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darko08 last won the day on March 9

darko08 had the most liked content!


About darko08

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    Legend Punter
  1. Tennis - March 11 - March 17

    Personally i think that Raonic and Monfils will win. Kecmanovic looks good but the opponents he had can't be compared with the opponent that will face now. It's true that Raonic could have been eliminated by Giron but he finally survived that match and i can't see him playing as bad as he did against Giron. Monfils is not the same Monfils, he is playing with a regularity that i have never seen in him before so i can say that he's in the best form of his career. Im not impressed with what Thiem have done till here. He was disappointing in the AO and in the south american tour. I think that he's still here because he faced the right opponents but Monfils will dominate him if he doesn't improve for this game.
  2. Tennis - March 11 - March 17

    @vvararu i did bet Andreescu to beat Wang and Kiki to beat Muguruza. Muguruza finally won against Kiki. I don't know what to expect now in this match between Mugu and Andreescu
  3. Tennis - March 11 - March 17

    @money44 @South_African_Punter the most comfortable high priced bet ever. Zverev was absolutely far from his form
  4. Tennis - March 11 - March 17

    I bet against Gorges when she played against Kanepi. I rarely bet more than 1 time against the same player. She could have been on my list, probably is better bet than betting for Tsurenko against Sabalenka.
  5. Tennis - March 11 - March 17

    @money44 that match could have won by both players. A lot of upsets in this tournament so I'm gonna try some ones. Struff to beat Alexander Zverev at 5.00 with 888 Zverev had some health problems in his last match. Lesia Tsurenko to beat Sabalenka at 3.40 with 888 I know Sabalenka is the favorite but giving her these odds against a player like Tsurenko? I know Tsurenko recent form is not the best but she has a lot of tennis and she can win against Sabalenka if she show that tennis. Gilles Simon to beat Dominic Thiem at 3.05 with 888 Thiem recent form is horrible. Simon is a hard player to beat and if Thiem is not accurate with his shots we could see him doing a lot of UE.
  6. Tennis - March 11 - March 17

    Felix Auger to beat Nishioka at 1.65 with Marathonbet Going with Alex again. 2 very convincing wins here against Norrie (6-3, 6-2) and Tsitsipas (6-4, 6-2). Nishioka has win here against Kudla in a 3 set match and Bautista (7-6, 6-4). Not impressed with his win against Bautista because he had some health problems recently. I think Felix is the right favorite and I expect him taking advantage of Nishioka weak serve.
  7. Tennis Tips - March 4 - March 10

    Feliciano López (+3.0 Games) to beat Kharen Khachanov at 1.94 with Marathonbet Based on the horrible recent form of Kharen. He’s on 3 losing streak since the AO (Berrettini, Griekspoor and Basilashvili). This will his first match here while Feli has already 1 win here against Berdych (7-6, 6-6). Filip Krajinovic to beat David Goffin at 2.80 with Marathonbet Krajinovic has already 3 wins here against Ramanathan (6-4, 6-0), Berankis (6-3, 7-5) and Kukushkin (6-3, 6-4). This will be the first match for Goffin here and his recent results are not good. Alex Bolt to beat Guido Pella at 2.40 with 888 Bolt has already 3 wins here against Quinzi (6-4, 7-5), Eubanks (7-6,7-6) and Gulbis (6-3, 5-7, 6-2). Pella comes from the south American tour and this will be his first match here. Alexei Popyrin (+3.0 Games) to beat John Isner at 1.95 with Marathonbet Popyrin has already 3 wins here against Kovalik (6-3, 6-3), Rosol (7-5, 6-3) and Munar (7-6, 6-3). This will the first match for Isner here and he’s not getting good results recently. @CSanders22 yep, that's probably one of the keys of the match. Take a look at the stats of her match against Brady in Dubai where she lost 6-4 and 6-0. Ostapenko has not a good serve and her second serve is very vulnerable. Vondrousova has a decent serve including her second serves. Ostapenko will need to play with first serves or she will concede a lot of BP. I don't know the stats about this but what results has Ostapenko against lefty players? That will be interesting to know. Another point, Vondrousova destroyed Daria with a lot of drop shots (she has a nice ability to do that) and Ostapenko is a baseliner she will have to be aware of that.
  8. Tennis Tips - March 4 - March 10

    But Fognini and Ostapenko have different problems. The problem of Fognini is his implication, he has tanked 3 consecutive tournaments in the south american tour and it's something that he does very regularly (i can't understand why the ATP does nothing in front of this). Ostapenko is unpredictable but for her super aggressive style of playing.
  9. Tennis Tips - March 4 - March 10

    Yeah, I rarely post a bet saying that there is value on there. In this case i can't say that there is value on taking Vondrousova, it's another personal appreciation like almost all my bets. I have following her for a long time and i think that her game can cause some damage to Ostapenko if she's not accurate with her aggressiveness because Vondrousova has a strong defense.
  10. Tennis Tips - March 4 - March 10

    @money44 Yeah, maybe Ostapenko wins this but what is "value"? I think value really never exist in sports betting, it’s just a personal appreciation that sometimes can be reforced with some objective facts but objectively talking value can’t exist because bookies take in consideration all the objective facts possible to fix the odds. You can say “well there is value when bookies make mistakes” but I don’t think so, you can think that but probably there are a lot of other objective facts that bookies have considered and you not. I think that real value (considering this as objective value) only can be found in facts that bookies can’t predict: tanking, physical problems… so If you’re not considering any of these facts don’t have sense talking about value, just about personal appreciations.
  11. Tennis Tips - March 4 - March 10

    Marketa Vondrousova to beat Jelena Ostapenko at 1.67 with William Hill I will go with Vondrousova again. She’s a player that im following for a long time and she have the conditions to be a top 10 player in the future, for sure. She has win here against Siegemund (6-4, 7-6) and Kasatkina (6-2, 6-1). Ostapenko is one of the most aggressive style players of the WTA but we all know that when she’s not accurate she can lose the matches very easily. The point here is that she will play against a player who has a strong defense and that will force Ostapenko to hit an extra ball so in these circunstances I can see her doing a lot of unforced errors. Vondrousova has better serve than Ostapenko, her game on the net is also better and she has a better ability for the drop shots so the only scenario for me here where Ostapenko can win this one is holding a high % of accuracy with her aggressive forehand and backhand shots the whole match, something that seems difficult to me. Fabio Fognini to beat Radu Albot at 2.05 with betfair Fognini tanked 3 consecutive tournaments, 4 in a row would be too many even for a clown like him. Another fact that makes me think that he will be implicated is that he has win the doubles match. Considering all of this I take him. I know Albot is on fire and he has already win 3 matches here but Fognini is better player and he’s fresh to play against him after playing only 3 single matches in the last month. We have seen some players coming here from the South American tour winning some matches against players who were better adapted to the conditions so why not Fognini.
  12. Tennis Tips - March 4 - March 10

    another one for me that chokes in the final set (Berankis) @money44 thx, you also had some bad luck with the thirds sets with Jaziri and Mayer, let's see if Doi makes a surprise against Plisko in the final set.
  13. Tennis Tips - March 4 - March 10

    Well, Mona Barthel and Felix did my day. Still have Berankis, Klizan, Kohls and Kanepi but with the first two i will be in profit. This is the last time i bet for Tomjlanovic as the underdog because ALWAYS happens the same. She goes to the final set and there she gets nervous and chokes, it's simply incredible. Pegula was very close, she took the first set and was 5-4 in the second one on serve but finally lost the match..
  14. Tennis Tips - March 4 - March 10

    @money44 these are my finally official bets. Low stakes all of them obviously because they are all non-favorite players. If i get profits at the end of the round i will do this more regularly. Kaia Kanepi to beat Julia Gorges at 2.30 with William Hill Kanepi has already win 1 match here against Larsson (6-2, 6-2). Gorges started the year winning in Auckland but did nothing remarkable since then and she comes here after losing in the first round in Dubai against Riske (6-4, 7-5). Mona Barthel to beat Madison Keys at 6.25 with 888 Keys has never won more than 1 match in any of her 6 participations here. She has lost in the first round the last 3 years here without winning any set. This will be the first match for her since the Fed Cup. Barthel has already win one match here against Lin Zhu in a 3 set match. Jessica Pegula to beat Lesia Tsurenko at 2.50 with William Hill Pegula destroyed Zarina Diyas in the first round (6-1, 6-1). She has played a couple of Finals this year in minor events but beating some interesting players. This will the first match for Tsurenko here and she did nothing remarkable since her quarterfinals in the US Open. Alja Tomjlanovic to beat Aryna Sabalenka at 3.70 with betfair Alja has already win 1 match here against Cornet (7-5, 6-3). Sabalenka is the favorite but Alja will have more chances than the odds suggest. Ricardas Berankis to beat Jan-Lennard Struff at 2.75 with 888 I don’t understand this big favoritism for Struff. Berankis did very well in her previous tournament in Dubai, winning there against Lestienne, Basic, Medvedev and Kudla. He finally lost against Monfils in a 3 set match. Struff has did nothing remarkable since a long time (even he lost in Rotterdam against an unknown player in straight sets) so I don’t understand these odds. Felix Auger Aliassime to beat Stefanos Tsitsipas at 3.25 with bet365 Felix has already win 1 match here against Norrie (6-2, 6-3). This will be the first match for Tsitsipas here. I think he’s overrated for his last results and I expect a long match here with good chances for Felix to win this one. Philipp Kohlschreiber to beat Nick Kyrgios at 2.75 with William Hill Kohls has already played one match here against Herbert (6-4, 6-0). This will be the first match for Kyrgios here. He comes here after winning in Acapulco so Im not sure about his implication here (even with Kyrgios implicated Kohls should have more chances than the odds suggest). Martin Klizan to beat Alexander Zverev at 6.25 with 888 Klizan is very good, if he's implicated and plays as he can he will put Zverev in troubles. He has already 1 win here against the other Zverev (6-1, 6-4).
  15. Tennis Tips - March 4 - March 10

    @money44 mmh i usually like the underdogs you pick but this time i don't like some of them. Monfils is in the best moment of his career. Mayer did nothing remarkable in the tournaments he played in the american tour on clay (his best surface) why he should win now a player who is playing some really good tennis. I think Monfils is overrated because the odds are ridicolous but he's the right favorite. Jaziri looked out of form in the american tour and he will face a pusher. Simon looks the right favorite. I can't see Doi surprising Pliskova. The last time i saw Misaki Doi was in the Fed cup when she lost against Georgina Garcia Perez. Georgina has a similar style of playing than Pliskova with one difference: Pliskova does all 10 times better than Georgina. The 3 wins here of Misaki don't impress me because all of them have been against low level players. In her previous tournament she lost against Vekic 6-0, 6-3 in Acapulco. Vondrousova looks the right favorite to me also and later i will post a bet for her explaining the reasons why (that was a bet that i had on my mind since this morning).