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craigh last won the day on December 9

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  1. LOST - £25 WON + £15.35 LOST - £25 WON + £19.50 WON + £16.65 ________________ DAILY P/L + £1.50 WEEKLY P/L - £11.00
  2. RANGERS V YOUNG BOYS I would love to see Menorca face this Swiss side just so we could say it's "MEN against BOYS". As far as ELO ratings go there is nothing between these 2. However Rangers have steadily returned to a force to be reckoned with this season. Not only domestically but in Europe as well. They've been impressive whether home or away but everyone knows that Ibrox is one of the most difficult places to go and get a result. They'll be licking their wounds after a 1-0 defeat to arch rivals Celtic last Sunday where they effectively outplayed their opponents to the point of embarrassment. Possibly the most one-sided Old Firm affair, certainly in recent times. They bombarded them and hit them with everything, missing a penalty along the process. All but putting the ball in the back of the net they were quite superb. Now, they head in to their final Europa League group fixture sitting proudly but very, very precariously at the top. All 4 teams can still qualify from the group. 3 points separate top and bottom. However this is a Rangers side who swept aside Porto 2-0 and outclassed Feyenoord 1-0 in their other 2 home fixtures so far. Young Boys are arguably an easier task. Rangers should have got at least a point away to the Swiss side but for poor defending and a last second winner. They were the best team for the most part and could have put the game to bed after going into the second half 1-0 in front. However this time out they'll have an eager and encouraging 50,000 support behind them as they hope to fire their way into the knockout stages. If they play half as well as they did against Celtic at the weekend they should cruise through. Realistically that's not how Rangers do things so it will probably be a nail biting but ultimately happy ending for the Glasgow side. Rangers have scored 44 goals in 13 home games across all competitions this season. They have scored at least 1 goal in every home match. That stat averages out at 3.38 goals per home match - and that's just goals for. So the over 2.5 goals odds of 1.87 seems pretty generous. On top of that, only a win is good enough for Young Boys to progress to the next round, so there is no fear of them coming to defend or sit back. This will suit Rangers down to the ground and if the game opens up there is no doubt that Gerrard's men will provide more in terms of firepower than their Swiss counterparts. Rangers To Win Draw No Bet @ 1.40 Over 2.5 @ 1.87 Prediction: Rangers 3 - 1 Young Boys
  3. Can't believe the stupid folk over at the Champions League have organised a full card of matches on the same day as Wigan v West Brom. You may laugh but West Brom are 10 games undefeated and quite frankly I'd take them 'draw no bet' against Barca at the moment. Obviously if Messi wasn't playing and my sister had the other controller. This game will probably be more entertaining than most of the games in the CL tonight as there is most definitely something to play for. Wigan's last 7 games have been goalfests - with all 7 over 2.5 goals (and 3 of them over 3.5). Unfortunately for them they've all been against. They face a West Brom side who have also been having a few goalfests, however most of those goals have came in the 'for' category. They've scored no less than 25 goals in 10 matches. Some fairly impressive romps along the way. So if stats are anything to go by, which they are, then tonight's match should see plenty of goals and the over 2.5 odds of 1.87 seems really quite generous from the bookies. I'm on, I'm really on, in fact I'm doubling down on this one. Both Teams To Score is also quite tasty at 1.85 and as much I believe it will come in there is a small part of me that thinks it could potentially be 0-3. Roll on the 1-1 now that I've said that. Over 2.5 @ 1.87 - BET OF THE DAY Predicted score: Wigan 1 - 3 West Brom
  4. 11/12/19 Shakhtar Donetsk v Atalanta - Both Teams To Score @ 1.45 Barnsley v Reading - Over 2.5 @ 1.80 Wigan v West Brom - Over 2.5 @ 1.87 Olympiacos v Crvena Zvezda - Both Teams To Score @ 1.909
  5. FC SHAKHTAR DONETSK v ATALANTA - Both Teams To Score @ 1.45 In pretty much the only group with anything to play for this evening we see one of the strongest Shakhtar teams in recent years take on an energetic, attacking and largely unexperienced Atalanta side. Both teams can still qualify. Atalanta might sit bottom of the group but a win this evening would see them leapfrog Shakhtar into second place - assuming City don't lose to Dinamo. So Atalanta, like every other game they play will come out of the blocks firing. Atalanta have scored in all but one of their Champions League games. The last time the 2 teams met in Italy Shakhtar came away with a 2-1 victory despite Atalanta dominating, missing 5 HUGE CHANCES and a penalty. Shakhtar stunned them with a 95th minute winner. OLYMPIACOS v CRVENA ZVEZDA - Both Teams To Score @ 1.909 Both teams are out of the tournament and have nothing to play for. Traditionally, that makes for two open teams and possibly some fringe / youth players looking to shine and get their name on the scoresheet. In their first enounter it was a tight match with Olympiacos leading 1-0 at half time. However they went down to 10 men just after the break and shortly afterwards Crvena were level. Despite Crvena the dominating the rest of the game it took them until the 87th minute to find their second, they then found another shortly afterwards and made the result look a little more comfortable than it was.
  6. Real Sociedad v Barcelona - BTTS.@ 1.60. Real have scored in 15 / 17 of their matches this season. I don't need to even explain Barca's goal threat or stats but they are still as vulnerable at the back as my gran. Atletico Bilbabo v Eibar - Atletico Bilbao To Win @ 1.75 Bilbao are a solid outfit and even more impressive at home. They've scored 7 goals and conceded just 1 in their last 3 home games. Winning all 3 convincingly. After going 5 games undefeated they lost out 3-2 away to Betis last time out (it's worth noting they were 3-0 after 20 minutes). So did exceptionally well to come back and just missed out on a point. They're back at home on Saturday and should return to winning ways against an Eibar side who have lost 4 on the bounce, conceding 11 goals and scoring just the 1 (that came against Real Sociedad who beat them 4-1). Bilbao Manager Gaizka Garitano has this down on the sheet as WIN. A comfortable one. Espanyol v Real Betis - Double Chance Betis Or Draw @ 1.53 Not sure how Espanyol are favourites in this match. Betis are in the in-form team and having won 3 on the bounce. Espanyol sit solid bottom of the league and have won just once in their last 9 matches. The odds on the double chance are fairly chunky considering. To boot Espanyol also have a Europa League match on Thursday so they will be a little worse for wear against an energetic Betis side.
  7. Stoke City v Luton Town So the game taking my fancy tonight in the Championship is the rib tickler that is Stoke City against Luton. Both teams love conceding goals. It's like they've both forgot the rules of the game. Clean sheet ratio for both teams this season is as follows: Luton ONCE in FIFTEEN games. Stoke TWICE in FIFTEEN games. That's 3 times between them in 30 games. So in 90% of the games played between both teams they have conceded at least 1 goal. I suspect a 2-1 win for either team. Both Teams To Score @ 1.80! Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.78 Prediction: Stoke City 2 - 1 Luton Town Note: ELO ratings suggest Stoke City should win this by at least 14 goals.
  8. Nice preview as always Mr. Day. Haaland anytime scorer is a great shout and a great price too @ 2.43 (although I can't find him anywhere at that now - best I can find is Betway @ 2.20) - might just join you on that one. Not so keen on Liverpool HT/FT. I don't think Sazlburg will get caught with their pants down this time and end up 3 down in less time than it takes Spurs to replace a manager. I am a huge fan of the way Sazlburg play and I believe they are the most exciting team to watch in the competition. They are pure football, pure attack, pure joy. They are the Ajax of the competition this year and I really don't want them to go out at this stage and you know what? I think they have a decent chance of hanging around a bit longer. Liverpool haven't really set the Champions League on fire by any means this season but still top the group. They lost 1-0 away to Napoli and I honestly thought they were outplayed at Anfield (but for the first half hour) and Sazlburg deserved at least a draw last time out. When it was 3-3 the Austrians looked far more dangerous than Liverpool did. A little bit of magic from what has to be said was a very poor Mo Salah on the night was enough to clinch it 4-3. If Sazlburg start off the same way as they finished the game at Anfield then Liverpool could be in for a tough night. I hope it's the case and I hope they make Liverpool dig deep and make for another superbly entertaining game. Like every game in what I believe is the strongest and most exciting group in the competition I believe this will have lots of goals and be largely unpredictable. However I can't see Salzburg losing with the home support they have. In the other game I also see a struggling Napoli side perhaps drawing or scraping a win against a sturdy Genk team. Over 3.5 @ 1.95
  9. 10/12/19 Glenavon v Carrick Rangers - Over 2.5 @ 1.50 Lyon v RB Leipzig - Over 2.5 @ 1.615 Ajax v Valencia - Over 2.5 @ 1.50 Stoke City v Luton Town - Over 2.5 @ 1.78 - PRICE OF THE DAY Chesterfield v Yeovil - Over 2.5 @ 1.667
  10. WON - PROFIT + £12.50 LOST - LOSS - £25
  11. Great preview as always @StevieDay1983 If there was ever a game you wanted to be on Amazon Prime it's this one. Even the most dedicated Arsenal fan would take 90 minutes of buffering over 5 minutes of Bellerin at the moment. Oh and thanks for the Aubamayang not scoring against West Ham in his last 3 appearances, Stevie. You've just woke up The Hammers back four. This is probably one of the most unpredictable games you will find tonight 😉. So much so ,that I'm going to tell you the exact result and how many corners there will be. West Ham beat Chelsea 1-0 game before last. You know how? cause Chelsea had 30 shots on goal and didn't score any. If a fifth of their shots ON target went in they'd have beaten them comfortably. They have been destroyed and play off the park in each of their last 5 games - including the win. Honestly, the ELO ratings must have sh*t themselves in that fixture. Arsenal meanwhile have decided that there's no such thing as a mid-table battle and have dived worse than old Cristiano in the box. Quickly. They're looking like a team out of ideas. They're looking like a team that don't even want to come up with ideas. It's a bizarre situation and one that looks like it may continue, but, it can't, this is Arsenal. I hope and think much like Spurs they will reach a wall and decide that they will have to smash through that wall before anything good will happen, like winning a game. I said this game was unpredictable but for the life of me I can't see how Arsenal can lose another game.I mean I can, too easily. With that said I actually think a draw may actually offer both managers a little light relief - although a win would most certainly give either manager a HUGE and well needed boost. What to do? How to play? Who knows? I'm going against Stevie here but feel we will both end up with our wager back: Arsenal to win draw no bet @ 1.55
  12. VfB Stuttgart v Nurnberg This evening sees 2 sides recently relegated from the top division take on each other. Apologies, I've made it sound like it might be a good game. It probably won't be. After a blazing start of 6 wins and 2 draws from their first 8 matches Stuttgart decided to give themselves a challenge and let others team get involved, by simply losing their next 3 games in a row - a fine feat after 8 games undefeated. However their last 4 games have saw them see-saw (W-L-W-L). So for the sake of my tip for tonight I hope that see-saw motion continues and they SEE 😉 another win this evening. Stuttgart's home scoring record is pretty impressive. They've scored 2 or more goals in 6 out of their 8 home matches this season. Scoring 3 in each of their last 2. Take note over 2.5 lovers (like myself). Now, let's forget the results for a second (I thought Chris Ramsey should have been in the final but hey). Stuttgart have outplayed every team they've played this season - comfortably. Possession, shots, corners, haircuts, you name it. Looking at the stats you're thinking "if they had a number 9 with a pair of boots with holes in them they'd have maximum points and we could play like Arsenal for the second half of the season and still get promoted". They're not. Nurnberg on the hand come here with absolutely no form at all to consider. Nothing. They currently occupy the relegation play-off spot of 16th. Their last 8 games have been lost, lost badly, lost entirely, lost in the car park, lost on the park, lost heavily and have you seen the latest series of LOST cause I think the whole Nurnberg team are in it? Like Stuttgart however they have quite often dominated games but have no idea where the goal is - however unlike Stuttgart who occasionally take their blindfolds off to have a go, Nurnberg are happy just kicking the ball about. They've now conceded 15 goals in 7 games. Averaging over 2 goals against them per match (and that's with a 0-0 thrown in there too). So it's hard to see how Nurnberg can get anything from this match. Perhaps a 0-0 stalemate if they both decide to play with their blindfolds on? Head-to-Head Stats Nurnberg haven't beat Stuttgart in their last 4 meetings Nurnberg haven't kept a clean sheet in their last 4 meetings With an outright win for Stuttgart offering very little I think the Draw No Bet security offer is very good - considering what Coral is currently offering (1.33). Nurnberg have been pasted really early on the last few games too - with the match almost tied up at half time, so I suspect Stuttgart may come out the traps early and try to end this one before it begins too. VfB Stuttgart to be winning at half time is 2.30. Predictions VfB Stuttgart - Draw No Bet @ 1.33 (Coral - huge odds from them as the closest is 1.20) VfB Stuttgart - HT @ 2.30 (1.95 most others!)
  13. ELO Rating's throwing up a nice 4.33 away win for Osnabruck as they came out 4-2 winners away to Holstein Kiel.
  14. 09/12/19 Jong AZ Alkmaar v Helmond Sport - Over 2.5 Goals Jong Ajax v Roda JC Kerkade - Both Teams To Score (normally I would have struck with over 2.5 goals but the odds are just not worth it)
  15. Hello all, I hope you all had a nice and profitable weekend from some very entertaining games of football. A profitable week last week if anyone followed. A tidy £165.25 based on £25 bets. I want to keep it the same amount and the same stake on here for a real and genuine indication of bets and turnover. However there is bets where I would personally up my stake (normally double up) and such. If anyone is interested in these please let me know and I will perhaps add an icon / indicator where I think this should be applied. I believe I could have achieved an even bigger haul last week as many games which I decided to leave out as they were just short of the stats actually came to fruition. Today's tips to follow soon. Cheers CH