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** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **

Grass Cash

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Everything posted by Grass Cash

  1. @Stanimal sorry you are jealous my friend. This is a tennis forum, not betting philosophy page. I place my best information here, and don't claim to be god. I am here to cooperate with tennis information, and not discuss semantics. But, yes I did complete that parlay, and won huge amount of money this past week.
  2. I'll take a look to see if the parlay cashes, and cheer for your win. I would definitely stay away from Tabilo. Hanfmann's best surface is clay courts and he just destroyed Mensik in his last match. Hanfmann has a 282-138 career record on clay courts, and Tabilo with 240-141. Tabilo did beat him easily earlier in the year on clay. I am a fan of Hanfmann, and I've lost plenty of money on him. I was very tempted to bet him but since I"ve had poor results.. I can't trust my money there.
  3. And please let me know when you've completed 11 team parlay picking nearly every NHL and NBA first round series correct @ 250/1 odds. Then you can teach me about betting.
  4. Thanks for the lesson @Torque, but I think you know what I meant.. Appreciate your teachings though!
  5. I was going to parlay Medjedovic with Alboran, and he won extremely easily. I am angry about that because clearly was a lock. Hamad is in good form and serving well. He likes clay courts. It's his favorite surface 75-40 on them. I have bad luck with certain situations, so I decided to be conservative. But that was my initial thought process, and then you'd be getting much better odds on Alboran, and well worth the risk. I haven't seen a full match either, but I've watched as much as possible footage, and available information regarding the player. The bet is a lay of Botic who has had poor results this year. The scary part is two easy wins to begin Rome, but I did make an argument for that being irrelevant. As I've said there is a high level of risk with this one, and I'm going into it with a clear expectation of a possible loss. My gut told me to do it, and also found some other information online that suggests there is a bit of sharp action on Alboran as well. So, being that was my instinct, and the additional resources I found.. Decided to risk it on a nice number. This match is probably going to be interrupted, and not even played today.
  6. Nicholas Moreno De Alboran +165 with Circa Placing medium/large stake with no cashout option on this book. Good luck! I have made the decision, and given analysis already.
  7. @four-leaf @Torque@sterziyskii@neilovan @ThunderDan9 @CzechPunter what's your opinion of Alboran? We need some action in here guys. Not sure where everybody went. I think former mentioned is a very good athlete compared to alot of the players like Muller for example. Also, has an aggressive smart gameplan with impressive and powerful shotmaking. He's one of these players that fly under the radar that is actually good. So, as of now.. I would probably take Muller off the board, and just go for Alboran. The reasons being he's sort of having a breakthrough in his career now, and has two decent wins under his belt in Rome already. I don't think those players are as good as Botic but on any day they could be. The problem for me with the flying dutchman is he lost to Rinderkech fairly badly only winning a tiebreak recently, and his results this season are poor. He also got trounced by Humbert in Madrid 6-3 6-3 which is to be expected. If you look at his win vs Bagnis.. It is hard to rate that because Bagnis is an older player who retired last tournament after losing first set to Tabilo 6-0. I think you completely throw that result out the window. And, he also beat Svajda who I am very suspicious of his quality, and has a 13-18 career clay court record. That result also gets thrown out the window for me. Alboran has a 89-52 career clay court record, and last month in Marrakech defeated notable players all in order Kuzmanov, Barrere, Diaz Acosta, and in-form Goffin before losing tight three sets to Baena in the quarterfinals. Now Botic will be facing a dynamic and hungry young aggressive player coming for results and money here in Rome. This is an important ranking climb and winnable match.. If anything you could say it's a coin flip betting situation inheriting the value. ☝️
  8. Yeah , she's bad on clay for sure.. I lost some money on her. Linette looked fantastic by the way .. Who knows how healthy she is at any given moment. So I've identified two bets for tomorrow that I'm interested in, and yet to place. Calling all the Tennis Guru's and also @CzechPunter Nicholas Moreno De Alboran +156 vs Botic Alexandre Muller +154 vs Fucsovics. I know that you are specializing in WTA CP, but I didn't like the matches on that board. So my question is if you have to choose between one of those two underdogs to back. Which would you choose, also maybe why, and if you wouldn't take a chance on either one. You can also write that. Good luck guys, and look forward to hearing your thoughts!
  9. I did just decide to cash out on Zarazua.. It could have cost me alot of profit, but it's not something I trusted to win fully. Cocciarretto could come back and do some epic match. But now I am up money for the day thank god, and can regroup with something tomorrow.. I'll do a writeup when I find something, and hopefully it wins this time. Everytime I post my matches.. they seem to lose, and it's been frustrating. update: I forgot to mention that I had two bets on Zarazua. A large and small. I cashed out of the large bet, and will let the small one ride, and see what happens with it. Czech Punter. Lin Zhu is another player I have trouble losing money on. I wonder if it is smart to blacklist her also. I'm certain she is more reliable than Jules Niemeier though. update #2: I am also cashing out of the smaller bet. I have lost interest in the blind bet of the match, will consider watching some of it tomorrow, and see how the players are doing. Happy to take the offer.
  10. Yeah. I honestly cosidered Brenda instead, and she beat Townsend fairly easily. You could be right about Noskova.. We will see.. I still think both the sisters are great prospects, but I will have to see more of Brenda. Bad bet I made on Linda, and I cashed out when I saw that Maria was playing really well. Took a loss on the parlay. Did anyone see some of the Zarazua - Cocciarretto match.. I have a bet on Zarazua, and I am thinking of cashing out because they are offering me a nice payout, and she is only up 5-2. I was a little bit on tilt when I made the bet.
  11. Linda/Osaka/Vekic/Carle @9.53 to all win in Rome with STN sports Bet prediction: 20%
  12. Linda Fruhvirtova -130 to beat Maria with Williams Hill I just really like what I saw yesterday in terms of motivation, and Linda was hitting the ball very nice. I don't fully trust the bet, and I don't like to lay th juice. This is an entertainment bet for me because I want to watch the match, and get pumped for player that I like. Bet prediction: 60%
  13. It's a grind out here today @CzechPunter Fruhvirtova is dominating as I expected, but I'm being extra patient, and haven't bet anything yet. The other matches I liked today but did not bet was Zarazua and Monteiro. It would have been a lay on Moutet. Something smelled fishy with him.. Maybe he is saving energy for the French open, and I am unclear of his current form. They had Monteiro as a small underdog. He's definitely a good/explosive clay court player at times. I've seen him win matches on grass also, but that is a risky situation to try. I won alot of money on NHL Stanley cup playoffs, and NBA playoffs. 11 team parlay. David Pastrnak of the Czech Republic scored the winning goal in game 7 overtime I needed to secure the parlay. I thought he might be the most revered current male athlete in your country. Will back Linda if she drops the second set to win the match, but should be straight sets. The odds are terrible on her now. I would pick Osorio to beat Rus, but it's not something I really want to bet. I think Osorio is the rightful favorite in the match, but I also think it's a pretty tight match, and I'd give Osorio like a 62% chance to win. The patience payed off for me yesterday because I almost fell into the trap of backing Niemeier again, but I have blacklisted her as a betting option. There is just other players to choose from, and my results are not promising going with her. Brenda Fruhvirtova destroyed her on the scoreline. These sisters are clearly the real deal, and Linda has grandslam potential. Maybe that's crazy to say, but I really don't think so at all. I have not seen Brenda play very much. What is your opinion on Brenda, or the ceiling of Linda's career vs Linda Noskova? update: Now that Muller has won the first set. I will probably just watch the Fruhvirtova match, and see what happens. It is not impossible that Golubic comes back to win. I will need a 2.0 number, and then I would evaluate betting Linda. It doesn't make sense but I do think Muller will beat Albot instead, and that might have been the safe bet. *corrected error. I thought Brenda was the older sister, Got that mixed up with something else.
  14. I was trying to post next week's discussing thread, but it wouldn't let me.. I'll let u handle those then CP ?
  15. GL on your punts brother. Hope everybody wins money today! I have alot of action in general going on.
  16. The only counter argument I will make is that I don't believe Katie Volynets is playing good. And, I also don't currently rate Gracheva at all.. I think she is playing terrible many matches.. I watched the match in San Diego vs Niemeier, and she was absolutely destroyed. I don't think those are good wins. I did see Cornet playing with a leg wrap last month in a doubles match, and her injury history might be enough to keep me betting more on the match.. But if she is healthy.. Could be big problems.
  17. sup @four-leaf You don't understand the odds either? I saw Cornet playing well earlier in the year, and then Czech is backing her like yesterday who follows those kind of players. She wins relatively convincingly imo after the first set, and there is money coming in now on Alize Cornet also. I have already backed Cornet at better odds than this current market when the line opened. I saw a few points of the Boisson young lady from a match last year, but nothing in this tournament. She looks talented, but I wasn't impressed. Also, seen nothing from Cornet for months. So the logic isn't backed by the eye test, but sometimes a blind punt works. Better to listen to someone who payed attention to this tournament maybe. I did accidentally delete some of my analysis.. Not gonna rewrite it, but I feel the match is up for grabs. Boisson also lost in the semi-finals of her previous tournament vs Bondar. We can see a similar result. Accuracy prediction of bet: 50% Alize Cornet @odds 2.9 to win vs Lois Boisson with William Hill.
  18. Why is Cornet such a big dog. You backed her recently CP. What's the story with this match, and who is this Boisson that I've never heard of? Is she good?
  19. Naef Young girl from Switzerland. I was expecting her to win the match today in France, but I wouldn't dare bet it. I watched some highlights of her, and she has a big serve and hard aggressive baseline shots. Someone to look out for, and is probably headed for the top 40. Someone correct me if i'm wrong about that because I'm just finding about her today.
  20. Maria Camila Osorio @-145 to beat Frech Frech had a some tough matches this year already, and I don't believe she is in top form. Osorio has the better win rate on clay courts, and is probably the much higher rated prospect of the two. She also holds 2-1 h2h, and this is their first match on clay. I believe she wants to prove a point. Not a good price, but this is what I'm betting this morning as I'm sitting on other sport event futures.
  21. Borna Coric to beat Alexander Zverev @4.75 with STN sports Coric made the semi-finals here last year , and is in phenomenal form. I don't think Zverev looked good in Munich, and the results show that with a straight set loss to Garin. I have been sitting on this bet for awhile, and I didn't want to jinx it by posting.. But, since now we are minutes away.. I decided to share the information. Nothing more to say other than I feel great about my chances to win. Good luck. Also should be a fun one on center at Manolo Santana stadium. I always seem to do better with the bigger type of matches rather than try something crazy on lower ranked players.
  22. Harriet Dart to beat Cristina Busca @ odds 2.75 I was going to post a bet her yesterday, and I was mad that I didn't. My initial top pick was Dart. She already upset Sasnovich in qualies coming from behind , and throttling her 7-1 in the third set tiebreak. I decided it was too risky, and didn't even bet it which was a terrible decision. I went with Medjedovic instead which turned out to be a more sure win, but I didn't care because I wanted the Dart win, and shouldn't talk myself out of it. Dart was training at Rafa's academy last month, and could be in the best form of her career. She made semi-finals in Romania for the first time just a couple months ago. I have posted here recently going against Busca and that was a bad decision, but I was backing Niemeier. She's a totally unreliable, and non technical player compared to Dart in my opinion. I think a couple matches already in Madrid play in her favor against Busca who has never made it out of the first round here. She did play tight three sets vs Masarova Rd1 last time, but I am throwing that out the window because Masarova is another hot/cold player, and have no idea what happened in that match. It was very windy in Madrid yesterday, and Dart double faulted 4 times in the first set, and only once there on. I find that to be decent enough to rely on. I don't think Busca has a good serve, and Dart could capitalize on it if it's windy again. She also hits the ball pretty hard, and it might be tricky for Busca to hit her normal great shots. The only caviat I have with this.. For some reason if Vekic beats Siegemund. I might stay away from Dart because I'm on the wrong player.. But if Siegemund wins.. I'm going to risk it. In my opinion Harriet has atleast a 50% chance to win the match. So I haven't placed this yet, but if Laura wins. I'm going to be aggressive. Good luck guys, and I apologize in advance if it loses.. This is my best information. I also think Nakashima beats Bagnis, but the odds are not nearly as good and I don't fully trust that bet. I know that Dart is trending right now, and has won last two matches at big odds. This would not be a surprise if that continues, and the linesmen are wrong once again. Update: Being that Vekic is currently winning her match. Next up on the same court is Dart/Busca. I think it's going to be a great match. I am not going to bet Dart Pre-match if Donna wins as I've stated. I do believe that Dart has a legitimate chance either way, but I've already told myself that if Vekic wins.. Then I may be wrong about the Dart match, and I'm going to look for something else. Update #2: I am watching the Vekic match now, and she is playing well. I am also watching Shevchenko/Rinderkech. I am surprised with the quality of Arthur today. There is alot of people cheering for him. As it turns out Shevchenko is also getting some crowd support. I think this a higher anticipated match than I expected.
  23. I'll be back next week guys.. Good luck on your Madrid punts. Looks like a fun tournament! Let's get all the money!🤑
  24. popped another one.. This was excellent.. I didn't bet on her but was really tempted to do it.. Great information.. I look forward to see what you have for tomorrow's qualies. There is so many options to choose from. I also think it's cool that you are specializing in women's tennis. This was a perfect tip because the odds on Errani must have been huge after losing the first set. I was at the casino playing blackjack during the match.. so I had no idea what was going on.
  25. I am watching the Tirante - Droguet match in Madrid. I've never seen this guy before. He's 23 years old from Argentina 6'1. He hits the ball pretty huge, and seems like a good clay player. He has a fairly big following of fans cheering him. Next match he plays Lukas Klein. Klein won easily in the first round but never advanced past R2 qualifications in Madrid. Klein is 26 years old, and has a good amount of experience on clay courts. Was surprised to see Tirante ranked ATP 90 holds the higher ranking than Klein. I have seen Tirante's name before, but never really seen his matches. I was going to set the betting line as Klein being the favorite, and I'm still going to do that. I will say Klein -145. Let's see how close it is. As for who's going to win.. I would have to see Klein play his match in Madrid also. Because I have not seen him on clay that I recall or in the last 3-4 months either.
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