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** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **

Pirate53

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  1. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Three New Horse Racing Tipsters Confirmed!   
    Good news. Welcome guys, look forward to some juicy tips!
  2. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from MCLARKE in Three New Horse Racing Tipsters Confirmed!   
    Good news. Welcome guys, look forward to some juicy tips!
  3. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from The Brigadier in Three New Horse Racing Tipsters Confirmed!   
    Good news. Welcome guys, look forward to some juicy tips!
  4. Like
    Pirate53 reacted to Valiant Thor in GENERAL RACING CHIT CHAT   
    If you keep dissing stats and say there's no point  then why keep asking.......... ?
    Q1
    As I stated before (so tedious having to repeat oneself) I have a ML program linked to my Access DB which does it all for me in minutes.
     Q 2
    Its because MY market leader from MY stats MAY NOT be the newspaper / racing post / tipster market leader which are widely followed and usually over-bet by the sheep, and therein lies the opportunity for profit
     
  5. Thanks
    Pirate53 got a reaction from The Equaliser in GENERAL RACING CHIT CHAT   
    If you are looking to lay favs may be better to look at AW as fav strike rate is only circa 28%.
  6. Like
    Pirate53 reacted to vikki37 in Naps Competition - Proposal For April   
    though I'll never win, this really touches my heart. This forum is very heartwarming, sweet and does bring a loving, caring atmosphere (most members.??)..very supportive and this forum does feel like a second home you can go to. ?? Thank you all for the efforts, input and predictions on the forum. Stay safe, everyone and wish you all good health and happiness. ??
  7. Like
    Pirate53 reacted to BillyHills in Naps Competition - Proposal For April   
    Naps Comp for April
    Most of us are going through a difficult time at the moment and whilst taking part and visiting the forum is not on the top of the list of priorities for people, here at Punters Lounge we realise how much a bit of normality can help. We have members from all over the world and our thoughts are with everyone.
    Racing like many other industries are struggling but we have taken the decision to carry on with the Daily Naps Competition and as a reward to our loyal members Paul is increasing the Prize Money on offer for the month of April.
    The new proposals we spoke about will be coming in although we are going to leave out the KO Cup competition until May as it may be difficult for 30 players trying to pick 3 selections each on the 4th of April when we may have limited action.
    The qualifying places in March will remain in place for the next KO Cup Competition. 
    We will accept bets from any racing from around the world during April and all bets outside of Europe will be settled at the Industry SP which appears in the ATR or Sporting Life results section.
    (*Racing Post publish dividend prices which will be different from the Industry SP)
    We realise backing horses from the other side of the world is not everyones cup of tea and fully understand those that choose to sit it out until things get back to normal. 
    I will continue to put the daily threads up and try and pinpoint what action is talking place. Just be aware of the off times, some US and AUS Racing will be very early in the morning.
    Race times will be based on the UK 24 hour clock, anything after midnight will count towards the following day regardless of when the meeting started.
    Hopefully in four weeks time we will have some better news, in the meantime we wish you all the best.
     
    Prize Money For April
    1st: £100
    2nd: £75
    3rd: £50
    4th: £25
    Tipster with most winners with at least £10 profit will receive a £50 bonus
    All winners will also receive Punters Lounge Merchandise.
     
    Many thanks
     

     
     
     
  8. Like
    Pirate53 reacted to richard-westwood in Racing Chat - Thurs Dec 26th   
    Ghaith wins 6 lengths ....unbelievable.....that's 44pts win .....169pts again for another 2 doubles ....so far 542pts !!..one to come would ramp the doubles from 3 to 6 so talking 800 pts plus if last wins ...calltgebarman...haven't got Ellie mac in the doubles 
  9. Thanks
    Pirate53 got a reaction from Torque in Pirates Footy Trebles   
    Bet 31 lost
    Staked £123.00
    Returned £149.71
    Though it may not seem like it, every treble posted here has been the result of at least an hour studying stats,trends etc to arrive at selections. Sometimes I think i could do better simply saying: I think team A will win, or team B will lose. I'll stick with the method for a while but will let anyone following know if and when I change tack. Happy Christmas to all and good luck going forward. Will post some trebles tomorrow.
  10. Like
    Pirate53 reacted to craigh in Craig H - Surefire Bets   
    Hello all,
    I hope you all had a nice and profitable weekend from some very entertaining games of football.
    A profitable week last week if anyone followed. A tidy £165.25 based on £25 bets. I want to keep it the same amount and the same stake on here for a real and genuine indication of bets and turnover. However there is bets where I would personally up my stake (normally double up) and such. If anyone is interested in these please let me know and I will perhaps add an icon / indicator where I think this should be applied.
    I believe I could have achieved an even bigger haul last week as many games which I decided to leave out as they were just short of the stats actually came to fruition.
    Today's tips to follow soon.
    Cheers
    CH
     
     
  11. Like
    Pirate53 reacted to richard-westwood in Becher Chase / Grand Sefton Chase - Tips & Trends   
    Good start ..wins easily ...definitely red 4th
  12. Like
    Pirate53 reacted to UBET10 in JUST TILLXMAS   
    SUNDAY =  £136.53 profit
    MONDAY = £24.39 profit
    TUESDAY = £27.57 profit
    WEDNESDAY = £64.26 profit
  13. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from Kingdom for in Naps - Thursday Nov 7th   
    Chelmsford 16.25 Cedar Cage 0.5pt EW @ 33/1 W.H.
  14. Like
    Pirate53 reacted to UBET10 in JUST TILLXMAS   
    I Never risk more than £50.00 soon as goal gets scored I cash out the 3.2 bet at moment is £50.40 to win £23.00 , but remember as soon as a hopefully goal comes I cash out, the later in game the more you get. and hopefully its the fav that scores, 
    BETS = 6
    PROFIT = £68.29 
  15. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from Fellcrawler in Winter AW System   
    Yesterdays results:
    Newcastle 16.35 Leoch lost -1pt
    Staked 145
    Returned 140.14
    Todays:
    Newcastle 16.00 Lairig Ghru
    Newcastle 16.30 Be Proud
    Not if fav, shorter than 3/1 or greater than 10/1. BFSP can be higher than 11 provided ISP is not higher than 11
  16. Like
    Pirate53 reacted to NickP in ELO Ratings Based Football Picks   
    £10 is your liability for laying Rangers at odds of 1.14 so if Rangers either lost or drew the game your win would be £71.42 (£10 divided by .14)
     
  17. Like
    Pirate53 reacted to MCLARKE in Racing Chat - Sat Nov 23rd   
    You do seem to do quite well. 
    I do think it's essential though to keep records. I used to think I was doing well until I started keeping records and then realised I was actually losing a small amount. I then went through my records and analysed why some horses won and some lost and after that I started making consistent profits.
    Easy for me to say I suppose, I am now retired. I do remember those times when I worked 6 days a week, 12 hours a day.
  18. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from Xtc12 in Correct score   
    Love the idea of this. You do seem to be a bit unlucky with your choice of fixtures. Good luck moving on.
  19. Like
    Pirate53 reacted to roger2256 in Myth And Fallacy of EW Betting   
    I have given examples of the concept above , whether you agree with them is of no consequence to me . 
    I had laid out how I bet and all things considered it's my money so will do with it as I wish . 
     
  20. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from Focus71 in Naps - Thursday Nov 7th   
    Chelmsford 16.25 Cedar Cage 0.5pt EW @ 33/1 W.H.
  21. Like
    Pirate53 reacted to Zemside in When should I increase my stake.   
    "I've been away from here for quite a while since stopping working on the rdata site but I've still been following a few things.  I have a system that has, so far, produced 264 selections (horse racing).  It has a strike rate of just under 46% with an average win SP of 1.77 (1.89 on Betfair).  Longest losing run is 9 and the longest winning run is 6.  Calculated potential longest losing run is 13 per 1000 bets based on the strike rate.  I've played with many staking plans and, "
    46% Wow......at those odds 11/4.....suppose time will tell on the long run.With those aggressive betting plans it always helps to kick off with wins.You know the secret is always to play with their money.Any chance of sharing this system with us mere mortals in the future?
     
     
  22. Like
    Pirate53 reacted to Sir Puntalot in Following tipsters?   
    to Punters Lounge @BetterBettor   
    Put quite simply, there is just no need to pay for tips. There is never any guarantee a previous years record will be repeated the following year. It's much better to improve your own knowledge and style of betting, whilst managing your betting bankroll strictly, in fact this is the most important thing of all.
    Punters Lounge has in house tipsters as well as some phenomenal members who post great tips each and every day. We have an ethos that no part of this website will ever be charged for, unlike say Racing Post. You really have all the things you need right here for free, and shrewd punters to interact and learn from too.
    With all the updates we have coming, this will only be enhanced and we won't stop until we're the No.1 site for all punters providing everything they need completely free. It takes time, but we're making great progress in the background with our development team.
     
  23. Like
    Pirate53 reacted to Xtc12 in Correct score   
    I began looking back through the Betting Systems thread since the start and one thing came up a lot in the first 25 pages Correct Scores Strategy. This is based on getting better value on home teams by betting on the correct scores in their favour instead. 
    The first bet will be on Solihull Moors who play Ebbsfleet. My odds will be taken from Boyles so you may get better odds if you fish around.
    To stake £30 on Solihull @ 4/9 Will give you a profit of 13.33. 
    Taking 5 scores 1-0, 2-0, 3-0, 2-1, 3-1 and Dutch them will give me a profit of 18.31.
    Now Boyles have a bet that consists of groups of scores - 1-0, 2-0, 2-1, @ 8/5 and 3-0 , 3-1 & 3-2 @ 4/1. Dutching these gives me an extra score and a profit of 21.32.
    Betting £30 (dutching) on the group betting will give me a return of 51.32. 
    Bet 1
    Solihull Moors v Ebbsfleet
    Correct Score Groups 
    1-0, 2-0, 2-1 @ 8/5
    3-0, 3-1, 3-2 @ 4/1
    £30 Dutched will give me a return of £51.32
     
  24. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from Sir Puntalot in PL Footy Tips Results Tracking   
    Thanks @Sir Puntalot Very nice results! You only need 1 in 6 or 7 at those prices.
  25. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from corky in Golden Rules..   
    Keep records of every bet. Most losing punters don't, and have no clue how much they are losing. When confronted with the figures in black & white in the cold light of day you can decide wether to increase or decrease stakes.
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