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Travelers Championship
Johnrobertson and 3 others reacted to Fader for a topic
Denny McCarthy needs to be picked purely on that putting. Hence his price going 66s to 50. Short course here. I'm going with the following : Bradley 30/1 bet365 (5 places, 1/4th) Riley 35/1 bet365 (5 places, 1/4th) ---------------------------------------------------- McCarthy 50/1 bet365 (5 places, 1/4th) Steele 60/1 bet365 (5 places, 1/4th) ---------------------------------------------------- Dahmen 80/1 bet365 (5 places, 1/4th) McNealy 80/1 bet365 (5 places, 1/4th) Hossler 125/1 bet365 (5 places, 1/4th)4 points -
These few weeks between the French and Wimbledon are always trappy. It's really hard to get a handle on a good bet - motivation is questionable, the transition from clay to grass is probably the most pronounced surface transition there is and lots of players have hardly ever played on grass so you've got much less of an idea of what to expect and sometimes no idea at all. It all adds up to results like Van Rijthoven winning the other week and Haddad Maia turning into Serena out of nowhere which are scenarios I don't think you'd see on other surfaces.3 points
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Travelers Championship
Johnrobertson and 2 others reacted to fd1972uk for a topic
Going wins on Cantley, speight. Ew on varner. Dad has went burns (so I added a small bit extra on him too). Also went finau. Good luck all3 points -
Racing chat - Thursday 22nd June
alexcaruso808 and 2 others reacted to kensland for a topic
Morning all. Going with a Kevin Philippart De Foy double. Nottingham. 1.10. Tuddenham Mill 5/4... unpl 3.30. Adjudicator. 2/1.... unpl singles & double Good luck all.3 points -
Tennis Tips - June 20 - June 26
four-leaf and 2 others reacted to CzechPunter for a topic
Danielle Lao to beat Nastasja Mariana Schunk at 2.10 with BetVictor Not quite sure why Lao is even the underdog here, she's played more on grass recently and with some good results, while Schunk really has only the two qualifying matches under her belt if you don't count the awful performance against Sanders. And, she's beaten clay court players in those two wins. She's talented, true, but Lao has experience on her side and is probably also better on grass overall. Everything above evens is value here imo.3 points -
Racing chat - Thursday 22nd June
alexcaruso808 and one other reacted to azzybear for a topic
rogue lighting. 1.35 aphilios 1.452 points -
I'll start off by saying this may well be of no interest to anyone other than me and I'm not sure if this is the best place to post it (it's not really "chat or banter" and isn't specific to a single league so it doesn't seem to fit in the footy section) but here's my thoughts on some stats I've been looking at across the "big 5" leagues. Average goals per league fairly steady at 2.81 compared to 2.8 last season. Some ups and downs in the various leagues but nothing likely to be significant. Penalties scored down from 553 to 471 (10.8% of all goals to 9.2%). I assume that's down to less being awarded rather than poorer conversion but I'll look for the pens awarded numbers. Maybe things are settling down VAR wise. Own goals fairly steady, up from 155 to 161 or 3.03% to 3.14%. Goals scored by subs up from 666 to 707 or 13.02% to 13.77%. Across the 2 seasons it's only been 9.16% in the Premier League (3 subs max) as opposed to 14.49% in the other 4 leagues (5 subs max). So we can expect an increase in England next season when the 5 sub rule is adopted. Obviously relevant to anytime goalscorer betting in terms of less goals being scored by the starting 11 when the number of subs is increased. The % of goals that had an assist was up from 66.8% to 68.2%, largely down to less penalties being scored. If you exclude own goals and penalties the % of "assisted" goals is fairly steady at 77.8% from 77.6%. So an average of 2.81 goals per games but only 1.92 assists. I have a strong feeling that most punters don't appreciate that gulf which makes the anytime assists market even more profitable for the bookies that the anytime goalscorer. I'm still tilting at backing in the goalscorer market (we'll see how that goes next season) but am also happily a seller at bigger prices. I've learnt my lesson with regard to assists though. Never a buyer or a backer be! Will probably look at the bookings related stats next.1 point
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Tennis Tips - June 20 - June 26
Foo_Fighter reacted to Torque for a topic
Bellier might be about to do a Van Rijthoven as well. In fairness it's not all unpredictable - Berrettini going back to back couldn't be described as that much of a surprise, except maybe from the perspective he's not long back from injury.1 point -
Ward Castle 2:00 Newmarket (10/1 bet365). Open race but this looks to have as good a chance as any at a decent price. Good 2nd on the AW at Kempton, only lost on the head bob and winner since scored in a handicap off 76, suggesting today's mark of 71 is fair enough. Probably needed Redcar reappearance and pulled too hard last time in 1st time blinkers, still ran well enough though. Settled and travelled well but not good enough.1 point
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Racing chat - Thursday 22nd June
richard-westwood reacted to kensland for a topic
Hamilton. Double 7.00. Mokaman. 11/2 9.00. Macho Pride. 5/2 singles & double Leicester. Double. 8.15. Laguna Veneta. 2/1 7.45. Mumma Mac...... 11/4 singles & double Good luck all.1 point -
Tennis Tips - June 20 - June 26
Foo_Fighter reacted to CzechPunter for a topic
Well, that didn't quite work out, should've stayed with the regular WTA I guess. Anyway, not much now until the Grand Slam!1 point -
Racing chat - Thursday 22nd June
alexcaruso808 reacted to azzybear for a topic
eight of diamonds 2.001 point -
BMW International Open
MinellaWorksop reacted to fd1972uk for a topic
Went with wins on Billy horschel (wondering if he's getting into the euro scene for the upcoming opens in the uk) Also oosthuizen. Went e/w on kaymer. Dad has Went pèrez and Burmester. Good luck all.1 point -
£20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome
The Equaliser reacted to vikki37 for a topic
chateaubriant in France x1 point -
£20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome
The Equaliser reacted to Nigwilliam for a topic
Newm 345 Cliffs Of Capri 9/1 £20 win bet3651 point -
£20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome
LEE-GRAYS reacted to The Equaliser for a topic
I had difficulty finding the venue let alone the horse. Is this place in France? Good luck with your selection I hope it is allowed to wear Wellie boots on the heavy going1 point -
1.35 newcastle shine's ambition 40/1 e/w bet3651 point
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£20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome
The Equaliser reacted to LEE-GRAYS for a topic
12.50 chateaubriand coco senora 10/1 £10 e/w bet3651 point -
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Naps - Thursday 23rd June
Wildgarden reacted to Sugardaddyken for a topic
Liquid Metric Newcastle 13:00 15/2 @BET3651 point -
£20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome
The Equaliser reacted to Artie77 for a topic
Thursday Scudamore 4.40 Nottingham e/w 14/1 bet3651 point -
Won. £144 profit. Have finally stopped the rot.1 point
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Well, next time there's a "big" game, you'll have to trawl all the firms and see who offers what, but here's my top of the head thoughts. 365: Might offer some under/over lines but not for as wide a range as Sky Bet do. Can be good value on their AH lines PP; Similar offering to Sky Bet in terms of a lot of lines being priced up (presume same with BF Sportsbook) Unibet: Usually offer 2 or 3 lines Betway: As per Unibet Hills: Just price up (I think) under 5, 5-6 and over 6 for each team If you want real flexibility in terms of ways to bet on corners then I'd suggest opening accounts with the spread firms (who also have fixed odds offerings as well).1 point
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Bath 5.00 CHOIRMASTER 15/2 £10 EW SKY 4 places1 point
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Racing chat Wednesday 22 June
alexcaruso808 reacted to The Equaliser for a topic
Time restricted again today and will be having some sherry later and cooking fillet steak for my wife. It is our 41st Wedding Anniversary 1.35 Worc Pencreek 1 pt win at 5/1 and 0.5 saver bet on Texard at 3/1 Back later, hopefully1 point -
Racing chat Wednesday 22 June
alexcaruso808 reacted to LEE-GRAYS for a topic
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Tsitsipas is the most overrated player. To lose from Ivashka is something not shocking. I mean i don't trust Tsitsipas any more against any player. And especially on grass, he looks weak player. Dozens would beat him on grass. Zero progress in the last three years on his game. Actually is moving backwards than forwards. And i hate his father. If he doesn't fire his idiot father for ever, don't expect anything from Tsitsipas. I am out of any betting involvement this week.1 point
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SIR PUNTALOT KO CUP SEMI FINAL - Deadline Saturday 2pm
The Equaliser reacted to justanotherpunter for a topic
Well done to the 2 winners and good luck for the final1 point -
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£20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome
The Equaliser reacted to LEE-GRAYS for a topic
lost +£328 june +£1212 1st oct0 points -
Naps - Thursday 23rd June
MCLARKE reacted to Peter York for a topic
Probably another I am going to regret.... 3.10 Newmarket Sea Tsarina (4/9 Bet365)0 points