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Smiles Tennis

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Everything posted by Smiles Tennis

  1. Cirstea to beat Vondrousova - 2.46 with Betfair Vondrousova, like Kuds, hasn't been in great form with only one top 30 win since the US Open. That did come in the last round but Samsonova is prone to throwing a nightmare match in and Cirstea can make this hard for her.
  2. Cirstea to beat Kudermetova - 2.00 with Bet365 Kudermertova has been in poor form for a while and I'm not fazed by a win over Yastremska. Cirstea has the edge for me so evens is value.
  3. Pera to beat Fernandez - 3.35 with Pinnacle Pera has a few wins as underdog in recent weeks, beating SST, Putintseva, Siegemund, and has two wins already here coming back from a set down both times which will no doubt give her some confidence. Fernandez still the favourite but I think 1.35 is a bit short.
  4. Azarenka to beat Ostapenko - 2.52 on Betfair 4-0 head to head including two wins this year. Penko's last two defeats have been against Azarenka. If Penko is firing she can beat anyone but she's also a hand grenade at times and losing the last two against Viki might make her explode. I see some value at this price.
  5. Pavlyuchenkova to beat Kostyuk - 1.91 with Bet365 Kostyuk struggles mentally against Russians unless she's a strong fave. She beat two at the AO yes, but as a strong fave. As soon as she's in a battle her mental strength can cause problems, and Pav is a fighter who won't make this easy.
  6. Going with this today. Doha - T. Maria to beat G. Minnen - 2.79 with Pinnacle
  7. Haddad Maia to beat Jabeur - 2.42 on Betfair Haddad Maia can grind Jabeur down. Ons hasn't been great for a while and if her drop shots aren't firing then she can struggle.
  8. Cornet to beat Rus 2.48 with Pinnacle Cirstea to beat Sakkari - 2.6 with Unibet No time for write ups, sorry.
  9. Thanks, I used to do a proper write up but just don't have the time now. I might put out a few stats when I have the time. I just like seeing everyone else's bets.
  10. I have had so many recently that lost but it was 6-7 or 5-7 in a third set. Might be worth just going for them to win a set instead of winning the match.
  11. Vekic to beat Alexandrova - 2.83 with Pinnacle Both are decent indoors, both not been in great form. Vekic beat her last time they played. I would have these odds a little closer.
  12. Zidansek to beat Volynets - 3.4 with Bet365 Volynets hasn't got a top 100 win since beating Cornet last May I think it was and although Zidansek only just creeps in there, Volynets shouldn't be as low as 1.4 here.
  13. C. Gauff to beat A. Sabalenka - 2.92 with Betfair Gauff can win ugly if needed and Sabalenka has huge problems in Slam semi finals. Little bit of value for me here.
  14. D. Yastremska to beat V. Azarenka - 3.60 with Betfair
  15. She'll be a comfortable top 20 player and win a few trophies along the way, probably a slam at some point as she's so young and is decent with so much time on her side.
  16. Krejcikova to beat Andreeva - 2.75 Bet365 The odds shouldn't have flipped this much since their last meeting a few months ago.
  17. Quick picks Rus to beat Kalinskaya 3.25 with Betfair Maria to beat Paolini - 3.20 Bet365 / Unibet
  18. I am going for: Cocciaretto to beat Sun - 1.81 with Pinnacle Sun plays lower level tennis and shouldn't be this low against a top 70 player in a grand slam. In 13 matches against the current top 100 going back to May 2022 she's won 2. Against Boulter indoors and against a very out of form Blinkova in September. Gadecki to beat Stephens - 2.82 with Pinnacle Gadecki had a tight first set against Rybakina before going three sets with Qinwen, she's at home and will have the crowd behind her against someone who only turns up half the time. Stephens should be favourite but 1.53 is too short for me. Minnen to beat Tauson - 3.09 with Pinnacle Tauson has only one victory against someone in the top 150 in her last 12 matches. Her last 5 defeats have come against players ranked 123, 235, 118, 371 and 526. She also hates the heat and her fitness takes a back seat when it's hot. I don't see how she's 1.41. Yuan to beat Boulter - 2.44 with Pinnacle Yuan has played much more on hardcourt than Boulter. Boulter lost in R1 last week while Yuan reached the SF in Hobart beating Putintseva, Sloane, Xinyu and Podoroska on the way. Her last two defeats were against Navarro and Martic who are much better than Boulter. Last year she finished reaching 4 finals in a row (some at lower level) so should be confident. Boulter should have the edge but not by this much.
  19. 😮I thought this was a new post after yesterdays action. But no. Still, worthy of a bump and 100% agree with it, as I was on the receiving end of it in the past and don't post as much now.
  20. Jeanjean to beat Lys - 5.00 with Bet365 Huge price for Jeanjean who is only ranked 4 places lower than Lys, has also won in qualifying so far and has an 8-4 hardcourt record in slam qualies. These should be closer. Sonmez to beat Sun - 2.41 with Pinnacle Again should be closer, I make this more a 50/50 match so 2.41 is value on Sonmez.
  21. Sorry, I meant to write hasn't played well for a long time.
  22. Two for tonight for me. Adelaide, Linette to beat Alexandrova, 2.33 with Unibet. Alexandrova hasn't played for a long time and I would make this a 50/50 match. Hobart, Yuan to beat Stephens 2.70 with Unibet. Sloane can't be trusted at the best of times and Yuan likes playing on the hard court and has come through qualifying here.
  23. Colina matches Mandlik to beat Parry - 2.46 with Betfair Podoroska to beat Bejlek - 1.85 with Betfair No time for write ups tonight
  24. L. Pigossi to beat E. Mandlik - 3.1 with Unibet Mandlik only has two wins against players ranked in the top 270 since early September. Pigossi is back on clay after a mediocre hard court period but can cause problems to make me think she should be a shorter price than this.
  25. Colina - M. Lourdes Carle to beat D. Parry - 2.57 with Pinnacle Parry was on a 7 match losing streak before dropping down to 25k level to build some confidence, reached the SF but lost to #280, then played a 60k and lost in the final to #224 so she's not at her highest level yet. Lourdes Carle has won 8 of her last 10 matches, all on clay, winning a 40k title in the process. Parry might have the edge but she's a bit short for me on current form.
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