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FrenchPunter

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  1. Petra Martic to beat Madison Keys at 1.86 with Parions Sport This will be the 2nd time that these two players will face each other. Martic won the 1st match in 3 sets at the French Open in 2017. Keys has shown many signs of febrility since the beginning of the Asian Tour including early eliminations in Osaka and Beijing. This seems to be confirmed here in Zhuhai with an expeditious 1st match in 2 sets lost against the Chinese Saisai Zheng. Martic on her side seems more comfortable in Asia with a final in Zhengzhou and a quarter in Wuhan. The Croatian has not played since September 30th where she lost against Mertens in Beijing, so she should arrive in top form for this match. The round robin format offers the opportunity for the American to redeem herself but Martic is not the type of player you want to face when you have trouble putting the ball in the court...
  2. Evans who leads 4-1 in the 1st set then gets caught up and beat without reacting and loses 2-6 in the 2nd, what disillusionment for the Brit
  3. Daniel Evans to beat Frances Tiafoe at 1.75 with Parions Sport This will be the third time these two players will compete, after Knoxville in 2015 and Delray Beach this year. Evans won both games in 3 sets. Tiafoe was present in Vienna last season and he had not managed to pass the 1st round (defeat against Nishikori, in 3 sets anyway). We must go back to 2017 to see the only participation of the American in this ATP 500 Basel. The unfortunate man had fallen in front of Federer, and I'll let you guess what happened next. Evans, meanwhile, will participate in this tournament for the 1st time in his career. I find this meeting interesting. We are indeed dealing with two mobile players who know how to release some explosive shots. I expect a close encounter, at least in the beginning. Evans seems slightly superior to his opponent. The Brit has made me a better impression in recent tournaments, whether in Asia or Stockholm. His game is far from being the cleanest, but he knows how to serve well and it could disturb a Tiafoe far from being comfortable to raise it. In addition, Evans can get his points, vary his shots and hit hard in the ball. Again, his opponent is not the most adept of defensive tennis. He needs time to arm his attacks, which the Briton could prevent him from doing.
  4. Mikhail Kukushkin to beat Borna Coric at 2.35 with Parions Sport These two players have already clashed 3 times, still on clay, and Mikhail Kukushkin has always left with the victory. Coric discovered this ATP 500 in Vienna last year. He had reached the quarter-finals after victories over Ramos-Vinolas and Puglia. The Croatian had to give up against Anderson. Kukushkin, meanwhile, also participated in the Austrian tournament for the 1st time in 2018. The Kazakh reached the semifinals after winning against Dimitrov, Rublev and Fucsovics. Nishikori had then asked him to pack his bags. Coric should be favorite to win. But, to tell you the truth, I find it hard to see him win this meeting. Indeed, I was really not convinced by his latest performances, whether in Asia or even in indoor St. Petersburg. The Croatian wins hard (often in 3 sets) and concedes a lot of opportunities on his games. The guy is in doubt and it shows (I suspect him to even drag a physical glitch). All this to say that Kukushkin has, in my opinion, all his chances of winning this match. Apart from the fact that he has never lost to the Croatian, the Kazakh has been playing interesting tennis for some time. He is not the most regular player on the circuit, but he manages to stay aggressive and put doubt in the minds of his opponents (that's good, Coric is not in right now).
  5. Fortunately I bet on the victory of Thiem in 2 sets five minutes before the match began. That compensates for the pitiful performance of Lopez
  6. Feliciano Lopez to beat Gilles Simon at 2.15 with Parions Sport These two former members of the ATP circuit have already played each other 9 times in official matches. Lopez leads with 6 wins. Note that the Spaniard lost the only two games played on hard. Lopez comes out of a good tournament in Antwerp. He was eliminated in the 2nd round (by Wawrinka and in 3 sets) but he proved that it was still difficult to break him on this fast surface. So it's far from an easy match for Simon. Lopez will have very little luck if he makes the exchanges last with Simon. The latter is a metronome of the baseline (even more when he is in shape). That is why the Spaniard should take initiatives, by attempting winning shots and by going up to net. I want to believe in a victory for Lopez because he made a very good impression in Antwerp. The Spaniard has managed to play his games effectively but also manage the exchanges correctly without spending too much resources. I see him making Simon runs and forcing him to put a little more to gain points. The Frenchman also seemed dulled in his last match against Wawrinka. When he has a little less good, Simon discovers himself much more at serving and it could benefit his opponent of the day.
  7. Karolina Muchova to beat Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova at 1.52 with Parions Sport It will be the 1st time that these two players will compete. Muchova has had a season that has only improved over time. She lost a final in Prague, won in Seoul and was compelling this week in Moscow where she has won all her three matches in straight sets including her 2nd victory against Vekic and an easy win against Alexandrova who is dangerous in indoor. Pavlyuchenkova also had a brilliant start to the season and reached the quarter-finals at the Australian Open. Some big names such as Bertens, Sabalenka and Kerber have been her victims this season. She almost won her 1st title of the season last month in Japan but lost against Osaka. I chose the Czech because she has been impressive since the beginning of this tournament against tough opponents while the Russian is far from playing her best tennis this week.
  8. Monica Puig to beat Julia Goerges at 2.45 with Parions Sport This will be the 7th time that these two players will face each other, Puig leads 4-2 for the moment. Goerges had a good 1st half of season winning the Auckland Open and reaching the final in Birmingham. Yet she has weakened considerably for two months and what she has shown since the beginning of this tournament confirms it. Indeed, the German lost each of the first sets against Doi and Cirstea with a low success rate on his break points. Puig on his side hopes to end the season on a positive note by reaching her 1st singles final in two seasons. Coincidentally, the last time she reached the final was here in Luxembourg in 2017. Unlike her opponent of the day she looks more in shape after demolishing Ferro and bravely imposed against Pliskova. It is obviously a risky bet but I really want to believe in a victory of the Puerto Rican who is in full confidence and who will certainly want to take revenge after losing the last confrontation with the German at Wimbledon last year.
  9. Egor Gerasimov to beat Andrey Rublev at 2.75 with Parions Sport These two guys know each other well. They have already met three times between 2013 and 2014. Important information, Gerasimov won all three games. This is the 5th time that Rublev participates in this Moscow ATP 250, and the 1st time he wins a match. This week, for his entry into the competition, the Russian won against Bublik (in 3 sets, without tie-break). For his part, Gerasimov plays this tournament for the 2nd year in a row. For that, he had to go through the qualifications. In the 1st round, he won against Fabbiano. In addition, you should know that the guy had reached the quarter-finals last season. He had indeed beaten Dzumhur and Paire, before Mannarino put a stop to him. Rublev plays at home and is much better ranked. This explains the fact that he is wearing the favorite cap. However, I do not expect the Russian to easily win this game. In fact, I want to say that he did not make a good impression in his 1st game of the week against Bublik. Indeed, Rublev was very feverish in trade, even in forehand, and he was not very reassuring on his service games (only 56% of 1st balls and 45% of points earned on his 2nds). I sincerely believe that Gerasimov has the opportunity to afford Andrey Rublev's scalp. The Belarusian has been in shape for several weeks now (he has also managed to reach the semi-finals of the last tournament in St. Petersburg). He feels comfortable indoor and it shows on his service: he made a lot of 1sts (82% in his last match) and concedes little opportunity. I expect a very close match between a player "less good" in a good dynamic, and another "confirmed" a little less in the game lately.
  10. Kiki Bertens to beat Kaia Kanepi at 1.52 with Parions Sport This will be the 2nd meeting between these two players after the victory of Kanepi in two sets in Seoul in 2012 on hard. Since things have changed a lot, Bertens has climbed to the 8th while Kanepi seems stuck around the 100th. Last week on the same playing field in Linz, Bertens defeated Van Uytvanck & Doi before losing in the quarter-final against Gauff (the winner of the tournament). Kanepi has won her last four games without losing a set but we must not forget that her opponents were outside the Top 100 including a victory over abandonment. Last year Bertens lost to Sasnovich when she entered the competition and will probably want to do better because she needs a big week to reach the WTA finals in Shenzen.
  11. Lukas Rosol to beat Dusan Lajovic at 2.15 with Parions Sport It will be the 3rd time that these two players will compete, after Indian Wells in 2014 and Bucarest in 2015. Rosol has won these two previous matches. Lajovic took advantage of his ranking to skip the 1st round. The Serbian will participate in this Moscow ATP 250 for the 7th time of his career. He has never managed to go further in this tournament. Rosol meanwhile comes out of qualifying. He then won his 1st round against Londero (less striking on this surface, but still annoying to play). This is the 6th time he has participated in this tournament. He had not managed to pass this 2nd round in 2018 and his best performance was a quarterfinal in 2012. Rosol is far from his good years when he managed to integrate the Top 30 (in 2014). Since 2016, the Czech has emerged from the Top 100 and is running after his best level (and obviously lacks speed). I must admit to being surprised to see Lajovic be the favorite of the bookies to leave with the victory. Indeed, apart from his ranking (currently 32nd), he is far from offering an incredible level of play (especially on this surface). The Serb has only won 2 of his last 10 games and he is clearly out of pace. In my opinion, Rosol will have the advantage of the surface. The Czech is also in much better shape and has already made his mark in Moscow. I think we all agree that he is not the most regular player on the circuit (far from that, by the way lol). But I had the opportunity to see part of his match against Londero and I loved it. Rosol was very solid at the service and was able to execute his excellent forehand to take speed an opponent supposed to be comfortable in trading.
  12. Roberto Carballes Baena to beat Andreas Seppi at 3.05 with Parions Sport It will be a 1st between these two players. This is the 7th time that Seppi participates in this Russian tournament. The Italian has often achieved great performances here: 2 x 1/4 finals, 2 x 1/2 finals and one victory (in 2012). In summary, he was eliminated once at this level of the competition. This week, the Italian won against Garin, in 3 sets including 2 tie-breaks. For his part, Carballes Baena also won his 1st match of the week in 3 sets. It was against Berankis. Moreover, this is the first time he plays this ATP 250 Moscow. Carballes Baena has significant qualities, a good first ball, an interesting return and a mobility that can be difficult to overflow. I sincerely believe that the Spaniard has the opportunity to embarrass Seppi. The Italian may have the advantage of the surface, but he is much less striking lately. He is more feverish about his service games (a 1st ball that hardly exceeds 50% and another 12 break points conceded in his last match) Carballes Baena does not concede so many opportunities. This tenacious player has the ability to oppress his 35-year-old opponent to generate fouls.
  13. Radu Albot to beat Yoshito Nishioka at 1.71 with Parions Sport These two players have already crossed once. It was at Delray Beach in 2016, and Albot won 6-4 6-3. Nishioka has never played this tournament in Stockholm, while Albot has already participated once in 2016. He was eliminated in the 2nd round. We are dealing with two very mobile players who know how to hold exchanges. I have a slight preference for Albot because he knows how to get his points, especially in forehand. Nishioka often prefers to be good at defending before attempting an attack. Faced with such a player, it could discover him several times. Albot and Nishioka have struggled to take off for several weeks now. As proof, they have not won two games in a row since last August. Therefore, we are not immune to the bad shape of one of the two men (or even two lol). The Moldovan is the player who made the best impression in recent weeks. He lacked regularity and success at times, but his tennis was above that offered by the Japanese.
  14. Janko Tipsarevic to beat Corentin Moutet at 2.75 with Parions Sport It will be a 1st between these two players. Janko Tipsarevic has already participated once in this ATP 250 in Stockholm. It was 2004 and he was eliminated in the 2nd round after defeating Berdych. For his part, Corentin Moutet will play this Swedish tournament for the 1st time in his career. At 35, Tipsarevic will retire at the end of the season. This makes him a very difficult player to analyze as he is able to play transcended for his last matches. Despite his physical weaknesses, the Serb has significant qualities that could hurt Moutet well. Tipsarevic is able to play a very offensive tennis and win winning shots on both sides (even more on this surface). Corentin Moutet knows how to be catchy and physically demanding, but he is far from being in an incredible form. For proof, he has won only 3 of his last 10 games (most of which in Challenger against opponents outside the Top 100). Tipsarevic is a former Top 10 player (8th in 2012) who is very experienced. If his body holds, he could beat Moutet.