South_African_Punter

This is a general tip for ATP St. Petersburg: I'd oppose both Khachanov and Medvedev, despite the potential for both of them to play well in front of a "home" crowd. Khachanov is miles away from his best (and I saw he became a new father recently) and surely all of Medvedev's tennis will finally catch up with him.

Struff (to win) against Isner - @ 2.10 Simple explanation for this: Since Isner's foot injury, he hasn't been himself, losing early in both Cincinnati and Montreal. Struff, on the other hand, is a player on the up and I've prepared to back him here as the underdog. Yes, Isner does own a 3-0 H2H record, but the last match was in 2016 and Struff will be facing a very different Isner in 2019...

Around 75 matches scheduled for today. Woop Woop.

Also Kukushin against Agut (8.75)

Outright US Open Men - Thiem to win @ 28.0 I will probably cash out the following bet at SF or Final stage, but I do believe Thiem is being underestimated by the bookies here at 28.0. The US Open courts aren't the fastest which obviously benefits Thiem. He has had an impressive year, most notably winning in California and making the finals of Roland Garros. Last year he was excruciatingly close in knocking out Nadal and I think he has got better since then.

Cepelova to beat Begu at 1.87 with SportingBet I must admit I have not watched the US qualifying rounds. I'm basing this bet on the H2H record, which is 3-0 in favour of Cepelova.

Cilic to beat Thiem at 1.85 with SportingBet I keep this simple and sweet. Cilic played quite well last week against eventual runner-up, Danii Medvedev, in Washington. He should prove a stern challenge to Thiem, who was looking rather shaky to the very out-of-form Shapovalov.

Medvedev to win ATP Washington @ 4.50 Should have been on this yesterday before he played Tiafoe (I think you could get 8.0) but I think Medvedev has a good chance here. He's playing Cilic tonight, who has been in bad form this year and then either Edmund/Gojowczyk in the SF. Then he probably faces Tsitsipas/Kyrgios in the final. Kyrgios is looking dangerous in the top half of the draw but I never bet on NK since he is so temperamental (and a disgrace to tennis).

Are you not worried by his historically bad form in this tournament? It almost feels like a trap 😛

Rafael Nadal to beat Roger Federer @ 1.68 From reports that I have read, the courts are playing slower than usual, which has and will benefit Nadal. Besides Kyrgios, Nadal has more-or-less demolished his opponents, including the big server Sam Querrey, who is not bad on grass. On the other hand, Federer has had a few lapses, losing a set each to Harris and Nishikori. A better player than Nishikori (i.e. Nadal) could have won that QF I reckon. Based on the form in this tournament, I reckon Nadal is in a better shape than Federer.

5 out of their last 22 matches have gone the distance (5 sets).

Bautista Agut (-5.5) v Pella @ 1.65 with SportingBet Bautista-Agut has somewhat slipped under the radar at this tournament. He has not dropped a set this tournament and has breezed through to the quarter-finals. His opponent, Guido Pella, came back from 2-0 against Raonic and might be feeling the effects of a 5-setter. In addition, Bautista-Agut has a 2-0 against Pella, and in many of the sets he won against Pella, he won 6-1 or 6-0.

Just saw this story re Kyrgios - suggests he is not that serious: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7211273/Nick-Kyrgios-spends-night-PUB-prepares-Rafael-Nadal-Wimbledon-showdown.html

Probably Basilashvili just because Ward is so low on the rankings but Basilashvili isn't that good on grass.

I'm personally on Thompson due to reasons outlined here. Thompson really isn't that bad and the temperamental nature of Nick will always mean there is a chance for an upset.