alexcaruso808 Posted September 19, 2021 Share Posted September 19, 2021 (edited) Leicester 1.00 - Meydan Rose - 4.50 - win 3rd 2.00 - Evening Song - 5.50 - win 7th 2.35 - Loving Kiss - 17.00 EW Non-runner. 3.10 - Ginger Jam - 6.00 - win 5th 3.45 - Winnetka - 3.50 - win 1st ? 4.20 - Manumission - 6.00 - win 6th Good luck all. Edited September 20, 2021 by alexcaruso808 calva decoy and The Equaliser 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roger2256 Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 (edited) September -13 1pt level stakes win only 13.00 Lei Mount Rainier 16/1Lost 16.20 Lei Spanish Mane 6/1 Won 10/1 18.45 Fai Nibiru 16/1 Lost 19.30 Wol Dancer Master 9/1 Won 9/1 Prices as of now b365 + 17 September +4 Edited September 21, 2021 by roger2256 Result The Equaliser, calva decoy and alexcaruso808 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hotspur88 Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 (edited) 1300 Leicester Round Acre 11/4 2pt win 1330 Leicester Mythical Dancer 6/5 2pt win 1435 Leicester Jammrah 11/8 1pt win Edited September 20, 2021 by Barnes1882 alexcaruso808, calva decoy and The Equaliser 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zilzalian Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 Last night - Having done the speed figures for the 2Yold Listed race at Fairyhouse i was quite surprised that Glengarra who beat Ultramarine giving it weight (3lbs) was 12/1 whereas Ultramarine was 2/1 Fav. To me it seems someone initially priced this race up after a few pints. Be careful out there people. 1 Glengarra 121 12/1 now 6/1 2 Eriskay 117 22/1 now 16/1 yossa6133, The Equaliser and calva decoy 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fd1972uk Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 Just using some of my free bets, my lot for today I think. The Equaliser and calva decoy 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hotspur88 Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 3 hours ago, Barnes1882 said: 1300 Leicester Round Acre 11/4 2pt win 1330 Leicester Mythical Dancer 6/5 2pt win 1435 Leicester Jammrah 11/8 1pt win Updated The Equaliser and peanut peanut 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Offramp Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 I don't get many freebies. Nothing from Bet Victor. Bet 365 gives me an occasional £5 bet on the Premier League and I don't even like football. Skybet gives me a fiver every Monday. That's okay. calva decoy 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ipswich45 Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 (edited) Some monday picks NOW IN TIME ORDER 1330 Leicester - 4 Carbon 7/2 Bet365 WON 1340 Listowel - 2 Beret Rouge 3/1 Bet365 Unplaced 1350 Warwick - 5 Van Meegeren 6/4 Bet365 3rd 1417 Hamilton - 6 Absolute Dream 7/2 Bet365 WON 1425 Warwick - 6 Onehundredpercent 10/3 William Hill 2nd 1435 Leicester - 1 Quiet Evening 4/1 William Hill 2nd 1445 Listowel - 6 Kitty Galore 10/3 William Hill Unplaced 1500 Warwick - 2 Pink Eyed Pedro 7/2 Bet365 2nd 1550 Listowel - 3 Flying Scotsman 15/2 Bet365 Unplaced 1555 Hamilton - 4 Chinese Spirit 5/1 Bet365 Unplaced 1605 Fairyhouse - 6 Reverberation 7/1 Bet365 Unplaced 1620 Leicester - 6 Foreseeable Future 5/1 William Hill Unplaced 1637 Fairyhouse - 2 Straight Answer 5/2 Bet365 WON 1645 Warwick - 4 Not At Present 9/2 Bet365 2nd 1700 Hamilton - 7 Under Fox 10/3 Bet365 WON 1730 Wolves - 10 Street Life 11/2 Bet365 WON 1815 Fairyhouse - 7 Gatwick Kitten 6/1 Bet365 Non Runner 1900 Wolves - 1 Genesius 5/1 Bet365 Unplaced 2000 Wolves - 2 Beautiful Surprise 4/1 William Hill 3rd Edited September 20, 2021 by ipswich45 results being added The Equaliser, alexcaruso808 and calva decoy 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bang on Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 (edited) September running total = + 25.96 pts Two colourful selections today. Todays selections - bet365 B.O.G. 4.45 War - White Walker - 13/8 ... lost 8.00 Wolv - Rouge et Noir - 11/4 ... lost Edited September 21, 2021 by Bang on alexcaruso808, MCLARKE, peanut peanut and 1 other 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calva decoy Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 (edited) 37 minutes ago, Offramp said: I don't get many freebies. Nothing from Bet Victor. Bet 365 gives me an occasional £5 bet on the Premier League and I don't even like football. Skybet gives me a fiver every Monday. That's okay. Me too , thought Burnley would beat Arsenal at 11/4 on Saturday ? My free £5 from Sky I did lots of ante post football bets & they're doing ok . 100 Leic - Flash Betty 11/1 ew ( 4 ) 250 Ham - The Bell Conductor 10/3 300 War - Zoffee 5/2 700 Wolv - Basic Beauty 4/1 Edited September 20, 2021 by calva decoy alexcaruso808 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 For free bets it makes sense to back longer odds (6/1+) rather than shorter odds. alexcaruso808 and Zilzalian 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
azzybear Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 blast 1.00 alexcaruso808 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LEE-GRAYS Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 13 minutes ago, MCLARKE said: For free bets it makes sense to back longer odds (6/1+) rather than shorter odds. i did the hammers btts 1st half 3/1 with my free bet gave me some betting tokens for today lol alexcaruso808 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 The logic I use is :- If you had 10 free bets and bet them all at 1/1 then you would expect 5 winners and a return of 5 points. If you had 10 free bets and bet them all at 9/1 then you would expect 1 winner and a return of 9 points. alexcaruso808, fd1972uk, Zilzalian and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lanky Lad Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 List.2.45 Kitty Galore 10/3 List,2.10 Babylon Beach 5/1 List.5.25 Esperti 6/1 3x 1 point each way doubles 1/2 point each way treble. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Equaliser Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 BEST OF THE BEST SELECTIONS TODAY B/Fwd Sep -6.75 Points These are not tips; just an experiment 1.40 List Party Central 4/5 steady Alt (2) 3/1 2.10 List 1 A Connect 11/10 steady Alt (2) 5/2 (11/4 last night) 4.55 List Bleu Berry 8/11 (11/8 ln 2 n/r's) DTR Alt (1) 15/4 (5/1 last night) 5.25 List Le Nouveau 4/6 steady DTR Alt (5) 11/2 steady 2.50 Ham Ventura Flame 9/4 (2/1 last night) Alt (5) 3/1 NB Market move for Global Humour 2/1; Ventura Flame looks bad for market followers 5.35 Ham Temper Trap 7/4 (3/1 ln Nr's now) Alt (6) 9/2 3.35 War An Tailliur 6/4 (5/4 last night = LN) Alt (3) 3/1 (7/2 LN) 4.10 War Three Bullet Gate 9/4 (7/4 LN) Alt (5) 6/4 Fav; 9/4 LN) 2.55 Fair Recurrent Dream 2/5 DTR Alt No Bet 4.37 Fair Ultramarine 2/1 steady DTR Alt (2) 5/2 5.30 Wolv Kingsholm 11/4 steady Alt (10) 11/2 (was 4/1 LN) 7.30 Wolv Scheherazade 7/2 (15/4 LN) Alt (4) 9/4 (was 2/1 LN) 12 Selections from 45 races = 26.6% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Book Bets: 3.35 War An Tailliur 13/8 5.30Wolv Kingsholm 11/4 5.35 Ham Temper Trap 13/8 One £1 win Trixie = £4 poss return £50.39 Singles bet = 3.35 War £2 win on An Tailliur at 3.10 = £4.10 profit if it wins Hopefully back later with some jockey bookings bets Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 Flat selection Hamilton 4.30 MAC AILEY 6/4 Bang on, Wildgarden, The Equaliser and 1 other 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fd1972uk Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 1 hour ago, MCLARKE said: The logic I use is :- If you had 10 free bets and bet them all at 1/1 then you would expect 5 winners and a return of 5 points. If you had 10 free bets and bet them all at 9/1 then you would expect 1 winner and a return of 9 points. Yeah, I only use on bigger odds as you say, although horses mainly part of Acc bets. Only if I have some for a US race night will I use the higher free bets (usually £5). I usually use the bigger free bets for my football. Don quite well for for free bets, have a few rewards via PP, WH and Sky. And also playing a lot of free games/competitions bring in a few. Also had a lot of luck with bet sites offers of stuff like bets on top scorers, scorers, competition winners getting money back for bets. Last one done was to win superbowl, bet Kansas City at £10 and it gives you £2 everytime 4 selected players score a touchdown. Have already won £12 in the past 2 sets of games and still have two games to play tonight/tomorrow. Derrick Henry ran 3 tds yesterday for £6 alone. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hotspur88 Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 (edited) 7 hours ago, Barnes1882 said: 1300 Leicester Round Acre 11/4 2pt win 1330 Leicester Mythical Dancer 6/5 2pt win 1435 Leicester Jammrah 11/8 1pt win Would have been another poor day. Will get picking well again soon. Typically the 1pt horse wins and the 2pt horses lose. Staked 5pts today and got back 2.6pts back so a loss of 2.4pts today. Only doing it for a bit of fun currently so pretending to stake £1 a pt whilst I try and get my eye back in so from the first few days I would be -8.4pts overall. Edited September 20, 2021 by Barnes1882 The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hotspur88 Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 (edited) 2 minutes ago, Barnes1882 said: Mistake, please delete. Edited September 20, 2021 by Barnes1882 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fd1972uk Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 Treble came up, just under 22/1, so decent profit via free bet. LEE-GRAYS and The Equaliser 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zilzalian Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 6 hours ago, Zilzalian said: Last night - Having done the speed figures for the 2Yold Listed race at Fairyhouse i was quite surprised that Glengarra who beat Ultramarine giving it weight (3lbs) was 12/1 whereas Ultramarine was 2/1 Fav. To me it seems someone initially priced this race up after a few pints. Be careful out there people. 1 Glengarra 121 12/1 now 6/1 2 Eriskay 117 22/1 now 16/1 Well i called that one right (based on the available figures re- Ultramarine) although the once raced winner didn't half look like a very good horse probably group3 at very least was quite impressive. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fd1972uk Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 (edited) Small bet on Wolverhampton double, Genesius and Headora, just under 15/1 Edited September 20, 2021 by fd1972uk Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 (edited) 6 hours ago, fd1972uk said: Last one done was to win superbowl, bet Kansas City at £10 and it gives you £2 everytime 4 selected players score a touchdown. Have already won £12 in the past 2 sets of games and still have two games to play tonight/tomorrow. Derrick Henry ran 3 tds yesterday for £6 alone. Is that the Hills offer? Did that myself and wasn't sure how many freebies it had generated so far. Are you sure you get 3 for a hat trick though, rather than one? I thought it was a free bet every time they scored rather than for every TD they scored, so once per game max. Edit: I think you're right, looking at the 3 freebies I've got lined up after yesterday's action. Edited September 20, 2021 by harry_rag Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 6 hours ago, MCLARKE said: For free bets it makes sense to back longer odds (6/1+) rather than shorter odds. Or just use them as part of the stake for a bet you're going to have anyway? e.g. £2 freebie plus £18 for a £20 bet. I do that quite a lot. I do record when a bet qualifies for or redeems a free bet but I haven't analysed it yet. I have a feeling I need to be slightly more disciplined about not placing bets I wouldn't have placed but for the freebie offer, though I've cut out most of the silly bets of my "youth"! MCLARKE 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 18 minutes ago, harry_rag said: Or just use them as part of the stake for a bet you're going to have anyway? e.g. £2 freebie plus £18 for a £20 bet. The maths supports backing at higher odds. Even if you fancy a 1/1 shot it would not make sense using a free bet on it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 3 minutes ago, MCLARKE said: The maths supports backing at higher odds. Even if you fancy a 1/1 shot it would not make sense using a free bet on it. So is it a better use of a free bet to stick it on something at bigger odds that you fancy but might not otherwise have backed rather than just use it as part of the stake on something you would be backing anyway? e.g. I could have used a fiver freebie as part of a £20 bet on a 2/1 shot but I'm better of finding a 10/1 shot and using it on that? I assume there's a law of diminishing returns if you use it on something you've more or less picked at random versus a shorter priced selection you are confident in? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildgarden Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 use on acca and bookie wont mind as much on acca i think. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 35 minutes ago, harry_rag said: So is it a better use of a free bet to stick it on something at bigger odds that you fancy but might not otherwise have backed rather than just use it as part of the stake on something you would be backing anyway? I would say so. If you backed 20/1 shots you would on average get back 95% of your free bet as profit, with even money shots only 50%. This ignores the favourite / longshot bias. I rarely get free bets these days but when I did I found that 6/1 to 10/1 was the most profitable range. harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 Interesting, I'll give it some further thought. A quick look tells me I've lost £144 on 77 bets that earned me a free bet but won £197 on 107 bets where I redeemed them. That includes winners at 45/1, 25/1 and 20/1 all of which look like things I backed because I had the freebie to redeem. (In order they were a player to get an assist in both halves, a horse during Cheltenham and a player to score a brace.) At least I'm up for now whether through luck or judgement! MCLARKE and fd1972uk 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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