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The Brigadier

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Everything posted by The Brigadier

  1. Just the one winner but four places for a small loss of just under two points. Disappointed with Tuesday !
  2. I'm told that PURENESS goes well in the 5.15 Newmarket tonight for George Boughey. She's 'blueing up' but still some 5/1 around with those lucky enough to be able to bet with bet365!
  3. Newcastle 1.50 A dozen sprinters contest the opening race of ITV’s eight races today in a 6F class 2 handicap. The race has an open feel about it with Richard Fahey’s Strike Red the one that appeals. He rides the North Eastern track well winning two of his three races here and comes here on the back of a good 4th (beaten under a length)in a decent class 2 handicap at Hamilton. Only 4lb higher than his course and distance victory last September he looks the one to be with here. Michael Scudamore’s Rolfe Rembrandt and bottom weight Be Proud look dangers but Strike Red will do for me ridden today by the more than capable Oisin Orr. STRIKE RED 1 1/2 points each way @ 4/1 William Hill 1/5th 1234 Newmarket 2.05 Eleven two year old fillies have declared for the listed Maureen Brittain Memorial Empress Fillies Stakes run over 6F of the July course. George Boughey’s Believing is an interesting runner who ran runner up to the smart Mawj here on the Rowley course on her debut and landed the odds when slowly away at Wolverhampton 9 days later. She again had issues with the stalls at Royal Ascot when playing up for the Albany eventually been withdrawn. She’s smart but can we trust her at the gate? For that reason I’m with the Richard Hannnon trained Minnetonka who spread eagled her field on her racecourse debut at Salisbury a fortnight ago looking to all and sundry like a pattern performer and she’s worth a thick bet today. Ralph Beckett’s Lezoo impressed on her debut but that was at Bath, hardly a hotbed for juvenile talent whilst George Boughey’s other runner Malrescia is chasing a hat trick following wins at Hamilton and Lingfield. Minnetonka made a big impression on me at Salisbury and looks the one to be with today with Jim Crowley taking over from Pat Dobbs who’s got a full book of rides at Windsor this afternoon. MINNETONKA 3 points win @ 11/4 Coral/Ladbrokes Newcastle 2.25 A dozen sprinters assemble for the group 3 Chipchase Stakes. Glen Shiel has some fair track form (3 wins from 5 starts here) although hasn’t actually raced here since August 2020. He’s the best in at todays weights and looks likely to run a big race under usual pilot Hollie Doyle. Karl Burke’s Spycatcher is another for the shortlist dropping back to 6F and he has some good sprint form with first time cheek pieces employed today. The one I fancy though is one of the three three year olds in the field in the William Haggas trained Sense Of Duty. She was backed off the boards when winning a listed contest at Haydock last time, a race that has worked out particularly well with the runner up Flotus going on to place in the group one Commonwealth Cup and the third Benefit winning since. She has to step up again to win this group 3 contest but looks highly progressive and on her first all weather start is the one to beat. SENSE OF DUTY 2 points win @ 2/1 William Hill Newmarket 2.40 A disappointing turnout of just five and a weak race in prospect for the listed Fred Archer Stakes. Charlie Appleby sets a poser by running both Kemari, who flopped last time out at York and Rebels Romance who’s yet to run on the turf. The latter is the pick of William Buick so presumably the more fancied but I’m happy to take the pair on. I’m not a fan of Stowell for whom it appears Frankie Dettori has been jocked off by the Gosden’s and outsider Something Enticing has 15lb to find with top rated Rebels Romance. A matter of elimination leaves me with the 2020 winner Universal Order trained by David Simcock and he’s the tentative selection with Callum Shepherd in the saddle. UNIVERSAL ORDER 1 point win @ 4/1 BetVictor Newcastle 2.55 Run over just over two miles this is the Northumberland Plate Consolation handicap for horses that didn’t make it into the big one. Top weight Evaluation missed the big gig by one and tops the weight today looking the one they all have to beat. Let go by Sir Michael Stoute for just 30,000 guineas this ex Queen owned four year old has been a revelation since joining the Lanarkshire stable of Keith Dagleish winning four staying handicaps on the turf rising 22lb in the process. This son of Ascot Gold Cup winner Estimate ticks a lot of the boxes for this contest and he’s the one I want to be with. Hugo Palmer’s Zoffee is an interesting runner winning at Carlisle last time and should relish the step up two furlongs here and as a 132 rated hurdler could still be well treated off of 84 on the flat. Andrew Balding saddles a brace of runners who on their best form hold claims in Auriferous and Mellow Magic but it’s Evaluation for me with Callum Rodriquez, who’s ridden him on three of his four victories this season in the saddle. EVALUATION 2 points each way @ 13/2 William Hill 1/5th 12345 Newmarket 3.15 Next up at HQ is the group 3 7F Criterion Stakes where seven useful horses will be making their way to post. The key race here is the John Of Gaunt Stakes at Haydock from four weeks ago. Winner Pogo had Laneqash a nose back in second and Sunray Major a further half a length back in fourth. Pogo has to carry a 3lb penalty today which puts him at a disadvantage with his two rivals who both have claims today as Laneqash was having his first run for 246 days and Sunray Major met trouble in running. Both have decent chances but I’m more interested in the two three year olds here. Tom Clover’s Bass Player was 2 1/4L behind Hugo Palmers Ever Given last time out in listed company at Epsom and may struggle to turn the form around. The form has been boosted by the win of the runner up Oscula in listed company at Carlisle earlier this week and although this represents a step up in grade Ever Given is only officially 4lb off of the top rated Laneqash here and is very much an improver. Skybet and Betfred are paying a third place here despite only seven runners so if you can get on with either of those firms let’s go each way. EVER GIVEN 1 point each way @ 8/1 Betfred 1/5 123 Newcastle 3.30 The day’s big handicap is the Jenningsbet Northumberland Plate Handicap or as known by many as the Pitman’s Derby. A race I’ve always enjoyed over the years maybe not as much nowadays mind that it’s run on the all weather. Twenty have declared and as you would expect there’s an open feel about the race. Rajinsky would be on my short list with his recent Chester Cup form working out so well but stall 16 will make things difficult for him although horses have won from out there over the past including last years winner Nicholas T from stall 17. Alan King’s top stayer Trueshan heads the weights but this is a prep run for the Goodwood Cup and was beaten in this last year off of 113 (if taking his 5lb claimer’s allowance into account) and has to race off of a 7lb higher mark here and is overlooked. Andrew Balding saddles his progressive stayer Valley Forge who is another drawn out wide and has no experience of the all weather. If you like him then surely you must give a chance to the Mark and Charlie Johnstone trained Golden Flame who was beaten a head by him at Haydock in May and is now 2lb better off with his subsequent defeat put down to not staying 2m 4F at Royal Ascot. At four times the price he has to be part of the staking plan. Island Brave has had excuses for recent defeats and was third in this last year off of a 2lb higher mark so is another outsider who can outrun his odds. Sir Mark Prescott is still not really firing on all cylinders but saddles Summer’s Knight here who was highly progressive last season and has claims from a nice draw in stall 5. A tough handicap and I’ll play a couple small each way in Summers Knight and Golden Flame with the additional place terms. SUMMERS KNIGHT 1 point each way @ 18/1 William Hill 1/5th 12345 GOLDEN FLAME 1 point each way @ 25/1 BetVictor 1/5th 12345 Curragh 3.45 Aidan O’Brien has thrown a spanner into the works here by taking out all of his colts (he had 10 entered up until the 4 day declaration stage) and supplemented at a cost of 75k his Epsom Oaks winner Tuesday. A multiple winner of this race O’Brien knows what it takes to win and I’ll take her to thwart the colts. The only negative is if the ground was to turn soft as there is a band of rain threatening the track over the weekend (although the clerk of the course seems to feel it’s likely to hit Saturday evening). The big threat to Tuesday is obviously the unlucky in running Derby third Westover who will now be ridden by Colin Keane rather than Rob Hornby who had a torrid run at Epsom when getting stopped in his run from a poor draw. Unless the ground changed dramatically I feel these two will battle the finish out with preference for the fairer sex. TUESDAY 3 points win @ 11/8 bet365
  4. Just the one winner but four places for a tiny profit of 0.6 points on the day. A total profit over the five days of just over 6 points. Hope everyone's found a winner or two today.
  5. A small profit of 2 points on the day with an 11/2 winner and two places. We go again tomorrow with all to play for. Hope we all found a winner or two with the results very punter friendly.
  6. Ascot 2.30 Today’s card kicks off with the 7F Chesham Stakes, a listed contest for two year olds. We have a very warm favourite in the Aidan O’Brien trained Alfred Munnings who made a big impression when winning at Leopardstown last month. The 4th has won since although the runner up has been soundly beaten since. He’s obviously held in high regard and will be hard to beat although on what he’s achieved so far is short enough in the market. John and Thady Gosden saddle a trio of runners in Alzahir, Faisal Road and One World and all are open to improvement following a single run. At the prices I’ll take a chance with the Richard Hannon runner Dark Thirty who’s win at Newbury last month has been franked since by wins for the runner up and third. He looks a big price to me and can be backed each way along with Crypto Force, an Amo Racing owned colt trained by Michael O’Callaghan in Ireland. He won a strong Curragh maiden at the beginning of the month, a race in which the well touted Aidan O’Brien runner Auguste Rodin was an unlucky loser. Again he’s a nice price and can be backed small each way although as I stated earlier the most likely winner is the favourite who I would be loathe to lay. DARK THIRTY 1/2 point each way 20/1 Paddy Power 1/5th 123 CRYPTO FORCE 1/2 point each way 12/1 William Hill 1/5th 123 Ascot 3.05 The 7F group 3 Jersey Stakes has attracted a nice field of fifteen three year olds and has an open look about it. Charlie Appleby saddles the favourite in Noble Truth who looked good when winning a listed contest at Newmarket in April although surprisingly he’s been gelded since. Saeed Bin Suroor’s Monaadah made all to beat Audience at Kempton on the all weather this month and is another runner with a chance here. In an open contest I’ll take a couple against the field each way. Firstly the Henry De Bromhead trained filly Star Girls Aaimal who is lightly raced and ran a stormer in the Irish 1000 guineas last time when finishing 4th (hampered a furlong out and the run can be marked up) beaten 6 1/4L to the smart winner Homeless Songs. That form has been boosted since by the runner up Tuesday winning the Oaks since and the 6th Purplepay winning a group 2 in France. She’s my main play although I can’t resist a small each way saver on German raider Rocchigiani who’s recent 1 1/4L runner up in the German 2000 guineas to William Haggas’s Maljoom was franked when he was an unlucky loser in Tuesdays St James Palace Stakes. STAR GIRLS AAIMAL 1 point each way 8/1 William Hill 1/5th 1234 ROCCHIGIANI 1/2 point each way 12/1 BetVictor 1/5th 1234 Ascot 3.40 Only eight turn up for the group 2 Hardwicke Stakes run over a mile and a half for four year olds and upwards. It sees the re-appearance of last seasons Irish Derby, St Leger and Arc third Hurricane Lane. He’s top class and can win this especially if the forecast thunderstorms arrive although recent forecasts are now suggesting they won’t be turning up until after racing. If the ground doesn’t ease it wouldn’t be a shock were he to be pulled out as the Arc De Triomphe is the ultimate target this season. The Gosden’s Mostahdaf was firmly put in his place by Bay Bridge last time at Sandown and wears first time cheek pieces here stepping up in trip. Broome is a consistent sort and along with Solid Stone and Third Realm are feared most but this is all about Hurricane Lane who I expect to win if allowed to run. HURRICANE LANE 3 points win 8/11 William Hill Ascot 4.20 27 go to post for a fantastic renewal of the group one Platinum Jubilee Stakes. Run over 6F of the straight course for three year olds and older. The Australian runner Nature Strip won the Kings Stand on Tuesday in scintillating style and his stablemate Home Affairs looks the one they all have to beat here although at around the 2/1 mark hardly looks value in such a tight knit sprint. And don’t dismiss Aussie 2nd string Artorius who by all accao7nts is more than capable of running a big race. American Wesley Ward is having a week to forget but runs his Campanelle here who has won at the Royal meeting for the last two years and is a definite player. I’m hearing good things about William Haggas’s Sacred and although she hasn’t run this season can run well as long as the rain stays away. She will be part of my staking plan along with John Quinn’s Highfield Princess who shocked me with the ease of her victory in the the group 2 Duke Of York Stakes last time. A winner of the Buckingham Palace Stakes at the meeting last year she seems to be taking off now despite her age and she is a tasty price in a race where stakes are best kept small. HIGHFIELD PRINCESS 1 point each way 14/1 bet365 1/5th 123456 SACRED 1/2 point each way @ 14/1 Coral 1/5th 12345 Ascot 5.00 A maximum field of 28 spread right across the track in the Wokingham Handicap run over 6F is up next. James Fanshawe’s Fresh has an excellent record at the track with form figures of 21234 with the last four coming in big field handicaps including when runner up in this contest last season. He would appreciate any easing of the ground and can be competitive. Blackrod comes here in good form having won at Newmarket in April and despite a 9lb rise in the weights is another for the shortlist for sprint specialist Michael Dodds. Top weight Rohaan shouldn’t be dismissed either. This will be the first handicap he’s contested since winning this from a 3lb higher mark and although soundly beaten last time has the services of Ryan Moore today. As you would expect it’s a tough call but the front two appeal most and I’ll play both each way with additional places. FRESH 1 point each way 8/1 BetVictor 1/5th 123456 BLACKROD 1 point each way 10/1 bet365 1/5th 134567 Ascot 5.35 Yet another tricky handicap with the Golden Gates Handicap run over 10F for three year olds only. The favourite is the George Boughey trained Missed The Cut who like many here is making his handicap debut. He’s done little wrong in his short career and should go close. Charlie Appleby saddles a brace of runners in Blue Trail (last seen smacking William Buick in the face on Derby day!) and Falling Shadow who’s been gelded since winning his maiden at Newbury last month. Buick has chosen the latter but both have claims. Another Godolphin owned runner is the John and Thady Gosden trained Honiton who bolted up at Sandown in a maiden last time and although this will be a lot tougher can make his presence felt. I’ve been very impressed with Missed The Cut and although he’s relatively short is the one I want to be with James McDonald in the saddle. MISSED THE CUT 1 1/2 points each way @ 4/1 William Hill 1/5th 12345 Ascot 6.10 The getting out stakes is the 2m 5 1/2F Queen Alexandra Stakes. The ground is the key here because if the forecast thunderstorms turn up and ease the ground then surely Trueshan who’s a monster when the conditions are in his favour will be hard to beat and go off more of an odds on chance here despite a 10lb penalty for his two group one victories last season, the Goodwood Cup and Prix Du Cadran both run on soft ground. He’s unbeaten in two starts at the Berkshire track and worth backing now as if the ground doesn’t ease he will no doubt be pulled out as he was on Thursday for the Gold Cup. Last year’s winner Statum is back to defend his title and looks a bit over priced although he doesn’t appear to be in the best of form since despite a novice chase win last December. Dermot Weld’s Falcon Eight went off a 7/4 favourite for this race last year but was unsuited by the softening of the ground and ended up well beaten. He would be the bet here if the rain stays away and Trueshan is pulled out. Wordsworth is the other contender at the front of the market with claims but it’s Trueshan for me if the ground eases. TRUESHAN 2 points win 6/4 bet365 If NR FALCON EIGHT 2 points win 11/2 bet365
  7. Frustrating but winning day (2.65 points) with one winner and five places.
  8. Ascot 2.30 Eighteen two year old fillies assemble for the opener on day four of the Royal meeting for the group 3 Albany Stakes run over 6F. I have a strong fancy here in the Saeed Bun Suroor trained Mawj who looked special when blitzing her rivals on her debut at Newmarket last month under today’s rider Ray Dawson. The runner up Believing has won since boosting the form and actually re-opposes here today. The biggest danger may well be the Aidan O’Brien runner Mediate who’s already won in group company at Naas last month. The finish can be fought out by these two promising fillies. Third favourite is Queen Olly who looked good when winning on her debut at York and should be thereabouts but for me this is all about the daughter of Exceed And Excel who will bounce off of this ground and reports of a spectacular gallop recently can be heeded here. MAWJ 3 points win 10/3 BetVictor Ascot 3.05 A wide open group 1 Commonwealth Cup is next up. Run over 6F the race is for three year olds only. Richard Fahey’s Perfect Power is dropping back to sprint distances having failed to last out the mile in the 2000 guineas finishing 7th beaten just over 6L. That form looks good now with the 1st and 2nd winning group ones since. He has to be a player here. El Caballo has also to be on the shortlist having won his last six races including the group 2 Sandy Lane Stakes when just out battling rival Flaming Rib. I’m interested in the horse who finished fourth that day beaten 2 3/4L, the David Loughnane trained Go Bears Go. He stumbled at the start there and was always playing catch up afterwards. He has an excellent record at the track winning two of his three starts here and just going down by a head to Perfect Power in last years Norfolk Stakes. Fast ground suits and he looks the each way value here to me in a tough contest. GO BEARS GO 1 point each way 10/1 William Hill 1/5th 1234 Ascot 3.40 The class 2 Duke Of Edinburgh Handicap is run over 12F and has attracted a maximum field of 19. I have a strong fancy here in the shape of the favourite in the Sir Michael Stoute trained Just Fine who is owned by The Queen and by all accounts has been trained for this contest. He was a real eye catcher on his re-appearance when a running on third to the useful Gaassee in a valuable York handicap where he was slowly out of the stalls. Sure to have tightened up for that run and with Ryan Moore on top he can take this from stall 7. John and Thady Gosden’s Trawlerman won well on his re-appearance and is up 5lb and holds some fancy future entries whilst the Irish raider Mashoor is another to bear in mind. The best of the outsiders may well be the bottom weight of Kim Bailey’s in Ajero, who’s better known as a decent hurdler. This is his handicap debut and a mark of 89 looks lenient to me. I’ll have a small ew saver on him with the additional places but my main bet has to be Just Fine for The Queen. JUST FINE 3 points win 4/1 William Hill AJERO 1/2 point each way 25/1 Ladbrokes 1/5th 12345 Ascot 4.20 The one mile group one Coronation Stakes is run on the round course and is for three year old fillies. The best in on official ratings is the John and Thady Gosden trained Inspiral who was unbeaten as a two year old but has had his issues missing the 1000 guineas and is worth opposing here on her seasonal re-appearance. America send over two fillies who will love the fast ground in Spendarella and Pizza Blanca but it’s hard to put a handle on their form and I’m looking at opposing the pair. Also worth being against is the French runner Mangoustine who won the French 1000 guineas last time by a head from the re-opposing Cachet. She’s smart but the problem with her is that she’s yet to race on ground as fast as this. Looking back to our 1000 guineas Cachet had four of her rivals today behind her with the Ralph Beckett trained Prosperous Voyage the closest going down by a neck and the pair of them can be thereabouts today. Back in 7th that day was the Jessie Harrington trained Discoveries beaten 5L. It was a disappointing run from her but Harrington’s horses were out of form at the time and it’s maybe worth giving another chance to her on ground she will love. DISCOVERIES 1 point each way 9/1 William Hill 1/5th 1234 Ascot 5.00 A bumper field of 29 three year old fillies go to post for the one mile Sandringham Handicap Stakes run on the straight course. Richard Hannon’s Heredia did really well to win at York last time over 7F when slowly away and finding trouble in running but eventually getting out and flying home to win by a head from Espresso who re-opposes here today on 2lb better terms. She’s been raised 7lb and with this race mooted by her trainer afterwards looks likely to be very competitive. I can’t understand the discrepancy between her and Espresso mind, who although having had the run of the race really shouldn’t be four times the price of Heredia. David O’Meara has had a good week and his handicap debutant Love Interest makes some appeal at a big price. She’s bumped into some smart sorts in her short career and can also run well along with Archie Watson’s Pink Carnation who’s also making her handicap debut here. A tough race with Heredia the main bet with a couple of small each way savers in Espresso and Love Interest. HEREDIA 2 points each way 11/2 bet365 1/5th 1234567 ESPRESSO 1/2 point each way 28/1 William Hill 1/5th 123456 LOVE INTEREST 1/2 point each way 20/1 William Hill 1/5th 123456 Ascot 5.35 A disappointing turnout for the group 2 King Edward VII Stakes run over 12F with just six going to post. The Epsom Derby form is represented here by Aidan O’Brien’s Changingoftheguard who ran 5th beaten 9 1/4L. The 7th in the race Nahaani hardly franked the form with a disappointing effort on Wednesday in the Queens Prize and I’ll take the Charlie Appleby trained Ottoman Fleet to take this. Only lightly raced the son of Sea The Stars followed up his unlucky second at Newbury when taking a listed race at Newmarket in May. He looks to have bags of potential and to me looks the likeliest winner here. Savvy Victory was only 1 3/4L behind the selection at Newmarket and looks held whilst Lysander has a progressive profile and should run well. OTTOMAN FLEET 2 points win 9/4 William Hill Ascot 6.10 A real brain teaser to finish with today. A maximum field of 28 go to post for the 5F Palace Of Holyroadhouse Handicap for three year olds only. The weights are headed by the Wesley Ward trained Ruthin who went off favourite for the Windsor Castle last season when only 7th behind Chipotle. Korker represents the in form Karl Burke stable who is up 9lb for a cosy York handicap victory last time out. That pair both have decent claims. Irish raider Ladies Church trained by Johnny Murtagh has some smart sprinting form to his name and can take a hand in the finish in his first handicap. Sterling Knight is chasing a hat trick though is 12lb higher than when starting his winning spree and the drop back a furlong may not be a bonus. A real hard handicap where stakes should be kept small and I’ll go with Ladies Church each way. LADIES CHURCH 1 point each way 10/1 William Hill 1/5th 123456
  9. just the first winner today with a loss on the day of 7.2 points.
  10. Ascot 2.30 A small but select field of eleven two year olds go to post for the group 2 Norfolk Stakes run over the minimum trip. The Antarctic is the current favourite hailing from the Aidan O’Brien stable and is unbeaten following victories at Tipperary and Naas. He doesn’t warrant being as short as he currently is in my opinion and I’ll be taking him on with the David Loughnane runner Walbank. He bumped into one on his debut run at Ascot before landing the odds in effortless style at York in May. Rossa Ryan rides for his employers Amo Racing and he looks sure to run a mighty race. The only filly in the race is Pillow Talk who won the Marygate at York in May and holds ew claims. WALBANK 2 points win 9/4 bet365 Ascot 3.05 A maximum field of 19 assemble for the King George V Handicap for three year olds run over 12F. Many hold chances none more so than the John and Thady Gosden trained Israr who took the London Cup last time at Newbury and with his dam being the Oaks & King George winner Taghrooda will relish the step up to a mile and a half. He’s my main bet here. Plenty of others come here with progressive profiles like the Godolphin runner Secret State and the Aidan O’Brien challenger Newfoundland who is a full brother to the stables Oaks winner Snowfall. The best outsider and worth a small each way saver is the Sean Woods trained Savvy Knight who comes here unbeaten in his three runs and with the Woods team in such good form (4 wins from his last 10 runners) may outrun his big odds. ISRAR 2 points each way 8/1 bet365 1/5th 12345 SAVVY KNIGHT 1/2 point each way 20/1 bet365 1/5th 12345 Ascot 3.40 A disappointing turn out of just six go to post for the 1m 4F Ribblesdale Stakes following the defection of Oaks runner up Emily Upjohn. William Haggas saddles the likely favourite in Sea Silk Road who comes here on the back of wins at Nottingham and a listed contest at Goodwood. The form of her latest win has however not really worked out with the runner up beaten in a Newbury maiden at odds on and the third also turned over since. At 7/4 she hardly represents value and I’ll be looking elsewhere for the likely winner. Aidan O’Brien’s History is an interesting runner stepping up half a mile and shouldn’t be discounted. The Godolphin runner Life Of Dreams bumped into Emily Upjohn in the Musidora although I’m not sure rattling fast ground is ideal for her. Outsider Mystic Wells is hard to fancy and that leaves just Mukaddamah and the Irish challenger Magical Lagoon trained by Jessie Harrington. She’s officially rated the best in the field and would just about get my vote. MAGICAL LAGOON 1 point win 10/3 bet365 Ascot 4.20 A vintage renewal of the Ascot Gold Cup with Stradivarius very much the star attraction going for a fourth victory in the race. He has his ground and although he may not be the horse he once was he certainly looked good at York 34 days ago when winning on his re-appearance. The young pretender looking to try and steal his crown is the four year old Kyprios from the Aidan O’Brien stable. He had an easy task when pulling well clear of his three rivals at Leopardstown last time and although he shapes like a stayer he has yet to race beyond 1m 6F and has an extra 3/4 mile to race here. At around 7/4 I want to be sure he’ll stay so at the prices I’ll be against him. Trueshan has to be considered doubtful as he need much softer ground whilst last years runner up Princess Zoe has 5L to find with Stradivarius. Last year’s Derby and St Leger runner up Mojo Star is stepping up in trip and has an absence to overcome but has the class to run well and I’ll have a small each way wager on him with my main bet on Stradivarius to bring the house down for Thady and John Gosden and obviously that man Frankie Dettori. STRADIVARIUS 2 points win 11/4 Unibet MOJO STAR 1/2 point each way 16/1 bet365 1/5th 123 Ascot 5.00 A maximum field of thirty spread across the course go to post for the one mile Britannia Handicap for three year olds only. Godolphin run two in Tranquil Star who won at the Craven meeting in a handicap that’s worked out well and King Of Time who’s unbeaten and is the pick of William Buick. I prefer the former with James Doyle on board. As always in this contest there’s plenty of lightly raced possible improvers none more so than my pick Whoputfiftyinyou trained by Clive Cox who comes here unbeaten having won the Haydock Silver Bowl last time from Mighty Ulysses (beaten under a length in a group one since) with last weekend’s Chester winner Outgate back in third. That’s very good form and he has to be the bet from stall 28. I also can’t resist a small ew saver on the Andrew Balding trained Koy Koy who was last seen when runner up to the progressive winner Outgate at Chester’s May meeting over 7F and the extra furlong may unlock some more improvement. KOY KOY 1/2 point each way 25/1 Boylesports 1/5th 12345 WHOPUTFIFTYINYOU 1 1/2 points each way 7/1 bet365 1/4 1234 Ascot 5.35 Only six go to post for the group 3 Hampton Court Stakes and surely it’ll be hats off to the Queen! Her representative here Reach For The Moon teed up for this with a fine second in the Heron Stakes to My Prospero who finished a fine third in the St James Palace on Tuesday. The step up two furlongs looks ideal and he’ll be hard to beat with Frankie Dettori riding for the Gosden’s. He’s officially rated 6lb and more better than his opponents the best of which may well be Claymore who finished runner up in the Craven back in April but totally bombed out in the French 2000 Guineas since and may find this ground too fast. This is all about Reach For The Moon and I expect him to win well. Ascot 6.10 Yet another competitive handicap to finish the day off. A maximum field of 29 go to post for the Kensington Palace Handicap. Charlie Appleby saddles an intriguing runner in Silent Film who was last seen winning a valuable handicap in Bahrain in February. He’s done some good work recently apparently although he has been raised 11lb for that win. Kevin Phillppart De Foy is a young trainer going places and secured his biggest success to date when his Vafortino won the Victoria Cup over course and distance in May. A 5lb rise may not stop him being competitive today. The one I do like though is the unbeaten William Haggas four year old Montassib who bolted up last time at Goodwood and has being raised 10lb but looks highly progressive and has to be the pick here with a small saver on the Godolphin runner Silent Film. MONTASSIB 2 points each way 6/1 Paddy Power 1/5th 123456 SILENT FILM 1 point each way 10/1 Paddy Power 1/5th 123456
  11. Profit of 8.3 points on the day. Two winners at 8/1 and 5/2. Wednesday selections already up this morning.
  12. Ascot 2.30 Twenty one two year off fillies assemble for the group 2 Queen Mary. We have the usual Royal Ascot conundrum of a lightly raced well touted Wesley Ward filly in Love Reigns who blitzed her field on her debut at Keeneland winning by 9 3/4L. She’s obviously smart but at the likely price I’ll take her on here as she does take a fair chunk out of the market. I’ve been waiting for Karl Burke’s Dramatised to re-appear as she impressed me when bolting up at Newmarket on her debut back in April. She pulled four lengths clear that day from Malrescia who’s won twice since. She’s the bet here for me from stall 17 which hopefully will be an advantage although as always at Royal Ascot we don’t really know where the best place to be is until we get into the meeting. The best outsider for me is the Simon and Ed Crisford trained All The Time owned by the Royal Ascot Club so one would think that this has been the target for a while. She came home an easy 5L winner at Nottingham on her debut and although that form has yet to be tested looked smart that day and with the extra places available is worth a small each way saver. DRAMATISED 2 points each way 9/2 BetVictor 1/5th 1234 ALL THE TIME 1/2 point each way 18/1 William Hill 1/5th 12345 Ascot 3.05 The group 2 Queens Vase is run over 14F and has attracted a dozen three year olds this year whom are all trying this trip for the first time. Charlie Appleby saddles a brace of runners in Hafit, ridden by James Doyle’s and Nahaani ridden by William Buick who presumably has had the pick of the pair and to my eyes is the most likely winner today. The third string of Appleby’s in the Epsom Derby things didn’t go to plan for him as he was affected by the fireworks going off just before the start of the classic and missed the break. He eventually ran on to finish 7th with his rider that day Adam Kirby stating afterwards he felt he could have finished fourth if things had fallen right for him. As long as this race doesn’t come too soon for him he looks sure to be thereabouts. Roger Varian saddles a very interesting runner in Eldar Eldarov who’s unbeaten in two starts and steps up half a mile today. He took the scalp of a smart sort of William Haggas’s last time at Newcastle and looks a threat to the selection. NAHAANI 2 points win 9/2 William Hill Ascot 3.40 A disappointing turnout of only five for the group one Prince Of Wale’s Stakes with the Japanese challenger Shahryar a fascinating contender. Last seen winning the Sheema Classic at Meydan in March from Yibir proving that he can win after travelling and has been working well at Roger Varian’s stables in Newmarket recently. He’ll have to be on his A game mind to beat the Sir Michael Stoute trained favourite Bay Bridge who was not fully tuned up when an impressive winner at Sandown in the Brigadier Gerard Stakes on his re-appearance last month. That was a terrific effort and he’ll be very hard to beat under Ryan Moore who knows him so well. Lord North won this two years ago but was behind Joseph O’Brien’s globe trotting State Of Rest at The Curragh last time in the Tattersalls Gold Cup and might struggle to turn the form around whilst French raider Grand Glory, although unbeaten this season will need to step up again. An intriguing race but I find it hard to oppose Bay Bridge who looked the real deal at Sandown. BAY BRIDGE 3 points win 11/8 William Hill Ascot 4.20 The Group 2 Duke Of Cambridge Stakes is up next with eight four year old fillies taking centre stage. The highest rated amongst them is German raider Novemba but like the French challenger Sibilant Spirit is overlooked as the pair prefer softer ground. Saffron Beach hasn’t been seen since running a decent 4th in the Dubai Turf in March at Meydan and has to shoulder a 5lb penalty here for her Group one victory at Newmarket last Autumn. Mother Earth is a consistent filly but I didn’t like her latest effort when easy to back in the Lockinge and wears cheek pieces for the first time today. At the prices I can let her go. A matter of elimination more than anything ends up with the William Haggas filly Bashkirova who arrives in top form having won at Epsom and as this is only her 7th career start may actually still be improving. I’ll take her to win this. BASHKIROVA 1 point each way @ 5/1 bet365 Ascot 5.00 Next up is the maximum 30 runner Royal Hunt Cup, a handicap run over the straight mile. It’s hard to know where the best place to be drawn is so I’m looking for the most likely winner and let’s hope it’s drawn well. Sir Michael Stoute’s Astro King bumped into a handicap snip in Real World last year and should go well although is 4lb higher now so can hardly be called well in. Charlie Hills’ Dark Shift is 2lb well in here and with James McDonald riding is another with a live chance. The pair I like are both trained by Newmarket handler Roger Varian and I’ll take them against the field. Legend Of Dubai looked useful when winning on his re-appearance at Newmarket with the third that day winning twice since. The winner himself has been shunted up 11lb for the victory but could still be ahead of his mark with his breeding suggesting he could be top class (by Dubawi out of the smart Speedy Boarding). The other Varian runner is Greatgadian who’s won two 10F all weather Chelmsford handicaps since returning this season having been gelded. The horse he beat last time has won well since and Ray Dawson who was on board then keeps the ride. The pair are drawn together and I’ll back both to small stakes each way with the extra places on offer. GREATGADIAN 1 point each way 20/1 BetVictor 1/5th 123456 LEGEND OF DUBAI 1 point each way 9/1 Betfred 1/5th 123456 Ascot 5.35 Another big field, this time 24 go to post for the listed Windsor Castle Stakes run over 5F for two year olds. Warm favourite is the Aidan O’Brien trained Little Big Bear, an easy maiden winner at Naas last month on softish ground. He’s yet to encounter ground as fast as this and at the prices I’m happy enough to looks elsewhere for some each way value. Andrew Balding won this a couple of years ago with Tactical for The Queen and appears to have another big chance with his Ida Salman Al Khalifa owned Chateau. He came late and fast to to win at Beverley last time having improved plenty for his debut run under William Buick and with Buick retaining the ride can reward an each way bet. The Gosden runner Far Shot and Varian runner Bolt Action bath come here with a recent victory under their belts and they too can be competitive. CHATEAU 1 point each way 10/1 bet365 1/5th 12345 Ascot 6.10 Day two concludes with the twenty runner Kensington Palace Handicap run over a mile but this time, unlike the Hunt Cup on the round course. Another competitive looking handicap with Joseph O’Brien’s improver Haziya heading the market. He has obvious claims but I’m taking a couple against the field from big Newmarket stables. Saeed Bin Suroor saddles three here and the one that could be well handicapped is surely White Moonlight ridden today by Daniel Tudhope. A dual winner back in the autumn of 2019 she came back from that 971 day absence when needing the run to finish a credible third at Chelmsford a fortnight ago to prepare her for this contest. She took a fierce hold that day and hopefully with the freshness out of her and off of what may well be a workable mark of 92 can go close. The only negative for her may well be the wide draw but I'm hoping her class can tell. WHITE MOONLIGHT 2 points each way 7/1 Coral 1/5th 12345
  13. Ascot 2.30 We start Royal Ascot with the group one Queen Anne Stakes where William Haggas’s superstar Baaeed has an easy task to take his unbeaten run to eight from eight. He really does look the real deal and I can see him going off a 1/6 chance or even shorter. His recent win at Newbury in the Lockinge has him way ahead of Real World (beaten 3 1/4L), Chindit (5L) and Sir Busker (6 1/4L) and he should have a comfortable victory here under regular rider Jim Crowley. Sit back and enjoy. Ascot 3.05 Seventeen colts go to post for this year’s renewal of the group 2 Coventry Stakes and with the 11th hour defection of Noble Style has the Adrian O’Brien unbeaten Blackbeard and Richard Hannon’s similarly unbeaten Persian Force battling it out for favouritism. Preference of the pair is the latter who has looked a smart prospect winning the Brocklesby at Doncaster and a small field at Newbury. His trainer Richard Hannon has gone in print saying he is comparable to the smart Canford Cliffs whom he trained. He’s the main bet here although one horse who impressed me immensely on his racecourse debut was the Archie Watson trained Bradsell who bolted up at Yorkmon his debut under PJ McDonald who’s replaced today by Hollie Doyle. He is by all accounts held in very high esteem by his trainer and I’ll be backing him each way along with Persian Force. PERSIAN FORCE 2 points win 3/1 William Hill BRADSELL 1 point each way 8/1 bet365 1/5th 12345 Ascot 3.40 A decent sized field of 18 go to post for the group 1 Kings Stand Stakes which has a very international look about it this year with Australian, American, Irish and even a Czech runner alongside the usual British contingent. The top rated here is Australian superstar Nature Strip who has plenty of experience as a seven year old in his native country having won eight group ones. This will be his first run outside of Australia although his work according to his trainer Chris Waller has all gone well having been housed at Charlie Hills’ stable in Lambourn. Drawn 10 gives him options and is a fascinating runner. The market suggests that the American trained Golden Pal will be a big threat. A very fast horse who his trainer Wesley Ward has been talking up in the last week has actually been beaten twice in his ventures to this country and I would favour Aussie Nature Strip who is the main bet. Obviously with the travel involved there is the possibility that both the front two could bomb out and at around 8/11 the pair I will all also be playing one of the others small each way. Tim Easterby’s Winter Power totally blew out on his re-appearance at Haydock behind two of today’s rivals in Kings Lynn and Twilight Calls. He was very easy to back that day and let’s not forget he was a group one winner last season and has to be better than that last run so looks each way value with the extra place. NATURE STRIP 2 points win 5/2 bet365 WINTER POWER 1/2 point each way 20/1 Coral/Ladbroke 1/5th 1234 Ascot 4.20 The group 1 St James Palace Stakes is next up. Run over a mile it’s for three year old colts and has attracted a field of 13. Warm favourite is the Charlie Appleby trained Coroebus who had plenty of these behind him when winning the 2000 Guineas. He’s yet to race around a bend although his trainer feels that may actually suit him and he’s fared well with the draw in stall 2. He’s hard to oppose with William Buick in the saddle. William Haggas saddles a brace in his German 2000 Guineas winner Maljoom and Heron Stakes winner My Prospero with preference for the latter. It will be a shock to me if Coroebus can’t win again. Ascot 5.00 A true stamina test with the 2m 4F Ascot Stakes Handicap featuring twenty potential stayers. The two favourites are trained by trainers more associated with Cheltenham than Royal Ascot with Willie Mullin’s Bring On The Night and Gordon Elliott’s Pied Piper. Preference is for the latter who has turned into a smart hurdler since joint Elliott from John Gosden. He’s rated 145 over sticks but only 96 today so may have a bit in hand although like Bring On The Night has to truly prove he stays this stamina sapping trip and with the pair around the 7/4 mark coupled it’s maybe worth looking elsewhere for some each way value especially with the extra places. Another hurdler at a much bigger price who looks well handicapped is Paul Nicholls’ Scaramanga the mount of Hollie Doyle. He has claims but it’s yet another hurdler that catches my eye in the John Queally trained eight year old gelding Arcadian Sunrise. He will stay this trip and there were excuses for his latest credible 4th in the Chester Cup (took a keen hold on his first start for 187 days and may not have been at home on the tight track). At the prices I’ll play him each way with the icing on the cake being the booking of useful 5lb claimer Harry Davies. ARCADIAN SUNRISE 1 point each way 17/2 William Hill 1/5th 12345 Ascot 5.35 A competitive renewal of the listed Wolverton Stakes run over 10F for four year olds and upwards. Last years winner Juan Elcano is back to defend his crown and has definite claims. Bar outsiders Moving Time and Palavechino there is actually only four pound between the other fourteen runners. Plenty hold chances but the one I like is the Andrew Balding trained Foxes Tales although I must admit the widest draw in 16 is a bit of a concern. A Group 3 winner last season at Haydock he misses a penalty for this contest by a couple of week. He’s run well on both outings this season in group 3 company including last time out when 4th to Ilaraab at Newbury with the horse that finished just ahead of him Without A Fight winning well at the weekend. It’s a tough race with bets best kept to a minimum. FOXES TALES 1 point each way 11/1 BetVictor 1/5th 1234 Ascot 6.10 A maximum field of sixteen go to post for this 1m 6F Copper Horse Handicap, a class 2 handicap for four year olds and upwards. Red hot favourite and sure to be thereabouts at the finish is the Aiden O’Brien trained Cleveland who will be ridden by Ryan Moore. He came from the back to take the half mile further Chester Cup last time and has been raised 5lb for that victory. He’s yet to encounter ground this fast but is the one to beat. The ground may well ride too fast for the likes of Not So Sleepy and Get Shirty. The Gosden’s run an interesting runner here in Stowell who is making his handicap debut under Frankie Dettori and can be competitive. Charlie Appleby saddles Bandinelli in first time blinkers but he ran so bad last time it’s hard to be too confident about him. A tough handicap but they all have to beat Cleveland who has a touch of class about him and a 5lb rise may not be enough to stop him winning again despite his cramped odds. CLEVELAND 2 points win 3/1 bet365
  14. Two winners and two places today. The winners at 6/1 (10p R4) and 7/1 (5p R4) - a healthy profit of just over 20 points. Roll on Royal Ascot.
  15. Sandown 1.40 The day’s ITV racing starts with a three year old only 9F handicap which has attracted ten runners. It looks a wide open affair so stakes should be kept small. In fact I would go as far to say as all bar rank outsider Youthful King (watch him bolt up now!)have a fair chance of sorts. The only runner in the field that has yet to run in handicaps and may be better than his allotted mark is the Ralph Beckett trained Vee Sight. He’s was down to run at Pontefract in a weaker race than this only 5 days ago but was pulled out on the morning of the race with a vets certificate. He was heavily backed that day so although this is a stronger contest you get the impression that connections feel he may be better than his initial mark now stepping up a couple of furlongs. I’ll take a chance on him but have every respect for the Godolphin pair of Maplewood and Night Of Luxury. VEE SIGHT 1 point each way @ 6/1 Paddy Power 1/5th 123 York 2.00 The 1m 4F Queens Mother’s Cup is a handicap run annually for female amateur jockeys where the winning jockey not only wins her cut of the prize money but also her weight in champagne. Topanticipation is chasing a hat trick following wins at Leicester and over course and distance this season rising 11lb in the handicap. He should be competitive under the useful Becky Smith. I’m going to play two here against the field each way in top weight Throne Hall who was a smart handicapper when trained by Kevin Ryan last season and is now in the care of Archie Watson. He’s shown little in three starts for Watson but has dropped 10lb for those efforts and has the assistance of the experienced Brodie Hampson. Now 6lb lower than when an excellent neck second to Sam Cooke in a better handicap than this at last years Ebor meeting he can be competitive here if re finding his form in this lower grade today. The other horse I like is the Martin Todhunter trained Arctic Fox who won this in 2019 for Carol Bartley and was runner up last season for Becky Smith. Fergal O’Brien’s daughter Fern is on board this time around and has fallen down to a winning mark. THRONE HALL 1 point each way @ 10/1 bet365 1/5th 1234 ARCTIC FOX 1 point each way @ 15/2 William Hill 1/5th 1234 Sandown 2.15 Ten go to post for this class 2 one mile handicap. Top weight Ouzo bounced back to form here last time when just touched off in a similar contest but has been raised 4lb for that. James Fanshawe saddles Encouraged who’s chasing a hat trick following a brace of wins on the all weather but he too has been shunted up 5lb. I’ll take the pair of them on with the only three year old in the field in the Eve Johnson Houghton trained Iffraaj colt Sheer Rocks. Unbeaten in two starts as a juvenile at Chepstow and Bath he started the season in the Epsom Blue Riband Derby trial where he raced too keenly and finished last of eight that day. With that run under his belt and receiving weight from his elders he’s worth taking a punt on here with David Egan doing the steering. SHEER ROCKS 1 point each way @ 8/1 William Hill 1/5th 1234 York 2.35 A disappointing turnout of nine assemble for this 7F class 2 handicap where the likely favourite Boardman looks the one to beat. He’s chasing a hat trick following wins at Thirsk and Chester this season and despite a 4lb rise for his latest victory I thought he won quite cosily and should go close today. He’s the selection although I do feel course and distance winner Maywake can run him close along with Challet who has a good course record with 2 wins from 4 rides. BOARDMAN 2 points win @ 5/2 bet365 Sandown 2.50 A disappointing turnout of just six for the listed Coral Scurry Stakes run over 5F 10 yards. The warm favourite Caturra has to shoulder a 5lb penalty for his group 2 Flying Childers Stakes victory at Doncaster last September but still comes out as the best horse in the race and this represents a drop in class for him having finishing a credible 5th beaten 3L by El Caballo last time out in the group 2 Sandy Lane Stakes at Haydock. Clive Cox’s Mehmas gelding is basically a group horse in a listed contest and he’s the one to be with here. Adam West’s Live In The Dream has already shown his liking for this track with an easy handicap victory back in April but this represents a step up in class for him whilst the Roger Varian trained Mitbaahy looks the biggest threat to the selection having won at Hamilton last time out. CATURRA 2 points win @ 11/10 bet365 York 3.05 Only six go to post for this 14F listed contest where the winner gets a free entry into the sponsor Skybet’s Ebor Handicap back here in August. The best in at the weights here are Euchen Glen who’s shown little in two starts this season and Kemari who we haven’t seen since he ran at Meydan in January and would hold a chance if fancied for the boys in blue. Bar outsider Onesmoothoperator there’s actually only four pounds officially between these and the likeliest winner to my eyes is the Brain Meehan trained Mandoob who’s lightly raced and showed plenty on his re-appearance when a two length second to Al Aasy in a 12F listed race at Ascot with subsequent easy Goodwood listed winner Third Realm 2 1/4L back in third. The extra quarter of a mile will no doubt suit the Farhh gelding and he can take this with Sean Levey doing the steering. MANDOOB 2 points win @ 5/2 William Hill Chester 3.20 The day’s best bet runs here in this 7F 127 yards class 2 handicap. Top weight Outgate has shown smart form on his three starts this season including when winning at the May meeting over todays distance. He wasn’t disgraced despite a slow start when third in the Haydock Silver Bowl behind two potential group horses (the runner up Mighty Ulysses runs in the St James Palace Stakes next week) and with a nice draw in two and last week’s winning Derby rider Richard Kingscote in the saddle Daniel and Clare Kubler’s three year old will be hard to keep out of the money. William Haggas saddles the danger in the well drawn front running Thunder Legend whilst local trainer Hugo Palmer has Roman Dragon here. Irish trainer Jessie Harrington sends over Cowboy Justice but hasn’t fared well in the draw and has to break from stall 10. OUTGATE 3 points each way @ 7/1 Paddy Power 1/5th 1234 York 3.40 The feature handicap of the day is the 6F Pavers Foundation Catherine Memorial Sprint Handicap which has attracted a field of 19. Mick Channon saddles the favourite in Ingra Tor who won a similar handicap well at Newmarket 6 weeks ago and appears to have been put aside for this valuable prize. He looks sure to go well despite a 9lb rise. Showtime Mahomes won a lesser handicap over course and distance three weeks ago and has been raised only 5lb for that win which may turn out to be on the lenient side as the runner up, 3rd, 5th, 9th and 13th have all won since. At a better price than Ingra Tor Grant Tuer’s improving gelding is the selection although I can’t resist a small each way saver on Keith Dagleish’s Edward Cornelius who looks on a good mark having run in non handicap company on his last two outings and may outrun his odds today. SHOWTIMES MAHOMES 1 point each way @ 17/2 William Hill 1/5th 12345 EDWARD CORNELIUS 1/2 point each way @ 14/1 bet365 1/5th 12345
  16. Disappointing day with just the one place. A loss of 10.20 points on the day.
  17. sorry - was uploaded early Friday and markets moved in mostly in my favour since
  18. A loss of 1/2 point on the day with three places covering the losses. We go again tomorrow - tomorrows selections are already uploaded.
  19. Epsom 2.00 Epsom’s Derby day starts with a class 2 10F handicap with fifteen 3 year olds going to post. The race has a wide open look about it with Godolphin’s Blue Trail amongst the favourites. A good third in the Esher Cup last time he steps up a couple of furlongs which should suit and should be thereabouts today. There’s several others with claims none more so than the Richard Spencer trained Mr Big Stuff who was denied a run on a couple of occasions in the London Cup at Newbury last time and is the bet here under 5lb claimer Tyler Heard. The only negative is his wide drawn in stall 13 (of 15) which isn’t ideal on this turning track but he can overcome that and looks the one to be with today although I can’t resist a small saver on Hugo Palmer’s Norton Cross who comes here as a lightly raced improver with a mark of 80 which looks workable. MR BIG STUFF 1 point each way @ 5/1 William Hill 1/5th 1234 NOLTON CROSS 1/2 point each way @ 9/1 Paddy Power 1/5th 1234 Epsom 2.35 A good sized field of ten fillies and mares assemble for the Group 3 Princess Elizabeth Stakes run over 1m 113 yards. Cheveley Park set a poser saddling William Haggas’s Bashkirova and Sir Michael Stoute’s Potapova who both have solid chances on their best efforts. Bashkirova may have just needed her re-appearance run when failing to catch Mrs Fitzherbert going down by half a length. Hughie Morrison’s four year old re-opposes and I can’t really understand why there’s such a discrepancy between the pair in the betting with the latter over twice the price. Potapova went down by a head on her re-appearance on the all weather at Kempton to Roman Mist who re-opposes here. That form has been boosted twice since by the victories of the 3rd and 4th and both have claims. Three 3 year olds take on their elders in receipt of 12lb with Andrew Balding’s Majestic Glory the best of the trio. A tight contest but at the prices I’m happy to stick with Mrs Fitzherbert who has the beating of Bashkirova and is significantly bigger in the betting. MRS FIZHERBERT 1 point each way @ 6/1 William Hill 1/5th 123 Epsom 3.10 A small but select field of six go post for the 1m 113 yards group 3 Diomed Stakes and can go to the upwardly mobile Modern News for the boys in blue. Charlie Appleby is actually double represented here with Zakouski and Modern News with William Buick having chosen Modern News. He’s looked a progressive four year old winning the Spring Cup Handicap at Newbury and a listed contest at Windsor this spring with a step up to this class looking well within his compass. The Gosden’s Megallan has been a bit disappointing this season so far and the biggest threat to the selection may well be the Charlie Hills trained Mutasaabeq, a smart sort himself who just went down to Lights On in a group 2 last time when not getting the best of runs. MODERN NEWS 2 points win @ 11/10 bet365 Epsom 3.45 The 5F ‘Dash’ Handicap is a real spectacle run over the worlds fastest sprint track. Plenty have chances including Scott Dixon’s Fine Wine who looked an improved horse when winning at York last time (runner up won a group race since) but has been put up 9lb for the win. Live In The Dream is trained locally by Adam West and is chasing a hat trick following success’s at Sandown and Chester. He too has been raised 7lb for his latest win and the pair I like are last year’s winner and third Mokaatil and Stone Of Destiny. The latter had a dreadful ride throughout the race but when he got some clear space ran on to be beaten 1 3/4L but is now 15lb better off. The problem with Stone Of Destiny is that he hasn’t won since the Portland Handicap in September 2020 some 14 races ago but if he gets the splits at the right time he’s without doubt a well handicapped horse. Stall 18 will have him trapped away on the rail whilst Mokaatil has options from stall 9. He’s won three of his four starts at this specialist track and is also worth backing to small each way stakes with enhanced places. STONE OF DESTINY 1 1/2 points each way @ 9/1 BetVictor 1/5th 12345 MOKAATIL 1 point each way @ 10/1 bet365 1/5th 12345 Epsom 4.30 This year’s Derby is run in memory of the great Lester Piggott, a nine time winner of this race who sadly passed last weekend. A bumper field of 17 go to post for the 12F contest and we have a solid enough favourite in the Sir Michael Stoute trained Desert Crown who’s unbeaten and looked good when winning the Dante at York when apparently only 80% fit. Stall 12 looks fine and he is the one they all have to beat. Aiden O’Brien has won six of the last ten runnings and saddles three runners in Stone Age, an impressive winner of the Leopardstown Derby Trial and he looks the best of the three to my eyes. Changingoftheguard sports first time cheek pieces having won the Chester Vase last time though isn’t helped by a stall position of 16. Chester winner Star Of India looks the weakest of the trio. Charlie Appleby saddles three also with stable number one William Buick choosing the supplemented Nations Pride with James Doyle on Walk On Star and Adam Kirby, who won the race last year for the connections with Adayar, on Nahanni. Donnacha O’Brien sends over Piz Badile with a chance. It’s a tough race with the most likely winner being favourite Desert Crown but with the last five winners being priced 40/1, 16/1, 13/2, 25/1 and 16/1 it may pay to back a couple each way at big prices especially as many firms are paying an extra place. Royal Patronage is a horse who should relish the step upto 12F and although he has a bit to find with the favourite on the Dante form can out run his odds despite a poor draw in 1 and I’ll play small ew him and also small ew on Walk On Stars who has a bit of a ‘Adayar’ feel about him having finished runner up in the Lingfield Derby trial last time out. ROYAL PATRONAGE 1/2 point each way @ 33/1 William Hill 1/5th 1234 WALK ON STARS 1/2 point each way @ 18/1 William Hill 1/5th 1234
  20. Epsom 2.00 A decent sized field for the start of the two day Derby meeting with a dozen two year olds going to post for the Woodcote Stakes run over 6F. It can be an advantage to be drawn on the rail and two of the more fancied runners have been drawn out wide in starting stalls 11 and 12. That’s Andrew Balding’s Estate and David Loughnane’s Commander Straker who actually met at Bath last time and on 5lb better terms the former may turn the tables on Commander Straker having been beaten only a length and a half although as previously stated the draw is not ideal. Mick Channon’s Legend Of Xanadu and Eve Johnson Houghton’s Blatant are speedy types who can run well but my fancy is the Ralph Beckett trained Keep Bidding who’s well berthed in stall 4 and ran a race full of plenty of promise on her debut at Nottingham when an unfancied 28/1 chance chasing home a well touted Michael Bell newcomer. She stayed on well under hand riding and will love the extra furlong today. Beckett has his horses in decent form and I expect a decent run from her here. KEEP BIDDING 1 point each way @ 13/2 Bet365 1/5th 1234 Epsom 2.35 A highly competitive sixteen runner 1m 113 yds class 2 handicap is up next. Archie Watson’s Excel Power heads the weights having won both his starts this season and despite a 6lb rise for his latest win has claims with Hollie Doyle in the saddle. It’ll be hard to win this from a high draw and for that reason alone I’m against last years winner Corazon Espinado (although he would be very much on my short list if drawn in single figures), Variyann and Oh This Is Us. Andrew Balding’s Carolus Magnus looks a player with his latest second at Newmarket boosted by the subsequent wins of the third that day. George Boughey’s Totally Charming has the assistance of William Buick and will no doubt be popular although he has to prove he’s as good on turf as he is on the all weather where his record is 3 from 5 but 0 from 2 on the turf. I’m going to take a swing at a big price one here in bottom weight Larado. Trained by Mick Appleby he made all to win over course and distance last September by a comfortable 6L and although he’s shown little in two starts this season there may have been excuses. With the front runners all drawn high Larado may steel a march on his rivals from stall 2 and under Ciaran Fallon lead them all a merry dance. He’ll be a big price so shop around and look out for those extra places. LARADO 1 point each way @ 25/1 bet365 1/5th 12345 Epsom 3.10 A small but select field of six assemble for this year’s renewal of the Group 1 Coronation Cup run over the Derby trip of 1m 4F. The best in today is last year’s winner Pyledriver who comes here on the back of a credible 4th in the Sheema Classic at Meydan in March (Hukum 3/4L behind him that day). With Martin Dwyer missing Frankie Dettori takes over and he looks sure to go close as the only runner in the field to have any experience of this unique track. Aiden O’Brien has supplemented High Definition after his excellent effort when just going down to Alenquer in the 10F Tattersall Gold Cup at The Curragh 12 days ago and although rated just a pound behind Pyledriver he hasn’t won since his two year old days some seven runs ago. The horse who’s hard to put a handle on is the Charlie Appleby trained Manobo who’s been running over further although his trainer has always been of the opinion that he has plenty of speed. On official ratings he has 7lb to find and will surely attempt to force the pace. I’ll take Dettori and Pyledriver to arrive late and fast and take the spoils. PYLEDRIVER 2 points win @ 2/1 bet365 Epsom 3.45 A decent sized field of fourteen go to post for this class 2 10F handicap with the likely favourite the improving Moktasaab who is owned by Harry Redknapp. He’s chasing a hat trick of wins this year following victories for William Knight at Newbury and Goodwood. He’s a player here but has risen 12lb for those two success’s and this looks a deep contest. David Menuisier trains course specialist Soto Sizzler who’s track figure here read 11221 and although racing off of a career high handicap mark today looks likely to play a part in the finish with Ryan Moore in the saddle. I’ll take him with one other against the field. My other fancy is the Charlie and Mark Johnstone trained Love Is Golden who got no sort of run when third to the aforementioned Soto Sizzler over course and distance at the Spring meeting here finishing off third beaten 5 1/4L but is now 6lb better off. He’s run well in two decent handicaps since and I’ll take him and Soto Sizzler each way against the field. SOTO SIZZLER 1 point each way @ 6/1 William Hill 1/5th 1234 LOVE IS GOLDEN 1 point each way @ 14/1 bet365 1/5th 1234 Epsom 4.30 The 12F Cazoo Oaks is the third classic of the season and we have 11 three year old fillies going to post this year. John and Thady Gosden appear to hold the key here with the front two in the betting in Emily Upjohn, an impressive winner of a Sandown maiden and the Musidora at York and Nashwa who’s looked equally as impressive in winning at Haydock and Newbury this season. She’s yet to race beyond 10F and there’s maybe a slight doubt about her getting this longer trip today. Ideally she wouldn’t want to see any more rain. Emily Upjohn looks smart and should relish the step up 1 1/2F from York today. She was a bit keen early last time and if there is a reason to be against her that may well be it although she certainly has the wow factor especially with Frankie on board. Aiden O’Brien has four in the contest - the hard to fancy The Algarve (9 1/4L behind Emily Upjohn at York), Cheshire Oaks winner Thoughts Of June (runner up won a Group 1 in France since) and the 2nd and 3rd from the Irish 1000 Guineas from 12 days ago in Tuesday and Concert Hall. Both are stepping up in trip and with Ryan Moore presumably choosing Tuesday she maybe the best of the Ballydoyle quartet. Charlie Appleby’s representative With The Moonlight shouldn’t be dismissed as she was very impressive when winning the Pretty Polly at Newmarket on her re-appearance. She looks a different horse to last year and if gallop rumours are correct has come forward again since her trial. It’s a tough race and on a matter of value I’ll play the Godolphin filly each way (if possible look at the firms paying 4 places instead of 3)with a win bet on the favourite who’s the most likely winner. WITH THE MOONLIGHT 1 point each way @ 10/1 bet365 1/5th 1234 EMILY UPJOHN 2 points win @ 5/4 William Hill
  21. 4 winners (11/1, 9/2, 5/2 & 5/2) from 8 races for a profit of just over 20 points. Enjoy the rest of the weekend.
  22. Haydock 1.45 This 5F listed contest revolves around the Roger Varian trained favourite Dragon Symbol who Varian acquired from Archie Watson and is officially rated the best horse here by 7lb but was disappointing on his first start for Varian at York only 17 days ago. He may well win this but at around the 2/1 mark looks poor value to my eyes and I’m happy enough to take him on with Raasel each way. The Horse Watchers consistent five year old gelding is stepping up into listed company for the first time but a mark of 101 puts him in the mix here if the favourite under performs again. James Doyle knows him well having ridden him to success on three of the four times he’s won for the Mick Appleby stable and after just 13 runs he could even still be improving. RAASEL 1 point each way @ 11/1 William Hill 1/5th 1234 Beverley 2.05 The 5F Hilary Needler conditions stakes is for two year old fillies and has attracted a field of nine this year. The warm favourite is likely to be the David Loughnane trained Absolutelyflawless who will be ridden by William Buick. She has a big chance although her wins have come on the all weather and good to soft ground at Chester so has to prove herself on fast ground. Star Of Lady M may not have enjoyed the twists and turns of Chester when 4 1/2L behind Absolutelyflawless last time and can get closer today whilst an interesting runner is the Richard Hannon trained Distinguished Lady who races in the Amo Racing silks. She finished a 7 3/4L third at Newbury on her debut to a smart sort in Mawj with the runner up that day winning since. I’ll be keeping stakes small by think the most likeliest winner is Absolutelyflawless. ABSOLUTELYFLAWLESS 2 points win @ 11/4 William Hill Haydock 2.20 A competitive class 2 1m 4F handicap is up next with only a few of the thirteen participants in with a chance in my opinion. The most interesting runner is Mahrajaan from the very much in form William Haggas stable. He’s not been seen for 232 days though fitness could easily be an issue here. That will be no problem for David & Nicola Barron’s Contact, a winner of a valuable 1m 4F Newmarket handicap in April and 5lb higher in the weights now. The horse that stands out to me is bottom weight Forza Orta who ran Mahrajaan’s stable companion Gaassee to a length at York last time out. A 3lb rise may not stop Kevin Ryan’s progressive four year old going one better here and he’s a strong fancy. FORZA ORTA 3 points win @ 7/2 William Hill Beverley 2.40 A nine runner class 3 handicap that features one of the best bets of the day. Tim Easterby has brought his six year old Ugo Gregory around steadily this season and looks ready to win now. He adores this track having won three of his six starts here with his latest course and distance success coming off of the same handicap mark as todays last September (he followed up at York off of a 2lb higher mark the following month). He’s had three runs to get him fit and hopefully ready for today’s contest dropping 6lb and with Duran Fentiman in the saddle. The only negative against him is if the ground was to get rattling fast as he does prefer good ground. Top weight Percy’s Lad is chasing a hat trick following wins at Yarmouth and Nottingham this spring but has risen 11lb for that brace of victories. Wobwobwob is back at his favoured trip of 7F and maybe a bigger threat but for me this is all about Ugo Gregory. UGO GREGORY 3 points win @ 4/1 William Hill Haydock 2.55 Ten fillies or mares go to post for the Group 3 Pinnacle Stakes run over 1m 4F of the Lancashire track. The best in at these weights is the Irish challenger Climate trained by Jessie Harrington who ran her best ever run when 4th in the Dahlia Stakes at Newmarket last time out. Both Darlectable You and Lady Hayes are in foal to Frankel and hold place chances but the one I like here is Sea La Rosa from the unstoppable William Haggas stable who’s currently operating at a 38% wins to runs ratio. She hasn’t been seen since winning a listed race on the all weather at Lingfield last October but won first time out last season and can take this step up in grade in her stride with Tom Marquand doing the steering. SEA LA ROSA 2 points win @ 5/2 Bet365 Beverley 3.15 Another two year old sprint at the Yorkshire track, this time for colts and geldings over 5F. Warm favourite is likely to be Whistle And Flute who will be hard to beat on the form book. Eve Johnson Houghton’s Dandy Man colt followed up his Bath victory with a credible 2nd to Andrew Balding newcomer Bakeel at Ascot with the horse 3L back in third winning since. That should be good enough to win this. The horse I fear most is the Andrew Balding runner Chateau who was an eye catcher on his debut at Salisbury when third to Remarkable Force who’s won since at Musselburgh. Jm Jungle has also had his Hamilton maiden win franked by the runner up going in again since whilst Rogue Spirit was a course and distance winner on his debut but has surprisingly been gelded since. The value may lie with Chateau here at a bigger price than Whistle And Flute. CHATEAU 2 points win @ 9/2 William Hill Haydock 3.30 The John Of Gaunt Stakes is a group 3 contest run over 7F for four year olds and upwards and has attracted a small but select field of eight this year. The best in at the weights is Ralph Beckett’s Kinross who actually won this contest by a comfortable length and a quarter last year and is back to defend his title. He loves to get his toe in and unless the ground dried up dramatically is the one to beat here on his seasonal re-appearance (he won this last year on the back of a 107 day break). There’s actually only 7lb between the whole field and bar the rag Catch Twentytwo a case can be made for all here. Andrew Balding’s Happy Power won well last time at Leicester but this represents a further step up in grade whilst the Gosden’s Sunray Major steps down in class having contested the group one Lockinge Stakes last time. He prefers fast ground however so any cut in the ground may not be ideal. As long as there’s sufficient ease in the ground I’ll take Kinross to win this contest for the second consecutive year. KINROSS 2 points win @ 3/1 William Hill (no bet on good to firm) Chester 3.45 As with all races here over 5-7F the draw is vitally important and this eleven runner class 2 7F 127 yards handicap is no different. Last years winner Boardman, trained by Tim Easterby is back to defend his title off of a 5lb higher mark and a favourable draw in stall 2 and has a terrific chance. Local trainer Hugo Palmer’s representative Fools Rush In finished just ahead of Boardman here earlier in the month and although 3lb better off may struggle to confirm the form as Boardman had a nightmare run that day. He’s the main bet but I can’t resist a small each way saver on Richard Hannon’s 9 year old Oh This Is Us who has also fared well with the draw in trap 3. Only a length behind Boardman earlier in the season at Haydock he’s 6lb better off now and has track figures of 11213. He can push Boardman all the way. BOARDMAN 2 points win 5/2 William Hill OH THIS IS US 1 point each way 13/2 Coral 1/5th 123
  23. Just the two return for a loss today of 6.1 points. Tomorrow's thought are up on the 'Racing Tips' button above. Hope you've all found a winner this weekend.
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