Icongene

Brentford v Derby - BTTS is a banker.
Bristol City should be feeling pretty good about themselves after the weekend and I've got a feeling QPR have gone into 'switch off' mode. Maybe worth looking at.
Also I quite like Sheff Wed to beat Cardiff, another squad that might already be looking towards next season.
 

Am I the only one who is looking at Juve here? Barca got fucking battered by PSG in the last round and just lost to Malaga. I don't care how many big names are in the side, Barca have this season has shown time and time again they are just not as effective as previous versions.
Juve are great at home and unlike PSG have some right streetwise/experienced players who are not shy to put the foot in and turn the contest into a battle. Bonuci and Chielini are masters of it.  Barca don't like games like that and with Dybala and Higuin they will hurt Barca in Turin.

I've been following your blog closely Pep and been aware of your profit rate.
Tremendous.  

Let me publish my recent stats in Ligue 1. It has been amazing season so far! 

I'm sorry to hear that! Haha.

@StevieDay1983
I was born a Hibby Stevie.
My Dad was a diehard who followed Hibs home and away his whole life, him and his mate took me and my twin brother with him from about 4 years old, i'd been to hundreds of games by the time I was 10 years old.

I am going with Las Palmas win today. Las Palmas played on Thursday, which means that they had 2 days less to prepare on Betis, and that's probably the reason why odds are here where they are, but I am counting on motivation fact here. Las Palmas is playing totally differently on their stadium in front of their supporters, they have all important players available, Lemos seems to be in superb form while offensive trio Tana-Boateng-Jese started on the bench in Eibar. Las Palmas will hold the ball, they will be in possession for sure, and while Betis offensive part is highly relying on Ceballos and Castro, there is much more players, individually capable to make a difference in Las Palmas.  Whole analysis here!

Hello guys!

My name is André and I live in Brazil! My first post here!
I believe a good bet for today is Lukaku to score anytime @ 1.90 on 188bet!

3/5 unit

hugs! And lucky for us!

Dallas on the handicap. -1 at 1.9 should be a reasonable safe bet.

BET WON. 1-1  HT 

Icongene well done.....yes indeed, simply absurd you were in thinking that Hamburg could score!

Betting at this stage of the season changes. One thing counts here 
MOTIVATION !MOTIVATION !MOTIVATION !MOTIVATION !MOTIVATION !MOTIVATION !MOTIVATION !
Find teams that are motivated, either to win something (European places, avoid relegation etc). These teams will make you money.
Two middle of the table, nothing to lose or gain teams against each other will produce goals. They can't get into Europe, they can't be relegated, they are already on holiday. Just cruising the rest of the season, and trying not to  pick up an injury.
I really like Spurs to smack Watford in the early kickoff. I think it's a proper hiding.
HT/FT home win 1.73
Win to nil 1.83 Spurs
 
 
 
 

Hi guys, sorry for last week-end, I was too busy.
Lyon vs Lorient Home Win and Over
Especially at home Lyon is succesfull and after their convincing victory against Metz, and equivalent level team like Lorient can't do anything here.
Dijon vs Bastia Home Win and Handicap
Finish for Bastia, that's my mind. Go down to Ligue 2, nothing to do here (come on Reims!). To be honest I hate corsican spirit and behaviour, they've already showed it : manifestations, strikes, blocked stadium (like for Nantes and Lille)...  On the other hand Dijon deserve to stay in Ligue 1, with a constant desire to score, play and don't close the match. At home, against a Titanic team, no surprise excpect maybe another red card for Bastia
Bordeaux vs Metz Home Win
End of season is very exciting for relegation and european places. Bordeaux is on track to be european next year with good results since 2017. With their current form and home stats (7/5/4) against Metz (3/3/9), just one victory in last five (against Bastia), no surprise here again.
PSG vs Guingamp Home Win and Over
After their demonstration against Monaco, PSG can't miss this one. Monaco will play Dortmund earlier, occsion for PSG to benefit from their calendar.
Nancy vs Rennes Under and Draw
As I already said, Rennes is my new champion of draw (even last week ! who they played 10 vs 11). Even if Nancy seems very weak at htis moment, it's so urgent to get points for them but I don't think that they have enough confident to get victory. Rennes has not enough desire to get more than one point...

I dont think its ah, +1 ah is 1.33 best price

I'm not too sure if they have more resilience now. RSL did not have their 2 1st team centrebacks and the 2 backups are out, leaving them with their 5th choice. It was also an unusual bad x2 day for gk Nick Rimando and captain Kyle Beckerman as well.

I agree re- Birmingham v Derby. The (a) side look tempting at that price given the effect the manager has had in a few games. Birmingham are just utter crap and have nothing to play for.
Also Falkirk away to Dundee Utd in the Scottish Championship, they are priced around 3.4 which is very high considering they sit in 2nd, ahead of United in 4th and they have a much better GD.
Might look at the DnB as Dundee United are decidedly average for a 'big team' in that league and will very much struggle to go up this season.

A very important game for both teams, with huge interest grading, Platanias is excellent in, while Jimenez shots show a very close game with few goals, I will go to under 2,5
PLATANIAS CHANION vs AEK ATHEN @@ +2.50 Under, odds 1.44
Panathinaikos has 17 to 26 no goal and 9 to 12 no goal home. Panionios has 20 to 26 under 2,5 and 10 to 13 under 2,5 away, the two teams have very good defensive lines, do not expect to take too many risks today, the game will be very closed with a few goals
PANATHINAIKOS vs PANIONIOS @@ +2.50 Under, odds 1,60

Yes it's absolutely INSANE thinking that Hamburg, a team with a vociferous and large home support, battling it out for their lives against relegation, a team who have scored at least one goal in their last 10 (h) matches might raise their game and manage to score ONE goal v Hoffenheim. The bookies have it around 1.8-1.85 it's hardly a punt ffs. 
If that's what you deem 'absurd' I'd love to hear your opinion on one of those deadly accumulators of yours 

whatever man i am not here to argue. good luck with you bet but i don't see hoffenheim conceding. btts doesn't make sense to me but that's just how i see it

Like to add Eriksen to score@ 3,45,has been involved in nine goals (scored 5 ,assisted 4) in his 6 games against Swansea
@Icongene i think Wanyama is playing, i dnt think his absence has been confirmed

Now @andrewcalo- you wouldn't have just signed up under a different username would you?  Try to use a more mysterious email address next time, than starting with andrewcalo....  This account will self destruct within the next 24 hours...

Bundesliga II
 
Hannover vs Nurnberg
Hannover is the clear favorite for this game, Nurnberg had a good start but now finds itself stuck in the middle of the table. Have no chances of going up nor down so I think will lack motivation for winning such a tight game.
In the last 4 matches against top 5 teams in the league, Nurnberg form is 3 Losses and 1 Drawn.
In the opposite side, Hannover is fighting for the title, Had only 1 loss and on 2 drawns playing at home. 
 
I don't see a tendency on goals here, so I think the best Bet is on Hannover to win @ 1,61
Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg
I think borussia will take easy in this game because of the next games to come. In four days will face Bayern in Allianz Arena, and after that the semifinals for the Champions League.
Hamburg is trying to stay in Bundesliga I. I think Hamburg will not take risks in this game, they will probably try to go home with a drawn.
 
My bet for this game is Borussia Win + Under3.5 goals -> @ 2,37
Koln vs Frankfurt
For this game the two teams fight for a spot in the classification zone to Europa League. The two teams are having a similar season, Koln had a good start but it fall from his perfomance in the last games.
Frankfurt has failed to score in their last 3 games away, and in the last 7 games in bundesliga scored only once at home.
For this games I was inclined to go BTS, besides the recent form of the teams, but my bet will be Koln DNB @ 1,61
Post comment:
 
In the end was a good day, Also had a bet on BTS Bayern vs Hoffenheim, but lost that one.

Will have to follow you on this big stakes. You're a trusted and respected tipper with a keen eye for a Cup winner.
Edit: Just stuck the wife and kids on it. 

Haha thats not me. My biggest stakes are not alot bigger than £10!!  
But if Villa -4 comes in, I hope whoever this is comes up with some more tips!! 

Where did that come from?  I deffo didn't say that and i deffo didn't have £20,000 on us to win ...... it was hard enough sticking £10 on us to win lol!  
Have i been hacked?