Pirate53 Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 (edited) Hi guys, Have been using an AW system that I've come up with since 15th November. Today there are 3 qualifiers BUT they must not go off as fav. They are: Ling 12.10 Muhajjel Ling 12.45 Captain Pugwash Ling 14.55 Corazon Espinado Bets are placed at BFSP as unable to tell if fav or not prior. More info to follow. Edited November 2, 2018 by Pirate53 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pirate53 Posted December 28, 2017 Author Share Posted December 28, 2017 3 No Bets today. All started favourite. The system follows the following logic: 26% of favs in AW H/caps win. Therefore 74% lose. We want to be in the 74%. Horses aged 2 and 3 only are considered - they should mostly be improvers. Handicaps and Nurseries only. Odds range 2/1 to 10/1. The jockey must be the same as the previous race contested. There are a few other filters, but I have to keep some secrets!! Expect losing runs of 12 or so. System to be used Nov-March. November 27 Bets, 7 wins, +£97.54 (£5 stakes) Xtc12 and corky 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 Good luck mate Pirate53 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pirate53 Posted December 28, 2017 Author Share Posted December 28, 2017 No qualifiers for 29th. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pirate53 Posted December 30, 2017 Author Share Posted December 30, 2017 (edited) Todays selections: Lingfield 11.30 Joegogo, Montague. Lingfield 12.35 Rapid Rise Not if fav, shorter than 2/1 or greater than 10/1. BFSP can be higher than 11 provided ISP is not higher than 11. Edited December 30, 2017 by Pirate53 Crazyone 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pirate53 Posted December 30, 2017 Author Share Posted December 30, 2017 2 losers and 1 No Bet (Rapid Rise 12/1) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pirate53 Posted December 31, 2017 Author Share Posted December 31, 2017 Todays Sels: Lingfield 11.40 Mach One, Enigmatic, Spirit Of Sarwan Lingfield 12.40 Carp Kid Lingfield 14.15 Mister Freeze Not if fav, shorter than 2/1 or greater than 10/1. BFSP can be higher than 11 provided ISP is not higher than 11. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pirate53 Posted January 1, 2018 Author Share Posted January 1, 2018 Yesterdays result: Mach One No Bet (Fav) 2 losers in race. Carp Kid No Bet (15/8). Mister Freeze lost. Total -3pts, Total Staked 5 Returns 0 Todays: Southwell 12.35 Samovar, Bad Dog Not if fav, shorter than 2/1 or greater than 10/1. BFSP can be higher than 11 provided ISP is not higher than 11. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
corky Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 3 hours ago, Pirate53 said: Yesterdays result: Mach One No Bet (Fav) 2 losers in race. Carp Kid No Bet (15/8). Mister Freeze lost. Total -3pts, Total Staked 5 Returns 0 Todays: Southwell 12.35 Samovar, Bad Dog Not if fav, shorter than 2/1 or greater than 10/1. BFSP can be higher than 11 provided ISP is not higher than 11. samovar a tad unlucky there,only a morris drive beat it Pirate53 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pirate53 Posted January 2, 2018 Author Share Posted January 2, 2018 21 hours ago, corky said: samovar a tad unlucky there,only a morris drive beat it Yes mate. New system posters curse! Still keep the faith! corky 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pirate53 Posted January 2, 2018 Author Share Posted January 2, 2018 Yesterdays results - 2pts. Total Staked 7 Returns 0 Todays: Newcastle 18.40 Magic Mark. Not if fav, shorter than 2/1 or greater than 10/1. BFSP can be higher than 11 provided ISP is not higher than 11. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birchy Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just wondering...if you were betting on these, how would you know what the SP or BSP is going to be BEFORE the race starts? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pirate53 Posted January 3, 2018 Author Share Posted January 3, 2018 Hi Birchy. Fair Question. Its not usually difficult as the prices generally are around 4/1 to 7/1. I open the Sporting Life live shows page,(tab is on the racecard) this gives me the SP up to race start (more use when its drifting and you're worried it'll go too high.) Yesterdays was fairly short but never gonna challenge for favouritism so the only thing to watch was did it go below 3. It didn't so was a bet. It's a bit more faffing around than a set and forget system but not hard when you are used to it. No selections today. No 3 yr old races at all and no 2yo Nurseries. Yesterdays result: -1 pt. Total Staked 8 Returns 0. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alastair Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 2 hours ago, Pirate53 said: Hi Birchy. Fair Question. Its not usually difficult as the prices generally are around 4/1 to 7/1. I open the Sporting Life live shows page,(tab is on the racecard) this gives me the SP up to race start (more use when its drifting and you're worried it'll go too high.) Yesterdays was fairly short but never gonna challenge for favouritism so the only thing to watch was did it go below 3. It didn't so was a bet. It's a bit more faffing around than a set and forget system but not hard when you are used to it. No selections today. No 3 yr old races at all and no 2yo Nurseries. Yesterdays result: -1 pt. Total Staked 8 Returns 0. You've got a long wait for the next nursery - late June or early July. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pirate53 Posted January 4, 2018 Author Share Posted January 4, 2018 16 hours ago, Alastair said: You've got a long wait for the next nursery - late June or early July. Ah well, system stops 31/3. Todays selection: Wolves 13.55 Swissal Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pirate53 Posted January 5, 2018 Author Share Posted January 5, 2018 (edited) Another 2nd! Yesterday -1pt Staked 9 Returns 0 No selections today. Edited January 5, 2018 by Pirate53 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pirate53 Posted January 6, 2018 Author Share Posted January 6, 2018 (edited) Todays Sels: Kempton 20.45 Montague, Our Man In Havana Not if fav, shorter than 2/1 or greater than 10/1. BFSP can be higher than 11 provided ISP is not higher than 11 Edited January 6, 2018 by Pirate53 12.05 Not a qualifier...missed a filter in my haste! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pirate53 Posted January 7, 2018 Author Share Posted January 7, 2018 And another 2nd. Yesterday -2pt Staked 11 Returns 0 No selections today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pirate53 Posted January 8, 2018 Author Share Posted January 8, 2018 No selections today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pirate53 Posted January 9, 2018 Author Share Posted January 9, 2018 Todays Sels: Southwell 13.15 Papa Stour, Hard Graft Southwell 14.20 Samovar. Not if fav, shorter than 2/1 or greater than 10/1. BFSP can be higher than 11 provided ISP is not higher than 11 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pirate53 Posted January 10, 2018 Author Share Posted January 10, 2018 (edited) Yesterday -1pt Papa Stour No Bet Fav. Samovar No Bet (14/1) Staked 12 Returns 0 Today: Ling 15.25 Swift Fox. Not if fav, shorter than 2/1 or greater than 10/1. BFSP can be higher than 11 provided ISP is not higher than 11 Edited January 10, 2018 by Pirate53 Added todays Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pirate53 Posted January 11, 2018 Author Share Posted January 11, 2018 (edited) Yesterday -1pt Staked 13 Returns 0 This is going well! At least I don't need to get the calculator out!! Todays: 16.05 Newc. Jellmood, Joe's Spirit. Not if fav or under 2/1 Edited January 11, 2018 by Pirate53 spelling Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pirate53 Posted January 12, 2018 Author Share Posted January 12, 2018 Yesterday -1pt Staked 14 Returns 0 Todays: Newcastle 17.45 Tough Remedy, The British Lion, Becker Newcastle 18.15 Wiff Waff Not if fav, shorter than 2/1 or greater than 10/1. BFSP can be higher than 11 provided ISP is not higher than 11 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pirate53 Posted January 13, 2018 Author Share Posted January 13, 2018 A winner at last!! Yesterday +3.03 pts Staked 16 Returns 4.03 Todays: Wolves 20.45 Joegogo, Gift In Time, Our Man In Havana Not if fav, shorter than 2/1 or greater than 10/1. BFSP can be higher than 11 provided ISP is not higher than 11 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pirate53 Posted January 14, 2018 Author Share Posted January 14, 2018 No luck yesterday -3pts Total Staked 19 Returns 4.03 Todays: Southwell 13.20 Good Impression, Istanbul Pasha, Ray Purchase Not if fav, shorter than 2/1 or greater than 10/1. BFSP can be higher than 11 provided ISP is not higher than 11 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pirate53 Posted January 15, 2018 Author Share Posted January 15, 2018 (edited) Yesterdays: Another winner! Total Staked 21 Returns 7.59 Todays: Wolves 16.35 Snaffled Not if fav, shorter than 2/1 or greater than 10/1. BFSP can be higher than 11 provided ISP is not higher than 11 Edited January 15, 2018 by Pirate53 geoffrey craig 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saint R Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 19 hours ago, Pirate53 said: Yesterdays: Another winner! Total Staked 21 Returns 7.59 Todays: Wolves 16.35 Snaffled Not if fav, shorter than 2/1 or greater than 10/1. BFSP can be higher than 11 provided ISP is not higher than 11 Another winner, fancied it myself but only because it's one of my favourite words. Pirate53 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pirate53 Posted January 16, 2018 Author Share Posted January 16, 2018 59 minutes ago, Saint R said: Another winner, fancied it myself but only because it's one of my favourite words. Yes, unfortunately it doesn't count as it was fav and below 2/1. I did back it as had to go out and it was 3/1 then! Didn't expect it to steam like that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pirate53 Posted January 16, 2018 Author Share Posted January 16, 2018 Yesterday: No bet (Fav). Total Staked 21 Returns 7.59 Todays: Kempton 18.10 Surfa Rosa, Passing Clouds. Not if fav, shorter than 2/1 or greater than 10/1. BFSP can be higher than 11 provided ISP is not higher than 11 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pirate53 Posted January 17, 2018 Author Share Posted January 17, 2018 Yesterday: 1 no bet, -1 pt Total Staked 22 Returns 7.59 Todays: Lingfield 13.10 Count Otto, City Gent, Montague Newcastle 17.00 Elixsoft Newcastle 18.30 Lord Of The Glen Not if fav, shorter than 2/1 or greater than 10/1. BFSP can be higher than 11 provided ISP is not higher than 11 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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