Smiles Tennis

WTA Eastbourne - Osorio to beat Rogers 2.32 with Betfair Osorio has a couple of matches under her belt here after beating Bucsa and Watson in qualifying. Rogers yet to play on grass and hasn't won a match for two months since beating Bogdan in Madrid. Osorio can hopefully expose Rogers' movement on this surface.

-5.82 points which cancelled out the decent day before! No time in the morning to do the picks at the moment.

+5.24 points yesterday. Total staked (1 pts bets): 285 Profit: 21.13 pts ROI: 7.4% All matches completed. Todays picks below.

Use a bookie that pays out if a point in played or first set completed?

Two more, that's it for today. Watson match starting soon. Cali later.

Those factors, if well known by the public like the ones you mentioned, will already be priced into their pre match odds so yes, it's taken into account. I don't make any extra adjustments for injuries for this reason.

+1.85 points. Total staked (1 pt per bet) 274 Profit: 15.89 ROI: 5.8% Today's picks. Might be one or two more later for the late afternoon/evening matches.

Just the one pick for Cali later.

-4.65 points. Two of those losses were grass which wouldn't normally be picked as of now. If there was no grass selections since using the algorithm then the profit for the last 12 days would have been just over 13.5 points so going forward will hopefully see this continue. Total staked: 263 Profit: 14.04 ROI: 5.3% Three Blois matches carried over to today. Cali matches to be done at lunch.

I use the algorithm so that I don't have to spend all my free time watching tennis. The algorithm is never going to pick 100% winners so losses don't bother me as long as I'm profitable, which I am. Good luck with your betting.

If I start making a loss I'll reconsider. At the moment it's making a profit so I'm happy. I'm not debating it anymore, we all do things differently. Remember, 7-8 on clay over odds of 3.00 though 😉

No but ranking doesn't concern me in the slightest. I don't use my opinion of the players in the slightest. It's purely maths and stats based and there's lots of losing bets every day, at the moment the payout from the winners is more than covering them though. I admire your determination to make me admit she's crap and she probably is, I've never watched her play.

She is profitable. That's facts. She's 7-8 on clay at odds over 3.00. Deny it all you want but if you backed her over 3.00 on clay for the last 3 and a half years you'll have a nice profit. It doesn't matter if your think she's crap, she still earns a profit.

But opposing Kanepi in certain situations does. She was about 1.34 or something today, she's already lost three times this year at sub 1.25. You never know when they throw a shocking performance in. I thought I would look up Caijsa record, she's won her last three matches when her odds were higher than 3.00. She probably will lose today, but there will be times when she will win as underdog. I just checked further, if you backed Caijsa at odds over 3.00 going back to the start of 2020, you would have a profit of 10 points. She's good for a long term profit at high odds.

It's just a pick the algorithm pulled up, they're not people who I think will win, just that they should be a value price and produce a long term profit.

Last three for the day. One after lunch, the rest later.

-2.29pts. Total staked: 250 Profit: 18.69 ROI: 7.5% No grass picks anymore unless original criteria is met. Spent couple of hours digging deeper and researching more and it doesn't work out for the amount of work it will take and the changes needed to get picks. Two matches rolled over to today from yesterday. Cali picks will be done at lunchtime.

One for this evening. WTA Zaragoza - Vicens Mas to beat Ovcharenko - 1.3 EDIT: scrap this, it's now tomorrow so it will be on the spreadsheet in the morning.

Well that's value that you believe in then. I'm happy to help you realise your trust in value. 😁 and congratulations.

The rest of today's/this evenings picks.

Why is it worth the risk? Because of the payout if it wins?

+0.35 pts yesterday. Total staked: 218 pts (1 pt per bet) Profit: 20.98 ROI: 9.6% ROI getting closer to expected (3-10%). Top three matches for today's picks were carried over from yesterday.

Last three for the night.

four more.

+2.67 points yesterday with just Stricker still in play to be finished. Total staked (1 pt per bet): 196 Profit: 21.63 ROI: 11% Todays picks to mid afternoon matches.