DanV89
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Everything posted by DanV89
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Racing chat-monday 22nd April
DanV89 replied to richard-westwood's topic in At The Races - Racing Forum
Interesting that it’s only described as soft and not heavy. Although with all the controversy about the going recently, it’s anyone’s guess! -
Racing Chat - Wednesday 17th April
DanV89 replied to The Brigadier's topic in At The Races - Racing Forum
6/1 lovely winner Richard thanks again bud. -
Racing Chat - TUESDAY 16th April
DanV89 replied to richard-westwood's topic in At The Races - Racing Forum
Brilliant Richard. Have you rated tonight’s Euromillions by any chance?! -
Spyglass a big drifter today Darran, 8/1 now. GSI as Willie once said?!
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Racing Chat - Thursday 11th April
DanV89 replied to The Brigadier's topic in At The Races - Racing Forum
I’m at Aintree on Friday if you get chance to rate any races mate 👍🏼 -
Racing chat-monday 8th April
DanV89 replied to richard-westwood's topic in At The Races - Racing Forum
Same and I had him in a double with Ciara Pearl who’d won at Ling earlier. -
Racing chat-monday 8th April
DanV89 replied to richard-westwood's topic in At The Races - Racing Forum
12 runners went off, false start called, rules are if you end up crossing the finish line you can’t run. 10 of them crossed the line so now they’re re-running it with 2 of them 😂😂😂😂 -
Racing Chat - Tuesday 19 March
DanV89 replied to Bathtime For Rupert's topic in At The Races - Racing Forum
One I quite like at a decent price in the 7pm at Wolves is Sub Thirteen at 12/1. Had wind surgery in November and has had one run since over 6f at this track, finishing 4th beaten 2 lengths. Has been dropped 1lb for that run and a fair few horses come on on their second start after a wind op. Travelled quite well that day but was then ridden along when outpaced, staying on well towards the outside into 4th. Up to 7f today should suit based on that run and should be sharper today with that behind him. -
Going to take a bit of a flyer on Gearings Point in the first at Lingfield at 22/1. Has recently been running over hurdles but his last flat run was over C&D when he was 5th beaten 4 lengths in a strong Saturday race which was a Class 4. He’s 1lb lower here and also drops into a C6. It’s a hands and heels apprentice race so anything could happen but he’s got one of the better, and more experienced riders up so could be worth a small ew at a big price.
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Was found to be lame after the race.
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Well backed 8s into 9/2 but completely tailed off stone last. Something amiss I suspect.
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In the 7pm Class 5 handicap at Southwell, De Vega's Warrior has been backed into favouritism, and it's not hard to see why after his last run where he was only beaten a neck over 2m at Kempton. However, he is still a maiden after 22 runs and at the prices I prefer Award Dancer at 8/1 (generally 15/2). This horse has shown improved form since a wind op at the end of November, finishing 4th on all 3 occasions but only being beaten 1, 0.5 and 2 lengths respectively. Award Dancer's last run was just 10 days ago over C&D in a Class 3 when he finished 4th, beaten 2 lengths by Spartan Army - that horse was completing a double that day and has since gone on to complete a hat-trick when winning a Class 2 at Lingfield on Saturday so that form looks very solid. Drops into a Class 5 this evening off a mark of 75 (has won off 76 on the AW previously).
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Racing Chat - Monday 4th March
DanV89 replied to Antonio Margarettii's topic in At The Races - Racing Forum
Rough race but 3rd. -
Racing Chat - Monday 4th March
DanV89 replied to Antonio Margarettii's topic in At The Races - Racing Forum
Going to take an ew chance on Revision in the opener at Wolves at 16/1. Has generally been running in Class 4 & 5 races throughout his career so far, last two tries have been in Class 6 where he was well beaten over 7f but then ran much better over 6f at Kempton last time. He was beaten 4 lengths by White Mist that day but was carrying 5lbs more than that rival, furthermore he actually reared at the start and missed the break. Today he carries 4lbs less than White Mist but is 3x her price. From a career-low mark he must be getting to a mark he can win from. -
RACING CHAT - WEDNESDAY 28TH FEB/ 2024
DanV89 replied to black rabbit's topic in At The Races - Racing Forum
Had a small ew on Guns And Flowers in the 6pm 7f handicap at Kempton this evening at 30/1. Best run so far came over C&D two starts back in January, finished 5th but was only beaten 2 lengths and is now 3lbs lower, with Christian Howarth taking off a further 3lbs. Has since run poorly when well beaten at Newcastle but that run can be excused as was over a mile and not all horses take to that track as there can often be a strong headwind. On the aforementioned C&D run, Guns And Flowers finished around 7 lengths in front of Bits And Bobs who reopposes tonight, yet that one is half the price of my selection so looks a bit of value to run into a place. Gavi Di Gavi in the 7pm at 10/1 also may be worth backing as looks a solid ew bet. Finished a length behind today's second fav Lady Of Arabia last time out - that day was carrying 2lbs more than that rival, today carries 1lb less. More importantly, that last race was in a small field where there naturally wasn't much pace. Gavi Di Gavi was held up out the back and was the only horse that wasn't prominent that made the frame. More runners today should hopefully mean more pace which would suit his late finishing run-style. -
As luck would have it, Hugh Taylor has put this one up about 15 mins after my post so no longer 12s!
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I like the chances of Trulie Good in the basement Classified race at 5.30 at Southwell tonight, currently 12/1 but wouldn’t surprise me if she were to be backed throughout the day. Owner trained and Bowring often does well at Southwell. Ran well in two handicaps at Southwell in Jan, firstly over 5f when only beaten 3/4 length by Street Life (who had a better draw that time, and reopposes tonight) and then a short head over 6f. Then ran in a classified, however that was over a mile so can put a line through that. Same weights with Street Life tonight but only because of that ones jockey claim and is also better drawn than SL tonight. There looks like there will be a lot of pace on too which will only help Trulie Good's chances as we know she gets further. These Classified races are generally full of out of form, low grade horses so it is quite unusual to see one with recent consistent form figures (224) at a double figure price dropping into this grade.
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Cheers Darran, great shout. I had a win bet at 15/2 this morning and then another in play at 12 on the Exchange!
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Racing-Chat Thursday 28th September.
DanV89 replied to kensland's topic in At The Races - Racing Forum
Hope you had the tricast Richard 👀 -
Maksud was fatally injured mate 😢
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Road To The Cheltenham Festival Hunter Chase
DanV89 replied to Darran's topic in At The Races - Racing Forum
@Darranhave you managed to have a look at the Hunters Chase at Carlisle today at all? -
7pm Newcastle - Mr Coco Bean - 8/1 - various bookies The consistent Mr Coco Bean has only been out of the first 4 once in his last 6 starts and so should rate a solid ew bet here. He was behind both Odd Socks Havana & Laoch Gach La last time however there is hope that he can reverse that form. He was briefly short of room 3f out and had to be switched fairly sharply left, his challenge then being taken down the far side which as everyone know is not the place to be at Newcastle. Despite being against that bias he was only beaten less than 3 lengths. He has a weight swing with the two mentioned above and with a better passage I think he should have a decent chance.
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8pm Wolves - Kodiac Sign - 16/1 This could run terribly as has shown next to nothing for David Evans so far, but there was reason for optimism when trained by Sir Michael Stoute and there are a few things which catch my eye tonight, at the price looks worth a small ew investment. All runs so far have been over 6 or 7f, steps up to 8.5f for the first time tonight which is the first pointer. Has had 4 handicap runs so far, again all over 6 or 7f and all in Class 4 or 5, drops into a Class 6 for the first time tonight. First handicap run was off 78, runs off 64 tonight so has dropped a stone in the ratings. Since being with David Evans has been ridden each time by 5lb claimer J. Williams, but the brilliant Rossa Ryan takes over the ride tonight. Finally, Evans has had 20 runners in the last 2 weeks, with 2 winners, Rossa Ryan rode them both. As I say, may just be a poor animal but if there's any support throughout the day may be worth taking note of.
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Confusing yourself now mate ?
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I’ve always thought the high draws are favoured at Newcastle in races anything up to a mile as they’re run on the straight course and the higher draws are closer to the stands rail?