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Everything posted by FrenchPunter

  1. Petra Martic to beat Madison Keys at 1.86 with Parions Sport This will be the 2nd time that these two players will face each other. Martic won the 1st match in 3 sets at the French Open in 2017. Keys has shown many signs of febrility since the beginning of the Asian Tour including early eliminations in Osaka and Beijing. This seems to be confirmed here in Zhuhai with an expeditious 1st match in 2 sets lost against the Chinese Saisai Zheng. Martic on her side seems more comfortable in Asia with a final in Zhengzhou and a quarter in Wuhan. The Croatian has not played since September 30th where she lost against Mertens in Beijing, so she should arrive in top form for this match. The round robin format offers the opportunity for the American to redeem herself but Martic is not the type of player you want to face when you have trouble putting the ball in the court...
  2. Evans who leads 4-1 in the 1st set then gets caught up and beat without reacting and loses 2-6 in the 2nd, what disillusionment for the Brit
  3. Daniel Evans to beat Frances Tiafoe at 1.75 with Parions Sport This will be the third time these two players will compete, after Knoxville in 2015 and Delray Beach this year. Evans won both games in 3 sets. Tiafoe was present in Vienna last season and he had not managed to pass the 1st round (defeat against Nishikori, in 3 sets anyway). We must go back to 2017 to see the only participation of the American in this ATP 500 Basel. The unfortunate man had fallen in front of Federer, and I'll let you guess what happened next. Evans, meanwhile, will participate in this tournament for the 1st time in his career. I find this meeting interesting. We are indeed dealing with two mobile players who know how to release some explosive shots. I expect a close encounter, at least in the beginning. Evans seems slightly superior to his opponent. The Brit has made me a better impression in recent tournaments, whether in Asia or Stockholm. His game is far from being the cleanest, but he knows how to serve well and it could disturb a Tiafoe far from being comfortable to raise it. In addition, Evans can get his points, vary his shots and hit hard in the ball. Again, his opponent is not the most adept of defensive tennis. He needs time to arm his attacks, which the Briton could prevent him from doing.
  4. Mikhail Kukushkin to beat Borna Coric at 2.35 with Parions Sport These two players have already clashed 3 times, still on clay, and Mikhail Kukushkin has always left with the victory. Coric discovered this ATP 500 in Vienna last year. He had reached the quarter-finals after victories over Ramos-Vinolas and Puglia. The Croatian had to give up against Anderson. Kukushkin, meanwhile, also participated in the Austrian tournament for the 1st time in 2018. The Kazakh reached the semifinals after winning against Dimitrov, Rublev and Fucsovics. Nishikori had then asked him to pack his bags. Coric should be favorite to win. But, to tell you the truth, I find it hard to see him win this meeting. Indeed, I was really not convinced by his latest performances, whether in Asia or even in indoor St. Petersburg. The Croatian wins hard (often in 3 sets) and concedes a lot of opportunities on his games. The guy is in doubt and it shows (I suspect him to even drag a physical glitch). All this to say that Kukushkin has, in my opinion, all his chances of winning this match. Apart from the fact that he has never lost to the Croatian, the Kazakh has been playing interesting tennis for some time. He is not the most regular player on the circuit, but he manages to stay aggressive and put doubt in the minds of his opponents (that's good, Coric is not in right now).
  5. Fortunately I bet on the victory of Thiem in 2 sets five minutes before the match began. That compensates for the pitiful performance of Lopez
  6. Feliciano Lopez to beat Gilles Simon at 2.15 with Parions Sport These two former members of the ATP circuit have already played each other 9 times in official matches. Lopez leads with 6 wins. Note that the Spaniard lost the only two games played on hard. Lopez comes out of a good tournament in Antwerp. He was eliminated in the 2nd round (by Wawrinka and in 3 sets) but he proved that it was still difficult to break him on this fast surface. So it's far from an easy match for Simon. Lopez will have very little luck if he makes the exchanges last with Simon. The latter is a metronome of the baseline (even more when he is in shape). That is why the Spaniard should take initiatives, by attempting winning shots and by going up to net. I want to believe in a victory for Lopez because he made a very good impression in Antwerp. The Spaniard has managed to play his games effectively but also manage the exchanges correctly without spending too much resources. I see him making Simon runs and forcing him to put a little more to gain points. The Frenchman also seemed dulled in his last match against Wawrinka. When he has a little less good, Simon discovers himself much more at serving and it could benefit his opponent of the day.
  7. Karolina Muchova to beat Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova at 1.52 with Parions Sport It will be the 1st time that these two players will compete. Muchova has had a season that has only improved over time. She lost a final in Prague, won in Seoul and was compelling this week in Moscow where she has won all her three matches in straight sets including her 2nd victory against Vekic and an easy win against Alexandrova who is dangerous in indoor. Pavlyuchenkova also had a brilliant start to the season and reached the quarter-finals at the Australian Open. Some big names such as Bertens, Sabalenka and Kerber have been her victims this season. She almost won her 1st title of the season last month in Japan but lost against Osaka. I chose the Czech because she has been impressive since the beginning of this tournament against tough opponents while the Russian is far from playing her best tennis this week.
  8. Monica Puig to beat Julia Goerges at 2.45 with Parions Sport This will be the 7th time that these two players will face each other, Puig leads 4-2 for the moment. Goerges had a good 1st half of season winning the Auckland Open and reaching the final in Birmingham. Yet she has weakened considerably for two months and what she has shown since the beginning of this tournament confirms it. Indeed, the German lost each of the first sets against Doi and Cirstea with a low success rate on his break points. Puig on his side hopes to end the season on a positive note by reaching her 1st singles final in two seasons. Coincidentally, the last time she reached the final was here in Luxembourg in 2017. Unlike her opponent of the day she looks more in shape after demolishing Ferro and bravely imposed against Pliskova. It is obviously a risky bet but I really want to believe in a victory of the Puerto Rican who is in full confidence and who will certainly want to take revenge after losing the last confrontation with the German at Wimbledon last year.
  9. Egor Gerasimov to beat Andrey Rublev at 2.75 with Parions Sport These two guys know each other well. They have already met three times between 2013 and 2014. Important information, Gerasimov won all three games. This is the 5th time that Rublev participates in this Moscow ATP 250, and the 1st time he wins a match. This week, for his entry into the competition, the Russian won against Bublik (in 3 sets, without tie-break). For his part, Gerasimov plays this tournament for the 2nd year in a row. For that, he had to go through the qualifications. In the 1st round, he won against Fabbiano. In addition, you should know that the guy had reached the quarter-finals last season. He had indeed beaten Dzumhur and Paire, before Mannarino put a stop to him. Rublev plays at home and is much better ranked. This explains the fact that he is wearing the favorite cap. However, I do not expect the Russian to easily win this game. In fact, I want to say that he did not make a good impression in his 1st game of the week against Bublik. Indeed, Rublev was very feverish in trade, even in forehand, and he was not very reassuring on his service games (only 56% of 1st balls and 45% of points earned on his 2nds). I sincerely believe that Gerasimov has the opportunity to afford Andrey Rublev's scalp. The Belarusian has been in shape for several weeks now (he has also managed to reach the semi-finals of the last tournament in St. Petersburg). He feels comfortable indoor and it shows on his service: he made a lot of 1sts (82% in his last match) and concedes little opportunity. I expect a very close match between a player "less good" in a good dynamic, and another "confirmed" a little less in the game lately.
  10. Kiki Bertens to beat Kaia Kanepi at 1.52 with Parions Sport This will be the 2nd meeting between these two players after the victory of Kanepi in two sets in Seoul in 2012 on hard. Since things have changed a lot, Bertens has climbed to the 8th while Kanepi seems stuck around the 100th. Last week on the same playing field in Linz, Bertens defeated Van Uytvanck & Doi before losing in the quarter-final against Gauff (the winner of the tournament). Kanepi has won her last four games without losing a set but we must not forget that her opponents were outside the Top 100 including a victory over abandonment. Last year Bertens lost to Sasnovich when she entered the competition and will probably want to do better because she needs a big week to reach the WTA finals in Shenzen.
  11. Lukas Rosol to beat Dusan Lajovic at 2.15 with Parions Sport It will be the 3rd time that these two players will compete, after Indian Wells in 2014 and Bucarest in 2015. Rosol has won these two previous matches. Lajovic took advantage of his ranking to skip the 1st round. The Serbian will participate in this Moscow ATP 250 for the 7th time of his career. He has never managed to go further in this tournament. Rosol meanwhile comes out of qualifying. He then won his 1st round against Londero (less striking on this surface, but still annoying to play). This is the 6th time he has participated in this tournament. He had not managed to pass this 2nd round in 2018 and his best performance was a quarterfinal in 2012. Rosol is far from his good years when he managed to integrate the Top 30 (in 2014). Since 2016, the Czech has emerged from the Top 100 and is running after his best level (and obviously lacks speed). I must admit to being surprised to see Lajovic be the favorite of the bookies to leave with the victory. Indeed, apart from his ranking (currently 32nd), he is far from offering an incredible level of play (especially on this surface). The Serb has only won 2 of his last 10 games and he is clearly out of pace. In my opinion, Rosol will have the advantage of the surface. The Czech is also in much better shape and has already made his mark in Moscow. I think we all agree that he is not the most regular player on the circuit (far from that, by the way lol). But I had the opportunity to see part of his match against Londero and I loved it. Rosol was very solid at the service and was able to execute his excellent forehand to take speed an opponent supposed to be comfortable in trading.
  12. Roberto Carballes Baena to beat Andreas Seppi at 3.05 with Parions Sport It will be a 1st between these two players. This is the 7th time that Seppi participates in this Russian tournament. The Italian has often achieved great performances here: 2 x 1/4 finals, 2 x 1/2 finals and one victory (in 2012). In summary, he was eliminated once at this level of the competition. This week, the Italian won against Garin, in 3 sets including 2 tie-breaks. For his part, Carballes Baena also won his 1st match of the week in 3 sets. It was against Berankis. Moreover, this is the first time he plays this ATP 250 Moscow. Carballes Baena has significant qualities, a good first ball, an interesting return and a mobility that can be difficult to overflow. I sincerely believe that the Spaniard has the opportunity to embarrass Seppi. The Italian may have the advantage of the surface, but he is much less striking lately. He is more feverish about his service games (a 1st ball that hardly exceeds 50% and another 12 break points conceded in his last match) Carballes Baena does not concede so many opportunities. This tenacious player has the ability to oppress his 35-year-old opponent to generate fouls.
  13. Radu Albot to beat Yoshito Nishioka at 1.71 with Parions Sport These two players have already crossed once. It was at Delray Beach in 2016, and Albot won 6-4 6-3. Nishioka has never played this tournament in Stockholm, while Albot has already participated once in 2016. He was eliminated in the 2nd round. We are dealing with two very mobile players who know how to hold exchanges. I have a slight preference for Albot because he knows how to get his points, especially in forehand. Nishioka often prefers to be good at defending before attempting an attack. Faced with such a player, it could discover him several times. Albot and Nishioka have struggled to take off for several weeks now. As proof, they have not won two games in a row since last August. Therefore, we are not immune to the bad shape of one of the two men (or even two lol). The Moldovan is the player who made the best impression in recent weeks. He lacked regularity and success at times, but his tennis was above that offered by the Japanese.
  14. Janko Tipsarevic to beat Corentin Moutet at 2.75 with Parions Sport It will be a 1st between these two players. Janko Tipsarevic has already participated once in this ATP 250 in Stockholm. It was 2004 and he was eliminated in the 2nd round after defeating Berdych. For his part, Corentin Moutet will play this Swedish tournament for the 1st time in his career. At 35, Tipsarevic will retire at the end of the season. This makes him a very difficult player to analyze as he is able to play transcended for his last matches. Despite his physical weaknesses, the Serb has significant qualities that could hurt Moutet well. Tipsarevic is able to play a very offensive tennis and win winning shots on both sides (even more on this surface). Corentin Moutet knows how to be catchy and physically demanding, but he is far from being in an incredible form. For proof, he has won only 3 of his last 10 games (most of which in Challenger against opponents outside the Top 100). Tipsarevic is a former Top 10 player (8th in 2012) who is very experienced. If his body holds, he could beat Moutet.
  15. Peter Gojowczyk to beat Guido Pela at 2.55 with Parions Sport These two players have already clashed 3 times. Pella won the only game on clay (in Barcelona last year), while Gojowczyk won in both hard games (the last one at the beginning of the year in Auckland). Pella will participate in this ATP 250 Belgian for the 3rd year in a row. He has never managed to pass this 1st round. For its part, Gojowczyk played only once this tournament in Antwerp. It was in 2017 and he failed to win his 1st match. Pella has not won a game since August 12 and won against Ruud in Cincinnati. Gojowczyk, meanwhile, is already 8 consecutive losses. The German does not succeed since his excellent performance in Washington last July (where he defeated Rublev, De Minaur, Raonic and Edmund). I think Pella will be a favorite in this meeting. The Argentinian is not on his favorite surface, but he has a catchy tennis that annoys more than one player. He knows how to dismiss big services and hold long exchanges by staying behind his baseline line. However, I really want to believe in a victory of Gojowczyk. This indoor surface is perfect for him to regain confidence and play with his weapons. We must not forget that the German knows very well serve and use his power to overwhelm his opponents. The speed of the court could amplify this phenomenon and allow him to surprise Pella. All series end one day. Gojowczyk could enjoy a more familiar surface to regain a taste for victory.
  16. Alexander Zverev to beat Daniil Medvedev at 2.40 with Parions Sport This will be the 5th time that these two players will compete, the 1st of the year. Medvedev has never managed to beat Zverev. Medvedev seems unbeatable lately. He is in great shape and plays with great success. It is true that Zverev has always managed to win but they have not played since the Masters 1000 of Canada in 2018. Since then, the Russian has become another player. It is difficult to see him lose the final. Still, I do not think we will attend a one-way match. For me, these two players have arguments to win the trophy. I'm going towards a Zverev victory because he has always managed to control Medvedev's tennis. In addition, the German has found colors in this Masters 1000 Shanghai. He is well in his head (and his statistics in the service are the proof) and showed a big determination. When he's like that, he's an entirely different player who can compete with the best (he recently showed that against Federer). We are dealing with two players who serve very well. That's why I expect at least a tie-break in this meeting. But there will undoubtedly be many exchanges where these two opponents will have to take the game on their own if they wish to earn points. Again, they both have the ability to make winning shots. Zverev may be slightly less regular in trading but is more explosive. If he manages to play at his best, and I believe in it, then he will have a good chance of succeeding in what he does. In addition, Medvedev won 50% of the finals he played (out of 12), while Zverev is 65% (out of 17).
  17. Alexander Zverev to beat Matteo Berrettini at 1.70 with Parions Sport Berrettini is in the semifinals of this Shanghai Masters 1000 for his 1st participation. The Italian won against Struff, Garin, Bautista and Thiem (who may regret the opportunities he had in the 1st set). For his part, Zverev managed to offer an incredible level of play to win against Federer this Friday. After the difficult loss of the 2nd set tie-break, he was able to recover in very quickly to make sure to make life easier. Before that, he won against Chardy and Rublev (2-0). Moreover, the German found this level of the competition he had left last year. Matteo Berrettini is gaining momentum in this tournament, and is getting closer to his top level of the last US Open. He is extremely sharp at the service (especially on this fast surface) and his power is doing damage (as against Thiem). I will still turn to Zverev to go to the final, because it is he who makes the best impression since the beginning of the tournament. The German has proved this week that he knows how to control the big servers (his last 3 opponents are pretty good in this area of play), the finesse of Federer and the impressive power of the forehand Rublev. Also, Alexander Zverev knows how to hold his service games again. In the exchanges, he will undoubtedly use his powerful and explosive setback to put that of Berrettini in difficulty. Not sure that the latter manages to systematically make his shifts in forehand. Finally, the Italian is still feverish when it comes to conclude. As if he put unnecessary pressure on his shoulders while he did the hardest. Zverev looks good in his head right now, and much more determined.
  18. @vuviks Do not lose hope everything is possible with French players (especially the worst lol). Besides, I stopped betting on them, too much bad luck..
  19. Ok sorry what do you think about the semi-finals for Linz? The rating of 2 for Alexandrova seduces me but I do not follow as much WTA...
  20. Alexander Zverev to beat Roger Federer at 2.65 with Parions Sport Zverev is young, but he has already played Federer 9 times and the German won 4 times. For his 8th participation, Federer reached the 1/4 final for the 5th time (and raised the trophy twice). This week, Switzerland won against Ramos-Vinolas and Goffin. The latter may blame himself for not having managed to realize one of the opportunities that would have allowed him to get his hands on the first set (and perhaps change the turn of this meeting). For his part, Zverev is still in the race to find the semi-finals he had left last season (his best performance in the Masters 1000 by the way). In his first two games of the week, the German beat Chardy and Rublev. Federer will obviously be favorite to pass this round. Apart from the fact that he remains an exceptional player, he has very good sensations on this fast court. This week, the Swiss has a very offensive spirit and is very comfortable at the service (which has also saved his previous games). I must admit that I have a little crush on Zverev since the beginning of the week. He has regained his determination that he lost during a rather dark period of his season, and this allows him to properly handle complicated situations. But that's not all. The German is very solid at the service (which has not always been the case) and this is a sign that he is good in his head. In his last match, Zverev did very well against a dangerous Rublev. Even if the latter has made many mistakes, the German has mostly managed to compete against his power and aggression. So I think Zverev would be able to cope with the Maestro's explosive shots. Federer is playing at a good level but has shown some signs of excitement in his last matches. Faced with Goffin for example, Federer has tried a lot, and has not always succeeded (making some annoying mistakes). I also think that Goffin did not have a very conquering mindset that Zverev might have in this new encounter. Federer takes advantage of the surface to shorten exchanges. But this week, Zverev manages to hold him and force his opponents to put a little more physically. I'm afraid that the current world number 3 is in a real trap, and he can not follow. This is obviously a risky bet, but I believe it.
  21. Roberto Bautista to beat Matteo Berrettini at 2.00 These two players have already clashed 3 times before. Berrettini has won twice, still on clay, while Bautista won the only game played on hard (in Doha, last season). Berrettini is taking part in the Shanghai Masters 1000 for the 1st time in his career, and he seems to like it. The Italian has won this 1/8 final after victories over Struff and Garin. All without losing a set. Bautista, meanwhile, knows a little better this Chinese tournament. This is indeed his 6th participation. He had not managed to pass this stage last season, and his best performance is a final in 2016. Moreover, the Spaniard took advantage of his ranking to skip the 1st round, and won his first match against Opelka (in 2 sets and without tie-break). After mediocre passages in St. Petersburg and Beijing, Berrettini seems to find colors in Shanghai. The Italian seems to appreciate this fast surface and it shows in his performances. I speak in particular of its effectiveness in the service but also during its offensive phases. On paper, Berrettini seems to be an interesting favorite, especially on this surface that favors large servers. However, I sincerely believe that Bautista has what it takes to win the match. Even if the Italian plays well this week, he is not yet at the level of the one he proposed to us at the US Open. Then, because Bautista is not to take for a 3 weeks rabbit. The Spaniard has proved against this monster Opelka he had the weapons to counter the big servers. But he also showed that he was comfortable on fast surfaces and that he knew how to hold his games of service (it only has to see his statistics in this area during his last match). Finally, Bautista knows how to play with his head and is a very good tactician of the baseline. He knows that Berrettini's forehand is a danger and that he will have to insist on his setback. I will therefore focus on the experience and tactics of Bautista, to counter the ardor of a Berrettini who obviously has every chance in this game.
  22. Alexander Zverev to beat Andrey Rublev at 1.58 Zverev and Rublev will be playing for the 3rd time in their career, after Monte Carlo in 2016 and Beijing in 2017. The German has never lost, not even a heat. This is the 3rd year in a row that Andy Rublev has participated in this Masters 1000 Chinese, and the 1st time he reaches this level of competition. This week, he has already won (solidly) against Borna Coric and John Millman. Zverev, for his part, plays this tournament in Shanghai for the 4th year in a row. The German has a semi-final to defend this week, and he was eliminated twice at this level of the competition. In addition, he won his first match of the week against Jérémy Chardy, in a meeting that was decided after two tie-breaks. We are dealing with two guys who come back very well. Concretely, I am convinced that these two players can leave with the victory. Andrey Rublev is sharpened to the service this week, and takes advantage of the speed of this surface to release a monstrous forehand. But I still have a preference for Alexander Zverev. Apart from the fact that he has never lost to this opponent before and he seems to have regained his determination, the German knows very well how to use his backhand. This side should allow him to be very effective to accelerate the game and control the ardor of the Russian. Rublev is much less comfortable when he has to play on his backhand. He has a tendency to abuse forehand offsets and this should penalize him against Zverev.