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Racing Chat - Saturday 26th February

The Brigadier
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The Brigadier

The Brigadier

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Kempton 1.15

Only 8 go to post for this 2m 4 1/2F handicap chase. It has an open feel about it with Dan Skelton’s Flegmatik heading the weights. He’s up 7lb for he is recent win and also dropping half a mile which doesn’t look ideal. Also at the head of the market is the Nicky Henderson trained Patroclus who came good last time on his second start over fences and a 3lb rise looks lenient enough. James Bowen rides with stable jockey Nico De Boinville on Neil The Legend. In an open race it’s the Alan King runner Deyraan De Carjac that appeals the most to me. The drier the ground the better for this nine year old who has dropped the best part of a stone for his last six starts and this represents a drop in class. Tom Cannon is in the saddle.

 

DEYRANN DE CARJAC 1 point win @ 9/2 William Hill

 

Lingfield 1.30

Only six assemble for this 5F listed contest, the Hever Sprint Stakes. Best in at these weights is Exlated Angel by 2lb from Lord Riddiford , Mondammej and Tone The Barone. All four have claims but I’m going to take a chance with a horse that on figures shouldn’t have any chance. Alice Haynes has done amazing work with Strong Power in turning his form right around and winning three handicaps over course and distance in January in the space of 9 days. He actually broke the 5F track record here on the second of those wins and may have more to come. It goes against the grain to be honest to back a horse that has 17lb to find with the highest rated here but with his usual partner Kieran O’Neill in the saddle can prove the weights and measures followers wrong!

 

STRONG POWER 1 point win @ 9/1 Bet365

 

Kempton 1.50

A decent enough turnout of eleven for this years renewal of the Adonis Juvenile Hurdle with maybe the last chance that someone can throw their hat into the ring for the Triumph Hurdle in three weeks time. Tritonic was impressive in the race last year before going off to the Triumph as the third favourite. Pleasant Man is the one who could cause some ripples in the Triumph betting if taking to the winter game. Owned by Tritonic’s owners, the McNeill family, he’s in the capable hands of Paul Nicholls, who’s had joy in the race before. A 95 rated flat performer when trained by Roger Charlton he was sold at the horses in training sales for 175,000 guineas. Nicholls also saddles another newcomer in Rubaud, an ex French flat performer who will be ridden here by Bryony Frost who rides plenty for his owner Chris Giles. Penalised 5lb for recent wins are Nicky Henderson’s Impulsive One and Milton Harris’s Knight Salute. It’s the latter that make the most appeal here. Unbeaten in four starts over hurdles including two grade two’s his trainer was talking him up in the trade press on Friday and his form looks rock solid having beaten subsequent impressive winner Porticello at Doncaster when last seen in December. Given a small break since and aimed at this contest he should appreciate the drying ground and looks a decent bet.

 

KNIGHT SALUTE 3 points win @ 2/1 Bet365

 

Lingfield 2.05

Eight go to post for this year’s Winter Derby run over 10F. Lord North is a 123 rated flat horse who we haven’t seen since winning the Dubai Turf at Meydan last March. Without a doubt he’s the class horse and if bringing his A game should win but I’m not prepared to take around Even money about a horse we haven’t seen for a year who’s being prepared for bigger targets later in the year. Second favourite Alenquer is rated only 8lb inferior to Lord North and was last seen when 9th in the Arc De Triomphe in October. A genuine Group one horse he should be thereabouts although there is a nagging doubt that he may well be better over 12F. Fancy Man won the Derby Trial over course and distance earlier in the month from King Of The South (with Al Zaraqaan back in 4th). He should confirm that form with that pair but needs to step up again to worry the front two. With the dead eight currently I’m going to take a chance on the favourites stable mate Forest Of Dean who won this race last year and will be ridden by Kieran O’Neill. The vibes are that the Clarehaven stable expect him to run well and I’ll play him each way and a forecast Lord North to beat his stable mate for a Gosden 1-2.

 

FOREST OF DEAN 1 point each way 12/1 1/5 123 Bet365

LORD NORTH to beat FOREST OF DEAN 1 point straight forecast

 

Kempton 2.25

A small but select field of five go to post for the Pendil Novices’ Chase, a grade two contest run over 2m 4 1/2F. All bar rank outsider Goa Lil have some sort of chance. I’m happy to take on the penalised pair of Minella Drama who’s come down from Donald McCain’s stable having won a grade 2 last time out at Haydock and Paul Nicholl’s Pic D’Orhy who flopped last time out in the Scilly Isles Novice Chase at Sandown (although the trainer’s horses were running well below par at the time). Nicky Henderson saddles Fantastic Lady who as the only mare in the race receives a valuable 7lb sex allowance and although she will need to step up, having only won handicaps on her last two starts, can well here. But the one I like is the Alex Hales trained Millers Bank. A decent hurdler who finished third in a grade one at Aintree last Spring, he’s had the misfortune to unseat his rider Harry Bannister on both of his last two starts. He’s worth another chance with Kieran Woods taking over and is maybe a bit of value in a tricky contest.

 

MILLERS BANK 1 point win @ 9/2 William Hill

 

Kempton 3.00

The dead eight hopefully go to post for the Dovecote Novices’ Hurdle, a grade 2 contest run over 2 miles. Gary Moore’s Shallwehaveonemore has been well supported throughout the week having being as big as 5/1 at one point. He’s now around the Even money mark and although he’s a progressive type who could easily win this represents scant value at his current odds so with hopefully all 8 running I’ll be looking to take him on with Paul Nicholls’ Iceo. He impressed in a fast time on his British/Nicholls debut over course and distance at Christmas when coasting home to win by 17L but was major disappointment next time out at Cheltenham when racing too freely. Whether that poor run was down to the track or even that the yard were badly out if form I’m not sure but if he came here straight from his British debut win he would near enough be pushing for favouritism. Yes he does have questions to answer now but if Harry Cobden can get him to settle he could be good each way value.

 

ICEO 1 1/2 points each way @ 6/1 1/5 123 888Sport

 

Newcastle 3.15

A bumper turnout of seventeen for this years renewal of the Vertem Eider Handicap Chase which is run over 4M 1 1/2F. With conditions on the easy side this will, as always be a test of stamina. Eclair Surf is top of my short list having bolted up in the Classic Handicap Chase at Warwick last month. The further he went the further he went away and despite a 10lb rise should appreciate the extra half a mile today for the in form Emma Lavelle stable. Irish traveller History Of Fashion has to be taken seriously for trainer Peter Fahy but has yet to race beyond three miles so stamina is not guaranteed. The same can be said about the lightly raced Danilo D’Airy from the Robert Bevis yard. Lake View Lad is on a nice mark and with a decent course record shouldn’t be dismissed over a trip which suits.

 

ECLAIR SURF 1 point each way @ 7/1 1/5th 12345 Bet365

LAKE VIEW LAD 1/2 point each way @ 20/1 1/5 123456 Paddy Power

 

Kempton 3.37

The three mile handicap chase has been run under many different guises over the years but Coral have ploughed money into the race and this years renewal looks a competitive affair. A case can be made for many with Christian Williams throwing three at the race. Cap Du Nord carry’s bottom weight and has tumbled down the handicap to such an extent that the nine year old can race here off of a mark 15lb lower than when 5th last year. Jack Tudor takes a further 3lb off and he’s on my short list. Williams’ other runners aren’t without chances in Five Star Getaway, a course and distance winner here over Christmas under Nick Schofield (who retains the ride today) and Kitty’s Light who’s coming down the handicap also. Current favourite is Annsam who beat the subsequent winner Phoenix Way by 4 1/4L at Ascot when last seen in December and the second re-opposes here on identical terms having won at Ascot himself since. A case can literally be made for all the fourteen runners but I’ll take a chance on Cap Du Nord who looks to be on a winning mark.

 

CAP DU NORD 1 point each way @ 7/1 Betfred 1/5th 12345

 

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black rabbit

black rabbit

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Posted
3 hours ago, The Brigadier said:

Kempton 1.15

Only 8 go to post for this 2m 4 1/2F handicap chase. It has an open feel about it with Dan Skelton’s Flegmatik heading the weights. He’s up 7lb for he is recent win and also dropping half a mile which doesn’t look ideal. Also at the head of the market is the Nicky Henderson trained Patroclus who came good last time on his second start over fences and a 3lb rise looks lenient enough. James Bowen rides with stable jockey Nico De Boinville on Neil The Legend. In an open race it’s the Alan King runner Deyraan De Carjac that appeals the most to me. The drier the ground the better for this nine year old who has dropped the best part of a stone for his last six starts and this represents a drop in class. Tom Cannon is in the saddle.

 

DEYRANN DE CARJAC 1 point win @ 9/2 William Hill

 

Lingfield 1.30

Only six assemble for this 5F listed contest, the Hever Sprint Stakes. Best in at these weights is Exlated Angel by 2lb from Lord Riddiford , Mondammej and Tone The Barone. All four have claims but I’m going to take a chance with a horse that on figures shouldn’t have any chance. Alice Haynes has done amazing work with Strong Power in turning his form right around and winning three handicaps over course and distance in January in the space of 9 days. He actually broke the 5F track record here on the second of those wins and may have more to come. It goes against the grain to be honest to back a horse that has 17lb to find with the highest rated here but with his usual partner Kieran O’Neill in the saddle can prove the weights and measures followers wrong!

 

STRONG POWER 1 point win @ 9/1 Bet365

 

Kempton 1.50

A decent enough turnout of eleven for this years renewal of the Adonis Juvenile Hurdle with maybe the last chance that someone can throw their hat into the ring for the Triumph Hurdle in three weeks time. Tritonic was impressive in the race last year before going off to the Triumph as the third favourite. Pleasant Man is the one who could cause some ripples in the Triumph betting if taking to the winter game. Owned by Tritonic’s owners, the McNeill family, he’s in the capable hands of Paul Nicholls, who’s had joy in the race before. A 95 rated flat performer when trained by Roger Charlton he was sold at the horses in training sales for 175,000 guineas. Nicholls also saddles another newcomer in Rubaud, an ex French flat performer who will be ridden here by Bryony Frost who rides plenty for his owner Chris Giles. Penalised 5lb for recent wins are Nicky Henderson’s Impulsive One and Milton Harris’s Knight Salute. It’s the latter that make the most appeal here. Unbeaten in four starts over hurdles including two grade two’s his trainer was talking him up in the trade press on Friday and his form looks rock solid having beaten subsequent impressive winner Porticello at Doncaster when last seen in December. Given a small break since and aimed at this contest he should appreciate the drying ground and looks a decent bet.

 

KNIGHT SALUTE 3 points win @ 2/1 Bet365

 

Lingfield 2.05

Eight go to post for this year’s Winter Derby run over 10F. Lord North is a 123 rated flat horse who we haven’t seen since winning the Dubai Turf at Meydan last March. Without a doubt he’s the class horse and if bringing his A game should win but I’m not prepared to take around Even money about a horse we haven’t seen for a year who’s being prepared for bigger targets later in the year. Second favourite Alenquer is rated only 8lb inferior to Lord North and was last seen when 9th in the Arc De Triomphe in October. A genuine Group one horse he should be thereabouts although there is a nagging doubt that he may well be better over 12F. Fancy Man won the Derby Trial over course and distance earlier in the month from King Of The South (with Al Zaraqaan back in 4th). He should confirm that form with that pair but needs to step up again to worry the front two. With the dead eight currently I’m going to take a chance on the favourites stable mate Forest Of Dean who won this race last year and will be ridden by Kieran O’Neill. The vibes are that the Clarehaven stable expect him to run well and I’ll play him each way and a forecast Lord North to beat his stable mate for a Gosden 1-2.

 

FOREST OF DEAN 1 point each way 12/1 1/5 123 Bet365

LORD NORTH to beat FOREST OF DEAN 1 point straight forecast

 

Kempton 2.25

A small but select field of five go to post for the Pendil Novices’ Chase, a grade two contest run over 2m 4 1/2F. All bar rank outsider Goa Lil have some sort of chance. I’m happy to take on the penalised pair of Minella Drama who’s come down from Donald McCain’s stable having won a grade 2 last time out at Haydock and Paul Nicholl’s Pic D’Orhy who flopped last time out in the Scilly Isles Novice Chase at Sandown (although the trainer’s horses were running well below par at the time). Nicky Henderson saddles Fantastic Lady who as the only mare in the race receives a valuable 7lb sex allowance and although she will need to step up, having only won handicaps on her last two starts, can well here. But the one I like is the Alex Hales trained Millers Bank. A decent hurdler who finished third in a grade one at Aintree last Spring, he’s had the misfortune to unseat his rider Harry Bannister on both of his last two starts. He’s worth another chance with Kieran Woods taking over and is maybe a bit of value in a tricky contest.

 

MILLERS BANK 1 point win @ 9/2 William Hill

 

Kempton 3.00

The dead eight hopefully go to post for the Dovecote Novices’ Hurdle, a grade 2 contest run over 2 miles. Gary Moore’s Shallwehaveonemore has been well supported throughout the week having being as big as 5/1 at one point. He’s now around the Even money mark and although he’s a progressive type who could easily win this represents scant value at his current odds so with hopefully all 8 running I’ll be looking to take him on with Paul Nicholls’ Iceo. He impressed in a fast time on his British/Nicholls debut over course and distance at Christmas when coasting home to win by 17L but was major disappointment next time out at Cheltenham when racing too freely. Whether that poor run was down to the track or even that the yard were badly out if form I’m not sure but if he came here straight from his British debut win he would near enough be pushing for favouritism. Yes he does have questions to answer now but if Harry Cobden can get him to settle he could be good each way value.

 

ICEO 1 1/2 points each way @ 6/1 1/5 123 888Sport

 

Newcastle 3.15

A bumper turnout of seventeen for this years renewal of the Vertem Eider Handicap Chase which is run over 4M 1 1/2F. With conditions on the easy side this will, as always be a test of stamina. Eclair Surf is top of my short list having bolted up in the Classic Handicap Chase at Warwick last month. The further he went the further he went away and despite a 10lb rise should appreciate the extra half a mile today for the in form Emma Lavelle stable. Irish traveller History Of Fashion has to be taken seriously for trainer Peter Fahy but has yet to race beyond three miles so stamina is not guaranteed. The same can be said about the lightly raced Danilo D’Airy from the Robert Bevis yard. Lake View Lad is on a nice mark and with a decent course record shouldn’t be dismissed over a trip which suits.

 

ECLAIR SURF 1 point each way @ 7/1 1/5th 12345 Bet365

LAKE VIEW LAD 1/2 point each way @ 20/1 1/5 123456 Paddy Power

 

Kempton 3.37

The three mile handicap chase has been run under many different guises over the years but Coral have ploughed money into the race and this years renewal looks a competitive affair. A case can be made for many with Christian Williams throwing three at the race. Cap Du Nord carry’s bottom weight and has tumbled down the handicap to such an extent that the nine year old can race here off of a mark 15lb lower than when 5th last year. Jack Tudor takes a further 3lb off and he’s on my short list. Williams’ other runners aren’t without chances in Five Star Getaway, a course and distance winner here over Christmas under Nick Schofield (who retains the ride today) and Kitty’s Light who’s coming down the handicap also. Current favourite is Annsam who beat the subsequent winner Phoenix Way by 4 1/4L at Ascot when last seen in December and the second re-opposes here on identical terms having won at Ascot himself since. A case can literally be made for all the fourteen runners but I’ll take a chance on Cap Du Nord who looks to be on a winning mark.

 

CAP DU NORD 1 point each way @ 7/1 Betfred 1/5th 12345

 

 

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Zilzalian

Zilzalian

Posted
Posted
8 hours ago, The Brigadier said:

Kempton 1.15

Only 8 go to post for this 2m 4 1/2F handicap chase. It has an open feel about it with Dan Skelton’s Flegmatik heading the weights. He’s up 7lb for he is recent win and also dropping half a mile which doesn’t look ideal. Also at the head of the market is the Nicky Henderson trained Patroclus who came good last time on his second start over fences and a 3lb rise looks lenient enough. James Bowen rides with stable jockey Nico De Boinville on Neil The Legend. In an open race it’s the Alan King runner Deyraan De Carjac that appeals the most to me. The drier the ground the better for this nine year old who has dropped the best part of a stone for his last six starts and this represents a drop in class. Tom Cannon is in the saddle.

 

DEYRANN DE CARJAC 1 point win @ 9/2 William Hill

 

Lingfield 1.30

Only six assemble for this 5F listed contest, the Hever Sprint Stakes. Best in at these weights is Exlated Angel by 2lb from Lord Riddiford , Mondammej and Tone The Barone. All four have claims but I’m going to take a chance with a horse that on figures shouldn’t have any chance. Alice Haynes has done amazing work with Strong Power in turning his form right around and winning three handicaps over course and distance in January in the space of 9 days. He actually broke the 5F track record here on the second of those wins and may have more to come. It goes against the grain to be honest to back a horse that has 17lb to find with the highest rated here but with his usual partner Kieran O’Neill in the saddle can prove the weights and measures followers wrong!

 

STRONG POWER 1 point win @ 9/1 Bet365

 

Kempton 1.50

A decent enough turnout of eleven for this years renewal of the Adonis Juvenile Hurdle with maybe the last chance that someone can throw their hat into the ring for the Triumph Hurdle in three weeks time. Tritonic was impressive in the race last year before going off to the Triumph as the third favourite. Pleasant Man is the one who could cause some ripples in the Triumph betting if taking to the winter game. Owned by Tritonic’s owners, the McNeill family, he’s in the capable hands of Paul Nicholls, who’s had joy in the race before. A 95 rated flat performer when trained by Roger Charlton he was sold at the horses in training sales for 175,000 guineas. Nicholls also saddles another newcomer in Rubaud, an ex French flat performer who will be ridden here by Bryony Frost who rides plenty for his owner Chris Giles. Penalised 5lb for recent wins are Nicky Henderson’s Impulsive One and Milton Harris’s Knight Salute. It’s the latter that make the most appeal here. Unbeaten in four starts over hurdles including two grade two’s his trainer was talking him up in the trade press on Friday and his form looks rock solid having beaten subsequent impressive winner Porticello at Doncaster when last seen in December. Given a small break since and aimed at this contest he should appreciate the drying ground and looks a decent bet.

 

KNIGHT SALUTE 3 points win @ 2/1 Bet365

 

Lingfield 2.05

Eight go to post for this year’s Winter Derby run over 10F. Lord North is a 123 rated flat horse who we haven’t seen since winning the Dubai Turf at Meydan last March. Without a doubt he’s the class horse and if bringing his A game should win but I’m not prepared to take around Even money about a horse we haven’t seen for a year who’s being prepared for bigger targets later in the year. Second favourite Alenquer is rated only 8lb inferior to Lord North and was last seen when 9th in the Arc De Triomphe in October. A genuine Group one horse he should be thereabouts although there is a nagging doubt that he may well be better over 12F. Fancy Man won the Derby Trial over course and distance earlier in the month from King Of The South (with Al Zaraqaan back in 4th). He should confirm that form with that pair but needs to step up again to worry the front two. With the dead eight currently I’m going to take a chance on the favourites stable mate Forest Of Dean who won this race last year and will be ridden by Kieran O’Neill. The vibes are that the Clarehaven stable expect him to run well and I’ll play him each way and a forecast Lord North to beat his stable mate for a Gosden 1-2.

 

FOREST OF DEAN 1 point each way 12/1 1/5 123 Bet365

LORD NORTH to beat FOREST OF DEAN 1 point straight forecast

 

Kempton 2.25

A small but select field of five go to post for the Pendil Novices’ Chase, a grade two contest run over 2m 4 1/2F. All bar rank outsider Goa Lil have some sort of chance. I’m happy to take on the penalised pair of Minella Drama who’s come down from Donald McCain’s stable having won a grade 2 last time out at Haydock and Paul Nicholl’s Pic D’Orhy who flopped last time out in the Scilly Isles Novice Chase at Sandown (although the trainer’s horses were running well below par at the time). Nicky Henderson saddles Fantastic Lady who as the only mare in the race receives a valuable 7lb sex allowance and although she will need to step up, having only won handicaps on her last two starts, can well here. But the one I like is the Alex Hales trained Millers Bank. A decent hurdler who finished third in a grade one at Aintree last Spring, he’s had the misfortune to unseat his rider Harry Bannister on both of his last two starts. He’s worth another chance with Kieran Woods taking over and is maybe a bit of value in a tricky contest.

 

MILLERS BANK 1 point win @ 9/2 William Hill

 

Kempton 3.00

The dead eight hopefully go to post for the Dovecote Novices’ Hurdle, a grade 2 contest run over 2 miles. Gary Moore’s Shallwehaveonemore has been well supported throughout the week having being as big as 5/1 at one point. He’s now around the Even money mark and although he’s a progressive type who could easily win this represents scant value at his current odds so with hopefully all 8 running I’ll be looking to take him on with Paul Nicholls’ Iceo. He impressed in a fast time on his British/Nicholls debut over course and distance at Christmas when coasting home to win by 17L but was major disappointment next time out at Cheltenham when racing too freely. Whether that poor run was down to the track or even that the yard were badly out if form I’m not sure but if he came here straight from his British debut win he would near enough be pushing for favouritism. Yes he does have questions to answer now but if Harry Cobden can get him to settle he could be good each way value.

 

ICEO 1 1/2 points each way @ 6/1 1/5 123 888Sport

 

Newcastle 3.15

A bumper turnout of seventeen for this years renewal of the Vertem Eider Handicap Chase which is run over 4M 1 1/2F. With conditions on the easy side this will, as always be a test of stamina. Eclair Surf is top of my short list having bolted up in the Classic Handicap Chase at Warwick last month. The further he went the further he went away and despite a 10lb rise should appreciate the extra half a mile today for the in form Emma Lavelle stable. Irish traveller History Of Fashion has to be taken seriously for trainer Peter Fahy but has yet to race beyond three miles so stamina is not guaranteed. The same can be said about the lightly raced Danilo D’Airy from the Robert Bevis yard. Lake View Lad is on a nice mark and with a decent course record shouldn’t be dismissed over a trip which suits.

 

ECLAIR SURF 1 point each way @ 7/1 1/5th 12345 Bet365

LAKE VIEW LAD 1/2 point each way @ 20/1 1/5 123456 Paddy Power

 

Kempton 3.37

The three mile handicap chase has been run under many different guises over the years but Coral have ploughed money into the race and this years renewal looks a competitive affair. A case can be made for many with Christian Williams throwing three at the race. Cap Du Nord carry’s bottom weight and has tumbled down the handicap to such an extent that the nine year old can race here off of a mark 15lb lower than when 5th last year. Jack Tudor takes a further 3lb off and he’s on my short list. Williams’ other runners aren’t without chances in Five Star Getaway, a course and distance winner here over Christmas under Nick Schofield (who retains the ride today) and Kitty’s Light who’s coming down the handicap also. Current favourite is Annsam who beat the subsequent winner Phoenix Way by 4 1/4L at Ascot when last seen in December and the second re-opposes here on identical terms having won at Ascot himself since. A case can literally be made for all the fourteen runners but I’ll take a chance on Cap Du Nord who looks to be on a winning mark.

 

CAP DU NORD 1 point each way @ 7/1 Betfred 1/5th 12345

 

Got to agree with you about Strong Power, those 3 speed figures topped by the track record in one of them reads really well and is a max bet for me.

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DanV89

DanV89

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, Zilzalian said:

Got to agree with you about Strong Power, those 3 speed figures topped by the track record in one of them reads really well and is a max bet for me.

Intriguing race indeed. Although I am fascinated to see how Strong Power gets on tomorrow, I struggle to see how he could be a max bet? The day he won that Class 2, two runs back, he was receiving 19lbs from Tone The Barone, tomorrow they run off level weights. Not a criticism of your opinion just interested. 

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Zilzalian

Zilzalian

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, DanV89 said:

Intriguing race indeed. Although I am fascinated to see how Strong Power gets on tomorrow, I struggle to see how he could be a max bet? The day he won that Class 2, two runs back, he was receiving 19lbs from Tone The Barone, tomorrow they run off level weights. Not a criticism of your opinion just interested. 

Well for me its quite simple, I personally think weight is well over-rated and I am a speed figure man I have my own formula and I back my judgement win lose or draw i live with it. I rarely back any horse below 8/1 my average that many would have heart attacks with is around 16/1 - 33/1 the price never puts me off, I very rarely do EW either which some would argue is crazy but what I do works for me and I make a healthy profit (last year I didn't to be honest, I lost 3 quid on betting turnover of over 15 grand) If you look at this race as a pro would you would be stuck between any one of 4 but apart from Mondammej (5/1) your not getting 4/1 for 3 of them lets be honest non are prolific winners that's got to be grim in my book, I'm going to be well hard and also do the r/forecast with one night stand. none of what I say means Strong Power will win no such thing as a cert but i would rather go down on a 9/1 shot than any one of 3 at  3/1 or less. It will be interesting if nothing else. My max bet is £50, my average is £30 on my speed figure bets. i have had just 3 £100 bets in 3 years 2 won one lost that loser was on a very rare for me favourite. I do however respect and understand your reasoning.

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Zilzalian

Zilzalian

Posted
Posted
7 hours ago, MCLARKE said:

If I remember correctly Nick Mordin didn't adjust his speed figures for weight.

Yes you are indeed correct he didn't initially adjust for weight however he did concede and started to re-evaluate his thinking eventually. I think one of the distinctions must be made between pattern races and handicaps i think we can all agree that you can't keep putting weight on a horse forever, common sense tells us that. What i am saying here is for pattern races don't adjust for weight but in handicaps you must give it due consideration. Mordin was a very clever man (i wont say genius) and a good thinker. I have his book here somewhere and i used to collect all those System articles he used to write in the sporting life (i miss that publication) weekender.

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fd1972uk

fd1972uk

Posted
Posted

Kem 1315 moneyback offers on Foxboro (4) and Patroclus (3)

Also went with multiple bets on kem 1537 and wol 1515, see if I csn make a small profit, not too fussed as won a couple of footy bets last few nights. 

Also sky are doing bet specials on Cheltenham from today, sure its about 28 offers. Ive took up first one which is live upto £20 bet moneyback if loses on first race, Ive went Constitution Hill 9/4. No ante nonsense either. 

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Tedthewolf

Tedthewolf

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Posted
18 hours ago, Villa Chris said:

3.37 Kempton 

Kitty’s Light 9.26

Cap Du Nord 8.9 

Enrilo 8.86

Annsam 8.66

5 points win Kitty’s Light 22/1 

The selection coming down the weights and will appreciate the good ground along with being competitive in this class off higher marks in past .

So agree with you on Kitty i'm on e/w at 25's looks way overpriced  also like  Achille a lot at newcastle it looks a very decent e/w bet . Fingers crossed

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SirRavenous

SirRavenous

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Posted

I have two fancies today:

The first is 3.15 at Newcastle in the Eider, I’ve gone for an each-way bet on Checkitout. He was third in the Becher, so stamina I don’t feel would be too much of an issue.

The other is 3.37 at Kempton in the Coral Trophy, my money is on Five Star Getaway. He’s won over C&D before and was a decent third at Sandown three weeks ago. 

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MCLARKE

MCLARKE

Posted
Posted

Trend analysis for what lokks like a very competitive Coral Handicap Chase at Kempton (3.37)

Age = 9, 5from 24, others 3 from 88.

This reduces the field to 4, Good Boy Bobby, Phoenix Way, Beakstown and Cap Du Nord.

Bred in France 0 from 32. This removes Cap Du Nord.

Ran more than 46 days ago, 5 from 48. This leaves GOOD BOY BOBBY, available at 16/1, 4 places.

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Zilzalian

Zilzalian

Posted
Posted
15 hours ago, DanV89 said:

Intriguing race indeed. Although I am fascinated to see how Strong Power gets on tomorrow, I struggle to see how he could be a max bet? The day he won that Class 2, two runs back, he was receiving 19lbs from Tone The Barone, tomorrow they run off level weights. Not a criticism of your opinion just interested. 

 

15 hours ago, DanV89 said:

Intriguing race indeed. Although I am fascinated to see how Strong Power gets on tomorrow, I struggle to see how he could be a max bet? The day he won that Class 2, two runs back, he was receiving 19lbs from Tone The Barone, tomorrow they run off level weights. Not a criticism of your opinion just interested. 

Intriguing race indeed last nights outsider wins strong power 3rd that buggered my forecast up a tad. but hey ho i could have gone down on the favs like many did. what do you think interesting eh?

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Bang on

Bang on

Posted
Posted (edited)

I've had a small bet in the 

3.37 Kemp - Kittys Light - Each Way - 20/1 (1/5th 4 places with Bet365 B.O.G) - 2nd

Top jockey Brian Hughes rides for Christian Williams (3 wins , 1 place, from 12 runners last 2 weeks). The trainer does have 3 in the race (all with a chance), but with good prize money for places, I am going for Top jock, trainer in form, at a fair price for Each Way.

Edited by Bang on
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Trotter

Trotter

Posted
Posted

Since I jacked in Racing TV a few months ago I'm having to watch ITV Racing 

I haven't watched terrestrial TV coverage for 10 years or more and there's something 'new' (to me) that I find annoying ...... it's this idea of stopping commentary mid-race so the commentator can have a chat with whoever the presenters are 

Could they not have a chat after the race has finished ?

grrrrrrrrrr .............

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SirRavenous

SirRavenous

Posted
Posted
6 minutes ago, Trotter said:

Since I jacked in Racing TV a few months ago I'm having to watch ITV Racing 

I haven't watched terrestrial TV coverage for 10 years or more and there's something 'new' (to me) that I find annoying ...... it's this idea of stopping commentary mid-race so the commentator can have a chat with whoever the presenters are 

Could they not have a chat after the race has finished ?

grrrrrrrrrr .............

Watching some of the old races on YT, the commentator used to do this. He would always speak with one or two presenters mid-race, so it’s an uncommon thing. Doesn’t make it any less annoying mind.

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Zilzalian

Zilzalian

Posted
Posted
7 minutes ago, Trotter said:

Since I jacked in Racing TV a few months ago I'm having to watch ITV Racing 

I haven't watched terrestrial TV coverage for 10 years or more and there's something 'new' (to me) that I find annoying ...... it's this idea of stopping commentary mid-race so the commentator can have a chat with whoever the presenters are 

Could they not have a chat after the race has finished ?

grrrrrrrrrr .............

Likewise my solution is i never have the sound on, works a treat for me.

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