opole

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opole last won the day on November 11

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About opole

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  1. Challenger Pune Qualification N.Sriram Balaji vs. Benjamin Hassan Balaji is a very decent player and on my radar for a couple of years at those home tournaments in India. Had a couple of decent results there over the year. Last year he reached the second round in Pune. Today he beat Luke Saville in a tight three setter. Hassan is solid but i doubt he is the favorite here. N.Sriram Balaji @ 2.75 William Hill 4/10
  2. So two of the three bets this night already cashed. Really good start to the weekend after losing the last two bets here on Hughie Fury and the british guy. Teah won via UD vs. Sims Jr. And Hooker recovered from a knockdown in the second round to take out Saucedo in the seventh. Very very good fight and very good performance by Hooker who was jabbing Saucedos head off. Arriaza lost via KO but it was a stange one. Arriaza took a knee and getting hit while taking a knee, normally this is a clear Disqualification but as i said Kavaliauskas had the whole event behind him.
  3. Some action this weekend. Let's hope for some plus in the end, many underdogs this time. Fights will be in the next two days. I won't give long analysis as i doubt many of you know these guys. Roberto Arriaza to win by KO/TKO/DQ @ 13 William Hill 1/10 I doubt Arriaza has a chance to win on the cards as it's a Top Rank event and his opponent Kavaliauskas is a big draw at Welterweight for Top Rank so i can't see the Nicaraguan getting a fair decision here even if he can make the fight close. Arriaza has the power to knock Kavaliauskas out, i think he is pretty heavy-handed and a dangerous opponent here. Maurice Hooker @ 2.55 Pinnacle 3/10 If Hooker can deal with the pressure and heat Saucedo will bring to the fight i am pretty sure he should beat him as Hooker is the better boxer, should have a reach advantage and knows how to move out and let his jab go. He did well vs. Flanagan in the UK and deserved the title there, today he has to defend it and it might be a coin toss on the paper, can't see Saucedo being a clear favorite here. Samuel Teah @ 2.90 5dimes 3/10 I do not rate Kenneth Sims Jr. at all, i doubt he is much better than Montana Love although both met and a draw was the result i think Love deserved the win and Teah also had a very close fight with Love. This looks like an even matchup and Teah is fighting at home in Philly so why not picking him? Bogdan Dinu @ 12 5dimes 3/10 I wasn't impressed by Millers win over Adamek recently. Adamek is old, slow and shot to pieces + he is a small Heavyweight. Can't say it was a good win for Miller to be honest picking such an opponent after 20 fights. Watched the weigh in and Miller came in heavy as usual at 315 lb and i think this might be a point here as Dinu brings size, speed and power into the ring. Although Dinu only fought some bums over the years he still passes the eye test and looks pretty good. This might(!) be the hardest test for Miller so far and he already had some minor problems with Duhaupas and Wach two slow old robotics with good chin. If Dinu has a good chin (we don't know) and moves he can win this for sure. I mean it is a good sign that he came in light and with the lowest weight since 2011 i think. I already backed worse underdogs at lower prizes and i can smell some kind of an upset here.
  4. Challenger Pune qualification Abhinav Sanjeev Shanmugam vs. Rio Noguchi I wrote some words about Shanmugam couple of days ago, he is quite talented and has a dangerous game with a huge serve and aggressie ground game. Like his style. Noguchi on the other side is quite the opposite, more a defensive counterpuncher with low power and weak serve, his weapon is consistency and angles. This could be enough but i trust Shanmugam as this is some kind of a home tournament in India and i expect a good performance. Abhinav Sanjeev Shanmugam @ 2.90 Tipbet 3/10
  5. A short resume of the night / morning: Sekiguchi lost clearly vs. Samper-Montana. This was a huge blow, i think it's time to lay Sekiguchi in the future vs clear underdogs if there is a chance. This was clearly a sign he is declining. The second set was more than awful. Hiltzik won as expected, was more clutch and very pumped in the important scens of the match. Ehara was only a small bet as i had some minor doubts about the power he can bring on fast courts and it was like that, he lost to the more powerful player with better serve and groundstrokes. Still a small plus for the three bets. Won't make a mistake again like Sekiguchi and Ehara. Total bets: 32 Won: 18 Void: 0 Lost: 14 Staked: 97 Units Back: 213.14 Units Balance: +116.14 Units Yield: 120%
  6. Challenger Houston Marcos Giron vs. Ivo Karlovic => Marcos Giron @ 2.65 Pinnacle stake: 3/10 I am quite surprised about the fact Karlovic is playing in Houston on outdoor hardcourt at cold and cloudy temperatures instead of playing the indoor challenger in Champaign this week. Furthermore the conditions are tough in Houston especially for players who are relying on their serve as the wind will blow strong about ~ 30 km/h. This could be a problem for Karlovic with his serve and slice tactics, i do not see him being in comfortable conditions like he was in Monterrey a couple of weeks ago. Giron is a good and solid player, some of you will say he is too averagish without weapons and so on but i like him and i am following his career for years now since he finished his college career at UCLA. He is a good baseline player creating angles and using variety, i think he might not have the biggest weapon but he has consistency and he knows how to let the opponent run and i think this could be a factor today. Both met two weeks ago in Charlottesville on indoor hard and Karlovic won 7-6 6-3 with only one break in the whole match i think today we will see a different outcome as the conditions will favor Giron a bit more and i think Karlovic is vulnerable today.
  7. Challenger Kobe Tung-Lin Wu vs. Hiroyasu Ehara => Hiroyasu Ehara @ 3.90 Pinnacle stake: 1/10 Ehara already beat Wu this year on japanese soil at Yokohama Challenger. The other meeting was also relatively close. I expect another tight affair here although Wu looks like a solid prospect Ehara could be a bad matchup here as he knows how to play from the baseline and Wu is a bit off from time to time making a lot of errors. I can see some value here.
  8. Ah it's give one take on. Redlicki lost twoooo razor close tiebreakers couple of days ago, today the luck was on our side! good finish of the week.
  9. I placed my bets on Mayo at Bet-at-home, Big Bet World and goldenpalace and was able to place all i wanted. I only posted SBO here as it's a more common book.
  10. Challenger Champaign Jeffrey John Wolf vs. Jared Hiltzik => Jared Hiltzik @ 2.51 Sbobet stake: 4/10 Always liked to bet on Jared Hiltzik in Illinois, especially Champaign. Made some good profit in the past as Jared is a University of Illinois Alum and was born in Wilmette so this is more than a home tournament for him, some kind of a special thing. He had some really good results in the past in Champaign for example beating names like Krueger, Bhambri and having tight matches with Kudla, McDonald or Laaksonen. Wolf is a decent prospect, i think he might can break through next year but he is just turning pro and despite having some good results i think Hiltzik has a pretty good chance to reach the second round in Champaign for the third time in a row.
  11. Yeah i do, always open eyes, day in day out. But obviously low stake bets ....no asian bookmakers available usually
  12. Challenger Kobe Jordi Samper-Montana vs. Shuichi Sekiguchi => Shuichi Sekiguchi @ 1.862 Pinnacle stake: 4/10 Samper-Montana is 28 years old and has a 0-3 record on indoor courts losing to players like Diez or Ilhan both not famous for their strong indoor records. This guy has no business on being a fav vs a local home player like Sekiguchi who has a solid record at those japanese indoor tournaments on indoor hard or even carpet. Odds already dropped a bit but still good enough to take!! Confidence is much higher here than my stake, probably 7 or 8 out of 10.
  13. Challenger Champaign qualification Sem Verbeek vs. Keenan Mayo => Keenan Mayo @ 3.77 Sbobet stake: 4/10 Mayo is a very solid prospect, he had a very good junior career, beating top prospects like Brandon Nakashima or Nicolas Mejia in 2018 there, both regular Top 5 junior players. He competed on a high level there and is training at the USTA Training Center West at the StubHub Center in Carson so he has a good support. We can expect some things from him in the future i guess but first Mayo will play for Illinois at College so he decided to go the college way of a tennis player, they gave him a Wild Card for the qualies here: https://fightingillini.com/roster.aspx?rp_id=8450&path= ; Yesterday he beat Maxime Mora in three sets but looked very good, served well and played well although it was a close match for two sets.Verbeek is a solid opponent, ballbasher style, good serve and left-handed, also a (former) college player but the Dutch is a bit limited, could be enough on a fast indoor court but i think it will be a tight match where Mayo will have his chances.
  14. Anthony Crolla vs. Daud Yordan => Daud Yordan wins by KO/TKO/DQ @ 6 William Hill stake: 2/10 This is gonna be a brutal war, both are warriors who will trade and exchange, Yordan is heavy handed and knocked out Malikov in Russia recently, a very strong performance. Crolla is declining imo, he took some heavy beatings from Linares. I think Yordan has a pretty good chance to stop Crolla here, it's not really realistic that he wins by decision so i took the KO/TKO/DQ bet with better odds.
  15. No man, these guys are doing a great job here, all of us, i had a good streak but tennis is tough sports to bet on, everything can change quickly...lets hope our streak will continue and we'll make good profit out of the last two weeks of the season!!