BillyHills Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 Two races over the National fences this Saturday at Aintree 1.30 Aintree: 3m2f (3m1f188y) (Grand National) Randox Health Becher Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (Class 1) (6yo+) Trends 9/10 FR or IRE Bred 8/10 Carried less than 11st 8/10 Rated below 148 7/10 Aged 9 or below 7/10 Had a prep run this season 15/22 Finished in first 5 last time 14/22 Not won beyond 3m1f 19/22 had ran over this trip or more previously. 7/10 Winners had been over the Aintree fences previously. 315 Aintree 2m5f (2m5f19y) (Grand National) Virgin Bet Grand Sefton Handicap Chase (Class 2) (6yo+) Trends 8/10 Aged 9 0r under 9/10 Had a prep run this season 8/10 FR or IRE Bred 7/10 Rated 137 or more 7/10 Carried 10st 12lbs or more 12/16 finished outside first 3 last run 10/16 Had won at 2m5f or more 14/16 Had ran over 2m5f previoulsy 7/10 Winners had run over the Aintree fences previously. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted December 3, 2019 Author Share Posted December 3, 2019 Early prices Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted December 4, 2019 Share Posted December 4, 2019 Incredibly hard races this weekend ....grand sefton so far .. Ultragold 242 +8 Kayf adventure 235 +6 Killaro boy 234 +3 Wishfull dreaming 232 +5 Wishful dreaming looks well weighted and huge price around 33/1 but I'm not convinced stays this far ....barely stays 2 and a half on a good day so opposable but good value to be top 5 or 6 ......ultragold the computer is screaming at me to back ....I'm not keen on backing a horse with figures 5p0p...but this horse is incredibly well hcapped currently according to the computer figures so if he can get his shit together he's gonna come good soon surely and has been really well backed for this race ...generally around 5/1 ...hills are offering 13/2 So I'll take that for now ...haven't decided between other two yet .both have merits and look evenly matched so I'll decidecfriday on those 2 Ultragold 5pts ew 13/2 willh Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted December 4, 2019 Author Share Posted December 4, 2019 4 hours ago, richard-westwood said: I Ultragold 5pts ew 13/2 willh Ultragold won the Topham Chase twice around here plus a god second in this race in 2017, sure to get round at least richard-westwood 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 Becher chase is one of the hardest races I've rated for a while... Walk in the mill 234 +5 Mysteree 233 +3 Definitely red 229 +5 Def8nately red would have a fair chance at very best as he's closer to a 235 but hasn't run close to that for a while so I'm opposing ...top 2 seem to have a lot going for them and decent prices but this is one tough race so could be anyone's Walk in the mill 5pts ew 10/1 bet365 Mysterree 5pts ew 16/1 bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 On 12/4/2019 at 5:55 AM, richard-westwood said: Incredibly hard races this weekend ....grand sefton so far .. Ultragold 242 +8 Kayf adventure 235 +6 Killaro boy 234 +3 Wishfull dreaming 232 +5 Wishful dreaming looks well weighted and huge price around 33/1 but I'm not convinced stays this far ....barely stays 2 and a half on a good day so opposable but good value to be top 5 or 6 ......ultragold the computer is screaming at me to back ....I'm not keen on backing a horse with figures 5p0p...but this horse is incredibly well hcapped currently according to the computer figures so if he can get his shit together he's gonna come good soon surely and has been really well backed for this race ...generally around 5/1 ...hills are offering 13/2 So I'll take that for now ...haven't decided between other two yet .both have merits and look evenly matched so I'll decidecfriday on those 2 Ultragold 5pts ew 13/2 willh Adding kayf adventure 5pts ew 16/1 bet365 as he's got more scope for improvement back around his favoured 2 and half miles Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted December 5, 2019 Author Share Posted December 5, 2019 Becher Chase 9/10 FR or IRE Bred We lose Regal Flow 8/10 Carried less than 11st We lose top 5 8/10 Rated below 148 As above 7/10 Aged 9 or below We lose Vieux Lion Rouge, Abolitionist, Mysteree 7/10 Had a prep run this season We lose Ballydine, Kimberlite Candy 15/22 Finished in first 5 last time We lose As De Mee, Walk In The Mill, Minellacelebration, Like The Sound 14/22 Not won beyond 3m1f We lose Wandrin Star Selections Vintage Clouds 8/1 Betvictor Mulcahys Hill 13/2 Hills richard-westwood 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted December 5, 2019 Author Share Posted December 5, 2019 Grand Sefton 8/10 Aged 9 0r under We lose Ultragold, Princeton Royale, Killaro Boy, Federici 9/10 Had a prep run this season We lose Gold Present, Kimberlite Candy 8/10 FR or IRE Bred We lose Kayf Adventure, Wishfull Dreaming 7/10 Rated 137 or more We lose from Number 9 downwards 7/10 Carried 10st 12lbs or more We lose Touch Kick Selection Flying Angel 5/1 Hills Favourites week by the looks of it!! richard-westwood 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted December 6, 2019 Author Share Posted December 6, 2019 Ratings 3 x 3 top 3 rated = 9 EW Doubles Becher Sefton richard-westwood 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 On 12/5/2019 at 7:33 AM, richard-westwood said: Becher chase is one of the hardest races I've rated for a while... Walk in the mill 234 +5 Mysteree 233 +3 Definitely red 229 +5 Def8nately red would have a fair chance at very best as he's closer to a 235 but hasn't run close to that for a while so I'm opposing ...top 2 seem to have a lot going for them and decent prices but this is one tough race so could be anyone's Walk in the mill 5pts ew 10/1 bet365 Mysterree 5pts ew 16/1 bet365 Good start ..wins easily ...definitely red 4th BillyHills, Pirate53 and vikki37 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted December 7, 2019 Author Share Posted December 7, 2019 23 hours ago, BillyHills said: Ratings 3 x 3 top 3 rated = 9 EW Doubles Becher: 3rd and 4th (12/1 & 8/1) Sefton: 2nd (25/1) 2 £1 EW doubles up : £27 and £19 Little bit of profit vikki37 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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