took Gateshead on last week, but we got lucky to be paid out as Gateshead battered FGR after they had gone a goal down early on. As mentioned above they then beat Boston on Tuesday and again created lots of chances. Hopefully they don't defend like they did in their last away game against Dagenham and I would actually make them favs to win this. Prescot Cables v Leek I backed Prescot earlier in the month and it is the only game they have lost this month, but I am going to back them again here at home because I think they should be shorter than they are. They had a good 3-0 win at Ashton last week and Leek have been struggling for me. They have only won 2 league games, the first was their 2nd game of the season and then they only beat Matlock when Matlock were awful. Prescot have found their feet quicker than Leek for me and they can win this. Whitby v Matlock Whitby did manage to beat Hebburn 6-2 last Saturday, but prior to that they hadn't won since August 17th and they have lost 6 games since then. Tuesday night saw them lose 3-1 to Workington so it isn't as if they have carried on from their win at Hebburn. Matlock should have beaten FCUM last week and I am happy to take them again here to beat Whitby at a big price. Rushall Olympic v Anstey Nomads Going to take a chance on Anstey in the FA Cup. Rushall were slightly fortunate to stay up last season and they have only won twice in the league this season. On paper there are 2 divisions between them, but I think in reality there is probably only 1 so I think Nomads are worth taking a chance on at a massive price to cause an upset. Prices from 6pm Friday Boston 1pt @ 13/8 with Bet365, Betfred, Paddy Power and Betfair (take up to 5/4) Gateshead 1pt @ 9/5 with Bet365, Betfred, Paddy Power and Betfair (take up to 11/8) Prescot Cables 1pt @ 6/4 with Bet365 and Betfred (take up to 5/4) Matlock 1pt @ 13/5 with Betfred (take up to 2/1) Anstey Nomads 1pt @ 15/2 with Betfred (take up to 5/1)

Navagio 3 40New 1/40th of a pt ew 66/1 {both struck last week} -N/R reruted and 3rd in the 1 30Hyd Poniros 3 40New 1/40th of a pt ew 25/1 Designer 3 15Hyd 1/40th of a pt ew 25/1 Graphite 5 00Hyd 1/40th of a pt ew 14/1 Magical Spirit 3 20Rip 1/40th of a pt ew 25/1 Tacarib Bay 3 20Rip 1/40th of a pt ew 9/1 Woven 2 40Hyd 1/40th of a pt ew 20/1 - Won

Here is my 'Angryman' boosted bet builder with W.Hills for the Newcastle vs Manchester City game: Player to be carded: Bruno Guimaraes Joelinton Dan Burn Manuel Akanji Odds boosted to 250/1

2.25 Newmarket - DAYLIGHT 4/1 William Hill . 2nd 13/2 , if I'd have known it would have drifted that badly I'd have done it each way , no qualms with winner , she looked very good . Ignore the French at your peril especially on soft / heavy ground , hope I've picked the right one , thought would have been bigger than 4/1 but hey ho .

I've been given back one of the puppies my dog had last year and he's not getting on with his brother, all very stressful, which is a shame because he's a such a loving beautiful dog who we now have to find a new home for. Because of being run ragged myself, i mis-spelled one of my picks...it should have said - 1415 Listowel - Kingdom Calling @ 250-1, hope @mickyftm32 understands. 🤣

AW selection Chelmsford 4.50 KHUTULUN

Will put selections in here @MCLARKE as i can't see a new thread. 1435 Cur - Hotazhell @ 3-1 Bet365 1510 Cur - Harrys Hill @ 16-1 ew Bet Vic 1440 Hay - Knebworth @ 7-1 ew Lad reserves 1645 New - Granger Bay @ 5-2 WH 1540 New - Paddy The Squire @ 14-1 Lad Good luck Mickey.

Day 212 -£52.40

Good call @Striker I'm going with the following accy today: R.Smith / Price / Rock / Chizzy / Over 9.5 Nijman v Dobey 10/1 Paddy

Going for Godwinson in the Cambridgeshire loves the soft and well drawn . The one i can`t have at any price is Roi De France , watched the Yarmouth race a couple of times and at no point did it look like it would win . In the perfect position all race and when the gap came didn`t quicken , in fact others in the race were finishing better . Think it`s just the Gosden factor making it so short . (Prepares to be shot down in flames as it bolts in ) !

Ratings for the Cambridgeshire. Poniros. 116. 10/1. Opened at 20,s. La Trinidad.114. 100/1. Dutch decoy. 113. 40/1. 2pts win,and other 2 1pt e.way.

Ground in UK is heavy so I'll try the curragh 310 ...... Class ratings for laugh a minute 408 ....and the highway rat 402 are quite a bit ahead of next horse 391 ....they have not sparkled of late but could come good on the day ....5 PT Ew both around 12/1 Ew doubles with the above 3

Newmarket 1.15 The day’s terrestrial TV action starts with a 7F class 2 fillies nursery which has attracted eleven runners. It has an open enough look about it with recent winners Ghost Run, Naina, Harmonia, Geo and Magic Love all having claims. My pick is the latter who is trained by Harry Charlton and ridden by Trevor Whelan. The grey filly made a winning handicap debut at Thirsk on good to soft ground earlier this month when well backed. She ran on well to score by 1 1/4L and this step up to 7F looks likely to suit as there’s plenty of stamina on her dam’s side. She’s been raised 6lb for that victory but may have more to give now at this trip and can reward an each way bet. MAGIC LOVE 1 point each way @ 12/1 bet365 1/5th 1234 Haydock 1.30 The first of two races covered by the ITV cameras to be raced on very soft ground. Ten go to post for this class 2 1M handicap in which the ability to handle conditions will be paramount. Wednesday’s Goodwood winner Rhoscolyn will be one of them but he does have a 5lb penalty and top weight of 10-5 which will make this tough. Irish raider Earls is another who will love conditions and can run well for Gavin Cromwell but the value pick may well be the George Boughey trained Amo Racing owned Raadobarg who sports a first time visor and has dropped 8lb for his last four starts which have come on unsuitably good fast ground. 8lb lower today than his excellent Irish Lincoln third at The Curragh in March he looks well handicapped and will relish the sloppy conditions. RAADOBARG 1 point each way @ 7/1 bet365 1/5th 123 Newmarket 1.50 The first of three Group races for two-year-olds at Newmarket today is this Group 2 Juddmonte Royal Lodge Stakes run over a mile. The form horse, and highest rated, is James Owen flag bearer Wimbledon Hawkeye who took his form to a new level last time out when runner up to current Derby favourite The Lion In Winter in the Acomb Stakes at York. He’s yet to encounter any cut in the ground however and with the ground looking likely to ride on the soft side preference is for Charlie Fellowes’s Luther who he has stated is the best he’s ever trained. A Salisbury maiden win preceded a 1/2L second to subsequent Grade 1 Canadian winner New Century which in hindsight was no disgrace before getting back to winning ways in a hot eight runner listed race at Haydock. He too has yet to encounter easy ground but his mother won on easy ground and he’s the pick. LUTHER 1 point win @ 9/4 William Hill Newmarket 2.25 A field of eight run in this Group 1 Juddmonte Cheveley Park Stakes for juvenile fillies. The two fillies at the top of the market are both unbeaten in the Group 1 Moyglare Stud Stakes winner Lake Victoria for Aidan O’Brien and the Group 1 Phoenix Stakes winner Babouche trained by Ger Lyons. Neither of the two Irish fillies have encountered easy ground although on breeding both could actually relish it. Preference of the duo is the latter who looks very smart. Owned by today’s sponsors she beat subsequent Group 1 winner Whistlejack by a length and a half at The Curragh and with her full sister Zarinsk a three time winner on soft ground can run well if coping with the sloppy conditions. Lowther winner Celandine (Leovanni held) may prefer it faster with her trainer Ed Walker stating that the “quicker the ground the better” for her. With the ground testing the two French fillies are maybe the value bets. P Cottier’s Daylight is already a winner on heavy ground and her third last time out behind Whistlejack and Rashabar in the Group 1 Prix Morny reads very well. Back against her own sex and with slight doubts on the ground against the front two Irish fillies she looks the bet although the F-H Graffard’s trained Rayevka who impressed in the mud last time out and is worth a small each way saver in a terrific contest. DAYLIGHT 1 point win @ 9/2 William Hill RAYEVKA 1/2 point each way @ 14/1 bet365 1/5th 123 Curragh 2.35 Just five assemble for the Group 2 Beresford Stakes for two-year-olds run over 1M. A strong fancy here is the Jessie Harrington trained Hotazhell who followed up a Group 3 victory at Leopardstown in July with a 1L second to the useful Henry Matisse in the Group 2 Futurity Stakes here over 7F with Scotty Champ a length back in third. The latter has gone on to beat Henry Matisse in the Group 1 National Stakes to frank the form and Hotazhell will be hard to beat. British raider Windlord who was impressive when winning at York and 12L Galway maiden winner Trinity College look the dangers but neither have achieved as much as the selection who will be ridden today by Shane Foley on what, hopefully, could be a big day for Harrington. HOTAZHELL 1 point win @ 5/2 William Hill Newmarket 3.00 The Group 1 Juddmonte Middle Park Stakes run over 6F for two-year-old colts will have eight runners and a warm favourite in the shape of the Aidan O’Brien trained Whistlejacket who will be very hard to beat. Last seen winning the Group 1 Prix Morny at Deauville in August from Coventry Stakes winner Rashabar on good to soft ground he has 7lb and upwards ahead of his field on official ratings and can even run a bit below par and still win this. The two most likely to take advantage if he doesn’t run up to his form are stable companion Ides Of March who’s chasing a hat trick of victories following a maiden and Group 3 win at The Curragh in good style and the Charlie Appleby trained Shadow Of Light who was pulled out of the Mill Reef Stakes last weekend at Newbury due to the heavy ground. His Gimcrack form at York has worked out well and he can be the one to chase home Whistlejack. WHISTLEJACK 1 point win @ Evens William Hill Haydock 3.15 Ten run in this class 2 5F handicap in which I have a strong fancy. Top weight and current favourite Wiltshire comes here having been upped 6lb for a win on the all-weather at Newcastle in June. A winner on good to soft he has been soundly beaten on his two career starts on soft and makes the market here for my pick the seven-year-old Alberma Gold who adores the mud. His figures on heavy ground read 11194 with the ninth when not staying at 7F and the 4th when not disgraced in listed company. David O’Meara’s mudlark is 11lb lower than when winning at Doncaster 11 months ago on heavy ground and this will be the first time since that he has had his conditions. The only negative is the draw as he’s drawn in one on the wing but as long as that’s not an issue here he looks worth a decent bet with Mark Winn on top. ALBERAMA GOLD 1 point each way @ 15/2 bet365 1/5th 123 Newmarket 3.40 The day’s big handicap and feature race is the bet365 Cambridgeshire Handicap with thirty five horses spread actress the Rowley Mile racing over 9F. High numbers have had an advantage in recent years so with that in mind my short list comprises of last year’s third Bopedro who can race off of a 6lb lower mark today and teed up for this with his best run of the season when runner up to Johan at Doncaster, Norwalk Havoc who I can not understand why he is currently three times the price of the gambled on favourite This Songisforyou when he finished 1 1/2L ahead of him in a Curragh handicap at the Galway festival and is now 5lb better off. The softer the better for Jessie Harrington’s charge and he will be my number one pick. Also worth a mention and a small stakes ew saver is the Iain Jardine trained Paddy The Squire who looks massively overpriced on his Hamilton form with Theoryofeverything when going down by a short head on his first run for a year and is now 5lb better off. Again he is four times the price of Theoryofeverything and must surely be closer in the betting. John & Thady Gosden’s Roi De France has yet to encounter easy ground and lacks experience and with the last four winners priced at 40/1,40/1, 25/1 and 20/1 it seems its a race to look away from the front of the market. NORWALK HAVOC 1 point each way @ 18/1 William Hill 1/5th 123456 PADDY THE SQUIRE 1/2 point each way @ 66/1 bet365 1/5th 123456

Just rated the race with the par class system Par for class is 196 so that omits around 9 horses ....but as you'd expect for such a classy race the other 25 all qualify !! Currently after rating I have a shortlist of 5 Liberty lane 220 214 434 Bopedro 207 224 431 ROI de France 200 225 425 Teumessias fox 212 212 424 Belmacara 208 211 419 Silver fox. 198 216 414 Quite a big rating range 434 to 414 at bottom with all other runners below this so from a ratings perspective these look the six to concentrate on .......I'll have a look at the trends to see if anything jumps out .......final decs tomorrow night help us any are non runners too

I was concerned about top weight I have to admit but there's a reason they are top weight lol 🤣 ....I've got the same problem in tomorrow's race too 😕

@harry_rag lets see what happens with the big "if the next one wins" If the next wins the co should be about the price of 3 winners and a nr. And thats why you don't cash out after a loser.

Alphonse Le Grande 4 25 Cra 1/40th of a pt ew 33/1 -8th Zanndabad 4 25 Cra 1/40th of a pt ew 18/1 -6th Falcon Eight 4 25 Cra 1/40th of a pt ew 28/1 Society Lion 5 15 Eps 1/40th of a pt ew 20/1 P/L + 177.60 pts

Openda and Sesko both to score for RB Leipzig at 5/1 (money back if loses). Done it once this season and in 7 out of 19 games they started together last season. Probably just shy of fair without the concession but good enough to use it rather than hang on for a better opportunity before it expires.

Lucky 15 E/W Listowel 3:25 Champella 7/1 17:05 Robinstown 14/1 RIPON 2:45 count D' orsay 7/1 5:15 Creatif 9/1

Lucky15Ref: 555638986 4 Selections 4. Mersea Island - 5/1Winner - 14:05 Haydock 10. Stormingin - 14/1Winner - 16:10 Chelmsford 1. Telemark - 11/1Winner - 16:45 Newmarket 1. How Impressive - 9/2Winner - 19:00 Chelmsford Stake£ 0.75 Potential Returns£ 473.15

Some boosts that appeal in the early Prem game. Haaland & Gordon SoT at 11/4 and same bet but with Haaland for 2+ SoT at 3/1. A sliver of value in the latter, quite a lot in the former. Also City win and Haaland 2+ goals at 21/4. Can also make a case for Gordon to score at 4/1 (should be achievable on the exchange) and Gundogan at 11/2 (probably 365 or bust with that one).

The very fact that Heavy is in the going description at Both Haydock and Ripon is enough for me to give both those cards a swerve today,while Chelmsford does not really float the boat on a good days racing. I thought the 7/2 on offer about Ghost Run in the opener(13.15) at Newmarket was a smidgen of value,but then i saw that there was no Bog offer on this race with Fred,so i switched my allegiances to the exchange where i got a touch over 4/1 for my money.The bay filly landed a gamble at Donny last time and looks one to keep onside .A Winner of two of his three starts Luther looked the pick of the prices at 7/2 in the Royal Lodge at 1.50,while the unbeaten Babouche(14.25) completes my fancies on the Rowley Mile Course.The 2/1 quote is normally as low as i want to take,but i had her down at a considerably lower price than that. The card at Market Rasberry is interesting in just how much my tissue varies from the prices on offer this morning. Obviously Jump Racing is in its infancy,and there is every chance some of these will not be fully wound up today,but its a chance you take when looking for that bit of value. The Skelton pair Got Grey (2/1) and Jet Plane (4/1) were better prices than expected in the 16.35 and 17.10 respectively and will do for me with brother Harry aboard.At 11/2 for the 16.05, Another Day Out is massive compared to the price i had her down as. She hasn't raced for over 100 days however and her price continues to drift like a barge this morning so it will be interesting to see how she gets on. As she only won eight days ago at Newton Abbot i can't fathom why Karannelle is similarly friendless for the 17.45.but at 11/2 i'm willing to find out why,while Garitsa Bay is another who has to overcome a 100 day absence in the last race on the card,but if fit, the 11/4 looks more than fair to me. All Prices quoted are from Betfred(unless stated) at 11.30 am

System A NEWCASTLE 4.60 WOLVES 17/2 WH BRENTFORD / WEST HAM DRAW 3.70 LEICESTER 18.50 System B COMO 6/5 QUINNBETS ROMA 4/9 WH NAPOLI 4/11 LADBROKES INTER 1/2 WH JUVENTUS 3/4 SBK ATALANTA 8/5 SBK LAZIO 2.70 FIORENTINA 2.30

Ratings 1.15.newmarket. Timefall. 104. 12/1. Royal equerry.98. 11/1. Both 2 pts win and 1/2 point r f.c.

Woven 2.40 Haydock..............14/1 bet365

Cracking race and an enjoyable puzzle to try and solve but i am very keen on last years 3rd BOPEDRO having said that i feel there is a horse at outstanding price a must e/w bet for me that is 33/1 shot MAJESTIC from the Channon yard looks a good draw, nice weight, won't mind the soft ground & super value imho . I'm on 6 places and hopefully my Irish eyes will be smiling after the race i think i have two very good e/w chances!

Big trends are 6yo or less 22/22 plus minimum topspeed 74 last 4 22/22 Bopedro fails both so happily omitted and teumessias fox barely gets the topspeed 76 and at a completely diff distance 12 f ....so happy to omit too That leaves three with recent topspeed Liberty lane 87 90 14/1 Belmacara 95 81 14/1 ROI de France 98 82 8/1 These would be the three that interest me currently with a run 😁

sorry going to post this bet for weekend early as busy this weekend a little change to bets as its fouls instead of cards here go Arsenal v Leicester Wout Faes Player To Commit 1 Or More Fouls Super Sub James Justin Player To Be Fouled 2 Or More Times Nottm Forest v Fulham Sasa Lukic Player To Commit 2 Or More Fouls Kenny Tete Player To Be Fouled 2 Or More Times Harrison Reed Player To Commit 2 Or More Fouls Elliot Anderson Player To Be Fouled 2 Or More Times Chelsea v Brighton Simon Adingra Player To Commit 2 Or More Fouls Joel Veltman Player To Commit 2 Or More Fouls 5.00 Potential returnsPP £1,584.44 good luck whate ever you do

notice which 2 won and which 2 lost, bigger prices v shorter prices seems a common theme with lucky 15's. shouldn't be but for reasons unfathomable it always seems to be that way.

Four winners today at good prices, two in a double at 16/1 above, though One Eye Jack had an SP of 9/2 so loads of money went on it. If specified had won it would have cleared my YTD loss on the L15's so a pity it was denied a clear run and lost by a length. I had 9 L15's today = 6.75 stakes and returns were 18.95 so a profit of 12.20. My c/Fwd figure is L15's - 103.23 and RC P/L Incl L15's is -157.91

Winner 15/2

2nd Profit: £30 Month: +£145

One to watch

My Great Mate 14.50 Listowel - 4/5 Bet365 Ginger Pointe 16.05 Market Rasen - 5/2 BetVictor Garista Bay 18.15 Market Rasen - 9/4 Bet365 RES Lion Ring 19.30 Chelmsford - 9/2 Bet365

Lucky15Ref: 555604504 4 Selections 9. Geo - 9/2Winner - 13:15 Newmarket 5. One Eye Jack - 16/1Winner - 14:05 Haydock 5. Woven - 16/1Winner - 14:40 Haydock 3. Specified - 13/2Winner - 18:30 Chelmsford Stake£ 0.75 Potential Returns£ 895.00

Do you want me to dock you points

+£6.60 -£52.40 day 211

My overly practical mind says what are the chances that one firm is offering value about 20 separate outcomes! I make it that, on average, this values each player at around 10/11 to both foul and be fouled to give you the acca odds of 640.04. My gut feel is that it’s a poor price for the outcome you’re aiming at but player fouls by no means something I’m familiar with stats wise. Good luck though, you’ve already landed at least two huge accas of late that I’d probably have had a similar take on!

Most winners Congratulations to @Quartu SE who wins with plenty in hand

3rd. + £10. + £96

Sticking with Norway tomorrow for my weekend bet [12pm] Draw no Bet Frigg over Ullern @ 1.85 with Betway As beat their opponents easily when they last met in May 4-1

Won 6-1 If only all bets were that stress free🎯

True.............

Current loss -39.71 COURSE TIME SELECTION ODDS BOOKMAKER Newmarket 2.45 Funny Story 2.25 BETFAIR Pontefract 3.10 Loyal Touch 7.50 BET VICTOR Newmarket 3.20 The Waco Kid 6.50 BET VICTOR Newmarket 3.55 Al Nayyir 1.75 BETFAIR Newmarket 4.30 Wonder Kid 4.50 BETFAIR Pontefract 5.23 Wen Moon 4.75 LADBROKES