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Showing content with the highest reputation on 06/24/2022 in all areas

  1. I'm told that PURENESS goes well in the 5.15 Newmarket tonight for George Boughey. She's 'blueing up' but still some 5/1 around with those lucky enough to be able to bet with bet365!
    10 points
  2. Cartmel's opener this afternoon sees Grageelagh Girl look to right the wrong of the last hunter chase of the season. I'm sure you all remember the weight cloth coming off after the last fence and thus she had to be disqualified. She would have won anyway and I did say in the race review that it wouldn't surprise me if her trainer decided to take advantage of the handicap mark. I also mentioned I didn't think the handicapper could touch the mark given the mark of the 2nd and that is exactly what has happened. She goes back over hurdles tomorrow and she has good hurdles form. She last ran over them at Bangor in 2020 and finished a close 3rd off 108 so even on that run the mark of 102 in a lower grade makes her look well handicapped. She's clearly in very good form at the moment and I think the drop in trip will help as I was worried she wouldn't stay in the final hunter chase of the season. She was entered at Newton Abbot earlier in the week, but I suspect Fergal has chosen this race as his daughter can take the ride against fellow amateur riders again. She's been entered over fences next week so a quick follow up wouldn't be a shock either. This is a very weak contest and I can only really make a case for the two horses who won the 2 divisions of a handicap hurdle over course and distance last month. Dan Gun has only gone up 3lbs but he wasn't quite as impressive as On We Go who has been in great form for her new yard. She's gone up 9lbs, but I still think there could be more to come and she is the biggest danger for me. I will probably end up having a saver on her given I think she might drift as I suspect Grageelagh Girl will be well backed. Sometimes you see something surprising in a race like this, but I'd be a bit surprised if that happened here given the strong claims of those two. Grageelagh Girl @ 7/2 with Bet365 In the 2nd race I am also going to have a small e/w bet on Watch Law. Now the Irish horses at the head of the market might just be too good for him, but I have watched his last point run and I think he has a fair bit of ability. He jumped pretty terribly for most of the race and was still only just beaten. He clearly has an engine as they pulled a long way clear of the others. Hopefully he can jump hurdles better because if he does I think he might be capable of out running his odds at the very least. Watch Law ew @ 20/1 with Bet365 In the 3.40 I think Post No Bills is worth backing e/w. His pointing form suggests that his handicap mark is one he could well win off and he makes his chasing debut in a pretty poor race this afternoon. He put his best run yet over hurdles last time at Fakenham and I think he can improve again for going over fences. Bookies are going 4 places and I would be a bit surprised if he didn't finish in the first 4 at least. Darius Des Sources is a danger as a wind op seems to have helped him based on his last two efforts and the Perth 3rd last time was his best run in ages. The main danger though is the favourite Mah Mate Bob who ran really well here last time when 2nd in a race he won last season. He's still 11lbs below that winning mark and down into Class 5 company he surely will go close again. Post No Bills ew @ 13/2 with Bet365
    6 points
  3. Newcastle 1.50 A dozen sprinters contest the opening race of ITV’s eight races today in a 6F class 2 handicap. The race has an open feel about it with Richard Fahey’s Strike Red the one that appeals. He rides the North Eastern track well winning two of his three races here and comes here on the back of a good 4th (beaten under a length)in a decent class 2 handicap at Hamilton. Only 4lb higher than his course and distance victory last September he looks the one to be with here. Michael Scudamore’s Rolfe Rembrandt and bottom weight Be Proud look dangers but Strike Red will do for me ridden today by the more than capable Oisin Orr. STRIKE RED 1 1/2 points each way @ 4/1 William Hill 1/5th 1234 Newmarket 2.05 Eleven two year old fillies have declared for the listed Maureen Brittain Memorial Empress Fillies Stakes run over 6F of the July course. George Boughey’s Believing is an interesting runner who ran runner up to the smart Mawj here on the Rowley course on her debut and landed the odds when slowly away at Wolverhampton 9 days later. She again had issues with the stalls at Royal Ascot when playing up for the Albany eventually been withdrawn. She’s smart but can we trust her at the gate? For that reason I’m with the Richard Hannnon trained Minnetonka who spread eagled her field on her racecourse debut at Salisbury a fortnight ago looking to all and sundry like a pattern performer and she’s worth a thick bet today. Ralph Beckett’s Lezoo impressed on her debut but that was at Bath, hardly a hotbed for juvenile talent whilst George Boughey’s other runner Malrescia is chasing a hat trick following wins at Hamilton and Lingfield. Minnetonka made a big impression on me at Salisbury and looks the one to be with today with Jim Crowley taking over from Pat Dobbs who’s got a full book of rides at Windsor this afternoon. MINNETONKA 3 points win @ 11/4 Coral/Ladbrokes Newcastle 2.25 A dozen sprinters assemble for the group 3 Chipchase Stakes. Glen Shiel has some fair track form (3 wins from 5 starts here) although hasn’t actually raced here since August 2020. He’s the best in at todays weights and looks likely to run a big race under usual pilot Hollie Doyle. Karl Burke’s Spycatcher is another for the shortlist dropping back to 6F and he has some good sprint form with first time cheek pieces employed today. The one I fancy though is one of the three three year olds in the field in the William Haggas trained Sense Of Duty. She was backed off the boards when winning a listed contest at Haydock last time, a race that has worked out particularly well with the runner up Flotus going on to place in the group one Commonwealth Cup and the third Benefit winning since. She has to step up again to win this group 3 contest but looks highly progressive and on her first all weather start is the one to beat. SENSE OF DUTY 2 points win @ 2/1 William Hill Newmarket 2.40 A disappointing turnout of just five and a weak race in prospect for the listed Fred Archer Stakes. Charlie Appleby sets a poser by running both Kemari, who flopped last time out at York and Rebels Romance who’s yet to run on the turf. The latter is the pick of William Buick so presumably the more fancied but I’m happy to take the pair on. I’m not a fan of Stowell for whom it appears Frankie Dettori has been jocked off by the Gosden’s and outsider Something Enticing has 15lb to find with top rated Rebels Romance. A matter of elimination leaves me with the 2020 winner Universal Order trained by David Simcock and he’s the tentative selection with Callum Shepherd in the saddle. UNIVERSAL ORDER 1 point win @ 4/1 BetVictor Newcastle 2.55 Run over just over two miles this is the Northumberland Plate Consolation handicap for horses that didn’t make it into the big one. Top weight Evaluation missed the big gig by one and tops the weight today looking the one they all have to beat. Let go by Sir Michael Stoute for just 30,000 guineas this ex Queen owned four year old has been a revelation since joining the Lanarkshire stable of Keith Dagleish winning four staying handicaps on the turf rising 22lb in the process. This son of Ascot Gold Cup winner Estimate ticks a lot of the boxes for this contest and he’s the one I want to be with. Hugo Palmer’s Zoffee is an interesting runner winning at Carlisle last time and should relish the step up two furlongs here and as a 132 rated hurdler could still be well treated off of 84 on the flat. Andrew Balding saddles a brace of runners who on their best form hold claims in Auriferous and Mellow Magic but it’s Evaluation for me with Callum Rodriquez, who’s ridden him on three of his four victories this season in the saddle. EVALUATION 2 points each way @ 13/2 William Hill 1/5th 12345 Newmarket 3.15 Next up at HQ is the group 3 7F Criterion Stakes where seven useful horses will be making their way to post. The key race here is the John Of Gaunt Stakes at Haydock from four weeks ago. Winner Pogo had Laneqash a nose back in second and Sunray Major a further half a length back in fourth. Pogo has to carry a 3lb penalty today which puts him at a disadvantage with his two rivals who both have claims today as Laneqash was having his first run for 246 days and Sunray Major met trouble in running. Both have decent chances but I’m more interested in the two three year olds here. Tom Clover’s Bass Player was 2 1/4L behind Hugo Palmers Ever Given last time out in listed company at Epsom and may struggle to turn the form around. The form has been boosted by the win of the runner up Oscula in listed company at Carlisle earlier this week and although this represents a step up in grade Ever Given is only officially 4lb off of the top rated Laneqash here and is very much an improver. Skybet and Betfred are paying a third place here despite only seven runners so if you can get on with either of those firms let’s go each way. EVER GIVEN 1 point each way @ 8/1 Betfred 1/5 123 Newcastle 3.30 The day’s big handicap is the Jenningsbet Northumberland Plate Handicap or as known by many as the Pitman’s Derby. A race I’ve always enjoyed over the years maybe not as much nowadays mind that it’s run on the all weather. Twenty have declared and as you would expect there’s an open feel about the race. Rajinsky would be on my short list with his recent Chester Cup form working out so well but stall 16 will make things difficult for him although horses have won from out there over the past including last years winner Nicholas T from stall 17. Alan King’s top stayer Trueshan heads the weights but this is a prep run for the Goodwood Cup and was beaten in this last year off of 113 (if taking his 5lb claimer’s allowance into account) and has to race off of a 7lb higher mark here and is overlooked. Andrew Balding saddles his progressive stayer Valley Forge who is another drawn out wide and has no experience of the all weather. If you like him then surely you must give a chance to the Mark and Charlie Johnstone trained Golden Flame who was beaten a head by him at Haydock in May and is now 2lb better off with his subsequent defeat put down to not staying 2m 4F at Royal Ascot. At four times the price he has to be part of the staking plan. Island Brave has had excuses for recent defeats and was third in this last year off of a 2lb higher mark so is another outsider who can outrun his odds. Sir Mark Prescott is still not really firing on all cylinders but saddles Summer’s Knight here who was highly progressive last season and has claims from a nice draw in stall 5. A tough handicap and I’ll play a couple small each way in Summers Knight and Golden Flame with the additional place terms. SUMMERS KNIGHT 1 point each way @ 18/1 William Hill 1/5th 12345 GOLDEN FLAME 1 point each way @ 25/1 BetVictor 1/5th 12345 Curragh 3.45 Aidan O’Brien has thrown a spanner into the works here by taking out all of his colts (he had 10 entered up until the 4 day declaration stage) and supplemented at a cost of 75k his Epsom Oaks winner Tuesday. A multiple winner of this race O’Brien knows what it takes to win and I’ll take her to thwart the colts. The only negative is if the ground was to turn soft as there is a band of rain threatening the track over the weekend (although the clerk of the course seems to feel it’s likely to hit Saturday evening). The big threat to Tuesday is obviously the unlucky in running Derby third Westover who will now be ridden by Colin Keane rather than Rob Hornby who had a torrid run at Epsom when getting stopped in his run from a poor draw. Unless the ground changed dramatically I feel these two will battle the finish out with preference for the fairer sex. TUESDAY 3 points win @ 11/8 bet365
    5 points
  4. Afternoon cards giving options but not major bets, haven't finished evening cards yet. 1.55 Cart - Bagan - 9/2 each way - looks an interesting runner for Seamus Mullins who is in red hot form (5 wins, 1 place, from last 7 runners). He sends this one runner on a 500 mile plus round trip. It is an amateur jockeys race which I very rarely get involved with. At the price it might be best to play each way (very small loss if placed). Later on the card I have backed 4.47 Cart - Calliope - 9/2 each way (best now available - was much bigger). It is 17lbs lower than it's winning mark, trainer Dianne Sayer has a good record at the course (20% strike rate) and is in decent form ( 2 wins from last 7 runners). There are dangers in the race with Golden Town, and kayfast Warrior, so I have backed each way.
    3 points
  5. Went with Demi Sang at Cartmel 1647. Took ew at 10/1 last night, but think it's came in.
    3 points
  6. Fader

    Dutch Darts Masters

    .. so the draw is out and here it is : Smith Vs Kleermaker Wright Vs DVD Wade Vs De Zwaan Sherrock Vs Kuivenhoven -------------------------------- Van Den Bergh Vs Meulenkamp Clayton Vs Wattimena MVG Vs Noppert Price Vs Van Der Voort so Smith looks in a real strong position. Beating Kleermaker, Wright and Wade to make a final is let's face it, well within his capabilities. I don't like 4/1 shots though and I don't think Smith at 4/1 is value even in this situation. Wright can beat anybody on his day ofcourse. I would say Kuivenhoven plays Wade for a place in the semi-finals against Smith. DVD has been putting in some big performances recently but didn't really do himself justice at the World Cup and that puts me off a tad. Perhaps he was trying to live up to MVG standard. Bottom half looks like Van Den Bergh/Clayton taking on Price/? MVG comes back from surgery. He can't have had much practice and I think Noppert is great value this weekend. He was 25/1 last week but is now 20/1 and if he beats MVG then that's going to soon go down to perhaps 8 or 10/1. I'm taking Noppert in the bottom half and DVD in the top half. Small bet on Kuivenhoven outsider bet. 1.5pts e/w Noppert to win Dutch Masters 20/1 betfred 1pt e/w DVD to win Dutch Masters 16/1 paddypower ----------------------------------------------------------- 0.5pts e/w Kuivenhoven to win Dutch Masters 100/1 paddypower
    3 points
  7. summers knight 1/5 pt ew 18/1 exrta places in places 7 PLACED EW pogo 3 15 new 1/4 pt win 8/1 WON graphite 3 30 new 1/5 pt ew 40/1 UNPLACED midrarr 1 15 new 1/4 pt win 12/1 2ND P/L + 129.25 pt
    2 points
  8. 4.47 Cart Golden Town 4/1 4.55 Nc Rocket Dancer 5/1 5.30 Nc Dual Identity 3/1 6.00 Nc Buniann 11/2 0.2 win dbles = 34.30 & Tebles = 120.2 = 2pts staked Singles bets 4.47 Cart A mere Bagatelle 0.5 ew 11/2 & Oakmount 0.5 ew at 17/2, 1 pt win on Golden Town at 6.0 4.55 Nc Just His 0.5 ew at 10/1 5.30 Nc Chief's will 0.5 ew at 9/1 and Fiorina 0.5 ew at 15/2 6.00 Nc Tanasoq 0.5 ew at 15/2 6.35 Nc Stone Of Destiny 7/1, Digital 11/1 and Count D'Orsay 10/1: all 0.5 ew. Total stakes = 12 points Good luck to all on a very busy competitive day
    2 points
  9. watch law 2.30 ew rapid flight 3.05
    2 points
  10. the steward 1.55 ew
    2 points
  11. CzechPunter

    Wimbledon 2022

    The draws are out! Men's https://www.wimbledon.com/en_GB/scores/draws/2022_MS_draw.pdf Women's https://www.wimbledon.com/en_GB/scores/draws/2022_LS_draw.pdf
    2 points
  12. 14:55 Nottingham: Qabilah
    2 points
  13. I would think there is some good each way value at Newcastle with up to 7 places offered.
    1 point
  14. Struggling to find any value,at all ...racing really needs to sort itself out or punters will migrate away .....bunched ratings...short prices ....I'll just try 1 race 7.00 donc Hiya maite 8.5 7/2 Pockley 8.2 10/1 Tricky race so I'll just try 4pt wins both and hope for a bit of luck
    1 point
  15. 06/25/2022 15:10 CHESTER Glory Fighter 06/25/2022 16:30 WINDSOR Lucander 06/25/2022 18:30 DONCASTER Iconique 06/25/2022 19:30 DONCASTER Pending Appeal 06/25/2022 20:30 DONCASTER Gabriella's Spirit
    1 point
  16. Bank falls to €439 so we refuel back to €1,000 for tomorrow and start a new cycle. Loss of €561 taken. Bank is €1,000; stake is €30.
    1 point
  17. English Raiders at The Curragh 1435 - Listed 1m 8 - The Acropolis R Moore / A P O'Brien 1505 - Railway Stakes (G2) 3 - Blackbeard R Moore / A P O'Brien 1545 - Irish Derby (G1) 5 - Lionel J Spencer / D Menuisier 8 - Tuesday R Moore / A P O'Brien 1620 - International Stakes (G3) 6 - Aikhal R Moore / A P O'Brien
    1 point
  18. LIKE2FISH

    Winnings Thread 2022

    A few Fri 23/6/22
    1 point
  19. 1935 NM - Ellade @ 28-1 Skybet (4p) 1953 CUR - Corballis Flyer @ 33-1 Bet365 (6p) 2028 CUR - Dalton Highway @22-1 Skybet (5p) £2 ew singles (£12) and £1 ew trixie* (£8) * Trixie with skybet - CB @ 28-1
    1 point
  20. I like STONE OF DESTINY e/w in the 6.35 NC backed it at 8/1 bog 4 places last night back on the AW off a very good mark hoping for a big run from this horse to night who has the blinkers on to sweeten up.
    1 point
  21. Is it just me or is everyone's browser keep crashing? I primarily use Fire Fox but Chrome keeps crashing too. All very annoying when one has a number of tabs open at the same time
    1 point
  22. Newmarket 7.35 EL BELLO 6/1 £10 EW SKY 4 places
    1 point
  23. @888888Too late to comment on Kvitova, but Draper is certainly the underdog there, depends on Cressy's serve, if it's spotless, he should win imo.
    1 point
  24. Hi @Dax and welcome to the forum! Good luck!
    1 point
  25. 8.20 Newcastle Amelia R 20/1 Bet365 EW
    1 point
  26. Any opinion on Cressy to beat Draper at 1,75? He won his last 3 matches as an underdog in straight sets, Draper also won his last 3 in straight sets but beating easier opponents. Haddad Maia is on a 13 game winning streak on grass so it's tempting but it also means she has played a lot of games and might be tired; however yesterday Tsurenko withdrew so yesterday she didn't play which could be a good luck sign for her today?
    1 point
  27. Donc 100 Hail Sezer 5/2 £20 win. skybet
    1 point
  28. Hi all, payments were sent last night, they will show as coming from TAG Media who are the managment team. Any problems let me know. I see the Prem League fixtures were released this week for beginning of August so we should be back for then. I'll probably break it up a bit differently due to the World Cup, my thinking at the moment is to do 3 x 10-week seasons rather than squeezing in more shorter ones, which allows a bit of leeway to take a slight break between. Enjoy the Summer break!
    1 point
  29. Alastair

    Naps - Friday 24th June

    Chester 3.40 Hebrides Bet365 5/4
    0 points
  30. Very disappointing ran a shocker!
    0 points
  31. Disappointing, Bagan looked to be going quite well when a jockey in front unseated, which in turn unseated Bagan's jockey... that's why I rarely bet in non pro jockey races. Calliope finished 3rd so each way small loss.
    0 points
  32. lost +£308 june +£1192 1st oct
    0 points
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