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Personally I would just go with SP if nothing else it must make life easier for our hard working competition organiser. Ken

I thought Coral were 9am the day of the race . Awful news from for me the best online betting site bet365 to change their b.o.g. rules to join the rest & therefore squeezing us punters even moreso lessening value , ah well ☹️

Couple for today day 9

Petra Kvitova to beat Varvara Gracheva at 1.50 with William Hill Varvara Gracheva has some tremendous form to her name, but I'll side with Kvitova for the second time in Miami. For one, Gracheva hasn't played against many players with this sort of raw power recently, and that's where her weakness lies imo, she just isn't able to hit back with the same sort of power. This might upset @money44, but I'm just not seeing it for Gracheva :(.

Lingfield 1.45 Fat Gladiator 6/1 Wincanton 3.0 Du De Beauchene 3/1 Wincanton 4.30 Proper Twelve 7/2 Wolverhampton 6.0 Janaat 10/3 20p Win lucky 15 £3

Van De Zandschulp @3.9 vs. Ruud Going against Ruud here, he is not playing his best tennis lately and H2H in favour of Van De Zandschulp 2-1, with one on hard court won 3-1 by Botic at the USO 2021. I take also Van De Zandschulp + 1,5 sets @2.1

We into the final tournament before the big one. Only 8 players this week. I may aswell note the draw : Allen/Ding Carter/K.Wilson --------------------- Selby/Day Murphy/Milkins I'll keep this simple because in my opinion you can rule out half the field atleast. Allen isn't playing well enough and whilst I think Carter is playing the best of the top half, he doesn't have a good record against Kyren or Ding. I hate betting on Kyren Wilson but I think he plays Ding in the semi-final and I reckon over a longer match format that Kyren gets through to the final. I still think he will lose to Murphy though. I didn't fancy Murphy last week because he just wants to play in-front of a crowd. He will want to go into the Worlds in good form. 4pts Murphy to win Tour Championship 7/2 bet365 2pts e/w K.Wilson to win Tour Championship 13/2 betvictor

Dylan Frittelli 160/1 bet365 ew 10 places 1/7 odds - This price looks big considering he was 100/1 last year, in 3 attempts at the course he has always made the cut and came 8th last year. Recent form includes a couple of top 30s.

With the decision of BET365 to only offer BOG from 8am on the day of the race I think it is worth discussing the impact this has on the Naps Competition. I think this now means that none of the bookies that we use offer BOG the night before racing. I think it is important that the competition is as realistic as possible. A suggestion is that if the nap is chosen before 9am then BOG does not apply. If after 9am then BOG does apply. Comments ?

Doubles. 3.15.Ling. Alta Comedia 6/1 unpl 7.00. Wolv. Jilly Cooper 5/1 singles & double stk.6.00 rtn 118.00. Double. 4.00. Winc. Rewired 3/1 unpl 8.30. Wolv. Win Win Power 3/1 stk.6.00 rtn 53.00. Good luck all.

RESULTS UPDATE The boy came good again at 22/1 ?. It seems absolutely crackers on paper that Billy Loughnane should lose on Daheer at 100/30 joint fav and win on Clipsham Gold at 20/1 but that is what happened. Likewise, Oisin Murphy winning on May Knight at 4/1 and losing on Pessoa at 15/8 favourite. Yet that happened too. This fortunate bit was betting on the non-favorite of the star Jockey and apprentice. Not many jockeys win much more than over 20% of their races in a season so I feel it makes good financial sense to look out for and back their rides at good prices. One winner in the L15 gave me 3 winners and a profit of 8.39 points. This makes my MTD +52.51 and YTD -42.76 This is all well and good but I have slapped my wrist because I spent too many points on my races today. I should have staked less on some races and excluded some selections. I wouldn't have missed the 3 winners anyway as I love my top jockeys and of course Billy the kid

Not convinced Ireland will score (France on a 4 game clean sheet run in qualification games). Did consider adding in <5 goals as the final part but gone for France to win/Mbappe to score/Griezmann SoT at 2/1. Had my 56p on so I've got some skin in the game!

ps no need to show off just because you can get such stratospheric stakes on!

Yep, tonight's match is REP OF IRELAND v FRANCE France, BTTS and over3 goals is 9/2

6PM Wolverhampton THEREHEGOES Win COLEYS KOKO Each way Outsiders with a chance. Coleys koko Having second run for yard and has won off much higher. Reunited with regular jockey. Therehegoes Drops in trip and won off higher horse he beat now a regular class three runner. Tiny combination tricast Battle point Janaat Coleys koko Therehegoes

Waleyfa Win Lingfield 2.15 Placed all but one run when with Owen Burrows. Best performance runner up to an 80 rated rival in a class four maiden. Never outside four and five class. Campaigned in class six handicaps for second yard. Drops into classifieds for first time on debut for Alice Haynes. Halved in ratings and price now. Good chance.

Day 5 Lingfield 2.15 Chloellie 25/1 4pl Lingfield 2.45 David's Gift 9/1 4pl Lingfield 4.15 Ummsuquaim 10/1 Lingfield 4.45 Midgetonamission 9/1 potential returns £3,960.62

Winc 300 Bermeo 19/2 ewx 4pl bet365 £10 ew.

Not much opportunity to post but here is a list of newcomers. Hopefully I'm not breaking any copyright ©️ as I've cut and pasted it from an internet search of " list of runners having first run for new trainer." Today's Change In Trainer List Race Horse Trainer CWin% CA/E CROI% LTO Trainer LTORace LTOPos 1:45L Forward Flight(IRE) Kevin Philippart De Foy 18.6% 0.97 2.2% A King Hcap 11 2:15L Showdiemlad(IRE) Mrs L Richards 0.0% 0.00 -100.0% * Robyn Brisland Clsfd Stks 5 2:15L Waleyfa Alice Haynes 12.8% 0.89 41.0% Robert Stephens Hcap 10 2:45L Wildfell(IRE) P W Chapple-Hyam 33.3% 1.68 -8.3% * K A Ryan Hcap 5 3:15L Rechercher George Baker 4.5% 0.53 -50.0% * R M Beckett Hcap 4 4:15L Ummsuquaim(USA) Miss J S Davis 0.0% 0.00 -100.0% * Jean-Rene Auvray Hcap 10 5:30W Melody Cher J Butler 9.0% 0.89 54.5% Sir Michael Stoute Hcap 5 6:30W Ocean Ridge S Durack 10.5% 1.48 -42.7% * C Appleby Mdn Stks 9

First match today/tonight is Allen taking on Ding. Ding comes into this after winning the 6-red tournament ofcourse but the bet on him today isn't so much because of that. He beat Bingham, Ford and Un Nooh to win that event so it doesn't twinkle in the sky of achievements. However, Allen isn't playing very well right now and I think Ding should probably be favourite in this one. Perhaps Allen turns it around over the longer format and if he does then he would probably make the final. But, you can only go with what you've seen 5pts Ding to beat Allen 11/10 bet365

Lingfield. 3.15. Alta Comedia 6/1 coral win. Good luck all.

2 winners and a small loss of 33p

The easiest way and fairest way is to do away with the BOG and if you take an early price then thats your price. Or you take SP. You need the option to take an early price, as a punter, in my opinion. But if B.0.G is being done away with, then so too should the BOG in the competition. I think the caveat that McClarke makes about allowing BOG after 9am, just makes extra work for him, checking on times etc

Bianca Vanessa Andreescu to beat (-1.5 sets) Sonya Kenin at 2.32 with Unibet I'm on Bianca tonight because she's been quite reasonable with her game this week and it seems to work for here. I even think she's won Miami before in 2019 or if it was Indian Wells, don't remember but anyway she's got 3 straight 2-0 victories in this matchup. I know Kenin has some connections to Miami being there already at 6 years old and being walked around by Kim Clijsters and saying hello to Andy Roddick. She also wanted to get a haircut at the venue as she told Kim but that was another story. However Bianca is ranked 32 right now and Kenin has made progress with her game but she even lost 2-0 before to Bianca in Miami and the other two times was in Toronto and a smaller ITF. Kenin isn't there yet to challenge Bianca who did well enough by taking out Sakkari to be able to take out Sonya in straights again. So I think this 2.32 price should be taken. Depending on how the match evolves there might be some higher odds to come by in-play but I'm just not gonna sit and wait for that to happen. BTW doesn't Andreescu sound romanian? Varvara Gracheva to beat (-1.5 sets) Magdalena Frech at 1.94 with Unibet Varvara has it in her to progress further in this tournament. I don't expect her to win by numbers like 6-2 again because Ons Jabeur is playing much worse than Magdalena is right now. Ons just isn't top 10 quality anymore, not even top 50 to be honest. Varvara however is going forward and has the game to keep playing good enough again to get by Magdalena in straights. Magdalena had some difficulties for a set with Erika Andreeva and it doesn't look good ahead of this matchup so it's gonna be very risky to go against Varvara in this match, even going for Magdalena to take a set could be highly risky. I might be reluctant to take Varvara to cover -4.5 games handicap because like I've said I can't expect Magdalena to play as bad as Ons did and being completely run over tonight since I think there is a chance she'll cover 4.5 games. Even if it gets tight with some tie-break Varvara hasn't shown anything lately suggesting that she would lose a breaker to her polish counterpart. What Varvara does on court now is equal to an inform player in the top 30. Double at 4.50 with Unibet Surely should be other bookies like Pinnacle or so outthere offering slightly improved price so go for other bookies if you guys like but I'm gonna stick with my bookie on this one. I don't even like Pinnacle that much because of their turnover requirement of 3 times the deposit. Back this tonight and it might give a chance for a happy day.

Exeter 3.52 COOLVALLA 7/1 £10 EW SKY 4 places SP I think I'm in a competition with @Trotter to see who can make the biggest loss ! Currently -£202.26 Good job @Nigwilliam's profits are covering our losses

This year’s Grand National is three weeks away and I thought it would be worthwhile to have an early look at the race. Obviously we’ve no idea what the ground will be although nowadays with the welfare of the horse very much in mind it’s very unlikely to ride too fast unlike when Mr Frisk was breaking the course record back in 1990 on firm ground would you believe. Here’s a synopsis on each of the 57 horses remaining in the contest although obviously only 40 can actually run. ANY SECOND NOW Has been placed in the last two renewals, 3rd in 2021 and runner up last year to Noble Yeats. Prepped, like last year, by winning the Webster Cup at Navan over 2m 4F in March. A pound higher than last year so is 18lb better off for 2 1/4L with last year’s winner Noble Yeats. Carries a big weight but looks sure to be thereabouts for JP McManus. T M Walsh 11-12 NOBLE YEATS Ran out a 50/1 winner of this race last year. Has taken a further step forward since over park fences winning at Wexford and here in the Many Clouds Chase. Not disgraced when 4th in the Cheltenham Gold Cup beaten 15L by Galopin Des Champs last time. Plenty going for him in in his attempt to back up last season’s win although is now 19lb higher in the weights. Emmet Mullins 11-11 GALVIN Touch of class about him who has some decent wins on his CV. Took well to the Cross Country fences at Cheltenham last time when getting the worst of the battle with stable mate Delta Work going down by 2 1/2L. Extra 6F to travel here but appeals as an out and out stayer. Gordon Elliott 11-11 ROYALE PAGAILLE Rich Ricci’s mud lover has plenty of ability and was last seen when running 6th in the Cheltenham Gold Cup. Yet to race beyond 3m 2f although looks likely to stay further. Key to him is the ground, he must have it as soft as possible and could only really be fancied if we have a soft ground Grand National. Venetia Williams 11-8 ENVOI ALLEN Has bounced back to form this season winning the Ladbrokes Champion Chase in November and following a poor run in the King George VI Chase the Ryanair at the Cheltenham Festival. Escapes a penalty for that latest win which was gained over 2m 4 1/2f and has his stamina to prove stepping up a mile and a quarter. Henry De Bromhead 11-8 FURY ROAD Placed in two grade one chases in Ireland this season prior to a credible 6th in the Ryanair under Davy Russell. Has yet to race beyond three miles and is another who has stamina to prove. One of several Gigginstown Stud entries here and has a touch of class about him. Gordon Elliott 11-6 THE BIG DOG Irish raider who took his form up a notch when winning the Munster National at Limerick and Troytown Handicap Chase at Navan at the backend of last year. Was still in there battling when falling two out in the Irish Gold Cup at Leopardstown at the Dublin Racing Festival won by Galopin Des Champs and with his handicap mark unmoved is an interesting outsider. Peter Fahey 11-5 CAPODANNO Lightly raced over fences having only raced six times. Was a decent novice chaser last season winning the big grade one 3M novice chase at the Punchestown Festival in April. Only seen the once since when 3rd of 4 in the Red Mills Chase at Gowran Park in February and untried beyond three miles. One of six runners in race owned by legendary owner/punter J P McManus. W P Mullins 11-5 DELTA WORK Former smart chaser who mostly plies his trade in the Cross Country races at Cheltenham nowadays. Won the last two renewals of the Cross Country race at the Cheltenham Festival over 3M 6F. Was third in this race last season ( beaten 22L by Noble Yeats) and is a pound lower now so twenty pounds better off with the winner. Versatile and can play a hand in the finish. Gordon Elliott 11-4 SAM BROWN Ran out a 15L winner of a handicap chase at the meeting last year over the Mildmay fences but yet to sparkle this season including when reverting to hurdles last time at Uttoxeter. Needs soft ground to be seen at his best and stamina to prove (though does shape like he will stay long distances.) Anthony Honeyball 11-4 LIFETIME AMBITION Smart second season chaser who has yet to race beyond three miles. Was 4th in the Grand Sefton last November over these fences and not totally disgraced in four starts since including when reverting to hurdles at Thurles last time when 3rd of 5 to Summerville Boy. Mrs Jessie Harrington 11-3 CAREFULLY SELECTED Smart novice chaser back in season 2019/2020 and following a lengthy absence of over a thousand days bounced back with a win in the Thyestes Handicap Chase at Gowran Park in January off of a mark of 147. Slightly disappointing when only 4th in the Bobbyjo Chase a month at Fairyhouse. Has stamina to prove. W P Mullins 11-1 COKO BEACH 50/1 chance when 8th (beaten 66L) in last year’s renewal. Jumped well when winning Punchestown’s Gran National Trial in February by 5 1/2L but has been re-assessed and will have to race off of a 3lb higher mark than last year. Bidding to become the fourth grey to win this famous race and first since Neptune Collonges won in 2012. Gordon Elliott 11-0 LONGHOUSE POET A winner over hurdles at Limerick and fences at Down Royal this season. Ran in last year’s race finishing 6th having disputed the lead two from home eventually coming home some 34L behind the winner Noble Yeats. Trainer won this race back in 2006 with Numbertenvalverde. Martin Brassil 11-0 GAILLARD DU MESNIL A possibly fortunate winner of the 3M 6F NH Chase at Cheltenham in March with Mahler Mission falling two out when in command. Goes unpenalised for that win but did have a hard race with his trainer stating afterwards that they would have get him home and see how he comes out of that race. If allowed to run would be a serious player. W P Mullins 11-0 DARASSO Another J P McManus owned contender. Has mixed chasing with hurdling this season winning over the bigger obstacles at Thurles last December. Yet to race beyond three miles so has a definite question mark over his ability to stay this far and his owner appears to have better claims with others here. Joseph O’Brien 10-13 HAPPYGOLUCKY Has won three of his eight career starts over fences with his biggest win coming at this meeting two years ago over the regulation fences in the Betway Handicap Chase. Wasn’t seen again for 595 days and has plenty to prove now following two disappointing efforts in valuable handicaps at Cheltenham. Yet to run beyond 3M 1F and yet another with stamina to prove for trainer who won this race with Mr Frisk way back in 1990. Kim Bailey 10-11 LE MILOS Appears to have improved for a stable switch to Dan Skelton. Winning at Bangor and the valuable Coral Gold Cup at Newbury. Traded at 1.01 when coasting home at Kelso in the listed Premier Chase over just short of 3M only to be caught on the run in by Empire Steel. Stamina could be an issue if the way he stopped there is anything to go by. Dan Skelton 10-11 THE SHUNTER Ten year old who mixes fences and hurdles and has definite stamina doubts having never run beyond 3M. Owned by J P McManus and ran third at Kelso last time behind Le Milos. Has a bit to prove and his best days may be behind him nowadays. Owner has more credible candidates. Emmet Mullins 10-11 QUICK WAVE Stays very well and arrives in good form having won two of his last three starts latterly over 3M 4F in Haydock’s Grand National Trail Handicap Chase by 3/4L from Snow Leopardess. Ten years old now but will be staying on when most have called enough. Suited by soft conditions so any rain will suit. Trainer took this with 100/1 shot Mon Mome in 2009. Venetia Williams 10-11 ESCARIA TEN Went off 25/1 for race last season only to weaken quickly two from home eventually finishing 9th beaten some 75L. Shown little since including when pulling up in Plate Handicap at Cheltenham Festival in March. Hard to fancy much especially the way he weakened last year. Gordon Elliott 10-10 THE BIG BREAKAWAY Has run well on his first two starts this season especially when a 1 1/4L runner up in the Coral Welsh National last December. Trip looks likely to suit so could run well at a price although was very disappointing last time out pulling up in the Ultima Handicap Chase at Cheltenham. Joe Tizzard 10-10 CAPE GENTLEMAN Lightly raced Irish chaser who’s only run the eight times over fences. Joined current trainer from Emmet Mullins in December 2022 and only run the twice since when not showing that much in handicap hurdle and conditions chase. Yet to race beyond three miles and unlikely to be troubling the judge. John Joseph Hanlon 10-8 ROI MAGE Eleven year old Irish chaser who’s won 9 of his 51 career starts. Came back to form at Down Royal last time when 1 1/4L runner up to Longhouse Poet. Appears to stay well but an outsider who at his advancing age is hard to fancy to play a part in the finish. Patrick Griffin 10-8 DIOL KER Owned by Gigginstown Stud this 9 year old Irish chaser should stay well. Best recent effort came when runner up in the Paddy Power Handicap Chase at Leopardstown over Christmas, only going down by the shortest of heads. Soundly beaten since in the Punchestown Grand National Trial but will be staying on when others have cried enough. Noel Meade 10-8 A WAVE OF THE SEA Yet to race beyond three miles and stamina could be big issue here. More hit than miss this season and was last seen when a 50/1 shot and pulling up at Cheltenham in the two mile Grand Annual. Impossible to fancy so look elsewhere for the winner. Joseph O’Brien 10-6 MINELLA TRUMP Prolific winner in Northern chases winning 8 of his 12 starts over the larger obstacles at up to three miles. Not been seen since last June and has quite an absence to overcome. At the right end of the weights mind and will love good Spring ground. Has beaten some decent chasers in his run of wins and is trained by Red Rum’s trainer Ginger McCain’s son Donald who took this himself with Ballabriggs in 2011. Donald McCain 10-6 VANILLIER A second season novice who’s kept good company this season and looked back to his very best when chasing home the 12lb superior Kemboy in the Bobbyjo Chase at Fairyhouse in February giving that one 8lb. The handicapper appears to have ignored that run and in his best form holds decent each way claims. Gavin Cromwell 10-6 VELVET ELVIS Relatively lightly raced over fences having taken his form to a new level on his last two starts, winning over 3M at Fairyhouse and running last year’s runner up Any Second Now to 7L at Navan recently. Hard to believe he can turn the tables with that one mind but should stay ok (6th in last season’s Irish National). Thomas Gibney 10-6 AIN’T THAT A SHAME Yet to race beyond three miles in his ten race career though appears to stay that trip well as was runner up in the Munster National at Limerick last October. Dropped in trip when running out a comfortable winner over 2M 4F at Gowran Park recently and arrives here in fine form. Only lightly raced and may have further improvement to come for trainer who won race in 2021. Henry De Bromhead 10-5 CORACH RAMBLER Current favourite following his winning defence of the Ultima Handicap Chase at the Cheltenham Festival. Unpenalised here so is 10lb ahead of his handicap mark and if staying looks sure to be thereabouts. Ran 4th beaten 19L in last season’s Classic Chase over 3m 5F which is the furthest he’s tried. A major player for his Scottish handler who took this in 2017 with One For Arthur. Lucinda Russell 10-5 ENJOY D’ALLEN Another J P McManus owned, Irish trained runner. Only made it as far as the first when unseating his rider in last year’s race when a 20/1 chance. Shown precious little in three chases and two hurdle contests since and is hard to fancy that much. CIaran Murphy 10-5 MR INCREDIBLE A lightly raced seven year old who will be having only his tenth career start if facing the starter. Placed in two valuable handicap chases this season including when third in the Kim Muir at Cheltenham last time. This longer trip may suit though is a very quirky type who if taking to the unique fences could outrun his big odds. W P Mullins 10-4 CLOUDY GLEN Races in the colours of the late Trevor Hemmings who’s won this prestigious contest a record three times. Winner of the 2021 Ladbroke Trophy at Newbury but lightly raced since and hard to fancy on his latest effort when pulling up in the Ultima Handicap Chase at Cheltenham won by Corach Rambler. Venetia Williams 10-4 GIN ON LIME One of five entries for Henry De Bromhead who won the 2021 National with Minella Times. A decent novice chaser last season winning five times. Yet to really cut any ice this season in three outings and has stamina to prove (yet to race over further than three miles) Henry De Bromhead 10-4 MISTER COFFEY His esteemed trainer has yet to win a National of any sorts but has each way claims here with his 8 year old who was a good second in handicap at Uttoxeter in February over 3M. Wasn’t disgraced when third in NH Chase at Cheltenham over 6F further and should stay this marathon trip very well. Nicky Henderson 10-4 BATTLEOVERDOYEN A winner of 5 of his 27 starts over fences but it’s been a while since he last won (July 2021 and 15 runs). No evidence that he will stay this far and it’s easy to overlook this rank outsider. Gordon Elliott 10-4 HILL SIXTEEN Trained in Scotland. Last seen when running seventh over these fences to rival Ashtown Lad back in December beaten 14L. Had run better in same race the previous year when going down by a nose and with that track experience is capable of running alright if seeing out the longer trip. Sandy Thomson 10-2 GABBY CROSS Another of the five Henry De Bromhead trained runners this one owned by R S Brookhouse. A winner at the Galway Festival last July he’s kept valuable handicap company this season with no success. Yet to race beyond three miles so has to prove his stamina here. Henry De Bromhead 10-2 RECITE A PRAYER Has experience of these unique fences when running twelfth in the Becher Chase here in December beaten a long way at 20/1 also beaten far in the valuable Paddy Power Chase at Leopardstown over Christmas and despite connections this eight year old is impossible to fancy. W P Mullins 10-1 EVA’S OSKAR An out and out stayer who won at Cheltenham last December over 3 1/4M. Ran a credible 20L 4th in Eider Chase last time over 4M 1 1/2 F. Trained in Wales and a big outsider here though will be plugging on when others have had enough. Tim Vaughan 10-1 OUR POWER 6lb well in here having no penalty for his latest win which came at Kempton in February. A winner of 4 of his 8 chases and is a progressive 8 year old in good hands who if getting a run could be a very lively outsider although another who has his stamina to prove (yet to race beyond 3M). Sam Thomas 10-0 DUNBOYNE Another of the Elliott battalion who steps up to a marathon trip for the first time here. Arrives in decent enough form having been placed in valuable 3M 1F handicaps at Gowran Park and Cheltenham. Best form on soft ground so any rain would be a big help. Very unlikely to give Elliott his third National win Gordon Elliott 10-0 FRANCKY DU BERLAIS 6 wins from 26 starts over fences for this ten year old trained in Wales. Last won at Uttoxeter a year ago. Not shown much this season and refused last in Cheltenham’s Cross Country race at the Festival when a well beaten off third. Hard to fancy this long shot. Peter Bowen 10-0 FORTESCUE A winner of 6 of his 18 chases and appears to stay this trip. Best run this year when 4th in Becher Chase to Ashtown Lad last December. Only 28/1 last year in this race when unseating his rider four from home when looking well beaten. A long shot who is hard to fancy. Henry Daly 9-13 BACK ON THE LASH Has been running predominately over the Cheltenham Cross Country fences for the past two years winning twice in handicap company over 3M 6F. Pulled up in the latest renewal of that race in March where his trainer stated his horse hated the soft ground. Hard to fancy and needs the rain to stay away. Martin Keighley 9-13 DEFI BLEU Another of the Gordon Elliott/ Gigginstown battalion who’s best ever runs have come over the furthest distances he’s run over when runner up in the Cork Grand National last November and third in the Punchestown Grand National Trial in February. Todays trip could well suit and one of the better big outsiders if making the cut. Gordon Elliott 9-12 MILAN NATIVE You have to go back eleven starts and 30 months to find the ten year olds last success. Won the Kim Muir at the Cheltenham Festival in 2020 and well treated here on that run but looks a former shade of that horse nowadays and a no hoper. Gordon Elliott 9-10 PUNITIVE Won the 3M 5F Porterstown Handicap Chase at Fairyhouse last December looking a true stayer although has run moderately in two starts since, pulling up at Cheltenham in the Kim Muir when a 40/1 chance. May well stay but Gordon Elliot has others with much better chances than this 9 year old. Gordon Elliott 9-10 GEVREY Did well at Cheltenham last time when finishing fourth at 125/1 beaten only 5 1/4L in the Plate Handicap Chase over 2 1/2M. Has raced predominately at that intermediate trip throughout his career and the massive step up to 4M 2 1/2F here is not certain to suit this big outsider. Gordon Elliott 9-10 BORN BY THE SEA Just 2 wins from 19 starts over fences in his career and this Irish trained 9 year old also has stamina to prove. Soundly beaten all four starts this season and impossible to give any chance too. Paul Gilligan 9-10 FAKIERA Lightly raced Irish chaser who’s yet to win over fences in ten starts. Runner up over 3m 5F in Porterstown Handicap Chase at Fairyhouse last December was his best run this season. 50/1 chance when pulling up in NH Chase at Cheltenham Festivalon latest start. Unlikely to break his maiden over fences here. Gordon Elliott 9-8 MORTAL Last won over fences back in August 2020 and has gone 17 races since visiting the winners enclosure. Eleven year old now and unlikely to make the final field. Gordon Elliott 9-8 CAPTAIN KANGAROO Winner of the Cork Grand National last November but this eight year old Irish chaser has lost his form completely since and pulled up in the Midlands Grand National in March. Unseated at 9th on only taste of these unique fences in the Becher Chase last November and is unlikely to make the final field. W P Mullins 9-8 DARRENS HOPE Irish mare who won a grade two chase at Punchestown last November beating Minella Crooner at 20/1. That was over 2M 6F and has yet to try distances beyond 3M so stamina could be an issue here. Looking to become the first mare since Nickel Coin in 1951 to win the Grand National though is highly unlikely. Robert Murphy 9-8 CAPTAIN CATTISTOCK Ten year old gelding who has won 5 of his 20 starts over fences and stays very well. Was runner up in the Edinburgh National at Musselburgh when last seen in February, a race he won the previous year. No doubt he stays well but unlikely to get into the final field. Fergal O’Brien 9-5 SECRET REPRIEVE Former dual winner of the Welsh Grand National. Appears to have lost his form though and was last seen pulling up in the Midlands Grand National at Uttoxeter in March. A doughty stayer trained in Wales who’s best on very soft ground although unlikely to make the final field. Evan Williams 9-5 FANTASTIKAS It’s been a while since he’s shown any real form and although he’s very well handicapped over park fences is likely to be way out of the handicap proper if making the final field which looks slim. Very hard to fancy and a big outsider. Nigel Twiston Davies 9-5 Summary:- Corach Rambler can race off of the same mark that he won the Ultima Handicap Chase at Cheltenham and is the right favourite as he is 10lb well in here although he does still have to prove his stamina (ran 4th beaten 20L in the 3M 5F Classic Chase last season which is the furthest he’s ever run over). Placed in the last two Nationals Any Second Now looks sure to be thereabouts although will have to shoulder top weight in the absence of Hewick. Last year’s winner Noble Yeats ran well in the Gold Cup and is another possible although he is some 19lb higher this year and I would prefer the Cheltenham Cross Country winner Delta Work who ran third last year beaten 22L and is now 20lb better off with Noble Yeats. Willie Mullins’ second season novice Gaillard Du Mesnil had a tough race in winning the NH Chase at Cheltenham possibly fortuitously and has yet to be confirmed a definite runner. My shortlist comprises of the aforementioned Delta Work, Vanillier who ran well behind Kemboy in the Bobbyjo Chase at Fairyhouse last time and looks well treated and The Big Dog. The latter is a very interesting runner trained in Ireland by Peter Fahey. He’s looked an improved performer this season winning valuable staying chases at Limerick and Navan prior to a credible third in the Welsh Grand National. He was actually mixing it with the Gold Cup winner Galopin Des Champs in the Irish Gold Cup last time when falling two out when bang in contention. He surely wouldn’t have troubled the winner that day but could easily have hit the frame which would of been a hell of a effort. His trainer has reported since that he’s fine after the fall https://www.racingfactors.com/news/article/the-big-dog-impresses-fahey-with-racecourse-school___01gty9caxv66r4wrg29sf0g684 and they will doing extensive schooling from now on in. To be fair he’s usually a sound jumper and had never fallen before in his career under rules. His best form appears to be on soft ground so the more juice in the ground the better. An out and out stayer who’s in top form this season he’s worth backing now each way with the firms who are paying five places at the general 25/1. THE BIG DOG 1 point each way @ 25/1 William Hill, Betfred, bet365 1/5th 12345

19:00 Wolverhampton— Murbih 16/1 William Hill

Bet 29 won. Next stake £763.59

@Fader I think you can be cool.. Ding's gonna win.

8pm. Daheer win Multiple course and distance winner. Jockey on board whose claim puts him right up there with the added bonus that he follows trainer's instructions to the letter. Down to a winning mark and will hopefully go very close with Billy Lochnane among the winners.

Bet 59. £ Austria v Estonia @ 1.03.

Bet 100 (0-0 89)

Tsitsipas 1.25 Tiafoe 1.4 FAA 1.22 Pegula 1.2 Rybakina 1.22 These should come in, don't you think?

Wincanton 1.30 Brentford Hope Needs to win this to prolong his hurdles career. He really ought to win this well and needs to but has been second all runs over hurdles. Gone to Harry Dereham and although everything is in his favour, it may be he has a few ideas of his own. Last year's winning yard give another run to Ventara who fell latest when the entire field were taken off their feet by Matterhorn. Ventura hadn't been traveling at all badly when coming down at the seventh. VENTURA Each way The jockey Brendan Powell has ridden Brentford Hope before and presumably knows him better than most and this can only help Ventura here.....

Job done bank @ £20.03 ☑️ Attempts 51 Double ups won 23 Thread bank -£50.00

Wincanton 3.30 STAMINA CHARGE £20 win BSP

Back playing on the ggs £2 EW on this lot pays 4 places £20 staked Meng Tian Winner @ 18/1 Lingfield 13:45 Forward Flight @ 25/1 Lingfield 13:45 - Winner Semser Winner @ 28/1 Lingfield 13:45 Star Of Cotai Winner @ 22/1 Lingfield 14:45 Ricardo Ofworthing Winner @ 33/1 Lingfield 14:45

I would agree with this I do remember back when the Naps comp was SP only when I joined the forum ... it was very annoying if you'd plucked out a 10/1 shot and it got backed into 6/1 and won ....... surely looking for 'the value bet' is part of being a punter But I'd be OK with scrapping BOG ..... if you take a price then you should be happy with that price. If you're not happy with the price, look for a different bet If you think your selection might drift then opt for SP If we're getting to the point where BOG is dependant on which bookmaker and what time of day it's just getting too fiddly ...... just scrap it !

A potentially appropriate Nap given the week aheads forecast. Wincanton 4.30 - Whenitrainsitpours Ken

Only an occasional participant but I agree entirely, had exactly the same thought when I first saw the thread. No bog is more realistic as most punters will have had it withdrawn by some of the firms. It’s the same for all and easier on the admin. I get the argument for SP only. You could at least make the case for no overnight prices (it’s considered bad practice for tipping services to claim an impressive return based on grabbing early prices that don’t last and that punters struggle to get much on) but as long as it’s a level playing field in the competition it seems fair enough. No reason that someone who grabs a great looking early price should have the bonus of getting SP if it wins after drifting though. Better that someone else who went SP is rewarded for their judgement.

Wincanton. Double. 2.30. Thellasthighking 4/1 5/1 1st 5.00. Noble Savage 4/1 unpl singles & double Good luck all

Good price boosts ? Fontainebleau today , 13/8 out to 7/4 , wow , whoopee doo ! & the 25% is mostly when I've had it since Cheltenham available on long shots for me probably dependent on individual algorithmic betting patterns.

Tricky one. I hate to say this and trust me i do hate to say it but the only totally fair way i see is to use SP only like they do on the SL naps table. The reason i say this is because the way things are going, we might be back here next month if/when they do away with BOG altogether. I am open to other suggestions.

Yep, would only have been evens. It would have been succesful in each of the last 3 matches and would have produced a profit of £197. The most profitable option would be the over 2 goals option, this would have produced a profit of £224 despite today's loss.

Most winners @Johnrobertsonseems to be playing a waiting game

Bet 28 won. Next stake £727.93

Atlanta-Memphis Date: 26.03.2023. Sport: NBA Start time: 00:00 cet Pick: MEM -2 @1.95 Bookmaker: Pinnacle Stake:1 unit Schedule: adv MEM Teamnews: neutral, if Hunter will play (Adams out, Clarke out, Williams out / Hunter quest, Johnson out) Model: MEM 4.1 243.2 Robo number: MEM 4.5 244 Final number: MEM 4.5 244- Hunter in; MEM 6 245- Hunter out Picks: MEM -2 @1.95 (min price MEM -3 @1.95) Comment: Memphis without Williams (support player), Clarke (bench player, 5+ games out) and Adams (starter, out 5+ games). Hawks without Johnson (bench player, out 5 games). Hunter (starter, one game out) is questionable for Hawks. Date Home Away SchTPts SchHC SugTPts adjTPts SugHC 26/03/2023 Atlanta Memphis 243.2 -4.1 241.4 243.2 -2.6

3-35 Carlisle uptown harry 14/1 365 ew

Looks like you are still in with a good chance as all your main challengers lost today. The only bummer is that you dropped a point. It is quite easy to select horses that are at very short odds and have an excellent chance of winning ?. All you have to do is check through the races with short-priced favourites and make a note of all the horses that are at least 10 points clear of all other rivals in the RPR ratings. Obviously, one would exclude any race with some un-raced so-called wonder horse that is supposed to win by a country mile. I checked today and found that in the 2.15 Sed Forcing Bull 1/3 was rated 125 v 99 RPR won by 12 lengths and in the 4.45 Lud Tightenrourbelts 30/100 126 v 112 RPR won by 18 lengths. Further, @gbettle had a formula that he published here for short-priced horses in accumulators which seemed to work quite well. I'll try and find it for you if you are interested. I hope that @gbettleis OK as I haven't seen him make any posts for a while. I hope this helps