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bobix last won the day on July 4 2019

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About bobix

  • Birthday 07/07/1986

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  1. That was a stellar pick, thanks a lot! For some reason I was not looking at these game hc lines, but at this odds it was pure value. Even after the second set Norrie grinded and fought hard to make our bets green. Now I am wondering where the Nadal - Fognini odds will be. I mostly avoid backing or laying the Italian, but against Nadal he always finds perfect motivation and we already seen in the past that he is able to cause Rafa plenty of problems.
  2. Sousa is also carrying an obvious injury, let's see if he was able to recover (also thanks to Schwartzman's withdrawal).
  3. 10/10... 0/4 sets xD next time try to be less arrogant, maybe you'll catch one.
  4. Agreed. Also worth mentioning that Cecchinato has a title to defend in Buenos Aires next week, he might/should "take a break" after last week CH tournament. Odds were almost even, 1.83 on both when opening the markets, but obviously it dropped quickly. Not sure if anybody interested, there is a very useful telegram service (a paid one of course) I know about, it sends you a notification instantly after a new event has been added on Bet365 (we know very well, they are the odds reference for many bookies). It can be customized to notify you only about tennis matches. I don't want to spoiler, because I don't want to be banned from the forum drop me a PM if interested, I will give you the contact.
  5. Fully agreed, but I personally will look for a "safer" option here, backing Djokovic to win over 18.5 games. Bet365 has this option at 1.66, but my local bookie offers a juicy 1.75 so I will take it. Even if Djoker closes this match in straight sets, I expect at least one of them to reach 10+ games. GL ?
  6. IMHO Kwon is one of the most overrated players right now and you can well make advantage from that. It was a joke to give him odds under 1.10 yesterday. Dellien might be a sole claycourt player, barely playing on HC, but he has a good mentality and is fighting for every point. Backing him to win a set at evens was a real gift.
  7. I am not quite sure about Escobedo, who is nothing more than a challenger level player, albeit with some decent results recently. OK, Chung is coming back from a serious injury, but he already appeared at some challenger tournaments and crushed all his opponents in the qualies, apparently ready to compete at the highest level again. Quality-wise there is no question for me who is the better player, and I think the odds are correctly allocated. Therefore I personally don't see any value in backing any of the players.
  8. Yeah, I have to agree, and probably this is what I am going to do. I also feel some sort of danger in Delbonis, mainly because of his experience, let's see how it goes.
  9. Guys, what do you think about the today Popyrin - Delbonis match? I have a 7-fold fun bet alive from yesterday: Booksby to win a set, Dellien to win a set, Djokovic to win 3-0, Pouille to win, Benchetrit to win a set, Pella to win a set, and... Popyrin to win. Total odds is 13.23, so I am considering countering the Australian, albeit I still trust and consider him the right favorite against Delbonis. He is already starting to be a regular at ATP appointments and his progression is being very positive. Apart from being his favorite surface, this will be his sixth consecutive HC tournament, so the adaptation should be maximum. During the AO and Wimbledon he already showed that is not afraid against the already established names in the circuit.
  10. Completely agreed, I also really like Bianca at this odds. Of course, it remains to be seen how she will progress during a 2-week tournament, how she will cope with the conditions, but currently I definitely rate her in the top 4 to raise the trophy. Not really much else for me on the women's side regarding the outrights. I think Lucas Pouille can have a decent chance to win the 2nd quarter and at odds 21.00 I have no choice but to back him We saw him being able to raise his level of play on the big occasions, so why not?! I feel FedEx more than vulnerable and even the rest of the players are all but thrustworthy in a grand slam. Guido Pella in the same quarter is also very tempting at 67.00. The 3rd quarter is also very interesting. Thiem no way, he barely played HC matches recently and was affected by a virus in Cincinnati, he even admitted that he does not expect miracles in this event, and that he does not even consider himself being able to reach the quarterfinals. I see no value in the bookies favorite Tsitsipas, but Bautista-Agut @7.00 could well do it. The Spaniard has the chance to finish in the ATP top 8, so he could qualify for London, this should be another good motivation for him to play a good tournament. I would also give a slight chance to Shapovalov and Rublev. 4th quarter winner: Nadal for me, without a doubt. Even at 1.66 I think it is clear value, there is literally nobody who can possibly bother him over there.
  11. Hey folks, am I the only one who think Pella can win against the odds today? OK, Goffin has the H2H advantage, but the gaucho aleady show that he can cause him plenty of problems on hard (just remember that US Open match two years ago). The lose to Nishioka in Washington could indicate that Goffin is not in the best shape, and I doubt he went there just to collect the check.
  12. Ok, I have to admit that Retardishvili was a bad pick, him being simply awful. Kyrgios was not up to the task with too many sloppy errors at crucial points and shame on Parmentier for not being able to close the first set from 5-2, could have ended differently. The only one who delivered was Davis, still more than nothing ? For tomorrow I really like Azarenka and Fabbiano with Halep might be slightly injured, and Verdasco as well. The Spaniard is lucky to be here in the 3rd round, but he also had problems with his back and was forced to withdraw from the doubles later. I would definitely play Fabbiano with a bookie who settles tennis bets after 1st ball or 1st set played just in case Verdasco retires. Regarding the rest, I think both Bautista and Goffin have a slight edge, and Opelka might surpise as well because Raonic is far from being 100%. From the women menu Zhang and Golubic might worth a shot, and Collins can take at least a set against the apparently shaky Martic.
  13. Today's potential upset alerts Kyrgios (vs Nadal): match of the day, without a doubt. Here all will depend on how this incredibly talented controversial a**hole will approach the match. If he can keep his calm and focus, if he does not get carried away, with his huge serve and style of play should be better on this surface. Against top class opponents Nick always raises his level, and - especially against Nadal - has his own reasons to perform well. I could highlight the H2H stats and the fact he already beat Nadal here a few years ago, but with Nick you never know... Basilashvili (vs Evans): the current form is definitely on the Brit's side, but come on, there is no way Basilashvili is such an underdog, Evans is not that good. Yepp, the Georgian survived a 5 set thriller against Ward (where I backed Ward to win sets...), but that could well give him the necessary belief and mental power to continue his adventure here. Davis (vs Kerber): here I would take a +5.5 game handicap, for some inexplicable reason I think it won't be an easy match for Kerber. Parmentier (vs Suarez Navarro): Pauline to win at least a set at evens is not a bad option I think, she could well win the match as well. I am not so convinced with Carla despite her straight sets win in the first round against Stosur. And you can call me crazy, but Rublev might also have his chance against Querrey, at least for a set...
  14. Thank you, sir! Another great call! ? ? ?
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