South_African_Punter

Yup and all the financial implications for the less successful players. I don't support this decision at all. I was really looking forward to 'tennis in the desert'.

Yeah just came to state here what a great final it was in Dubai. A bit heartbroken Rybakina (and not just because I bet on her) -- she played so bloody well for a 20-year-old against probably the best "fighter" on tour at the moment. Some completely amazing shots and huge "big match temperament" shown by Rybakina to take the 3rd set to a TB. This young lady is definitely going to be a future grand slam winner. What an absolute star!

Kwon Won Soon to beat Adrian Mannarino at 1.75 with SportingBet Kwon Won Soon has impressed me with his recent form, going deep(ish) in both Pune and New York, unluckily losing to Edmund (the eventual winner) in a third-set TB. Mannarino is not in good form at the moment, having won only one match in 2020, against the Australian Al Popyrin, ranked 100th. My only concern would be that Kwon Won Soon last Friday against Edmund, however, he is young and should have enough energy to get past Mannarino.

Note that Krajinovic has pulled out of the tournament, unfortunately.

Jason Jung to beat Cameron Norrie at 2.00 with Sportingbet Although I didn't see the Jung v Anderson game, I was still impressed that he won against Anderson, even if Anderson is clearly not at his best right now. Norrie is a bit of mess currently, having only won 3 matches so far this year, all to players outside the Top 400. Jung has also come through qualifiers, so this should help him.

Thanks for the pick with Schwartzman. Weirdly he drifted to 4.0 before start of tournament so I got slight better odds.

@money44 - I will agree with @darko08's analysis re Moutet. Beating Pella is no mean feat and he has already beaten Martin (albeit on hard) so he at least has the knowledge of how to beat him.

Luckily I didn't bet on that looking at the first set. 😁 Ugo Humbert (-2.5) v Feliciano Lopez @ 1.83 Well @darko08 has basically laid out the reasoning. I'm increasing the odds here by using the game handicap. Although it is likely there will be a TB in this match, this will still cover if there's only one break (assuming Humbert win the TB), which should be possible given Lopez's poor form on indoor hard.

What do you think of Popyrin (2.01) against Mannarino (1.72) ? I think the odds are the wrong way round, but I'd like to hear your point of view.

Dominic Thiem to beat Rafal Nadal @ 3.10. I think this price represents good value. I keep thinking back to the US Open, where Thiem took Nadal to a 5th set tie-breaker. Since then, Thiem has only increased his prowess on hard courts, with him winning in IW last year. Besides the 5-setter against Bolt, he has looked very good, especially in his last two matches. Nadal hasn't looked completely comfortable on serve and I believe Thiem has the ability to take advantage of that.

Dominic Thiem (-3.5 game handicap) to beat Gael Monfils at 1.60 with SportingBet Monfils has not really played anyone of substance yet this in this tournament but tomorrow he will face a stern match up against Dominic Thiem. Thiem owns a 8-1 H2H record against Monfils, with a fair amount of those matches on hard courts. As we saw last year at Indian Wells and the ATP finals, Thiem's hard court game has come a long way since he burst onto the scene and he has the tools, belief and strategic nous to beat Monfils.

Yeah, thought the odds were kind of the wrong way round given Fognini's pedigree on hard. Took the bet in the end, happy it paid off.

Tempted by Fognini @ 2.25 but he has played two five-setters. And he is Fognini...but Pella does ply most of his trade on clay. Might wait for an in-play bet.

Cuevas is not really a hardcourt player and he got smashed in the ATP Cup so I'd think that Simon has the definite advantage here.

Anyone have opinions on Riske v Pliskova? I see Pliskova has a perfect H2H record against Riske, but the games have been close. Perhaps the overs is the bet here.