richard-westwood Posted October 7, 2022 Share Posted October 7, 2022 315 york sprint trophy Gisburn 8.8 18/1 Hyperfocus 8.6 16/1 Air raid 8.6 20/1 Dusky lord 8.3 Dakota gold 8.1 Silver samurai 8.1 Good prices ....not many big races left ....let's go for a big win 10pt wins top 3 ...1pt forecasts top 3 black rabbit, kensland, jonjo and 5 others 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Brigadier Posted October 7, 2022 Share Posted October 7, 2022 Newmarket 1.50 The days racing at Newmarket kicks of with the Group 3 10F Zetalnd Stakes for two year olds. My initial thoughts were that I wanted to take on the short favourite Flying Honours trained by Charlie Appleby and ridden by William Buick but the more I delved into the race nothing really appealed against him. The favourite should relish the step up from a mile to ten furlongs and looked a top performer when an easy winner at Sandown and Salisbury (from subsequent winner Stormbuster) in the Summer. He went off a well backed 2/7 shot in the Royal Lodge last time when flopping in coming home only 3rd of the 4 runners beaten half a length. But for that defeat he would be an odds on chance here so if we can forgive him that effort then anything above evens is probably worth taking. The closest to the favourite on ratings is the Charlie and Mark Johnstone trained Dear My Friend who ran his best race to date last time when third in a listed contest in France. Maiden winners Galactic Jack, Tenerife Sunshine (also trained by the Johnstones) and Blanchland will all need to step up so let’s go with the favourite but to smallish stakes as he did bomb out last time. FLYING HONOURS 2 points win @ 5/4 BetVictor York 2.05 Nine assemble for the listed Rockingham Stakes run over 6F of the Knavesmire. William Haggas’s Alpha Capture appeared to improve for cheek pieces when just touched off on the line by Cold Case in a in sales race at Doncaster 30 days ago and with Tom Marquand riding looks likely to go close. Cold Case has gone on to win the big Redcar sales contest from Holguin who was back in third in the Doncaster race and the 4th that day Galeron has gone over to The Curragh and plundered the Goffs Million so the form has a very solid look about it and he’ll be hard to beat. His main danger appears to Roger Varian’s Bolt Action who followed up a credible runner up spot in a listed contest at Ayr to beat the well thought of Wallop at Salisbury a fortnight later. He’s officially rated the same as Alpha Capture and can make him fight all the way. Richard Fahey saddles Rousing Encore who was runner up to the useful Sakheer last time but there was only one winner that day and if there is a horse who could step forward massively for his debut run then surely it’s Johnny Murtagh’s Bay Of Plenty who was very green when winning on his debut at Naas 23 days ago and it must be significant that Murtagh brings him over from his County Kildare base. ALPHA CAPTURE 2 points win @ 15/8 Coral BAY OF PLENTY 1/2 point each way @ 14/1 1/5th 123 Newmarket 2.25 Another two year old contest, this time the Group 3 Autumn Stakes run over a mile. Charlie Appleby’s Silver Knott let us down last time and has to shoulder a 3lb penalty here. The excuse for the lack lustre effort was the soft ground so he can be given another chance but I prefer Karl Burke’s Holloway Boy who can give Dewhurst favourite Nostrum a boost ahead of his race later on the card. He went down by a length and a quarter to Sir Michael Stoute’s smart juvenile over seven furlongs here a fortnight ago with the strongly fancied Victory Dance 3L away in third. That was a strong piece of form and the extra furlong should suit him. Epictetus is a very interesting runner who seemingly won unfancied in a maiden at the July course on his debut 92 days ago. That form has worked out well with four winners coming out of the race and he could easily be a player here but I’m sticking with the best form line of Holloway Boy. HOLLOWAY BAY 2 points win @ 16/5 Paddy Power York 2.40 A disappointing turnout for the time of the year for this 1m 2 1/2F class 2 handicap with just six entered including one (What’s The Story ) who also has an entry on Friday. Stay Well looks held by rival Marching Army and top weight Algiers has plenty on here on the back of a long absence for The Crisford’s. Saga has become a disappointing horse though does try a new trip today and this may be fought out by Saeed Bin Suroor’s Marching Army who’s chasing a hat trick of wins and William Haggas’s Protagonist who was badly drawn last time out in the Cambridgeshire. It’s hard to split the pair with slight preference for the latter who ended up finishing second of eight on his far side group last time and on his previous two victories at Doncaster and Sandown looks sure to be thereabouts. PROTAGONIST 1 point win @ 11/4 Betfred Newmarket 3.00 Next up is the Group 1 Dewhurst Stakes for two year olds run over 7F of the Rowley mile. Unfortunately Sakheer who was supplemented on Monday was taken out of the race at the eleventh hour with a dirty scope which must have been infuriating for his connections. The warm favourite here is Sir Michael Stoute’s Nostrum who looked so good when winning over course and distance 16 days ago from Holloway Boy who runs in the previous race and could well give him a late form boost. As smart as he looked that day he represents scant value to my eyes at around the 6/4 mark and it’s the owners other runner trained by Andrew Balding Chaldean who I want to be with. He’s beaten the same horse (Indestructible) on his last two outings and there will no doubt be people asking what he’s actually beaten but his trainer was very complimentary after his latest win saying he’s a ‘high class horse in the making’ and with some firms paying three places here in this seven runner contest can be played each way. Charlie Appleby saddles his Naval Power who’s stepping up in grade having won two listed contests but didn’t blow me away with his performance last time and looks short enough in the market at around 10/3. I wouldn’t discount Brian Meehan’s Isaac Shelby who’s had a break since winning the Group 2 Superlative Stakes back in July. He looks over priced at double figure odds. CHALDEAN 1 1/2 points each way @ 4/1 bet365 1/5 123 York 3.15 A widely competitive twenty two runner 6F class 2 sprint completes the televised York coverage. Interestingly 8 of the last 10 winners of this race were drawn in a single figure stall so it may pay to concentrate on those drawn low. That would rule our Gulliver who’s won two of the last three renewals of this event off of higher handicap marks (drawn in 22) and last year’s runner up Laugh A Minute from stall 21. Course specialist (5 wins from 11 starts) Dakota Gold looks interesting from stall 2 and likewise from box 1 Roger Varian’s Dusky Lord who took his field apart in the Ayr Silver Cup last time for which he’s been given a 9lb rise in the weights. I’ll take him to back that win up although I wouldn’t discount last year’s winner Volatile Analyst at big price to bounce back to form. DUSKY LORD 1 point each way @ 8/1 William Hill 1/5th 123456 Newmarket 3.40 For the first time this century we have less than thirty runners contesting this years renewal of the Cesarewitch Handicap with a mere 23 runners going to post for the 2m 2F contest. Following the sad news of the Pipe’s Adagio dropping down dead following a a heart attack on the gallops on Friday morning ( who incidentally would of been a very strong fancy of mine) the market is now headed by two NH trainers in Nicky Henderson’s Ahorsewithnoname and Charles Byrne’s Run For Oscar. Both have solid chances with my slight preference for the former who’s been trained for this just like last years winner Buzz by the Seven Barrows maestro. She won two two mile handicaps in the Spring in facile fashion and despite a 10lb rise for her latest win at York could still be ahead of her mark. Ryan Moore has been booked and she’s the main bet in the race. Others that can run well include Frankie Dettori’s mount Zoffee who didn’t get the clearest of runs when last seen at York in August whilst Gibraltar is one of three left in by Irish trainer Willie Mullins who has a good record in the race having won three of the lat four renewals. His other two runners are Scaramanga (first run for the Closutton trainer) and Baby Zeus (now the mount of William Buick) and have to be given respect. She may not be much of a price for such a big field handicap but Ahorsewithnoname can take this for Henderson who’s won this race three times before. AHORSEWITHNONAME 2 points each way @ 4/1 William Hill 1/5th 123456 Bang on, Nigwilliam, The Equaliser and 10 others 12 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calva decoy Posted October 7, 2022 Share Posted October 7, 2022 (edited) 340 Newmarket SCARAMANGA 12/1 bet365 ( 6 ) GIBRALTAR 12/1 bet365 ( 6 ) W.Mullins has 3 in the race & had good record in it , 26 stakes & allowance races in US & Canada on Saturday so only 2 bets in UK today . Free £5 bet from bet365 BABY ZEUS 12/1 eway ( 6 ) , that's all 3 of W.Mullins covered . as rubbish as the football was , just watched the recorded highlights & fair play to Run For Oscar , one of the least exposed horses in the field . Edited October 8, 2022 by calva decoy results update jonjo, alexcaruso808, The Equaliser and 6 others 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted October 7, 2022 Share Posted October 7, 2022 (edited) Chepstow 2.17 , Native River handicap chase over just shy of 3 miles Peregrine Run 9.45 13/2 won Kittys Light 9.42 9/4 Cap Du Nord 9.4 16/1 El Presente 9.1 11/1 Tea Clipper is hot favourite at 7/4 and is heavily backed by the tipsters . I’m not that sure why in all honesty . I’m not sure he’ll out stay some of these genuine good handicap horses, but maybe he’s coming of age and is only 7, so definitely scope for improvement . I’m just not convinced and at that price has to be taken on . Taken on with what though because I’ve got basically nothing between the top 3 with 4th just behind them . The logical bet is to go with Cap Du Nord ew at 16/1 I think. 2.50 points ew Cap Du Nord 16/1 paying 3 places Edited October 8, 2022 by Villa Chris MinellaWorksop, azzybear, alexcaruso808 and 5 others 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
black rabbit Posted October 7, 2022 Share Posted October 7, 2022 (edited) Vino Victrix 3 40 Nwm/ 1/20th of a pt win 16/1 Myristica 5 00 Yrk/ 1/20 th pt wn 75/1 Dear My Friend 1 50Yrk 1/20th of a pt win 10/1 Pretty Boy Floyd 3 10 Curh/ 1/20 th of a pt win 20/1 Metahorse 1 30 Yrk/ 1/10 th of a pt win 12/1 Pink Crystal 4 50 Nmk/ 1/10 of a pt win 8/1 Give Us A Sub 4 15 Yrk 1/20th of a pt ew 36/1 P/L +161 pts Edited October 8, 2022 by black rabbit kensland, jonjo, alexcaruso808 and 4 others 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fd1972uk Posted October 7, 2022 Share Posted October 7, 2022 Sad news about Adagio. The Equaliser, Villa Chris, alexcaruso808 and 2 others 2 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tedthewolf Posted October 7, 2022 Share Posted October 7, 2022 Another tough days racing small e/w bets and a e/w L15 for me. 3.40 NM -*CALL MY BLUFF 20/1 BOG 6p In good form decent mark should go well. 3.15 YORK-*BIELSA 20/1bog 6p Was poor in the Ayr gold cup last time a race he stole the year before on a fair mark and blinkers on now may just sweeten certainly good enough to win this if he puts in. Taking a chance that APOLLO ONE BOG 6p puts in also can be a bit of a monkey but has the talent to go well here. 4.25 YORK -*ITS GOOD TO LAUGH 8/1 5p bog Ran well lto at ayr down another !lb. MONSIEUR LAMBRAYS18/1 BOG 5p Fahey runner on a good mark money around for it. 5.00 YORK-*FISHABLE 12/1 BOG 5p Easterbys rarely leave york meeting without a winner , This horse was 2md in this 2 years ago on a very good mark now ran well lto same gain would go close * Are the e/w Lucky 15 horses. GOOD LUCK ALL The Equaliser, kensland, MinellaWorksop and 5 others 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexcaruso808 Posted October 7, 2022 Share Posted October 7, 2022 Course Time Selection Odds / Bet Type Result York 13:30 XJ Rascal 5.00 / win 14:40 Marching Army 3.50 / win Newmarket 15:00 Chaldean 4.50 / win 16:50 Manaafith 7.00 / win 17:20 Cadillac 16.00 / EW 4 places Royal Fleet 4.50 / win Chelmsford 20:00 Griggy 3.00 / win Good luck everyone. kensland, Villa Chris, cannotbebeat and 5 others 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted October 7, 2022 Share Posted October 7, 2022 (edited) 3.27 Chepstow Only a four horse race , but I’ll play as it start of jumps season Flic Ou Voyou 9.42 7/2 won Paint The Dream 9.22 7/4 Galahad Quest 9.15 3/1 Light N Strike 7.9 3/1 bit of value to be had with the Paul Nicholls horse at 7/2 5 points win Flic Ou Voyou Edited October 8, 2022 by Villa Chris MinellaWorksop, black rabbit, azzybear and 4 others 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kensland Posted October 7, 2022 Share Posted October 7, 2022 (edited) York. Double. 1.30. Grey's Monument. 9/2... 1st 3.50. Feud. 5/2... 3rd singles & double. Good luck all. Edited October 8, 2022 by kensland alexcaruso808, black rabbit, MinellaWorksop and 3 others 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted October 7, 2022 Author Share Posted October 7, 2022 Cesarewitch Vino victrix 9.2 11/1 Zoffee 8.9 16/1 Horsewithnoname 8.5 Baby zeus 8.3 Not so sleepy 8.3 Very difficult race but loads of value in top 2 with 6 places to run at ...so I'll try 10pt ew both alexcaruso808, jonjo, azzybear and 4 others 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannotbebeat Posted October 8, 2022 Share Posted October 8, 2022 YORK 2.40 Protagonist 13/8 4.25 Atacama Desert 5/2 Singles & double CHELMSFORD CITY 7.00 Chief Of Staff 3/1 8.00 Griggy 9/4 Singles & double Good luck all CNBB. Villa Chris, alexcaruso808, azzybear and 2 others 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjo Posted October 8, 2022 Share Posted October 8, 2022 Working day for me again today but here are a few turning out for a new stable today in with a chance, good luck everyone. Perculator 4.43 Hexham 8/1 Notes Age Of Sail 1.42 Chepstow 9/4 Interne De Sivola (FR) 2.52 Chepstow 9/2 Galahad Quest (FR) 3.27 Chepstow 3/1 black rabbit, alexcaruso808, Villa Chris and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LEE-GRAYS Posted October 8, 2022 Share Posted October 8, 2022 Come on sleepy 40/1 e/w Tedthewolf, alexcaruso808, calva decoy and 4 others 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zilzalian Posted October 8, 2022 Share Posted October 8, 2022 1 minute ago, LEE-GRAYS said: Come on sleepy 40/1 e/w had a half decent bet on at 50's hard race to win tho alexcaruso808 and LEE-GRAYS 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zilzalian Posted October 8, 2022 Share Posted October 8, 2022 All this creaming about Havlin having his 1st G1, ermmm he's with one of the most powerful stables so i think it says much about him that its took so long, Aiden O'briens 4th choice won a derby a few years ago. Havlin was never good enough only ever a job jockey. The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calva decoy Posted October 8, 2022 Share Posted October 8, 2022 27 minutes ago, Zilzalian said: All this creaming about Havlin having his 1st G1, ermmm he's with one of the most powerful stables so i think it says much about him that its took so long, Aiden O'briens 4th choice won a derby a few years ago. Havlin was never good enough only ever a job jockey. How many Group 1's have you won ? Must be hard for a job jockey to do most of the hard work for another one to grab the glory year after year so fair play to him & others to heap a bit of glory on him for one day in his life . Erling Haaland is getting shed loads of compliments atm , someone has to pass to him . LeMale, MCLARKE, Yalwen and 5 others 7 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
azzybear Posted October 8, 2022 Share Posted October 8, 2022 surerly not 1.30 brides hill 2.05 alpha capture 2.10 silver knot 2.25 The Equaliser, Villa Chris and alexcaruso808 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
azzybear Posted October 8, 2022 Share Posted October 8, 2022 going gone 3.40 alexcaruso808, The Equaliser and Villa Chris 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
azzybear Posted October 8, 2022 Share Posted October 8, 2022 throw in ...lift off 1.50 ew black rabbit, The Equaliser and alexcaruso808 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted October 8, 2022 Author Share Posted October 8, 2022 Need jump practice 402 chep Proschema 8.4 12/1 Knappers Hill 8.4 100/30 Didtgeyleaveyouto 8.0 Did they ran well in this last year so has ew possibility but top 2 look progressive 7pt win knappers 3pt win proschema black rabbit, Wildgarden, alexcaruso808 and 3 others 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted October 8, 2022 Share Posted October 8, 2022 BET365 4/1 TV offer selections NEWM 1.50 Blanchland (2) 11/1 YORK 2.05 Felix Natalis (4) 11/1 black rabbit, The Brigadier, alexcaruso808 and 4 others 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted October 8, 2022 Share Posted October 8, 2022 (edited) 4.02 Chepstow Masters Legacy 9.72 17/2 Didtheyleaveyououtto 9.42 17/2 4th Proschema 8.85 11/1 Knappers Hill 8.27 3/1 won Top two a bit clear but there’s possibly some horses that are going to improve like Knappers Hill , but distance is not guaranteed and he’s up against some well seasoned horses . 5 points win on each of top two Edited October 8, 2022 by Villa Chris MinellaWorksop, richard-westwood, The Brigadier and 3 others 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted October 8, 2022 Author Share Posted October 8, 2022 More jump practice 217 chep Kitty's light 8.4 3/1 Tea clipper 8.1 5/4 Jacamar 7.7 Tough race cos bookies fancy tea clipper but there looks value in kitty's light ...so I'll try 5pt win top rated alexcaruso808, black rabbit, Villa Chris and 3 others 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted October 8, 2022 Share Posted October 8, 2022 (edited) 11 minutes ago, richard-westwood said: More jump practice 217 chep Kitty's light 8.4 3/1 Tea clipper 8.1 5/4 Jacamar 7.7 Tough race cos bookies fancy tea clipper but there looks value in kitty's light ...so I'll try 5pt win top rated Heavily tipped is Tea Clipper and it’s been napped by various tipsters , but see him struggling against the likes of Kitty’s Light. If he does win this then he’s a very good horse. Ran well enough in some strong handicaps at Cheltenham and Aintree , but still well beaten and I’m not entirely convinced he’s that well handicapped to win this. You watch him bolt up today, but we’ll see. Kitty’s Light most likely winner . Edited October 8, 2022 by Villa Chris alexcaruso808, black rabbit, Wildgarden and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted October 8, 2022 Share Posted October 8, 2022 Trends for the Cesarewitch (Newmarket 3.40) 21 runners which is a bit disappointing, there are usually 30+ Age 6/7, 5 from 86. AE 2.06 Odds > 11/1, 3 from 232 This leaves GIBRALTAR at 12/1, 6 places Wildgarden, The Brigadier, Villa Chris and 4 others 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted October 8, 2022 Author Share Posted October 8, 2022 3 minutes ago, Villa Chris said: Heavily tipped is Tea Clipper and it’s been napped by various tipsters , but see him struggling against the likes of Kitty’s Light. If he does win this then he’s a very good horse. Ran well enough in some strong handicaps at Cheltenham and Aintree , but still well beaten and I’m not entirely convinced he’s that well handicapped to win this. You watch him bolt up today, but we’ll see. Kitty’s Light most likely winner if I wasn’t going off my ratings . Yeah it's the start of the season so the main factor is whether they can run any kind of race regarding fitness ...that's the most difficult it's a guessing game ..urgh The Brigadier and The Equaliser 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bang on Posted October 8, 2022 Share Posted October 8, 2022 Looks a bit tricky today. 3.15 York - Gulliver - 1pt EW 13/2 (1/5th 6 places) 3.34 Hex - Finnthemagician - 3pts win - 7/4 3.50 York - Garden Route - 3pts win - 2/1 4.02 Chep - Broomfield Burg - 2pts EW - 5/1 (1/5th 3 places) 5.00 York - Mustazeed - 2pts EW - 9/2 (1/5th 5 places) black rabbit, The Brigadier, The Equaliser and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted October 8, 2022 Share Posted October 8, 2022 Trends for the Coral handicap (York 2.40) A nice easy one this Age = 3, 6 from 28, AE 1.78 This leaves SAGA at 6/1 black rabbit, The Equaliser and The Brigadier 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Equaliser Posted October 8, 2022 Share Posted October 8, 2022 (edited) 2.05 Yk Alpha Capture 11/4 @The Brigadier 2.40 Yk Protagonist 6/4 @The Brigadier @cannotbebeat 4.18 Yk desert Order 11/8 @The Brigadier 1 x 1.50 win Trixie = 6.0 = poss return of 69.70 Singles and savers 2.05 Yk Bay Of Plenty 1 pt win at 4.6; @TheBrigadier did very well to get 14/1 ew 2.40 Yk Stay Well 1 pt win at 4/1 (better in at the weights with Marching Army but I'm hoping more for improvement) 4.15 Nm In These shoes 0.70 win at 11/2 (always dangerous to ignore Mark Johnston) stakes = 8.70 I will be posting up some other bets but thought I would put up the certainties first, haha ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- I don't know what sort of race that was with Protagonist, they went no gallop which allowed Algiers to steal the race. Decided to have another 1 pt to win on In These shoes at 11/2 and 2 pts win on Modern Dancer at 9/2 = 11.70 staked so far RESULTS UPDATE Algiers scuppered my Trixie but at least the double allowed me a small profit. I think I was right to have a saver on Modern Dancer it only got beat by a neck My profit was 1.66 which makes my MTD -22.15 and my YTD -196.13 Quite a bit of class 4 and upwards tomorrow with Goodwood going too. Let's hope that I find some good selections for my much loved multiples Edited October 8, 2022 by The Equaliser RESULTS UPDATE azzybear, richard-westwood, black rabbit and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.