i1_principe Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 A.Zverev to beat Tsitsipas at 2.34 with Pinnacle Tsitsipas is in run of six consecutive wins. He won the title in Estoril last weekend, and now he has won 2 more wins against Mannarino and Verdasco. As a matter of fact during this period, he met players who are either not in the shape or far from his class. OK, Zverev is also not in the best shape, but there is enough class and especially motivation to defend points from last year. I think this is 50-50 game in worst case, so I am happy with odds for Zverev to win this game. Korayu and delfino 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 1 hour ago, i1_principe said: A.Zverev to beat Tsitsipas at 2.34 with Pinnacle Tsitsipas is in run of six consecutive wins. He won the title in Estoril last weekend, and now he has won 2 more wins against Mannarino and Verdasco. As a matter of fact during this period, he met players who are either not in the shape or far from his class. OK, Zverev is also not in the best shape, but there is enough class and especially motivation to defend points from last year. I think this is 50-50 game in worst case, so I am happy with odds for Zverev to win this game. I think you might be dissapointed here so I'm not gonna back you on this one Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smiles Tennis Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 8 hours ago, Torque said: @Tennis Picks From what I've read it looks as though what you're doing is based on lots of historical data. With that in mind, I'm sure you know that 13 losers out of 16 bets means about as much as 13 winners out of 16 bets. Hypothetically of course, your ATP picks could be on the wrong side of variance at the same time as your WTA picks are on the right side. Good luck with what you're doing anyway - it's an interesting premise Yes, it's a very small sample but more I mentioned it because it's been the same for years. I have had breaks from betting and trading over time, mostly due to lack of discipline and I have always had my best results with WTA. That it came up again could be pure short term variance, but it keeps me thinking to all the times in the past. Torque 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smiles Tennis Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 (edited) 8 hours ago, four-leaf said: What do you think about Claire Lius chances in Bonita Springs? She's facing highflying Whitney Osuigwe but there is a rainbreak in Bonita Springs right now but Claire has met Whitney in Miami round 1 last season and Claire beat her by 6-3 6-1. But that was when Whitney was 15 and about to turn 16. Now Whitney is 17 and already higher ranked than Claire ever has been after Whitneys recent success. I think Osuigwe will take this. She's 16-3 on clay when starting as favourite. She's also 12-2 this year on the dirt. Liu is 2-3 on clay this year and has been fave for all of her matches. All three defeats came to players ranked 100 or 200 places below her. So with her losing as fave it would be hard to back her as an underdog. She is 2-10 when not the fave with both those wins coming on the hardcourt. On the upside for you @four-leaf, if you haven't backed her yet she is now 3.05 on Betfair. I will be on Osuigwe for this though I will try to get 1.5 in-play. Edited May 10, 2019 by Tennis Picks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 59 minutes ago, Tennis Picks said: I think Osuigwe will take this. She's 16-3 on clay when starting as favourite. She's also 12-2 this year on the dirt. Liu is 2-3 on clay this year and has been fave for all of her matches. All three defeats came to players ranked 100 or 200 places below her. So with her losing as fave it would be hard to back her as an underdog. She is 2-10 when not the fave with both those wins coming on the hardcourt. On the upside for you @four-leaf, if you haven't backed her yet she is now 3.05 on Betfair. I will be on Osuigwe for this though I will try to get 1.5 in-play. No I haven't backed Claire yet and I don't think I will. I'll be on Whitney just like you suggest. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 Kiki Bertens to beat Sloane Stephens at 1.42 with betfair Kiki played a very good match yesterday when she bested Petra and if she brings that game again she's gonna win Mutua Madrid Open, I can't see Simona Halep stopping her even if the romanian has been on her usual clay rampage. Mathos67 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smiles Tennis Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 Halep to beat Bencic - 1.38 on Betfair Halep 17-1 in the last 12 months on clay, losing only in Rome final to Svitolina. She's on fire this week. Bencic did well to beat Osaka but Osaka is still finding her game on clay. Bencic already lost to Martic and Lottner in the last few weeks. Bencic is 3-7 on clay as underdog. The Osaka win was one win, with the other two coming way back in 2014. I can't see her beating Halep here. I was tempted to get a bigger price in play but could also see this being a 6-2 6-3 easy win so didn't want to risk missing out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
delfino Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 Hey tennis bettors Did anyone watch Federer recently? As for Tsitsipas he is trying to finish the points the soonest- moving regularlyto the net- because clay does not suit his game. Seems that Tsitsipas and clay are not a good pair. I am on Zverev to beat Tsitsipas @ 2.20 Bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aphro Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 15 minutes ago, delfino said: Hey tennis bettors Did anyone watch Federer recently? As for Tsitsipas he is trying to finish the points the soonest- moving regularlyto the net- because clay does not suit his game. Seems that Tsitsipas and clay are not a good pair. I am on Zverev to beat Tsitsipas @ 2.20 Bet365 Yes i agree with that, my value radar shows the same but recent trend worries too much Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 Kiki Bertens to beat Simona Halep at 2.40 with Unibet Like I've said I would bet on Kiki to win the final if she meets Simona and here we are so here we go! MABS and CzechPunter 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted May 11, 2019 Share Posted May 11, 2019 Dominic Thiem to beat Novak Djokovic at 2.00 with Unibet Strange to see Dominic as underdog in this match. He should rightfully be the favourite here but we get this price so I have to take this and I belive Dominic will get his third straight over Nole today. i1_principe 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted May 11, 2019 Share Posted May 11, 2019 Early break for Dominic, looks good. Now he just needs to hold serve four more times and then first set is on the board. It's likely that Novak can even drop serve another time in first set. He's looked pretty crappy the first points in this semi. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vvararu Posted May 11, 2019 Share Posted May 11, 2019 14 minutes ago, four-leaf said: Early break for Dominic, looks good. Now he just needs to hold serve four more times and then first set is on the board. It's likely that Novak can even drop serve another time in first set. He's looked pretty crappy the first points in this semi. Never underestimate Nole Of course he still can lose the match but that’s why he is number 1. He can beat anyone in a good day. MABS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted May 11, 2019 Share Posted May 11, 2019 He's not even second best on clay and that's why he's going to lose to Dominic today MABS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted May 11, 2019 Share Posted May 11, 2019 That's bullish @four-leaf I wish I was so confident in my picks For the record and regardless of the result I agree that Thiem was the value play. I backed him @ 2.05 so Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted May 11, 2019 Share Posted May 11, 2019 Dominic Thiem -1.5 set at 3.20 in-play 6-6 with Unibet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted May 11, 2019 Share Posted May 11, 2019 Ok I'm done for today. That lob from Nole at 3-1 in tie-break was just insane. Just gonna wait for the WTA final now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted May 11, 2019 Share Posted May 11, 2019 Such fine margins sometimes. Djokovic looks as though he'll beat Thiem and all it's really come down to is saving break points - Djokovic 6 out of 8, Thiem 0 out of 3. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted May 11, 2019 Share Posted May 11, 2019 Might have spoken to soon but if Djokovic wins the breaker then he'll still have saved 7 out of 10 break points. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted May 11, 2019 Share Posted May 11, 2019 Nadal v Tsitsipas another game where the player doing better at saving break points will probably prevail. And that's Tsitsipas (by some distance) leading by a break in the third. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
i1_principe Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 (edited) Opelka to beat Paire at 2.45 with Unibet Opelka has delivered good results on clay in recent times, he has won 5 of his last 7 matches on this surface and in both of his losses during this period he managed to win a set against Thiem and Monfils. Paire won the title in Marrakech, then dropped out early in Munich and Madrid. He is a rather inconsistent player and I would never bet on him when playing the role of a favorite. Edited May 12, 2019 by i1_principe Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vvararu Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 What do you think guys about the Madrid final? Even if there is a good value on Tsitsipas (~3.0), I have a feeling that he will be tired to face El numero 1 (even if clay is not his favourite). As he yesterday proved against Thiem, he is able to bother a lot even better clay-courters than himself. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted May 12, 2019 Author Share Posted May 12, 2019 Yes, certainly a massive mental hurdle for Stefanos to clear there. If he starts well, he might get a chance, but an early break could spell doom for him right away. Lorenzi Musetti 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vvararu Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 In any case the win over Nadal was like a final for Tsitsi. Exceptional achievement. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 I'm just happy to see Tsitsipas in another masters final since I have him to be top 10 at the end of this season at odds 5.00. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vvararu Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 5 minutes ago, four-leaf said: I'm just happy to see Tsitsipas in another masters final since I have him to be top 10 at the end of this season at odds 5.00. Sounds very reasonable Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 29 minutes ago, vvararu said: Sounds very reasonable With some more good performances by Stefanos he should even make it to London in November as he is very mutch a contender for that and he wont be interested in the NextGen final since he already won that tournament last season. He has points in the Canada Masters final to defend and a final in Washington. I also expect some of the current top 10 players to drop points in the coming months like John Isner, J-MDP and Kevin Anderson. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vvararu Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 12 minutes ago, four-leaf said: With some more good performances by Stefanos he should even make it to London in November as he is very mutch a contender for that and he wont be interested in the NextGen final since he already won that tournament last season. He has points in the Canada Masters final to defend and a final in Washington. I also expect some of the current top 10 players to drop points in the coming months like John Isner, J-MDP and Kevin Anderson. What is going on with Anderson? Have not seen him for a while. Or he does not play on clay... ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted May 12, 2019 Author Share Posted May 12, 2019 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 Only an injury can stop Stefanos from being top 10 for the rest of this season I think.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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