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darko08

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darko08 last won the day on January 27

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  1. My last bet for the next 2 days (and maybe of the tournament). Babos/Mladenovic (-1,5 Sets) to beat Gauff/Mcnally at 1.83 with bet365 After going with Gauff/Mcnally in their last two rounds I’m going to bet against them in this one. Babos/Mladenovic won the title here in 2018 and they also reached the Final in 2019 (losing it against Zhang/Stosur). They have won all their matches in straight sets (Olaru/Jakupovic, Gorges/Barty and Kuzmova/Sasnovich). Gauff/Mcnally almost lost today against Aoyama/Shibahara (they were 1 set down and 1 break down in the second set but they finally won the match). Even with Aoyama playing a bad match (she was losing a lot of points from the baseline and her serve was so weak) the young pair had a hard match so I can’t imagine them winning against one of the best pairs of the world.
  2. Sofia Kenin (-3,5 Games) to beat Ons Jabeur at 1.81 with 888 After so many matches won by Jabeur as the underdog I think Kenin will be too much for her. She has won against so many big names (Konta, Garcia, Wozniacki and Qiang Wang) but none of them came here in good form. Kenin had 2 easy first rounds but her 2 last matches were against dangerous players. Shuai Zhang was playing really well (Final in Hobart and 2 wins here against Stephens and Mcnally) but Kenin won against her in 2 tight sets (7-5, 7-6). After that match she destroyed Gauff (6-7, 6-3, 6-0). This will be a very nice match to watch. Both players had a lot of variety but I see Kenin more solid from the baseline and Jabeur is more likely to fall in a spiral of errors against players like Kenin. Garbiñe Muguruza to win the AO at 7.00 with bet365 Muguruza has already won against Kiki Bertens in straight sets. In QF she will play against the winner of the Kerber-Pavlyuchenkova match. Considering how Muguruza has been playing here she is the right favorite to win any of these 2 players (she’s playing better than any of them and she also dominates the h2h against them, especially against Pavlyuchenkova). In SF she will play against the winner of the Halep-Kontaveit match. Halep came here with a lot of doubts but after a scary first set in her first match here against Brady she has won all her matches without problems. Halep still has not played against a big hitters like Muguruza (well, Brady did trouble her in the first set) and the 3 times Halep and Muguruza have played in hard courts Muguruza have won all of them. If Kontaveit won against Halep it will be better for Muguruza because she prefers playing against hitters like her. I don’t know what to expect from Kontaveit. She has destroyed Bencic but she also had a hard match against Swiatek and dropped a set against the weak Sara Sorribes. Anyway, I think Halep will win against Kontaveit so… The Final will be against Barty, Kvitova, Kenin or Jabeur.
  3. @money44 I was just kidding 😄. 6-2, 6-1. There was no match Yep, that bet was so good, Thiem destroying Monfils
  4. So close...😂 I think I’m almost done for this AO. In the finals rounds is always hard to find value so let’s see if I post something more. I have some bets in my mind but I don’t want to make bets that I will regret later so let’s see… I also think Kyrgios can trouble Nadal (or take a set from him at least). He’s playing focused like I never seen on him and playing against Nadal always have been a big motivation for him. The first 3 opponents of Nadal here have been a joke (Dellien, Delbonis and Carreño) so he has not been tested yet (and we know he came here with some doubts after his disappointing ATP Cup…). The only concern I have is that I saw Kyrgios physically destroyed after his match against Khachanov… so let’s see. I have been thinking on Rublev-Zverev match. I still have in my mind the pathetic performance of Zverev in the ATP Cup. He was an absolute mess and I can’t change my opinion about him just because he has won against Cecchinato, Gerasimov and Verdasco… Rublev has been absolutely amazing in his previous tournaments. He never has won against Zverev (or even taken a set from him) but he still looks the favorite one to me… Raonic-Djokovic. I did not expect too much about Raonic due to his previous physical issues but he has been impressive the whole tournament. Anyway, I expect no surprises in this one… Djokovic said that its easier for him to read Raonic’ serve than the serves of the other big servers (Isner and Karlo). He has lost against Karlo and Isner but he has a prefect h2h against Raonic (9-0). Wawrinka-Medvedev. Wawrinka suffered a lot against Seppi. He was ill but he finally won that match in 5 sets. Luckily for him he only played 1 set against an injured Isner so if he’s fully recovered I wouldn’t be surprised if he troubles Medvedev more than the odds suggest. I know Medvedev is in better form than Wawrinka but what he has demonstrated in this AO? Nothing yet… Mugu-Bertens. Muguruza came here with a lot of doubts but she’s playing better in every round. I think she’s the favorite one but 1.60 is now too low to put my confidence on her against someone like Bertens. Kerber-Pavlyuchenkova. This is a flip coin to me. Kerber was a mess before coming here and I did not expect anything about her. Pavlyuchenkova came here so much better than Kerber. No wins in Brisbane and Adelaide but she took a set from Kvitova and Barty… and won in straight sets against Kontaveit (not bad at all…). She has not dropped any set in her 3 matches here (Stojanovic, Townsend and Pliskova). I can’t tell nothing about her match against Towsend (looks like she had a hard match there...) but I saw her against Pliskova she did not impress me at all. The match was decided in 2 close TB and Pliskova playing one of the worse matches I ever seen on her…
  5. Fucsovics to beat Federer at 6.00 with bet365 (Federer is winning the 1st set 2 Games to 1).
  6. Brady/Dolehide (-1,5 Sets) to beat Arruabarrena/Jabeur at 2.10 with bet365 Brady (49) and Dolehide (55) are good friends and they have played some tournaments together. In the first round they won in straight sets against a very good pair Melichar(20)/Yifan(7). In the second round they won in a 3 set match against Sorribes(44)/García(85). Brady played the SF the last year here (w Riske) losing against Babos/Mladenovic and the QF in 2018 (w Vania King). Jabeur and Arruabarrena is the first time they play together. In the first round they won in a 3 set match against Stosur(12)/Perez(56). In the second round they won in straight sets against Voracova(63)/Pera(279). Jabeur is not implicated on doubles (W/L record career: 7/12, R: 180) and she will be focused on her singles match against Kenin. Arruaberrana is a good doubles player (50) but with Jabeur playing the quarterfinals against Kenin I expect the American pair to win this.
  7. Gauff/Mcnally to beat Shibahara/Aoyama at 1.64 with Marathonbet I repeat with Gauff/Mcnally. The first time these Japanese players played together was 6 months before in San Jose where they reached the Final and lost it against Melichar/Peschke in straight sets. After that they have played 7 more tournaments together with some good results (they won the Kremlin Cup and the Tianjin Open and reached the Semifinals in the China Open where they beat Mladenovic/Babos in straight sets). In this 2020 they lost in Brisbane in the first round against Melichar/Yifan (6-2, 6-4) and in the second round in Adelaide against Kenin/Mattek-Sands (7-6, 7-6). Here in the AO the have win against Van Uytvanck/Minnen (7-5, 7-6) in the first round and passed directly in the third round (WO). I’m not going to talk again of Gauff/Mcnally. Just say they have win in in straight sets against Peschke/Schuurs (6-3, 6-4). Milos Raonic to beat Marin Cilic at 1.57 with 888 Raonic has win his 3 matches here without dropping a single set. Tsitsipas was outclassed by Raonic. The Canadian had 6 BP (converting 2 of them) and conceded 0. Cilic has been my nightmare in this AO. The only 2 matches he has played well were the ones I did bet against him. Anyway, he almost lost against Paire and played another 5 set match against Bautista. Raonic serve hasn’t been broke in 3 matches so I don’t expect Cilic to have so many BP. Roger Federer vs Marton Fucsovics Over 34.5 Games at 1.82 with 888 Fucsovics is playing really well and I think he will trouble Federer more than the odds suggest. Ons Jabeur to beat Qiang Wang at 2.75 with bet365 Jabeur has given to me some money in this AO. I took her against Konta and Garcia but I had no balls to repeat with her against Woz… Bad deal. Now she plays against the player who has caused the bigger upset of this tournament. Just 3 weeks ago Jabeur was destroyed by Wang (6-3, 6-0) in Shenzhen. Despite that loss I think Jabeur is heavily underrated. She’s not as consistent as Wang but she’s more talented and has more variety than her. After that match in Shenzhen she did very well in Hobart winning 3 matches and losing finally against Muguruza in a 3 set match (including a close TB in the final one). She has win here against Konta, Garcia and Wozniacki so to me all the value is on Jabeur.
  8. If the match goes as I think the smarter decision is take the better priced player
  9. Whats wrong with this guy’s stomach? In the last US Open he had the same problem. The problem of Isner is that his inefficiency in the return is getting worse and worse and Wawrkina always suffers to break big servers so looks like this will be decided in the TB's.
  10. Good for Bencic, won her first game and avoid the 🚲 against Anett
  11. Is the serve what is saving her. She's playing against a player that has win only 1 set in 7 matches against her. Pavlyuchenkova is playing a bad match and she's even winning the match. Pliskova won the title in Brisbane beating Tomjlanovic, Riske, Osaka and Keys. She destroyed Mladenovic and Siegemund in her first two rounds... and now is playing with most passive attitude i have ever seen in her. There's something wrong with her, believe me (even if she finally wins the match, i dont care).
  12. @Jves I know Pliskova's game... But i have never seen her playing that passive. Im sure theres something wrong with her. Let's see what she says after that match
  13. Anybody's watching Pliskova? She's not running at all and she has a strange face, looks like she's ill or injuried?
  14. Gauff/Mcnally to beat Peschke/Schuurs at 1.88 with 888 I barely bet on doubles but I like the odds for this one. Gauff and Mcnally are good friends and very good doubles players. They always play together and despite their age they won in Washington (without dropping a single set) and Luxembourg. Peschke and Schuurs are playing together for the first time for this Australian season. They lost against Jurak/Rosolska (6-4, 6-3) in the first round in Brisbane and they retired in Adelaide in the second round after winning against Halep/Olaru (7-6, 4-6, 10-3). Gauff/Mcnally won against Arruaberrena/Voracova (6-1, 7-6) and Moore/Rodionova (6-3, 6-2) in Auckland. Schuurs is the most dangerous player but Peschke's age (44) and the fact they have never played together before are the reasons I think there is value on the young pair.