South_African_Punter

Kiki Bertens to beat Ashleigh Barty at 1.83 Ok, I'll preface this by saying I'm a Kiki Bertens fan, so maybe I'm a bit biased, but I have been impressed that she has scored two top 10 wins (over Pliskova and Kvitova) this week, both by a 2-0 scoreline. As hard court isn't her favoured surface, these are stunning results. Barty has also won in convincing fashion this week but against lower-ranked players, so I think Bertens deserves to be slight favourite.

Taro Daniel to beat Jaume Munar at 2.05 Daniel has been on a very good run recently, notching up two wins in Gstaad, losing to Bautista-Agut in the quarterfinals. He has also played two matches in Kitzbuhel, winning easily against an out-of-form Struff and fatigued Laslo Djere. Munar also went out against Bautista-Agut in Gstaad, although he did take a set off him, unlike Daniel. In Kitzbuhel, he has beaten Hanfmann, however, he did drop a set, and then coasted to victory against an out-of-form Haase. However, the main deciding factor for me was that Daniel beat Munar only last year, 6-2 6-1, in Munar's home town. So I will back him in this match-up.

Jared Donaldson (-2.5) to beat Jordan Thompson at 1.80 Although Jared hasn't been particularly good on the clay or grass, I will back him to win here. He beat Thompson earlier this year in Australia, and his favourite surface is clearly hard courts. Furthermore, the crowd will be behind him, giving him further impetus to end his current bad run.

@CzechPunter is on fire this week! Pity I only had the confidence to be on the Mayer-Schwartzmann pick!

Hyeon Chung to beat Taylor Fritz at 1.95 I'm well aware that this is Chung's first match back from injury and thus there is a large degree of risk involved in this bet. However, besides going out to Haase in the first round of the Madrid Masters (when he was clearly injured), he has won a few matches in other tournaments he has played, making the quarter-finals of the Miami and Indian Wells Masters. Fritz has done well this year, but mainly on the Challenger circuit.

Ah ok, Thought you had left out the pick.

What's the bet, then?

Also going to back Haase. Think Rublev got broken too many times for my liking. Haase is definitely a step up from FAA. And as @FabioTennis pointed out, his fitness is questionable.

Lost a bit of money on challengers. The results seem a bit random so I avoid. Also problem is they are rarely on TV etc...I can only base my decision based on what I see from apps like Flashscore, but that doesn't seem to work.

Anyone have views on the Gael Monfils vs Kevin Anderson game? Monfils is the underdog but has a superb H2H against Anderson, but Anderson is looking good as well.

Tailed you on this. Fantastic. Was feeling a bit down after losing bets on Tsitipas and Kohlschreiber over past two days!

Another great pick

Going to tail you on this bet. What swung it for me was that she has played Witthoeft only a few weeks ago and won, so I think she should be able to do it again, regardless of her inexperience on grass. I feel she should have a "memory" of how to beat Witthoeft.

Garbine Muguruza v Maria Sharapova Pick: Muguruza to win @ 1.75. I was very impressed with Muguruza's demolition of Stosur. When Muguruza is in the zone, few, if any, can beat her. Sharapova, of course, was also impressive against Pliskova, but from what I recall of that game, Pliskova wasn't near her best tennis. Muguruza hasn't won against Sharapova, but the last match was in 2014 and Muguruza has made large improvements to her game since then, so I am willing to not factor in the head to head here.

Sloane Stephens vs Daria Kasatkina Sloane Stephens to win: 2/1. While Kasatkina's win over Wozniacki was impressive, I think the bookies are over-valuing her in this instance. This is her first QF Grand Slam appearance, which might result in a bit of nerves. Sloane Stephens has been impressive so far, especially her demolition of an in-form Kontaveit. She has also more experience of the "big stage" than Kasatkina.