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Showing content with the highest reputation on 05/12/2024 in all areas

  1. 700 newc Tacarib bay 8.5 8/1 Batal Dubai. 8.5 13/2 Joint top and both are clear of rest so I'll try 5pt wins both and rev forecasts
    4 points
  2. Hope LeMale is ok , not like him not to post i don't think .
    4 points
  3. Good luck with these. I see that @sirspread has napped your eyelash horse First Folio so let's hope that it runs weel
    3 points
  4. For today i like only two matches. Kenin vs Stramkova at 1.65 local bookie. I watched kenin against jabeur and really liked her, in my opinion she had luck keeping her serve at 2-0 in decisive set but than she started to play very good tennis like in the first set. Sramkova in the other hand i think she reached now her best result in her career, but got some weak players in her way. Kenin is by far the better player. Barthel vs Uchijima at 1.42 local bookie. Barthel won yesterday against erjavec because erjavec was her enemy in the final games, a lot of easy mistakes. Uchijima impressed me especially because she won an itf 100k on hard in japan in 05.05 and in 08.05 won her first match in europe on clay. Uchijima is in her best form. Sorry for my mediocre english, isnt my native language. Grasscash, as harry_rag said we dont care about your winnings. Here some guys share their infos about tennis matches. You dont need to show of here! Good luck! ☘️
    3 points
  5. 2.50 Longchamp - ROCK N SWING 14/1 eway bet365 ( 4 places ) 1st was 33/1 2nd 66/1 ( B.Meehan ) 3rd 12/1 , one heck of a tricast , mine ran on well at the end & extra 2f would suit . 4.40 Longchamp - MAKAROVA 16/5 bet365 . 2nd , Marquand was half asleep when the stalls opened unlike Barzelona who led from pillar to post . 7.00 Newcastle - BOSH 8/1 eway bet365 ( 4 places ) 👎my eyelash horse First Folio 5th , ran ok for 5f then faded but had good horses behind . finally gets a run this season after failing to be declared at Newmarket & Ascot but will need the run , apparently . Roger Teal currently on Racing TV's Luck on Sunday & reckons that Longchamp will be good to soft this afternoon & not the very soft forecast on At the Races .
    3 points
  6. 17:35 Windsor Master Builder 15/8 3pt win Going to start assigning pts to selections/info and keep a track of my P/L. With my current form of seconditis, it could make for interesting reading 🤣
    2 points
  7. Had 3 goes on the Daily L15 = 4.50 points 3.28 Lud Collingham 0.50 win at 10/1. Saddlers Quest 0.50 win at 20/1 7.00 Nc Batal Dubai 0.75 win at 15/2, Tacarib Bay 0.75 win at 7/1 Total stakes today = 7 points Good luck to all and @richard-westwood
    2 points
  8. A 9/4 Winner (SP 11/8) from two selections yesterday. Today's Selections 14.53 Ludlow Moviddy (9/4 Fred) 16.03 Ludlow Express Sunrise (4/1 Vic) 16.38 Ludlow Deadlock (9/2 Fred) Sel/Wins: 7/2 Strike Rate: 28.57% P/L: -0.95 pts
    2 points
  9. AW selection Newcastle 6.30 LONGLAI
    2 points
  10. Watching the woman on clay is really something. Nobody can serve the ball. May as well just start the game with an underarm feed, Take the Mertens match now and she is abysmal. She was 2 all in first set and is on the verge of losing 10 games in a row for 2-6 0-6. Just pathetic - awful performance . A decent 1st div college player would wipe her off the planet. SHe would be counting points. 2 picks today. Sorribes Tormo to beat Ostapenko and Kalinskaya to beat Svitolina. Ostapenko is so similar to Giorgi in strategy. Hit the lights out of the ball. If that does not work, then they are cooked. Ostapenko is a shocking mover on clay. May as well play on ice. DOes not mean she's not dangerous but every shot is a swing outta her shoes. For me the 3 best athletes in the woman's game Kostyk, Muchova and Kalinskaya. Kalinskaya should be able to nullify or equal Svitolina's movement, and I think she is just a better ball striker.
    2 points
  11. Torque

    Wells Fargo

    Schauffele looking good and I'll be on him with a round to go. He's 2.02 on the exchanges - once commission is accounted for - and that looks good to me with a one shot lead. I don't think there's a thread for the Myrtle Beach tournament - apologies if I've missed it - so I'll put my pick here and that's Gotterup. Four shots clear and available at 1.73 - again that's on the exchanges and the price quoted is what it would be if there were no commission to pay. Win or lose, yes please - that's a value price.
    2 points
  12. Well it is coming up to the end of the European football season, luckily we have the Euros to look forward to this summer. For me it has been a really poor season, I ended the season £900 down, I usually bet £20 on a Saturday, £20 on Sunday and maybe £10 on midweek days where there are plenty of fixtures. I usually bet on team goals, sometimes singles, other times fivefolds, sixfolds. I started betting on these type of bets as the win bets have got harder and harder over the years IMO. Over the years I have focused on BTTS bets, over 2.5 goals, over 0.5 first half goals, teams to score over 0.5 or 1.5 goals. I cannot get any of these to be profitable long term. I followed some of the online tipsters on Twitter this season, not to place my bets but to record how they do. The annoying thing with these tipsters is that they never keep profit/loss records, they make a big song and dance when they win but barely mention a bet when it losses. The tipsters I followed had very poor seasons too. IMO football betting is not beatable. I have bet for the last 20 years, I love football, I know so much about football, I watch loads of football, it's why I bet on it, I feel like when I look at a fixture I can predict how it may go. But it doesn't seem to go like that. I mean take Man Utd v Arsenal today, I fancied Arsenal to score over 1.5 goals, the odds were only 1.44 but United who have been awful this season and with so many players out injured looked like they would really struggle today. Arsenal had managed over 1.5 goals in 7 of their last 8 away games, only failing to do so at Man City. But it failed. In recent weeks matches like Leeds at home to Sunderland, Leeds at home to Blackburn looked like home bankers but Leeds failed to score in both. Who would have though Liverpool would lose at home to Palace, at home to Atalanta? Who would have thought Aston Villa would lose home and away to Olympiacos? The annoying thing is, when I go for larger price bets they never seem to win. A few weeks ago I had a bet on Chelsea over 1.5 goals at Arsenal at what seemed very appealing odds of 4.80. I had watched Arsenal lose at home to Villa 0-2 the previous week and had seen Chelsea score 2 or more in their previous 6 league matches. Of course it ended up 5-0 to Arsenal. Anyway, you don't need me to go on about my losing bets but what I am trying to get at is that football matches are so unpredictable but at the same time so hard to win longer odds matches. The reality is that the odds on any outcome on a football match are so brilliantly set, the exchanges are of course the best odds and where to bet to maximise value but the fact that they are so accurate means that in reality long term you will only ever break even. If the odds are set accurately then aren't you basically just betting on luck? There is a match about to kick off shortly, Strasbourg v Metz, I fancy over 2.5 goals in this match. It is a game Metz have to win, a draw is no good. Both teams are far from solid, both teams seem to let goals in but seem capable of scoring too. Odds on the exchanges are 1.96 on over 2.5 goals. If these odds are very fair and accurate, what is the point betting on it? These odds suggest that 51% of the time you will win, 49% of the time you will lose. The odds seem fair. The chances of me winning is the same as having a bag of 100 balls, 51 being winning balls and 49 being losing balls and picking one out at random. If I win it is purely luck. What is the point of betting on luck? Would I bet on a coin to be heads at 2.0? Would I bet on picking out a heart from a deck of cards at 4.0? Would I bet on black in roulette for 2.0 if there was no zero? What is the point? Obviously the only way to make profits is to find value but if the odds are set accurately then there can never be any value. If you do find value, can you find value thousands of times over to make it worth your while? How do you know if you even have found value and that you can find an error in how all of the bookies and exchanges have set the odds? Football betting is nothing more than betting on luck. If you cannot make money from it, what is the point?
    1 point
  13. If win bets have got harder and harder as you say here, then multiples will have got harder too, but to a greater degree. If you cannot make money from it, what is the point? If your sole aim is profit, then of course there is no point. My advice, FWIW is stick to single bets, bet for enjoyment, limit yourself to one bet per betting day, If you're struggling to find a 'best bet', don't bet that day at all. Most hobbies cost money, collecting stuff, subscriptions, club memberships, etc. Enjoy pitting your knowledge & skills against the available odds in a limited way, you may find your hobby costs very little, could break even, or you never know it might start to pay if you can be disciplined. Profiting from football win singles is possible, and very enjoyable. There can be a point.
    1 point
  14. He did inform me that it was his daughter's wedding so he might not be able to post. He's probably still in shock from the cost of it !
    1 point
  15. first folio 700 newc 14/1 willy hills
    1 point
  16. Fairbanks 1st. Won £32.50 May Profit £74.50
    1 point
  17. Henry Longfellow , said by O`Brien "will come on for the run " , ridden as if on a schooling session by Ryan Moore , and yet stayed 6-4 all day . I can`t believe anybody was backing this horse , and yet it`s price stayed firm.......absolutely baffling . What were the bookies expecting ?
    1 point
  18. Yosemite Valley Nr New selection: Newcastle 18.00 £20 Fairbanks @13/8 William Hill
    1 point
  19. Geal8c Art 8s ew 320 kil
    1 point
  20. 1st run for new trainer & all of hers need a run so she says in her reports hence why I've backed the consistent BOSH instead , but hopefully he'll have a better season than last where he dropped from ( I think ) 102 to 90 rated , thanks anyway 👍
    1 point
  21. Offramp

    DAILY LUCKY 15

    This could be a fair one.
    1 point
  22. Bet 33 55p Trixie (£2.20) Bank -55.65
    1 point
  23. 158 218 l Cusano 15/8 307 nc Cross The Tracks 6/5 403 l Express Susprise 10/3 €5 trixie
    1 point
  24. calva decoy

    USA Racing

    9.55 Churchill Downs - APOLLO RISING 13/2 eway bet365 . 2nd beaten by Dettori .
    1 point
  25. Leopardstown 15.00 £20 Yosemite Valley @7/4 Betfred
    1 point
  26. Good luck to the 4 in the semis .
    1 point
  27. Great day out. Scorching weather. 2 winners so broke even on the day.
    1 point
  28. Yup it's a tennis forum so let's not have any more pointless after-timing of bets on other sports. No-one cares and it's not relevant. Stick to the co-operating on tennis angle and drop the confrontational tone. Let's draw a line under the subject now and get back to the mutually useful stuff.
    1 point
  29. The post wasn't for your benefit. There are people who read about 'locks' from someone experienced such as yourself and think that means a guaranteed win for whatever reason and bet accordingly. That's who I was aiming at. As for your success in parlays I'm glad for your success and I'm certainly not looking to teach you anything.
    1 point
  30. Today I'll go with high stake on Monteiro, Fritz and Cerundolo at [email protected]. Not much to say about these 3 matches. All 3 are big favourites and I don't see a mistake to be made by any of these. Tabilo is a great match in my opinion as well at 1.60. Tabilo is the better clay player and the more in form one. Might be a tough match but should come out on top.
    1 point
  31. Fader

    European Tour ‘24

    boring old Rob Cross continues to troll me hard. Beats everybody i back and does nothing when I back him myself You always knew he'd find a way to beat Edhouse there. Mainly because of Edhouse unfortunately
    0 points
  32. MGC

    Racing chat -sunday 12th may

    Got word for 245 Encanto Bruno 11/4
    0 points
  33. Result: Danielle 3rd. Lost £20 May Profit: £42
    0 points
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