Hermes

anyone taking Fucsovics @2 to beat Schwartzman?
Schwartzman had two easy games, Fucsovics is clearly a level higher than his two previous opponents
 

Shame Gianluigi Mager faced Kyrgios today. He is playing immaculate with those serves. Interesting match.

now you know why people dont like nishioka. he got blown away in a grandslam match. completely pathetic. isner would have played better than him.

These guys like Chardy can avoid playing all year by just winning 2 or 3 matches in each of the majors. Brings in 400k for 6 weeks work. They are bringing everything these 5 weeks as it sets up the year.

I know we're all punters but it's sad to see this guy go this way esp if you watched him in his prime 08-12.Ymer had 28 breakpoints but could only convert 6.The match could have ended sooner but it was down to Ymer making many unforced errors. Sad to see the guy go down this way.

I know we're all punters but it's sad to see this guy go this way esp if you watched him in his prime 08-12.Ymer had 28 breakpoints but could only convert 6.The match could have ended sooner but it was down to Ymer making many unforced errors. Sad to see the guy go down this way.

I'll be watching Tallon Grieskpoor today. Clearly anything less than a win for Zverev will be a massive shock, but this guy has the ability to serve bot some matches on faster courts like he did in the qualies. His overs are around 10,11 and rightfully so but I'll be keen when the match goes live. I've watched him over the last two years in the challengers and is clearly someone on the up like Popyrin was 2 years ago. I believe he would have caused an upset were he not facing Zverev like a decent player in the top 50.Even if he doesn't win this today , he'll be someone to watch in the future.

Felix-Auger Alliasime (-2.5 sets) to beat Monteiro at 1.68 with Pinnacle
I dont think that Monterio is good on this surface. After new coach Felix found his rhytm and I believe that he beat Monterio compartably.

I haven't watched Kevin Anderson matches.I believe he's a solid top 15 player on his day, any reasons why he's been playing poorly or is age catching up with him .I have an intuition to back a set from Barrios Vela despite this being one of Anderson's favorite surfaces..

Mikael Ymer to beat Jo-Wilfried Tsonga at 1.95 with William Hill
Someone posted a little while ago how bad Tsonga has been since returning from injury, and in particular against Gerasimov (his only grass match since 2019). Ymer has played at a decent level recently, defeating Monfils and Carballes Baena at the French Open - before losing 3-0 to Sinner. Ymer will have a big fitness edge, and the confidence that comes from actually winning matches. 
Tsonga on the other hand has won 1 match since the end of 2019. In 2021 his win:loss is 1:6. He has won a total of 3/17 sets played. 

Hi folks!
I'm a forum member for several years but drifted away from the forum for a good while, but I'm back now and looking forward to Wimbledon!
Unfortunately I'm a bit late with the bet I was going to propose, and that is for Ludmila Samsonova to win Wimbledon.
She was a standout 80/1 on Bet365 only a week or so ago, but sadly she's come in since, first to 66/1 and now to 33/1.
From a prospects point of view, this is obviously a good sign, but from a value perspective, less so.
But there's no doubt she's on a hot streak at the moment, storming through the field in Berlin, beating Bencic and Azarenka on the way to the title.
I'd still say she's worth a small e/w stake at 33/1 (Paddy Power and Bet365).

Cressy is a massive hit-or-miss guy. I'm only backing him as the underdog personally.

Sorry to say this but going forward consider Tsonga finished. If you have watched him this year and as one of his biggest fans watching him in Barcelona and Lyon was watching a ghost.I doubt this is just a phase given his past injury problems.I was surprised to see him as a favourite today vs Gerasimov but going forward any battle VS anyone ranked in top 70 I'm betting against him on any surface.

Sorry to say this but going forward consider Tsonga finished. If you have watched him this year and as one of his biggest fans watching him in Barcelona and Lyon was watching a ghost.I doubt this is just a phase given his past injury problems.I was surprised to see him as a favourite today vs Gerasimov but going forward any battle VS anyone ranked in top 70 I'm betting against him on any surface.

Alright guys, the 2019 tennis season is more or less officially over, so it's time for a fairly long review of what happened.
On the sporting side of things, I think that we had a fairly intriguing season. I am, of course, hugely disappointed that we don't have any new Grand Slam winners, with Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal splitting all four titles evenly, but Daniil Medvedev came agonizingly close in the US Open and I think that the final there was actually the match of the year for me. I reckon that some of you will claim that the Wimbledon finals were the real thing, but I unfortunately didn't actually get to see that one, so I have no idea about what actually happened apart from the scoreboard changes. I did get to watch Nadal-Medvedev in the middle of the night while a storm was raging outside, however, so yeah, that was an interesting experience :D.
The second ATP story of the year that I'd like to highlight here was Murray's comeback, as I was genuinely convinced that he wouldn't be able to do much after his loss against.....er...I think it was Viola. He did grab a title afterwards in style, however, and I think that he might do even more in 2020. It's hard to say how much he can do in the physically-more-demanding Grand Slams, but he should be very dangerous everywhere else.
As far as the WTA is concerned, well, it's still a mess, isn't it? And I think that we have Clijsters or someone coming back next year as well, which is honestly just crazy - if she's going to make it, it really is going to speak volumes about the difference between ATP and WTA, I really can't imagine that we'd have Radek Stepanek or someone making a singles comeback in the same vein :D. The Grand Slams were obviously quite exciting with the Williams story and with seven different players occupying those eight final places, which is just really good for the game imo. It's great to have Bianca coming up, but I'm really sad that Marketa Vondrousova is yet another of those great talents trapped in awfully frail bodies. I'm getting Djokovic vibes whenever I see her play for some reason, but, well, she's currently after a surgery and we haven't see her since Wimbledon, so I'm not sure what the state of affairs is going to be next year.
On the forum side of things, the activity has picked up quite a bit in comparison with the previous season and we now have a nice mix of regulars and newcomers, so I'm really hoping that we are going to continue in the same fashion once the Australian Open starts. The passion always goes down a bit after the US Open and that is understandable, but I'd like to see all the guys here again in January. I'm not even going to name anyone, as I'm sure that I'd miss someone! In any case, I didn't even have to ban all that many people in 2019, which is just excellent!
And, finally, the betting side of things. While I was hoping to get to the lower levels of the competition, I didn't get to that for all sorts of reasons, so there were no easy pickings to be found anywhere. I'm hoping to get to exploring that area next year, especially if everything is still going to be so difficult on the main tours, but that's not for now, that's for later - and January is going to be all about the main tour anyway. Results-wise, I'm happy to say that 2019 was another profitable year, although I must admit that it wasn't as great as I was hoping it to be. Overall, it appears that I managed to place a grand total of 292 bets and that I ended with a decent ROI of 103%. I know that many people are still actively debating what ROI is achievable long term, but it's really hard for me to contribute to that, as it really depends on a great many of factors. I'm certainly guilty of being a bit overactive, which leads to some bad bets here and there, and I'm also guilty of not trying to exploit ITFs and Challengers as often as possible. I am going to try to change that if given a chance - and should lead to at least somewhat better results.
So, on that note, I hope that you are all going to have a great off-season, Christmas, etc., and I hope that we are all going to meet here either at the end of December or at least for the start of the Australian Open (January 20). I thank you all for being here and contributing!

Antwerp ATP
Kwon Soon - Pella
Against my prediction, Kwon Soon succeeded to beat Gasquet. In my opinion, that happened because of the poor physical form of Gasquet. He played well first set and a part of the second but later, in longer rallies, he started to go from offensive to defensive more and more often.
Kwon Soon looks good looking at the stats. This year he played a lot of games on hard court a won almost all of them. To be noticed that almost all of the opponents, excepting a few (Gasquet himself, Pouille, Londero) were either outside top 100.
Pella does not look so impressive statistically. He played less hard-court games and his favourite surface seems to be clay. Starting with august, he played 12 hard-court games and won 6 of them. To be noticed that almost all the opponents were < top 50. He lost to guys like Basilashvilli, Careno-Busta, Schwartzman but also beat Goffin, Albot, Dimitrov.
These two guys played against each other on hard court a couple of months ago and Pella won 2:1, taking last 2 sets 6:1, 6:2. I count on Pella's slightly superior quality and experience of games against better players. Pella to win @1.83 Unibet.

Andrey Rublev to beat Borna Coric at 1.91 with William Hill
I'm not exactly sure why the chances should be balanced here, as I'd have the Russian as a fairly decent favorite after Coric disappointed in his last two tournaments. He has enough quality, don't get me wrong, but he doesn't seem to have enough confidence to get himself over the line at the moment and that might prove to be his downfall yet again. Rublev should take this more often than not imo.

Dominic Thiem (-2.5) to beat Andy Murray at 1.81 with Pinnacle
Should be the end of Murray honestly, Thiem is a giant step up from Norrie and Murray shouldn't have the fitness to fight against one of the fittest players on the tour. Could be somewhat similar to the match with De Minaur from last week in many ways, but Thiem is obviously even better and (hopefully) isn't going to choke like Berretini did.

This is a general tip for ATP St. Petersburg: I'd oppose both Khachanov and Medvedev, despite the potential for both of them to play well in front of a "home" crowd. Khachanov is miles away from his best (and I saw he became a new father recently) and surely all of Medvedev's tennis will finally catch up with him.

Medvedev v Dimitrov
For me this match is a total no contest. Gregor has a terrible match-up here. A clash of very similar styles.
Medvedev has more than enough to beat him at his own game, and has had  2 days off, to recover from his slight thigh strain. I don't think the win over Federer was spectacular for Gregor. Fed is 38 years old, so he was quite likely to run outta gas in  the latter part of the 4th and 5th set. 
Look, at this level, players are unbelievably good ... every player can hit the ball. So the game boils down to who makes the right decisions at the right time, and who plays the big points better. In my opinion, Gregor makes bad choices at the worst possible time, while Medvedev does the opposite. Gregor is a great player, but there is some subconcious barrier that stops him from going to the highest level. Medvedev has amazing court craft. He understands what to do and when to do it. You can't teach this stuff. At this stage a player either has it, or doesn't.  It's like a top striker in soccer. He knows, without looking where the goalkeeper is, and what he has to do to score. 
So how to make money here ? 1st set is critical. I think if Medvedev wins it, he wins very easily in 3.  
For me taking Medvedev at 4 to 10 is not to good. Maybe the best bet is to essentially lay the match going to 5 sets, by just betting total sets 3 and 4 for an equal stake.
I see a 1 sided bashing here.
Nadal v Berrittini
Never seen Nadal play this well. He is crushing the ball, with an intensity that is almost inhuman. I would be going under 31.5 total games here, in what should be a blow out. I just don't think Berrittini will get those easy service holds, and could get demolished here.

Tiafoe to beat Hurkacz at 2.06 with Pinnacle
Tiafoe did not finish any of his two games so far in the tournament against Krajinovic and Chardy after his opponents retired, but it should be noted that he had an advantage in both matches.  Hurkacz also did not finish his last game after Lopes retired and before that he had a difficult win with 2-1 set against Korean Lee. Hurkacz has been making a lot of progress this year, but Tiafoe is playing at home and has also won both his matches against the Pole, which makes me think he will have a slight advantage in this match.

Cepelova to beat Begu at 1.87 with SportingBet
I must admit I have not watched the US qualifying rounds. I'm basing this bet on the H2H record, which is 3-0 in favour of Cepelova.

Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Hugo Dellien at 2.00 with William Hill
While I do understand the reasons for Basilashvili being the underdog in this one, I don't really agree with them. Basilashvili is still the classier player of the two and he's the defending champion, so I think that he's going to be prepared for the event after taking a break after Wimbledon. Dellien is having an excellent season in terms of win and losses, but most of his successes came on the lower level and he's had some weak performances recently, so I'd have Nikoloz as the favorite here and I'm quite surprised that we're getting evens for him.

Nothing involving Klizan is a banker, but yeah .

The week after Wimbledon is always a bit flat. In Europe there's an inexplicable switch to clay for what seems like no time at all until the American hard court swing begins, plus a lot of players aren't playing due to their Wimbledon exertions which means a roster of minor tournaments with weakened fields. Not very attractive from a betting perspective which explains how quiet it is here right now.