Leaderboard

255 Newmarket Bopedro. 8.8 10/1 Dutch decoy. 8.8 16/1 Hafeet Alain. 8.5 14/1 Tricky race this one ....I'm not a huge fan of backing older horses and all these are of the older generation but computer is saying to back these even though they haven't got brill form .....gonna be an interesting one ....5pt Ew top 2 .....forecasts all 3

Group 3 Chantilly 2.40 - GOT TO LOVE A GREY . 1 of 2 for K.Burke in race & rated 100 , has won 2 Listed races on fast & testing surfaces & won here a month a go , now the bad bit , was 4/1 with bet365 yesterday early evening , now 10/11 . 6th , drifted from odds on to 11/4 but best of the other UK raiders who finished 8th & 10th , glad I didn't back it , the price 4-1 to 10/11 put me off .

Gracious Leader 4:05 Newmarket (10/1 Bet365). Taken some of the early price as probably won't get much bigger. 5/2 fav on debut back in October, promising run and should appreciate the better ground. Each way as there are some possibly decent rivals. 0.5 pts e/w 10/1 (bet365). Tailed off 😬 P/L: -1.7pts.

did have a little e/w on Schindler to be honest. After I found out he was local to the event and he was playing so well in his first match, I tried to get the 50/1 on him but it skipped to 33/1 annoyingly. Still, 33/1 was a great price.

Place return on D-C puts me somewhere in the neighbourhood of break even.

Won, profit £ 72 Monthly profit £ 209.96

Barring the most ridiculous end, Scheffler donning the Green Jacket again. Thank god for the boost from mgm, as wouldn't have went for him at those odds, even though I fancied him. Barring DeChambeau really think those Liv players motivation to be at their best is going to be a problem because of the money they earn. Look at the top of that leaderboard and it's all the non Liv. Got a bad feeling Rory ain't gonna get that jacket, here's hoping it comes though.

🙄 picked wrong one again for Daily Nap competition! ......Windsor 3.50 backed Champagne Sarah 20/1 ( daily nap) & Under the Twilight 14/1 to WIN as both like Good ground! hey ho, however in 'real money' we well up with the 14/1 Winner 🐎 💷 ......... ps.... the 3 day Craven meeting starts tomorrow at Newmarket and if our friends hear / back anything of note, then will post it on here like last year with some nice big priced winners from them during the flat season 👌 pps.... mite be worth having a small flutter on 2 in 4.20 Windsor.... Alcazan 9/1 ran in G1/2/3 last summer and Bishops Crown 4/1 WON as always in the frame 🤞

I'm glad to join! I've been interested in sports betting for a long time, but only recently started doing it more consciously. I hope socializing here will boost my confidence in making the right choice) Besides here is my favourite game review

Alnilam 2:00 Kelso (8/11). Maybe slightly disappointing in a hot race last time but this is way easier and should win barring accidents. The 2nd fav looked a plodder when winning Hexham on heavy. 1pt win 8/11 Almost threw it away at the last but hung on. 2nd fav did better than I thought she would. P/L: -0.7pts

AW selection Kempton 7.00 HAT TOSS

4 winners so made up for a poor friday and saturday at Aintree .

Down Royal 4.50 Politicise 16-1 B365

Newmarket 1.50 Day Two of the Craven meeting starts with a maximum field of twenty for this class 2 6F handicap. The race was won last year by Charlie Hills’s Orazio and he’ll be tough to beat back to defend his title even though he will be 11lb higher than last year. He prepped for this by running a fine third in the listed Cammidge Trophy (beaten 1 1/2L by Montassib) at Doncaster (his first since being gelded) and the ground should be ideal for him today with William Buick back on board from a similar stall as last year. He’s the bet here with the likes of Significantly and Chipstead the types who could also run well. ORAZIO 1 point each way @ 9/2 William Hill 1/5th 12345 Cheltenham 2.05 A maximum field of eighteen line up for the first of two races aired live by ITV in the shape of this 2M 4F 56 yard class 2 handicap hurdle. The race has an open look with amongst the front of the betting being the hat trick seeking Spring Note of Nicky Henderson’s and Chris Gordon’s easy Plumpton winner Sea Invasion. Both hold solid chances but I prefer the in form Robbie Llewelyn trained Titan Discovery who has been a revelation since going handicapping winning at Ascot and Sandown and going down by half a length to Boombawn at Kempton on the Saturday after Cheltenham. That form has already been boosted by the win of the fourth Dan Skelton’s Kateira at Aintree. He’s risen 20lb since going handicapping and is up another 3lb for that latest second. Llewelyn has won with 3 of his last 4 runners and he looks a good each way bet. TITAN DISCOVERY 1 point each way @ 8/1 Coral 1/5th 12345 Newmarket 2.25 Ten promising three year olds go to post for this listed 9F Feilden Stakes which can throw up a nice type (Golden Horn won this in 2015). Andre Fabre is a rare visitor to these shores nowadays and anything he sends over has to be respected so the fact that Narkez is here, having won already in France 22 days ago, is highly significant. His two wins however have come on very soft ground so I’ll look elsewhere for the winner. Charlie Appleby’s El Córdobes who cost 2,000,000 guineas as a yearling being by Frankel out of a Sea The Stars mare improved to take a Kempton novice stakes over a mile on his second start at the turn of the year and looks a horse to follow. This represents a step up in class for him but he looks sure to be thereabouts and can run a big race. Aidan O’Brien also sends one over from Ireland in the shape of Group 2 Zetland Stakes runner up Gasper De Lemos and must also be given plenty of respect. EL CORDOBES 1 point each way @ 5/1 bet365 1/5th 123 Cheltenham 2.40 The valuable 2M 4F 127 yard Silver Trophy Handicap Chase has attracted a dozen chasers and has an open feel about it with Cheltenham’s Grand Annual Handicap Chase fifth In Excelsis Deo high on the shortlist. The ground will be better here now mind and that may play into course specialist Il Ridoto’s hands. Trained in Somerset by Paul Nicholls his course figures here read 844163238 and although theres just one victory there he’s been placed in many of the better 2M 4F handicap chases here over the past three years. He wasn’t disgraced when 8th in the Plate Handicap Chase at the Festival here in March and surprisingly the handicapper has dropped him 3lb putting him onto a mark that he was a short head second to Fugitif over course and distance in the December Gold Cup. He looks sure to run his race with Harry Cobden taking over from conditional Freddie Gingell. IL RIDOTO 1 point each way @ 11/2 bet365 1/5th 1234 Newmarket 3.00 Ten have declared for the Group 3 Earl Of Sefton Stakes in which last year’s winner Ottoman Fleet, trained by Charlie Appleby, looks sure to go well and enhance his excellent course record of three wins from four starts. He may bump into one here mind in the shape of the Roger Varian trained Embesto who had a good first season last year as a three year old winning three of his five starts ending the season with 2 1/2L fourth in a Group 2 at Longchamp. The vibes are strong from Newmarket about this Roaring Lion colt and he looks the value bet in the contest. Royal Rhyme is a progressive horse of Karl Burke’s but seems best on very soft ground and is overlooked on that reason alone. EMBESTO 1 point each way @ 5/1 bet365 1/5th 123 Newmarket 3.35 A 1000 Guineas trial, the Group 3 Nell Gwyn Stakes has attracted a field of eleven this year including representatives from Aidan O’Brien and Charlie Appleby. The warm favourite trained by the latter is Dance Sequence, who is only a 5/1 chance for the 1000 Guineas itself. She has looked a smart performer winning bath her starts as a juvenile, a maiden on the July course here and the Group 3 Oh So Sharp Stakes over course and distance last October by a neck from Skellet. She has the highest official rating in the field and will be hard to beat although is no value at her current price. The Aidan O’Brien runner is Matrika who was last seen winning a Group 2 at the Curragh over 6F in July. Only rated 3lb behind Dance Sequence she maybe the value bet at the prices to beat the favourite. Best of the rest may well be the Roger Varian filly True Cyan who, like the two aforementioned fillies, holds a 1000 Guineas entry as well (currently a 66-1 chance). MATRIKA 1 point each way @ 9/2 bet365 1/5th 123

No reason if you get four in a day not to pop them on to a lucky 15 to small stakes, or even a patent if three for that matter.

Think the next euro tour is this Friday

A little bonus in speed figures is it is very easy to produce a list/become aware of bad/poor horses which are a very good measure of the strength of a race especially if the said horse is fav or second fav. Great for deciding what stake to invest if you have one at a decent price.

Patience is its own reward!

Haven't had a penny on any of them yet !

Missed that one. You've gone from 0 to "King of Speed" in no time at all!

Top rated on todays going is UNDER THE TWILIGHT in the 3.50 based on its 3rd at Newbury last May over todays distance. It is rated second overall to the favourite Tiriac. Available at 12/1 (4 places).

Profit of £ 111 + casino £ 20 Total profit £ 1, 656.22 Kelso 3.30 VAL DANCER 41/20 £20 win 10% boost Kempton 6.30 ALIKA BREEZE £12 win 15/2 FIORENTINA 10/11 £5

Neil Robertson could be a real threat. He has looked back to best or close to it, recently. You can still get him at 14/1. I get the feeling that once he beats Jamie Jones or Burden that he'll come into single figures.

Day 105 +£13

Well in my opinion and they way i formulate speed figures, i go off all its wins and places, horses move up and down the handicap over the years so they are relevant certainly for 4 years and i would suggest beyond, didn't Documenting win the other day at a decent price 22/1? That horse is 11 years old, Boom the Groom won 3 times last year at decent prices and that one is 13, the older horses tend to run at their own level all be it lack consistency steadily dropping down in grade until they are retired. That's why i am very weary of handicaps and only use speed seriously in Pattern races or in the heritage handicaps "worth winning". That's not to say they should be discarded because i use this type of horse in Lucky 15 etc for a bit of fun and have done reasonably well out of them. One thing to bear in mind about distances and goings in pattern races the top trainers have a pretty good idea of whether a horse can do the trip or ground particularly as they age from 2yo-3yo-4yo that's why we have so many horses pulled out if the conditions don't suit Trueshan is a good example of that. I do disregard or downgrade horses at distances that they haven't won over once they reach 4 year old and beyond especially in sprints but there are always exceptions to the rules.

My sincere apologies for not posting any selections last Saturday. I just forgot

A very quiet day today I'll have a small wager from my NH system Plumpton 4..25 PADDY DE POLE

Being sensible so didn't back one horse today and all I've seen is literally every horse you've put up in each thread has won bar one which finished 2nd @ 10/1. Congratulations mate and will teach me for not following 🤦🏼‍♂️.

changed it to 5.17

nr

kings justice 5.17

don't talk 4.50 ew

lemoncella 4.42

He was miles ahead but somehow managed to lose 10-9 in the end.

Everyone is exhausted from Aintree exploits I guess Had an L15 on the daily = 3 points 3.50 Plum Pedley Wood 2 pt win at 5.6 on Betfair (My nap today). Crystal Moon looks like a real danger but a 12lb rise may take its toll 5 points total staked today

Lucky15Ref: 360614279 4 Selections 2. Has Troke - 10/3Winner - 15:32 Hereford 10. Pedley Wood - 7/2Winner - 15:50 Plumpton 1. Shandancer - 8/1Winner - 16:25 Plumpton 1. Kankin - 7/2Winner - 17:17 Hereford Stake£3.00 Potential Returns£322.47

Craven Meeting Tuesday to Thursday on what looks like will be testing conditions & bloody cold at around 11-12 degrees so the flat is slowly getting going , still way too many all weather meetings imo .

Won, profit £24 Monthly profit £ 137.96

Bet 52 won. Next stake £2675.22

@PercyP congratulations @Fader thanks for all the hard work you have put in to the competition and forum