Grass Cash Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 15 minutes ago, money44 said: Two monster players upcoming.. Both 195 cm heavy servers.. Gerasimov and Bublik.. I have come to conclusion that I trust Gerasimov more than Bublik this time.. Because I don't like Milojevic again.. He serves really badly, and it's just a player I don't trust going now.. He's better on clay court, and he struggled last year alot with some really clumsy tennis.. If this guy is even close to the real deal right now.. Then I think he's going to atleast qualify for the U.S. open.. after all analysis .. I do think Bublik is far more talented, but maybe a dark play on Gerasimov is what is needed for now... we'll see 75% Gerasimov/25% Milojevic Implied odds +5% value on this match for Gerasimov to win start at 69% chance to win. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 (edited) I literally lost so many bets posting on this forum or any forum.. at best I'd be breaking even here.. I don't understand why I post on Gerasimov and the odds move so much for him.. it literally was -170.. 2 hours ago, and now we are sitting @ -189 price for William Hill.. I can't fathom the line movement here.. it's not even a fair price now. I thought the odds were pretty accurate where they stood before even though i had a play on the match.. I wouldn't have set the line for the public much different Edited February 6, 2020 by money44 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 (edited) Meanwhile Krajinovic is rolling over Ymer.. Why on earth are they setting the odds for Krajinovic @ 15, and Pospisil with odds 8.. That made no sense, and I was thinking that before when Darko posted.. Not sure where you are getting the odds Darko.. But somebody making line mistakes there.. Pospisil is not a higher rated player than Krajinovic on any planet especially earth. I hope you got a big bet on Kraj darko because he cruised through that match, and who's gonna stop him now .. Next up is Barrere.. maybe he could be tough.. I'm not sure, and then after that is Monfils, Mannarino, Russuvouri, and Gombos.. All winnable matches and probably he should be rated the favorite in all of those in his path to the finals. Edited February 6, 2020 by money44 CzechPunter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darko08 Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 3 hours ago, money44 said: I am looking at the draw Darko.. Definitely like that post.. I feel your getting a bargain on that price.. Auger Aliassime and Goffin and really the only other two I can see winning it. I added percentage estimate for those two upcoming matches i mentioned Thanks buddy. Krajinovic has won against Ymer (6-1, 6-1…) and this was one of the most difficult steps of this bet so I’m so relieved. Now he will play against a less dangerous player (in theory) in the QF. The crowd will be with Barrere but the difference between these 2 players is big. In SF he will play against Monfils/Mannarino/Gombos/Ruusuvuori. As I said, I wouldn’t be surprised if Monfils lose against Mannarino. Monfils won in Rotterdam the last year so his mind will be in that tournament. I have confidence in these 2 outrights so let’s see… (a Final between these 2 would be great…) Im not involved in the Pune tournament but what are you saying looks reasonable. About the Andujar-Ramos match as you said Andujar is a player with usual physical issues but when he’s healthy he can be a potential winner for this kind of small tournaments (and he dominates the h2h, as you said). He has destroyed Horansky in the first round. I will not bet in this match but if I was forced to bet in this one at these odds I think I would bet on Andujar. CzechPunter and Grass Cash 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 3 minutes ago, money44 said: I hope you got a big bet on Kraj darko because he cruised through that match, and who's gonna stop him now .. Next up is Barrere.. maybe he could be tough.. I'm not sure, and then after that is Monfils, Mannarino, Russuvouri, and Gombos.. All winnable matches and probably he should be rated the favorite in all of those in his path to the finals. darko08 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 (edited) it would be a shocker if Barrere won that match .. Also yes: it is shaping up to be a monfils - Krajinovic semi's. He's got a good serve but so does Krajinovic. Mannarino has got chances vs Monfils .. More so than Barrere winning for me. Edited February 6, 2020 by money44 darko08 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 Darko , I'm not gonna be surprised at all if Marcora beats Paire in the PUne tournament also.. Maybe you don't have opinions on Pune.. I was watching Paire at the Australian open, and he was doing ridiculous shots, and lack of motivation to play also.. Its something i might look at in play, but Marcora has a pretty big serve and if Paire is not ready to go physically .. Its game set match for the italian. Paire is just one of those players who will dump matches when you don't think he can lose to a lower rated player like Marcora. four-leaf 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 12 minutes ago, money44 said: Darko , I'm not gonna be surprised at all if Marcora beats Paire in the PUne tournament also.. Maybe you don't have opinions on Pune.. I was watching Paire at the Australian open, and he was doing ridiculous shots, and lack of motivation to play also.. Its something i might look at in play, but Marcora has a pretty big serve and if Paire is not ready to go physically .. Its game set match for the italian. Paire is just one of those players who will dump matches when you don't think he can lose to a lower rated player like Marcora. Exactly what I've been thinking myself about Benoit v Roberto. Benoit is not the most trustworthy player outthere and he could easily drop a set here. I know that Benoit usually does pretty well in India so that puts me off a bet on the italian. Grass Cash 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 Richard Gasquet to beat Feliciano Lopez at 2.00 with local bookie Richard owns this matchup by 6-1 and the only win Feli has over Richard is in Eastbourne on grass, the most prefered surface for Feli who is a grass-specialist. Every match in this matchup on hardcourt Richard has won so why wouldn't he win again. Richard seems to be back on track beating Gilles Simon easily in a matchup Richard was 9-1 in. Although Richard had 8-1 before their last match this week Richard was on odds 3.00, big mistake. And it seems like another mistake to put 2.00 on Richard to beat Feli in france in a tournament where Richard can play really good. FrenchPunter, Grass Cash and darko08 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 Bublik is doing massive serves right now , and playing some good tennis .. I am watching Gerasimov match, and not impressed with him.. Thankfully I waited for in play, and my book didn't open lines until after I saw he's performing quite badly.. very tempted to bet on Bublik.. I think Darko might have nailed that analysis there.. Goffin looks good but not fantastic.. The match looks 50/50 to me Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 They are not offering me an in play line on the Bublik match which is frustrating that I don't have that option.. but now I'm seeing 3.9 on Gerasimov which is a bit silly considering odds prematch.. maybe he will improve in the second set. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 took Gerasimov @ 4.75 .. I'll leverage the bet if i get the chance.. too much value at those odds with my pre-match prediction.. only god can save me now. four-leaf 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 8 minutes ago, money44 said: took Gerasimov @ 4.75 .. I'll leverage the bet if i get the chance.. too much value at those odds with my pre-match prediction.. only god can save me now. Take Richard Gasquet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 @money44 I hope you nail the Gerasimov bet.. Grass Cash 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 I may do that four leaf.. I slightly preferred Richard, but I think the match is too close , and I'll wait for something in play maybe.. I don't trust Gasquet for one thing, and I think he can easily lose that match.. I want to get an eye on him first.. Also for the record.. I am free-rolling now on Gerasimov as I've leveraged the bet, and risking nothing now. Milojevic has started to play terrible, and Gerasimov is more consistent now.. Probably at this point it only makes sense that Gerasimov will seal the victory.. Milojevic looks out of shape in my opinion. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darko08 Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 Unbelievable what a "genius" Bublik... Wasting 5 Set Points in the TB. I don't care about that but the way he wasted the last one... with an underarm serve..? What are u doing...? CzechPunter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted February 6, 2020 Author Share Posted February 6, 2020 Really looking forward to WTA being back on the menu ?. Next week looks interesting and perhaps even the weekend. Grass Cash and darko08 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 Richard Gasquet looks very frail, and even in pain.. For me Its Lopez or no bet at all .. I'll be keeping an eye on the Marcora - Paire match, and this one.. waiting for something in play. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 (edited) I've seen enough silly errors from Paire in Pune... I've taken Marcora with odds 3.4. decided that I didn't like the Gasquet - Lopez match for betting. Edited February 6, 2020 by money44 darko08 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 I shouldn't have done it probably .. but I leveraged out all of the risk again now on Marcora bet. I think he's going to win the match.. more enjoyable to not lose i guess.. I was tempted to just bet more on Marcora instead but we'll see how it shakes out soon.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 (edited) @four-leaf you got some life over there.. Richard with the second set, and now the break... limping to the finish line.. crazy match, and Gombos winning also. Wonder how that one will finish out.. on serve in the second set.. Gombos seems to be playing well enough to close it out. He's good indoor player. Also good confirmation on Marcora Four leaf.. you were on top of that one also. Edited February 6, 2020 by money44 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 turning off the Rodionov match... He looks a bit sloppy to me.. I was taking a look at a dog there, but something smells rotten about the match. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrenchPunter Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 It seems that the bad luck with the French players is not as strong this year. Thanks to Gasquet and especially @four-leaf now I just need to bet less often on odds at 3 lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vadastra Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 i'll bet the house on j. wolf. Grass Cash and darko08 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 Albert Ramos -130 to beat Andujar - I like the serving advantage, and revenge factor for this match.. I also think Ramos was doing pretty well in Australia, and the loss to Bolt is not very bad. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darko08 Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 1 hour ago, money44 said: Albert Ramos -130 to beat Andujar - I like the serving advantage, and revenge factor for this match.. I also think Ramos was doing pretty well in Australia, and the loss to Bolt is not very bad. As I said I see this as a 50-50 match so the value is on the better priced player (Andujar). He looks healthy so I don't see Ramos better than him. I personally will not bet in this one. I expect to be wrong. Anyway, good luck! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valentine Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 @money It's not in my place to say but I think you make too many bets... Much love ? South_African_Punter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted February 6, 2020 Author Share Posted February 6, 2020 Hi and welcome to the forum @vadastra! vadastra 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darko08 Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 (edited) 3 hours ago, vadastra said: i'll bet the house on j. wolf. Welcome! Be more specific with that bet. Where you live mate? You can stay at my home if you lose that bet ? Edited February 6, 2020 by darko08 vadastra, Grass Cash and vikki37 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valentine Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 Just found one pick for tonight... Alex to win in straight sets 1.70 at my local bookie, sorry not to good with reasons, make my selections based on mostly statistics so if it's ok with the house I'll keep posting whatever pick I fancy here.... CzechPunter and Grass Cash 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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