Jump to content
** March Poker League Result : =1st Bridscott, =1st Like2Fish, 3rd avongirl **
** Cheltenham Tipster Competition Result : 1st Old codger, 2nd sirspread, 3rd Bathtime For Rupert **

Leaderboard

Popular Content

Showing content with the highest reputation on 06/23/2022 in all areas

  1. Denny McCarthy needs to be picked purely on that putting. Hence his price going 66s to 50. Short course here. I'm going with the following : Bradley 30/1 bet365 (5 places, 1/4th) Riley 35/1 bet365 (5 places, 1/4th) ---------------------------------------------------- McCarthy 50/1 bet365 (5 places, 1/4th) Steele 60/1 bet365 (5 places, 1/4th) ---------------------------------------------------- Dahmen 80/1 bet365 (5 places, 1/4th) McNealy 80/1 bet365 (5 places, 1/4th) Hossler 125/1 bet365 (5 places, 1/4th)
    4 points
  2. These few weeks between the French and Wimbledon are always trappy. It's really hard to get a handle on a good bet - motivation is questionable, the transition from clay to grass is probably the most pronounced surface transition there is and lots of players have hardly ever played on grass so you've got much less of an idea of what to expect and sometimes no idea at all. It all adds up to results like Van Rijthoven winning the other week and Haddad Maia turning into Serena out of nowhere which are scenarios I don't think you'd see on other surfaces.
    3 points
  3. Going wins on Cantley, speight. Ew on varner. Dad has went burns (so I added a small bit extra on him too). Also went finau. Good luck all
    3 points
  4. Morning all. Going with a Kevin Philippart De Foy double. Nottingham. 1.10. Tuddenham Mill 5/4... unpl 3.30. Adjudicator. 2/1.... unpl singles & double Good luck all.
    3 points
  5. Danielle Lao to beat Nastasja Mariana Schunk at 2.10 with BetVictor Not quite sure why Lao is even the underdog here, she's played more on grass recently and with some good results, while Schunk really has only the two qualifying matches under her belt if you don't count the awful performance against Sanders. And, she's beaten clay court players in those two wins. She's talented, true, but Lao has experience on her side and is probably also better on grass overall. Everything above evens is value here imo.
    3 points
  6. rogue lighting. 1.35 aphilios 1.45
    2 points
  7. I'll start off by saying this may well be of no interest to anyone other than me and I'm not sure if this is the best place to post it (it's not really "chat or banter" and isn't specific to a single league so it doesn't seem to fit in the footy section) but here's my thoughts on some stats I've been looking at across the "big 5" leagues. Average goals per league fairly steady at 2.81 compared to 2.8 last season. Some ups and downs in the various leagues but nothing likely to be significant. Penalties scored down from 553 to 471 (10.8% of all goals to 9.2%). I assume that's down to less being awarded rather than poorer conversion but I'll look for the pens awarded numbers. Maybe things are settling down VAR wise. Own goals fairly steady, up from 155 to 161 or 3.03% to 3.14%. Goals scored by subs up from 666 to 707 or 13.02% to 13.77%. Across the 2 seasons it's only been 9.16% in the Premier League (3 subs max) as opposed to 14.49% in the other 4 leagues (5 subs max). So we can expect an increase in England next season when the 5 sub rule is adopted. Obviously relevant to anytime goalscorer betting in terms of less goals being scored by the starting 11 when the number of subs is increased. The % of goals that had an assist was up from 66.8% to 68.2%, largely down to less penalties being scored. If you exclude own goals and penalties the % of "assisted" goals is fairly steady at 77.8% from 77.6%. So an average of 2.81 goals per games but only 1.92 assists. I have a strong feeling that most punters don't appreciate that gulf which makes the anytime assists market even more profitable for the bookies that the anytime goalscorer. I'm still tilting at backing in the goalscorer market (we'll see how that goes next season) but am also happily a seller at bigger prices. I've learnt my lesson with regard to assists though. Never a buyer or a backer be! Will probably look at the bookings related stats next.
    1 point
  8. Bellier might be about to do a Van Rijthoven as well. In fairness it's not all unpredictable - Berrettini going back to back couldn't be described as that much of a surprise, except maybe from the perspective he's not long back from injury.
    1 point
  9. Ward Castle 2:00 Newmarket (10/1 bet365). Open race but this looks to have as good a chance as any at a decent price. Good 2nd on the AW at Kempton, only lost on the head bob and winner since scored in a handicap off 76, suggesting today's mark of 71 is fair enough. Probably needed Redcar reappearance and pulled too hard last time in 1st time blinkers, still ran well enough though. Settled and travelled well but not good enough.
    1 point
  10. Hamilton. Double 7.00. Mokaman. 11/2 9.00. Macho Pride. 5/2 singles & double Leicester. Double. 8.15. Laguna Veneta. 2/1 7.45. Mumma Mac...... 11/4 singles & double Good luck all.
    1 point
  11. Well, that didn't quite work out, should've stayed with the regular WTA I guess. Anyway, not much now until the Grand Slam!
    1 point
  12. eight of diamonds 2.00
    1 point
  13. Went with wins on Billy horschel (wondering if he's getting into the euro scene for the upcoming opens in the uk) Also oosthuizen. Went e/w on kaymer. Dad has Went pèrez and Burmester. Good luck all.
    1 point
  14. chateaubriant in France x
    1 point
  15. Newm 345 Cliffs Of Capri 9/1 £20 win bet365
    1 point
  16. I had difficulty finding the venue let alone the horse. Is this place in France? Good luck with your selection I hope it is allowed to wear Wellie boots on the heavy going
    1 point
  17. 1.35 newcastle shine's ambition 40/1 e/w bet365
    1 point
  18. 12.50 chateaubriand coco senora 10/1 £10 e/w bet365
    1 point
  19. Liquid Metric Newcastle 13:00 15/2 @BET365
    1 point
  20. Thursday Scudamore 4.40 Nottingham e/w 14/1 bet365
    1 point
  21. Won. £144 profit. Have finally stopped the rot.
    1 point
  22. harry_rag

    Bookie like skybet

    Well, next time there's a "big" game, you'll have to trawl all the firms and see who offers what, but here's my top of the head thoughts. 365: Might offer some under/over lines but not for as wide a range as Sky Bet do. Can be good value on their AH lines PP; Similar offering to Sky Bet in terms of a lot of lines being priced up (presume same with BF Sportsbook) Unibet: Usually offer 2 or 3 lines Betway: As per Unibet Hills: Just price up (I think) under 5, 5-6 and over 6 for each team If you want real flexibility in terms of ways to bet on corners then I'd suggest opening accounts with the spread firms (who also have fixed odds offerings as well).
    1 point
  23. Bath 5.00 CHOIRMASTER 15/2 £10 EW SKY 4 places
    1 point
  24. Time restricted again today and will be having some sherry later and cooking fillet steak for my wife. It is our 41st Wedding Anniversary 1.35 Worc Pencreek 1 pt win at 5/1 and 0.5 saver bet on Texard at 3/1 Back later, hopefully
    1 point
  25. On lotty picking horses ?
    1 point
  26. Tsitsipas is the most overrated player. To lose from Ivashka is something not shocking. I mean i don't trust Tsitsipas any more against any player. And especially on grass, he looks weak player. Dozens would beat him on grass. Zero progress in the last three years on his game. Actually is moving backwards than forwards. And i hate his father. If he doesn't fire his idiot father for ever, don't expect anything from Tsitsipas. I am out of any betting involvement this week.
    1 point
  27. Well done to the 2 winners and good luck for the final
    1 point
  28. lost +£328 june +£1212 1st oct
    0 points
  29. Probably another I am going to regret.... 3.10 Newmarket Sea Tsarina (4/9 Bet365)
    0 points
×
×
  • Create New...