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All aboard the Venetia train today 3.20 Warwick Ostrava Du Berlais 10/1 1.5pts e/w Backed with Ladbrokes with a price boost (9/1 available in general)

Happy with that run 👍🏼 Finished 2nd at 10/1 E/W profit 📈💷 3pts staked 4.5pts returned Daily P/L = +1.5pts Running P/L = +55.3pts

Winner 50/1💰 don’t you just love dodgy murtagh 👍👍 have to go up another self on the old red wine tonight 🍷🍷 +.£600 +£1035 day 66

Wednesday ratings. 2.10. Warwick. Kamaxios.143. 12/1 Helnwein 137.5/2. 5.30. Kempton Notre belle bete. 116.16/1 Longlai 114.20/1. roi de france. 114. Evens. 7.30.kemp. beamish 101/ Duke of Oxford. 101.2/1+16/1. 2.10 Warwick. 2pts win 1pt.e.way, and 1/2 pt r.f.c. 5.30. 1pt e.way on on the 2 outsiders, and small combi tricast on the 3. 7.30. 2pts win and 1pt e.way.

The below look interesting and are on the shortlist for the RSM Classic - * Brian Harman - 35/1 * Denny McCarthy - 37/1 * Mackenzia Hughes - 49/1 * Justin Lower - 64/1 * Adam Svensson - 74/1 All prices Betfair Will look at top 10 prices Good luck on your selections this week!

Result: Roi De France 1st. Won £25 November profit to date £52.86

A bottle or 2 🍷🍷let’s hope the nap does as good tonight 😂👍

NH selection Ffos Las 3.45 TECH THAT 30/1 Ladbrokes

I backed the fav last night, might have to have a saver. Definitely coming up to Venetia time, just need a bit more rain/snow 😁

The below look interesting and are on the shortlist for the Australian Championship - * Luca Herbert - 11/1 * Rasmus Neergaard-Peterson - 31/1 * David Micheluzzi - 35/1 * Elvis Smylie - 69/1 * Jacob Skov Olesen - 159/1 All prices Betfair Will look at top 10 prices Good luck on your selections this week!

This is all fine, but what we want, is to PREDICT what's going to happen based on these performance markers, and that's where the "Prediction" section comes in. You're covered with the Prem through to League 2, The Scottish Prem and the top leagues, in Europe (French, Spanish, Italian & German). All the UEFA competitions are covered and we even have the likes of the MLS, Australian A-League & Brazil Serie A. Let's take a look at the coming weekend, in the Premier League. As you can see, we have the points attained by each team, in the last 2 & 4 fixtures. If you look at Leicester, you'll see 15.75 and 13.00. These are the points scored from their last 2/4 HOME matches and of course, the same with Chelsea. 32.50 and 25.50 are the scores of their last 2/4 AWAY matches. Once we have this total, we can then get an average of both and see if there is a big "difference" between the two You can see that the difference has come out as 16.75 / 12.50 in favour of the away team. It has to be up to you what "cut-off number" would make it a bet, for you, but I would suggest that this kind of dominance would suggest a bet on Chelsea. I have a thread up to test the ELO Ratings Hope this helps Fader

Yeah fav looks solid, just felt with the trends around VW, the wind op, return from a long break and her record around this time of year it was worth backing, especially at 10s. I've actually had 1.5pts e/w but ballsed up and only advised 1pt e/w 🤦🏻‍♂️

Could be incredible value but it's enough to put me off and Brentford is pretty much a guaranteed runner. 12s seemed great value to me when there are only usually 5 or max 6 runners in the race and you'll get 3 places Antepost.

Kempton 17.30 £20 Roi De France @5/4 bet365

8.00 Kempton: Blessed Honour @ 4/1 (WHill)

Quite a few I like tomorrow... 12.53 Warwick Don’t Mind If I Do 4/1 2pt win (Unibet) 14.25 Warwick Eldorado Allen 5/2 2pt win (Unibet) 15.00 Warwick Lady Pretender 7/2 3pt win (Ladbrokes) 15.23 Wincanton Karaktere D'enfer 7/1 2pt win (888) 9pts staked

A short priced 2/1 winner but I'll take anything after a bruising losing run of 19 82 from 350, LSP 58.73

Most winners @Mrjol. takes over at the top and is close to the 10 point target

I've put some small bets on here apart from the first where the price has gone. Lady Pretender now 4/1 with WH.

Just one winner today at 6/1. This make my C/Fwd L15 Balance -140.54 and my RC P/L (incl L15's) -204.50. Hopefully I should have more time tomorrow morning to sort out my selections

Not my intention at all. Just thinking out loud.

One of the downsides I can see is if there is a big injury for a team. Example Rodri or Haaland for Man City.

How many games is it out of interest.

Good luck. My concern about the ratings is that they’re based on such a small number of games but I’ll be interested to see how you get on. My other thought is the price v ratings angle. A 20 point margin would be one thing at, say, 1/2, but maybe another at 2/1. Now if you could convert the ratings into fair prices that would be great! As a quick and easy proxy, maybe you could multiply the points advantage by the team’s odds to give a rough and ready value measure. 1.5 x 20 woulds score 30 whereas 3 x 20 score 60. That could give you the potential best bets each week reflecting the ELO ratings and the available odds.

We now have a dedicated forum on Responsible Gambling

5-30 kempton fantastic fox 16/1 coral

Lucky15Ref: 621779212 4 Selections 14. Got No Dollars - 50/1Winner - 16:30 Kempton 8. Tempus - 20/1Winner - 17:30 Kempton 1. Mini Mac - 4/1Winner - 18:00 Kempton 2. Silent Glance - 4/1Winner - 20:00 Kempton Stake£ 0.75 Potential Returns£ 2,059.15

Lucky15Ref: 621775312 4 Selections 10. Calanthe - 28/1Winner - 16:30 Kempton 3. War Supremo - 4/1Winner - 18:30 Kempton 4. Cool Party - 10/3Winner - 19:30 Kempton 13. No News - 9/1Winner - 20:30 Kempton Stake£ 0.75 Potential Returns£ 527.95

They seem to have a bad track record although I did very well with them, making a profit of over £1.3k before my stakes were restricted to an unreasonable amount. My current favourite is SKB, lots of great offers (although I've managed to make a loss so far which might be the reason I'm still allowed to bet !). My big bets though tend to be on the exchanges.

I've updated the schedule. So I don't need to cancel the November games already set up we will go with them as they are. So it's PLO this week and the lobby will still show it as leg 3. Next week we will stick with a 5000 game (will show as leg 4 in lobby) but it will not be double points. In the December dates we'll then go back to a NLHE 3000, then PLO 5000 and NLHE 5000 final leg with multiplier. I'll take a look at the payouts and we'll possibly go top 4 over the 6 weeks. It will be 4 scores from 6 to count. So PLO night tonight, game should be registering as usual now.

9.40 Tampa Bay - MISSPENT 7/2 bet365 . 2nd 👎 missed the break then whilst staying on ran 4 wide at the bend , got bumped but ran on again to finish 2nd behind 12/1 winner , have put in tracker . Good to see TB back , I do like sprinters with low draws on dirt between 5-6.5f though tip is only having 2nd career run but drop back to 5.5f from her debut 6f run should suit .

Kempton 5.00 NATURALLY 13/1 £20 win LADBROKES

Maria Lourdes Carle to beat Leolia Jeanjean at 1.44 with Bet365 Very specific conditions in Colina, somewhat hard to control the ball, and Carle looked fine against Anderson in how she dealt with them. Jeanjean tends to be very up and down, and she can be very erratic when things start going even slightly off in terms of bounces, etc.

Lucky15Ref: 621393148 4 Selections 8. Bridget Mary - 6/1Winner - 12:50 Ffos Las 13. Kalista Love - 8/1Winner - 13:25 Ffos Las 4. Carved In Stone - 40/1Winner - 14:00 Ffos Las 3. Lelant - 13/2Winner - 14:35 Ffos Las Stake£ 0.75 Potential Returns£ 1,427.95 Only time for two atm. I may have a go at Kempton later. Good luck to all, especially @LEE-GRAYS

Lucky15Ref: 621390076 4 Selections 10. Prime Pretender - 20/1Winner - 12:50 Ffos Las 6. Lady Harriett - 7/2Winner - 14:00 Ffos Las 8. Higgs - 16/1Winner - 14:35 Ffos Las 12. Triple Nickle - 15/2Winner - 15:10 Ffos Las Stake£ 0.75 Potential Returns£ 1,034.50

Day 66 +£435 3,00 Dundalk Amber blossom 50/1 £10 e/w bet365

Dramatic Effect 8 00Kem 1/40th of a pt ew 25/1

Todays chancers are - Ffos Las 12.15 Let Me Go Boys 28/1ew £2.00 Coral Ffos Las 2.00 Jukebox Joker 25/1ew £2.00 W Hill Warwick 1.35 Rubber Ball 6/1ew £2.00 W Hill Kempton 6.30 Rye 22/1ew £2.00 365 Kempton 8.30 Naughty Niall 50/1ew 4pl £2.00 W Hill and betfair - Ffos Las 12.15 Let Me Go Boys 55.00 £1.00 £54.00 Ffos Las 2.00 Jukebox Joker 22.32 £1.00 £21.32 Warwick 1.35 Rubber Ball 7.40 £1.00 £6.40 Kempton 6.30 Rye 38.94 £1.00 £37.94 Kempton 8.30 Naughty Niall 72.00 £1.00 £71.00

5.30 Kempton: Fantastic Fox @ 12/1 E/W (Bet365)

Lucky 15 E/W Dundalk 4:10 Top of the pops 50/1 Kempton 5:30 Kingdom come 10/1 6;00 Ottawa 5/1 7:30 Rajinsky 18/1

Day 262 -£171

All weather racing abandoned due to the weather ! Reminds me of a weather forecast somewehere where the forecast couldn't be made because the equipment had been damaged by a storm. The announcent was "There is no weather forecast today because of the weather. Whether there will be a weather forecast tomorrow depends on the weather.

100% mirror Torque thoughts. Sending regards at this tough time. More to life than competitions

Blimey @LIKE2FISH representing. Teach me 😂

Really sorry to hear that. Take all the time you need the comps don't matter. We'll all be here when you're ready to come back I'm sure.

Most winners A couple of good days for @Peter York sees him move to the top

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McIlroy a deserved winner but I didn't think much of the price. That's the way it goes sometimes. On to the next tourney