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South_African_Punter last won the day on February 4 2019

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  1. Any other suggestions for outright bets now (besides my Thiem one posted a week ago)? 😃
  2. Well I'm seeing on Twitter that Sascha might not play this match. Li/Kerber have been off court for an hour now and there's no actual explanation for this delay.
  3. Mannarino to win a set - 1.72 @ Sportingbet Sascha has dropped a set in his two previous matches and I feel there is a good chance he will drop at least a set (if not lose the match) to Mannarino who has impressed me in his recent matches.
  4. I must say I'm tempted by the 11.0 on Thiem. Yeah I know he went out at the first round last year and was given a good beating by Krajinovic earlier this week but apparently the two show courts weren't used in the W&S Open this week and they tend to be slower than the outside courts. It is likely he will be allocated outside courses in the early part of the tournament but he shouldn't encounter any problems in the first few rounds. As #2 seed, he will then almost surely be assigned one of the show courts. The other two considerations for the "anti-Djokovic" pick were Tsitipas but I don't view him as quite ready for a GS title and Medvedev has too few matches under his belt for me to be comfortable placing a bet on him.
  5. At those odds, not worth it. Also unsure how committed Serena is to this tournament. Might be worth investigating the +1.5 set handicap on Rogers (haven't checked odds on that but I imagine it'd represent value).
  6. Anett Kontaveit v Laura Siegemund (+1.5 sets) @ 1.62 Although Kontaveit won easily in two sets, she did lose the first three games in the 2nd set, indicating that she did not have it all her own way. Siegemund is an experienced campaigner and enjoys clay. She also has been playing many exhibition matches, racking up a score a great tally of 11W 2L (even if it was against sub-standard opposition). I believe Siegemund has it in her to win a set and possibly even the match, but I will choose the safer option.
  7. Phew, finally tennis resumes! Been keeping myself betting on e-sports and other minor sports (e.g. darts) for the last while. Don't have any tips just yet - want to watch a few matches before I part with my money. Also as @money44 said, great to see this place so lively after such a long pause!
  8. Yup and all the financial implications for the less successful players. I don't support this decision at all. I was really looking forward to 'tennis in the desert'.
  9. Yeah just came to state here what a great final it was in Dubai. A bit heartbroken Rybakina (and not just because I bet on her) -- she played so bloody well for a 20-year-old against probably the best "fighter" on tour at the moment. Some completely amazing shots and huge "big match temperament" shown by Rybakina to take the 3rd set to a TB. This young lady is definitely going to be a future grand slam winner. What an absolute star!
  10. Kwon Won Soon to beat Adrian Mannarino at 1.75 with SportingBet Kwon Won Soon has impressed me with his recent form, going deep(ish) in both Pune and New York, unluckily losing to Edmund (the eventual winner) in a third-set TB. Mannarino is not in good form at the moment, having won only one match in 2020, against the Australian Al Popyrin, ranked 100th. My only concern would be that Kwon Won Soon last Friday against Edmund, however, he is young and should have enough energy to get past Mannarino.
  11. Note that Krajinovic has pulled out of the tournament, unfortunately.
  12. Jason Jung to beat Cameron Norrie at 2.00 with Sportingbet Although I didn't see the Jung v Anderson game, I was still impressed that he won against Anderson, even if Anderson is clearly not at his best right now. Norrie is a bit of mess currently, having only won 3 matches so far this year, all to players outside the Top 400. Jung has also come through qualifiers, so this should help him.
  13. Thanks for the pick with Schwartzman. Weirdly he drifted to 4.0 before start of tournament so I got slight better odds.
  14. @money44 - I will agree with @darko08's analysis re Moutet. Beating Pella is no mean feat and he has already beaten Martin (albeit on hard) so he at least has the knowledge of how to beat him.
  15. Luckily I didn't bet on that looking at the first set. 😁 Ugo Humbert (-2.5) v Feliciano Lopez @ 1.83 Well @darko08 has basically laid out the reasoning. I'm increasing the odds here by using the game handicap. Although it is likely there will be a TB in this match, this will still cover if there's only one break (assuming Humbert win the TB), which should be possible given Lopez's poor form on indoor hard.