opole Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 Estoril doubles G. Granollers/M. Lopez @1.581 Pinnacle 10/10 Both Andreozzi and Dellien will play qualifying in Madrid on Saturday. It's an 1000 Masters event in Madrid so i doubt they gonna prioritise a doubles match here. Furthermore, Granollers/Lopez looking like a decent team to compete anyway. bobix, eros, Andraz85 and 2 others 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobix Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 3 Estoril doubles G. Granollers/M. Lopez @1.581 Pinnacle 10/10 Both Andreozzi and Dellien will play qualifying in Madrid on Saturday. It's an 1000 Masters event in Madrid so i doubt they gonna prioritise a doubles match here. Furthermore, Granollers/Lopez looking like a decent team to compete anyway. Nice one! Something similar story was with Garín/Londero where Londero "had to leave", while Garin preparing against Zverev. Odds were around 1.30, but I took Molchanov/Zelenay for a 2-0 win for 1.85. 6-3 6-4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 Malek Jaziri to beat Leonardo Mayer at 3.20 with Unibet I think we could see Malek fighting for everything in this match because Estoril is important to him. Leonardo wants to play in Madrid, no reason for him to have motivation to play any longer in Estoril. vvararu 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vvararu Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 Malek Jaziri to beat Leonardo Mayer at 3.20 with Unibet I think we could see Malek fighting for everything in this match because Estoril is important to him. Leonardo wants to play in Madrid, no reason for him to have motivation to play any longer in Estoril. Could you please give more details about your suppositions? Why is Estoril so important to Jaziri? I guess Jaziri would like to play in Madrid no less than Mayer... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 Could you please give more details about your suppositions? Why is Estoril so important to Jaziri? I guess Jaziri would like to play in Madrid no less than Mayer... Estoril is important for Maleks form that he is searching for and he's never played in Madrid before while Leonardo does have 90 ranking points to defend there from last season and Leo has been in Madrid 5 times reaching the third round twice and one of those times where last season. But it's a risk I'll have to take that Madrid would be equally important to Malek but I think he's taking this tournament in Estoril more serious than Leonardo. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 @vvararu and I think you should look at how big the chance this upset is going to happen. The chance for an upset increases by the day if there has been only favourites winning and so far in Estoril and Munich there has been no upsets as Berrettini is cruising for the win in the last match of today in Germany. Now there's only Malek Jaziri and Yoshihito Nishioka left as upset possibilities in todays ATP tennis and at least one of those two should be an upset. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gully_22 Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 (edited) Hello all, I view this fourm quite regularly and there are some great informative posts and tips so i thank you all. I had to respond to this comment though: @vvararu and I think you should look at how big the chance this upset is going to happen. The chance for an upset increases by the day if there has been only favourites winning and so far in Estoril and Munich there has been no upsets as Berrettini is cruising for the win in the last match of today in Germany. Now there's only Malek Jaziri and Yoshihito Nishioka left as upset possibilities in todays ATP tennis and at least one of those two should be an upset. That is classic gambler's fallacy and i would not use that as a basis to make a bet. Its exactly like betting on red on a roulette table because black has come up 10 times previous. Its just not something that should be done if taking sports betting seriously. Edited May 2, 2019 by Gully_22 typo opole and Torque 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted May 2, 2019 Author Share Posted May 2, 2019 Hi and welcome to the forum @Gully_22! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted May 2, 2019 Author Share Posted May 2, 2019 Philipp Kohlschreiber to beat Matteo Berretini at 1.75 with Pinnacle Berretini has been on the right end of a good draw so far this week, but Kohli should be a tougher proposition than Kudla and Istomin. I wouldn't go below 1.57, but I do fancy the home guy at 1.75. darko08 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darko08 Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 I like Kohls and Cecchinato for tomorrow. What about Bautista? I have not watched him against Molleker, he played well? His victory is priced like 1.60. Opinions? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 Hello all, I view this fourm quite regularly and there are some great informative posts and tips so i thank you all. I had to respond to this comment though: @vvararu and I think you should look at how big the chance this upset is going to happen. The chance for an upset increases by the day if there has been only favourites winning and so far in Estoril and Munich there has been no upsets as Berrettini is cruising for the win in the last match of today in Germany. Now there's only Malek Jaziri and Yoshihito Nishioka left as upset possibilities in todays ATP tennis and at least one of those two should be an upset. That is classic gambler's fallacy and i would not use that as a basis to make a bet. Its exactly like betting on red on a roulette table because black has come up 10 times previous. Its just not something that should be done if taking sports betting seriously. Well I can't tell you how many times it's a working strategy.. I call it probability bets. Happened yesterday with Alejandro Davidovich Fokina who upset Jeremy Chardy and happens tonight with Malek Jaziri, the only upset of the day maybe. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 I like Kohls and Cecchinato for tomorrow. What about Bautista? I have not watched him against Molleker, he played well? His victory is priced like 1.60. Opinions? I have no opinions on tomorrows tennis yet. darko08 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vvararu Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 Estoril is important for Maleks form that he is searching for and he's never played in Madrid before while Leonardo does have 90 ranking points to defend there from last season and Leo has been in Madrid 5 times reaching the third round twice and one of those times where last season. But it's a risk I'll have to take that Madrid would be equally important to Malek but I think he's taking this tournament in Estoril more serious than Leonardo. Ok. Got your thoughts. Anyway, good pick. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 @CzechPunter do you think Adrian Mannarino can beat Mikael Ymer tomorrow? Mikael offered a ton of breakpoints as usual to his opponent today and this time it was only Julian Lenz and how do we rate that? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted May 2, 2019 Author Share Posted May 2, 2019 He obviously can, but I'm not as thrilled for him this time around, I rate Ymer above Janvier. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gully_22 Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 Well I can't tell you how many times it's a working strategy.. I call it probability bets. Happened yesterday with Alejandro Davidovich Fokina who upset Jeremy Chardy and happens tonight with Malek Jaziri, the only upset of the day maybe. I understand the thinking behind it but it still isn't a rational reason to make a bet. Each individual match up is independent of the other, so what happens in the earlier matches has no bearing on the later ones - i suppose it just feels like it does. I think we are all guilty of thinking this though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 He obviously can, but I'm not as thrilled for him this time around, I rate Ymer above Janvier. Well alright, I haven't placed any bet on Adrian anyway because he really is no claycourter. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 Marton Fucsovics to beat Marco Cecchinato at 2.55 with betsson I think we might see Marton winning his third match in Munich. He reached the Munich quarters last season too and he beat Marco on the way in straight sets. aphro 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 Malek Jaziri to beat David Goffin at 4.70 with Unibet Jaziri seems to have his sights on something big in Estoril. The way he played yesterday is enough against David who is in no sort of form at all. Davids victory against Joao Sousa is nothing to brag about since Joao hasn't been too great all season. David is 10/10 this season and many of the losses have come against players who doesn't even play close to how good Malek has played this week. Malek is playing better than his ranking currently and David is playing worse than his ranking and that should make this match close and perhaps work to Maleks advantage. Malek hasn't been good this season, losing 12 matches and winning only 4 but I look at the way he played yesterday and that was bloody good. They have faced twice before on hardcourt in 2009 and 2016 and Malek won both. I don't think the odds are put correctly here. eros 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aphro Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 Garin to win at 3.40 with Pinnacle MABS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aphro Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 Value radar: Berrettini to beat Kohlschreiber at 2.38 with Pinnacle MABS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metaphor Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 Aleksandar Vukic to beat Tommy Paul @ 3,75 with bet365 As @eros pointed out, Paul already secured the Roland Garros WC yesterday and has played tons of matches past three weeks so he should feel tired. Good spot to fade Paul here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 Aleksandar Vukic to beat Tommy Paul @ 3,75 with bet365 As @eros pointed out, Paul already secured the Roland Garros WC yesterday and has played tons of matches past three weeks so he should feel tired. Good spot to fade Paul here. Pretty unlikely but still quite likely if Tommy is all to ragged and he twisted his ankle and had it wrapped yesterday so Aleksandar could quite likely get a walkover here to. But fading players that are likely tired or injured isn't smart because you probably get a walkover from that supposed to be tired or injured player instead. But Tommy Paul doesn't seem to want to throw in the towel to easy so I'll watch this match on the livestream if it comes live later and see where it will lead. Only then there can be some bet to be found. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted May 3, 2019 Author Share Posted May 3, 2019 A good week for me despite Kohli messing it up, leaving the weekend alone most probably. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vvararu Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 What do you think guys about Tiafoe - Cuevas? Tiafoe is underdog but from one side he has to defend final points from 2018 Estoril and from another side Cuevas will have to play in Madrid and to defend his past year 1/16 presence. Tiafoe is younger and should have more energy while Cuevas will probably need a couple of days of rest before Madrid. From another perspective if Cuevas wins today and reaches semis, he will get 90 points, exactly as many as he have to defend in Madrid. Any thoughts about this? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 Logically one win for 90 points sounds a lot better to me than however many wins Cuevas will need in Madrid. Tennis isn't logical though so who knows Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vvararu Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 Yeap, you are right. However there he has the perspective to win more points if he advances far enough... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 Who knows what his thought process will be or if there even is one. For me, if I'm Cuevas then I'm trying to win this tournament. But over the years I've seen so many results from so many players that have basically said 'I have no interest in winning this tournament' that I've long since given up trying to second guess. CzechPunter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Champion Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 Teichman was that impressive to me in all her 7 games that I must take her big tomorrow. I won't be surprised if she's going to finish her job in straight sets. Nice value to me. Enjoy your weekend guys. Tennis - WTA Prague - Final Jil Teichmann - vs - Karolina Muchova Jil Teichmann @ 2.21 Pinnacle 9/10 I agree Teichmann in great form , nice to see You back eros eros 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 Thank you, but we'll see if it's good or not, it depends on this bet will deliver or not. Not strictly true @eros but that's another conversation and one which has been had on here many times in the past... eros 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.