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i1_principe last won the day on May 8

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  1. T.Daniel to beat Jarry at 2.75 with Bet365 I think that Jary is a little overrated here. He is not in good shape at all, he has defeated 2 opponents so far, but Kudla and Ebden are neither in good shape nor prefer to play on clay. Daniel has recorded an impressive victory over Garin, a player who has been impressed in recent months. For me the odds should be more equal and I am happy to get 2.75 for Daniel’s win here.
  2. Tipsarevic to beat Gojowczyk at 2.35 with Unibet Gojowczyk is out of form at all, he played 5 games on clay this year and lost 4 of them. Tipsarevic is far from his best days, but in Houston he showed he can still play good tennis. There he reached the quarterfinals after defeating Norrie and Sandgren before dropping out of Querry after 2 tiebreaks. I think the Serb has a good chance of winning, I do not think that Gojowczyk has any advantage here.
  3. Opelka to beat Paire at 2.45 with Unibet Opelka has delivered good results on clay in recent times, he has won 5 of his last 7 matches on this surface and in both of his losses during this period he managed to win a set against Thiem and Monfils. Paire won the title in Marrakech, then dropped out early in Munich and Madrid. He is a rather inconsistent player and I would never bet on him when playing the role of a favorite.
  4. A.Zverev to beat Tsitsipas at 2.34 with Pinnacle Tsitsipas is in run of six consecutive wins. He won the title in Estoril last weekend, and now he has won 2 more wins against Mannarino and Verdasco. As a matter of fact during this period, he met players who are either not in the shape or far from his class. OK, Zverev is also not in the best shape, but there is enough class and especially motivation to defend points from last year. I think this is 50-50 game in worst case, so I am happy with odds for Zverev to win this game.
  5. Djere to beat Cilic at 2.38 with Unibet Cilic won 2 close wins against Klizan and Struff, but his overall shape during the year is not impressive. Jere is making tremendous progress - winning the title in Rio and playing semifinal in São Paulo and Budapest. The Serbian is in better shape and preferred surface give a good chance to win this game.
  6. Pouille to beat Hurkacz at 2.29 with Pinnacle Pouille is a player who either drops off in the first round or goes far in the tournament. A few days ago he won Bordeaux challenger and now continued his winning streak by defeating Borna Coric yesterday. Hurkacz is also in good run after winning 3 matches in Madrid but I do not think he should be a favorite here. There is some value for Pouille’s win in my eyes.
  7. Fucsovics to beat Goffin at 2.47 with Pinnacle More than a year Goffin can not find his game. OK, he reached the semi-finals in Estoril, but was not particularly convincing with his game. On the other pole is Fucsovics, who has been making good progress in recent months, and I think he has a pretty good chance of winning here.
  8. Fognini to beat Edmund at 1.93 with Pinnacle Edmund has played 4 games this year on clay and has lost 3 of them. A few days ago he even lost to Kudla in Munich and that shows us what his level is at the moment. After winning in Monte Carlo, Fognini gave up Barcelona and Estoril and now returns rested. I do not see this as a 50-50 game, I think Fognini should be a solid favorite here, of course there is always a question about Fabio's motivation, but if he has taken it seriously should win this game easily.
  9. Davidovich Fokina to beat Chardy at 2.34 with Pinnacle I'm really impressed with the way Fokina played against Fritz yesterday, he has already won 3 games in Estoril and I expect that his winning run will continue. Chardy is not in good shape, won only 3 of his last 11 games, he lost in the first round of the last two clay tournaments.
  10. L.Mayer to beat Lajovic at 2.31 with Pinnacle I do not see Lajovic as a favorite here. Ok, he had a great week in Monte Carlo, but he's quite inconsistent. Meyer played a strong match against Nadal in Barcelona and if he was more confident in himself he would win. Both players met earlier this season in Argentina and Mayer won with 2-0 sets. I think this is a 50-50 game and the odds are too good for Mayer.
  11. Cuevas to beat Berrettini at 2.42 with Pinnacle I do not understand this odds and why Cuevas is an outsider. He is the far more experienced player with good results on clay in general and this year too. He comes to this tournament after winning the title of Tunis Challenger and the self-confidence should be high. Also defeated Cilic in previous round who, although away from his best days is far from a class player of today's opponent. Berrettini won the 1st set after tiebreak 10-8 against Bedene and then it was easy. But against him now there is a mentally stronger opponent who has won 2 tiebreaks yesterday.
  12. Coric to beat Krajinovic at 1.80 with Bet365 The odds suggest that this is a match between relatively equal players, but Coric is the far better player and I would bet for him without thinking. The real odds here in my opinion should be around 1.4-1.5 and I'm happy to take a much higher one.
  13. Getafe v Real Madrid- Real to win at 2.03 with Pinnacle Getafe has a real chance for a Champions League places, but for me this team does not have the class to play even in Europa League. I have watched several of their games in the past weeks and I am far from being impressed by their performance. Last round they won 3-0 against Sevilla, but 2 of their goals were controversial, and even when they stayed with a man more on the pitch did not manage to create a goal opportunities. Real does not play for anything, and that's what makes them very dangerous. For me the real odds here for the guests should be around 1.6 and at the odds around 2 I have an easy decision. Sociedad v Villarreal- Villarreal (0 AH) to win at 2.02 with Pinnacle Villarreal needs points to stay away from the danger zone. They are a good team and their place in La Liga does not fit their class. In recent weeks, they have improved their performance and I expect that they will be far away from relegation zone at the end of the season. Sociedad are in the middle of the table and playing for nothing, this is visible from their results - only 1 win in the last 9 games.
  14. Albot to beat Krajinovic at 3.19 with Pinnacle I could not ignore these odds for Albot. I know this surface is not his favorite, but he's in the form of his life and he's full of confidence at the moment. Krajinovic lost the Sophia Antipolis Challenger final as a big favorite against Dustin Brown before few weeks and I think we can expect a surprise here again.
  15. Bedene to beat Berrertini at 2.28 with Pinnacle I do not know why Berrettini is a favorite in this game. I watched him last week in Monte Carlo against Grigor Dimitrov and I am not impressed at all by his performance. Bedene is solid on clay, reached a semi-finals in Rio and a quarter-final in Cordoba. He also performs quite good here in Budapest, reached a semifinal last year, and played final in 2017.