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It’s the first time over the Grand National fences this season this weekend with the feature race being the 2M 5F Grand Sefton Handicap Chase and with the five day entries out tomorrow lunchtime I think there’s a bit of value to be had with the David Pipe trained King Turgeon. He’s currently 13lb out of the handicap but with a 7lb penalty for his very easy victory at Chepstow last week will be only 6lb wrong at present. That may also change if some of the top weights defect over the next two declaration stages. The six-year-old jumped superbly when winning last week over 3M 2F under Harry Cobden, coasting home to the tune of ten lengths. That was his first run since a wind operation and creeping in off of bottom weight can run a big race. He likes to front run and hopefully his slick jumping will be suited to this shorter trip on hopefully decent ground. I do know that he has schooled well over the purpose built National fences at Pipe’s base in Somerset and although this is a big step up from his last win he looks great each way value at 25/1 with MGM Bet. He’s beginning to ‘blue’ up today so I recommend an each way bet before tomorrow’s declaration stage. KING TURGEON 1 point each way @ 25/1 BetMGM 1/4 1234

Sunday ratings. 12.48 Carlisle. Uncle bert.143.9/2 Malitita. 141.9/2. 2.18 Carlisle. Dunnet Head.143.8/1 Bingoo.138.14/1. Dunnet Head was 18,s with bet Victor, bked it ,had my dinner.then was 7/2. Still 8,s with bet.365.will put it up as 8,s. 3.18. Carlisle. Flower of Scotland. 146.33/1. Houston texas. 140. 8/1. 2pts win 1pt e.way. 1/2"point r.f.c. I've done some x doubles and trebles,see if can hit a nice payout.

I'm at work but thought I'd have a go at the Irish national race for a bit of fun on a quiet day ...form and class Sir bob 501 total 1263 16/1 Positive thinker. 406 total 1255 9/1 Saint Dona. 497 total 1208 Outside the door. 488 total 1207 Tough race ... Questions over distance and sir bob is 12 yo ....that's a negative but has a cushion in class and form if there's life in the old dog lol ....I think I'll keep stakes small and try 3pt Ew top two just to get involved ......good luck if you play the race 😀

2.18 Carlisle My Bobby Dazzler 44.05 7/1 Castle Rushen 41.9 10/1 won Punta Del Esce 40.15 3/1 3rd Bingo 38.8 14/1 15.23 Carlisle Iron Bridge 50 13/2 3rd Snipe 46.35 10/3 2nd Universal Folly 44.6 11/2 4th Flower Of Scotland 44.4 28/1 Those are my ratings for Carlisle. There’s also a horse that is standing out at a big price in the 2.53 listed chase at Carlisle. The favourite Galia Des Literuex is the hot favourite and the class horse but is running way short of her optimum trip and is coming off a long break. La Domaniale is a grade 3 winner and is 18/1 with distance and fitness on his side . There’s also some unexposed types running in this small field but have been running in lower class races.

Unlucky not to win i thought it had it in the photo.

Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers, Today 21:25 Over 23 - DET Alternative Points 4 1.57 Dallas Cowboys @ Atlanta Falcons, Today 18:00 Over 0.5 - Dak Prescott Total Interceptions 1.67 Bet information Stake: £5.55 Returns: £14.53 WH

Not on Falcon Eight today at the curragh bud? I think it has a Squeak 28/1 4places with skybet looks big although it is a listed race. Have had a few Shillings e/w on Casanova 80/1 5places in the 2.25. The cork national has cut up quite a bit i'm on Streets of Doyen who is a bit hit and miss but if on a going day would outrun its odds 20/1 only 3 places which is a shame

I think I agree tbh although sir bob is top I think positive thinker is more likely to run his race ....but you never know ....I presume sir bob has been aimed at this so it's whether they have him fit and ready 🤔(probably last and last but one now 🤣🤣)

It ran against 4 other stablemates & such a furore made about it & 1,500 spectators turned up , people fall for it . Shame in my opinion the best & most improved flat trainer this season R Beckett didn't have a runner their & poor old Owen Burrows trains a winner ridden by Dettori for Shadwell only to be told the horse is now moving Stateside , a kick in the teeth but , there's no money in UK flat racing , it's just a Heritage event nowadays fancy ex Kings & Queens names etc...

@1945harry takes over the lead with 14/1 Ascot winner Our Champ, also selected by another Harry, @Harry_Faint99

Sir Bob 3 15Cork 1/40th of a pt ew 20/1 -N/R Falcon Eight 3 35Craa 1/4o th of a pt ew 28/1

Very very difficult to rate because of lots of unknowns .....can't say I have a degree of confidence as a result but I've input as much as I can and computer has rated Onesmoothioperator. 1215 9.6 Land legend. 1200 18.0 Okita sushi. 1189 5 PT wins top 2 for a bit of fun 😊

1st. + £70. Nov. + £30

And later on; at Arizona Swift at 5/4 at Green Bay Gibbs at 2.1, Doubs 3.42 and Wicks 5.8

Bets in the 6:00 games: at Atlanta Elliott 29/10, not active so hopefully voided! at Cincinnati Bowers 12/5, Brown 5/6 doubled with Kamara 8/13 at Carolina at Cleveland Dobbins at evens, McConkey 5/2 and Jeudy 11/4 at Tennessee Pollard at evens, Stevenson at 6/4 at Carolina just Kamara in the double mentioned above at NYG Robinson 16/5

been under the weather with bad migraine Ted and had a few sheckles ew on him Bbut forgot to put it up ! good luck them Ted 👍

Streets Of Doyen certainly has the back class . He jumped out at me also but yeah it’s not the greatest looking national race.

Three Anytime Touchdown Scorer I have played this week are: Gone with @harry_rag in the L.A. Chargers game with Ladd McConkey Also gone with Gibbs with Harry again in the Detroit Lions game. And finally gone with De'von Achane for Miami in the Bills vs Dolphins game.

I found this quite hard to rate . Sir Bob and Positive thinker were in my top 3 along with Jumping Jet . My preference is for the latter because of the ground which probably won’t suit the other two and Sir Bob is 12 now and hasn’t had a prep run but we’ll see . Some unexposed types in here which are hard to rate.

3.23 Carlisle: Snipe @ 4/1 (WHill)

Permed your top 3 in the 205 and 315 with Chianti Classico and 2 others in the big race . 3 times 3 times 3 = 27 i point trebles . Took prices winning treble paid 340 points on price taken . Thanks very much , your ratings are superb .

Result: Smoken 1st. Won £27.50 November profit to date £7.50

Won Profit +£130 Month +£150

The Melbourne Cup is always one of my favourite races of the year and I've got a pretty good punting record in the race as well. I did miss out last year, but this year I have already put up the winner of the Caulfield Cup at 18/1 and the winner of the Cox Plate at 9/2 so we are well in profit for the Spring. Lots of UK and Irish interest not just with the horses currently trained here but there are plenty who used to be trained here. Here are my thoughts on the race Vauban - Was a big disappointment in the race last year only finishing 14th. Willie Mullins thinks that he was undercooked having not run since the start of August as they were trying to protect his handicap mark. In an effort to get him up to speed they gave him a strong gallop just before the race and Mullins thinks that is where he left his race. Whatever happened he didn't find anything when asked for an effort. This year he was 2nd in the Yorkshire Cup, 4th in the Gold Cup when he didn't stay, 3rd in the Curragh Cup, 1st in the Lonsdale Cup and then 2nd in the Irish St Leger. That means he has had 2 races more recently than he had last year. Stall 11 looks ideal and Buick should be able to get a nice position. Clearly has a leading chance. Buckaroo - This horse has massively improved this prep and is a much better horse than when trained by Joseph O'Brien. He come over here a year ago and was 7th in the King Charles III and 5th in the Champions Stakes before transferring to Chris Waller. There was a bit of promise in his runs in the Autumn which included a 3rd in the Ranvet Stakes. This prep though he has been top class. He won the Chelmsford Stakes over 1600m, then landed the Underwood Stakes over 1700m before only going down a head in the Turnbull to Via Sistina. That is clearly top class form given what she did in the Cox Plate. He then ran a stormer in the Caulfield Cup as he had got shuffled back and was 14th for most of the way, 13th at the 800m market and 8th with 400m to go. The winner was away and gone by this point, but he put a clear margin between himself and the rest of the field. The 2400m trip that day is the furthest he has gone in a race, but he clearly was doing some great work at the finish and if his trainer thinks he can run 3200m then I am not doubting him. I also wonder if part of the reason for not running Via Sistina was because he knows this horse has a superb chance. Stall 21 could have been a bit better, but that means he has drifted in the betting and for me he is the best horse in the race. Circle Of Fire - Another former UK trained runner who I put up to win the G2 Chairmans and G1 Sydney Cup in April. The Sydney Cup doesn't always work out that well regarding this race, but I initially thought that he could possibly be one to buck that trend (Makybe Diva the last to win both 20 years ago). The fact we know he stays is important, but I wanted to see more from him in the Caulfield Cup which I thought was just an average run. He settled in 10th and finished 10th which pretty much sums the run up. The other thing to add to the mix is he's drawn in 24 so all in all I can't have him as he just doesn't look in near the level he showed in the Autumn. Warp Speed - He was another horse that I was looking to perform well at Caulfield with a view for this race which looks on paper a much more suitable test. I thought there was no promise at all in the run though as he finished in 13th. The only thing to note is the track was a Soft 6 and that wouldn't have been ideal so he will get his ground here. We know he stays so that helps, but overall he wouldn't be for me. Kovalica - Been a long time since he last got his head in front and that came in the Queensland Derby in May 23. He's run the odd good race since, but I think this prep he looks to have improved. First up he was 3rd in a G2 over 1400m, then he was 4th in the G1 Epsom, before being the best of the swoopers in the G2 Hill Stakes. It was slightly surprising to see him go to the Cox Plate next, but whilst he clearly was never going to win I thought it was a promising effort in the circumstances. He's never been over this far, but he looks like he will stay and is capable of running a bold race for Chris Waller. Sharp 'N' Smart - Come over from New Zeland and 4 starts back was running over 1200m! Did win the NZ Derby though, 2nd in the Victoria Derby and was 4th in the Australian Derby. Didn't show a great deal when 13th in the Turnbull and then grinded into 3rd place in the Moonee Valley Cup last time. I suspect he will stay 3200m, but hard to think he has the class to win this. Just Fine - Ex Stoute horse who won the Group 1 Metropolitan at Randwick last September. His next win came a month ago in the G3 Bart Cummings over 2520m which is the furthest trip he has won over. Got a very good ride from the front that day to make all and things didn't go anywhere near as well in the MV Cup last time where he finished last. Bit odd why he ran in that as he was already in the race and going to be hard to make all here. Land Legend - Landed the St Leger over 2600m a year ago so you would think this trip should be fine. This prep he landed the Metropolitan over 2400m at Randwick just beating Zardozi, but he finished in front of that one in the Caulfield Cup last time when finishing 3rd. That was a solid effort, but unless Buckaroo doesn't stay I can't see him reversing that form, but he is one with some sort of chance of hitting the frame. Absurde - Looked the winner last year for a fair way of the home straight before fading into 7th. It was still a very good run though and after going back hurdling and landing the County Hurdle at Cheltenham it has been all about getting him ready for a repeat bid. He was well beaten in the Irish St Leger, but there was plenty to like in his Chester Stakes win at the end of August. I love the booking of Kerrin McEvoy who has a great record in this race and I think he has a superb chance. He also gets to carry 0.5kg less than last year. Athabascan - Ex-French horse who finished a good 2nd in the Sydney Cup in April. Had various things against him in his first 3 starts this prep, but then landed the G3 St Leger at Randwick a couple of weeks ago. That was over 2600m and it did suggest that he could be ready to peak here. May not be quite good enough, but he is coming into this race in better form than the Sydney Cup winner. Will no doubt look to get a decent pitch from stall 2 and wouldn't be a total no hoper. Knight's Choice - 16th in the Turnbull, 14th in the Caulfield Cup and then 5th behind Sea King in the Bendigo Cup where it was a fair run, but all those runs sum up his remote chance for me. Okita Soushi - Plugged on into 11th last in the race last year having been at the back for most of the race when trained by Joseph O'Brien. Wasn't seen again until the end of August and the first 2 runs of the prep were nothing special. He then found his form to finish 2nd in the G2 Herbert Power at Caulfield over 2400m and then he landed the MV Cup in decent enough style beating former Derby winner Serpentine into 2nd. Could be peaking at the right time, but my main thought is the MV Cup isn't the right form race. Onesmoothoperator - Won the Northumberland Plate in June and was a solid enough 7th in the Ebor 2 months later. Most of his runs have been on the AW and his first ever turf victory was in the Geelong Cup. It was some performance as well as he beat Interpretation with ease. There are two ways of looking at that form. Interpretation was 6th in this last year so to beat him so easily was a good effort, or you look at Interpretations form since that 6th and think it didn't take much to beat a pretty weak field. It's probably somewhere between the 2, but I just find it hard to back a horse for the Melbourne Cup who is nearly 8 and who had a fair bit to find prior to Geelong. Obviously we know he stays and I think it would be going to far to say he can't win, but I think his price is unders now so I can't be backing him. Zardozi - James Cummings is the grandson of Bart who is the winning most trainer of this race and he was never afraid to run one on the Saturday of the Carnival and James has done just that with this horse. She was one of my picks for the Caulfield Cup after finishing 2nd to Land Legend in the Metropolitain and she ran a solid race at Caulfield to finish 4th. She won the Oaks a year ago over 2500m and is yet to run beyond that trip so stamina is a slight concern, but what really caught my eye was her run on Saturday in the G1 Empire Rose over 1600m. She was in the back pair for most of the way and was still 11th at the 400m marker, but then she just sliced her way through the field without seemingly to even be trying that hard and she ended up finishing 5th beaten 2.5L. That looked an ideal pipe opener for Tuesday and if she stays she could play a big part off a low weight. Sea King - If you are backing him then you will be hoping Hollie gives him a better ride than she did Bradsell at Del Mar on Saturday! He was one place in front of Onesmoothoperator in the Ebor when trained by Sir Mark Prescott. He bolted up in the Benidgo Cup last week, but that isn't usually the form need to win this. I just struggle to see a horse who was beaten in the Bell-Ringer at Ripon in July can then go and win the Melbourne Cup. Will need a fair bit of luck from stall 1 as well . Valiant King - Was 6th in the Caulfield Cup when trained by Joseph O'Brien last year and was 9th in the race this year now trained by Chris Waler. It was an OK run, but his only win came in a Navan maiden and stall 22 makes his life even harder. Fancy Man - Won at Eagle Farm over 2400m last October, but then bombed out in the MV Cup on his next start. Then wasn't seen until September when 5th and then was 3rd in the Herbert Power. Caulfield Cup run was OK in 6th, but he hasn't shown much in the 2 times he's been further than 2400m and doesn't look good enough. Interpretation - Ran a huge race in this last year as a 40/1 shot when finishing 6th and was blocked in the run as well. Has been steadily improving this prep and was 2nd to Onesmoothoperator in the Geelong Cup. Not sure he's going to improve on that 6th though. Manzoice - Won the 2022 Victoria Derby, but has only been placed 3 times in 15 starts since. Was 14th in the Sydney Cup, 10th in the Bart Cummings and 7th in the MV Cup and looks to have a very tough task on his hands. Saint George - Ex Andrew Balding trained horse who should stay given he won over 2800m at Doncaster and then finished 2nd in the Queens Vase. That was in 2023 and he didn't run from Newmarket's July meeting that year until the final day of August this year. The first two efforts were solid enough, but he was then disappointing in the Bart Cummings when only 9th. He was then 5th in the MV Cup last time where again he rain OK. I'd imagine he was purchased with this race in mind, but I'm just nor sure he's going quite well enough at the moment and it could be one to keep an eye on for next year's race. The Map - Won the Andrew Ramsden over 2800m here in May which was a win and your in race for this. Given the fact she was already certain of a spot you would imagine she has been trained to peak for it even so I would have liked to have seen a bit more from her this prep. She was 5th in the Herbert Power and 6th in the Geelong Cup. Might be capable of running a decent race and is 2 from 3 at Flemington. Trust In You - The last one in and connections will be pleased the vets ruled some of the other runners out! The New Zealand raider was 6th in the Auckland Cup and is a G3 winner over 2400m. Last 2 runs have been solid enough being 4th behind Land Legend in the Metropolitan and 4th behind Athabascan in the St Leger. Struggle to see him being good enough. Verdict - Vauban, Buckaroo, Kovalica, Absurde and Zardozi are the ones that interest me the most as being possible winners. There are obviously a few form lines through the MV Cup and the Geelong Cup, but I'm not sure they are the right pieces of form and if they happen to be then I've got it wrong. I think Buckaroo is the best horse in the race as his form is rock solid coming into this. Obviously the unknown is if he will stay or not, but I am happy to take a chance that it will and that his turn of foot is going to better than anything else in the race. If he doesn't quite see out the trip then Absurde is the 2nd pick. He looked the winner last year until just fading in the last 200m. He looks primed to run a better race this time around and could become the first horse to win the County Hurdle and Melbourne Cup (yes that famous double!). Strictly speaking Zardozi wouldn't be an obvious one to reverse the Caulfield Cup form with Buckaroo or Land Legend, but I get the feeling that was part of the plan and that run on Saturday looked huge to me so she is the 3rd pick. Kovalica is the 4th pick as he might well have been crying to get back out to a trip that puts more of an emphasize on stamina and the Cox Plate run was solid. Vauban is the one that misses out, but if he went and won it wouldn't surprise. 1st Buckaroo @ 5/1 with Bet365, William Hill and Betfred 2nd Absurde @ 8/1 with Betfair and Paddy Power 3rd Zardozi e/w @ 12/1 with Betfred 4th Kovalic e/w @ 20/1 with Betfair, Paddy Power, Bet365 and Betfred (5 places)

Just one winner today at 15/2. Very annoying that there was a non-runner in the L15 bet which meant instead of collecting 1.17 I only received 0.90 because I missed out on the triple payout fro a single winner. 0.90 from total stakes of 3.00 meant a loss of -2.10. My balances C/fwd are L15's -129.57 and RC P/L incl L15's is -184.25.

Good effort Cake. A lot of young unexposed players learning their trade on the Challenge Tour, so to identify a true contender in Rasmus is something to be applauded. DPWT action returns next week with the Abu Dhabi Championship.

Positive ..2nd ...Ew money

Houston texas non runner. Replace with jet legs 14/1

Today's NAP: 1:18 Carlisle Bill Joyce @1.80 William Hill Best regards!

Luton profit £42.47, Wolverhampton profit £24.73 3 from 7, + £ 137.17 I'm quite liking BBs again Unless stated all bets will be for 1-1 or 2-2 SUTTON UNITED 27/5 £2 free bet MAN UTD 23/5 £10 + 25%

Thanks, and no worries, the no show allowance is there for this reason.

Free £2 Bet builder with SBK on the Sutton vs Birmingham FA Cup game gone with the following: First half goals: Under 0.5 Total Match goals: Under 1.5 Double Chance: Draw or Birmingham Odds of 6.8 when I did this yesterday.

Curragh 4.10 Jetara William Hill 6/4

Definitely agree with you there AOB has a luxury of talent at his disposal. I find it hard to take to him as a trainer because of that reason alone but I also recognise he’s very good at his job and has an excellent main jockey in Ryan Moore . I think City Of Troy is a very good horse but one of the greats ? Nah not a chance .

Curragh 15.35 £20 Hamish @1/1 bet365

1.25 Curragh: Zephron @ 10/1 E/W (WHill)

here:s one i picked think i called it good boy and bad boy good luck what ever you do

+£6 today 5 winners 3 on one 2 on the other -£146 day 242

A tough month to qualify with 30 points of profit

To be honest Chris i'm not sure he is that good form and times are average for the races he has run in its always same sh*t different day with O'brien. Think about how many he runs in each race each year and compare that to Appleby, Whos the genius?

Never believe the BS that comes out of that Coolmore lot. Best horse he ever trained? i think he has said those words every year for the last ten.

Happy Monday’s dancer hosts new Chinese cookery show perhaps?

do think he'll run a big race richard { had my card marked about him couple weeks ago for this race }

Standings for the shortlist heading into the final day are - T1 Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen - T5 Hamish Brown - T24 Brandon Robinson-Thompson Rasmus with a 1 shot lead - biggest danger is Ayora 1 behind and Reitan 3 behind

Our champ wins in a photo .....returns 130.00

System selections (all odds in decimal format)

Two bets for me today

2 from 3 yesterday for a 4 point profit Current loss 2.30 points COURSE TIME SELECTION ODDS BOOKMAKER Newmarket 2.17 Waiting All Night 4.50 BETFAIR Newmarket 3.27 Bolster 2.10 LADBROKES Newmarket 4.00 Madame De Sevigne 2.75 BETFAIR

2 out of 2 for a nice start to the month/weekend. 3 games priced up by the spreads so far so I've fired the opening salvos for Sunday. at Cleveland 5/2 McConkey looks good (14.3% edge and 52.5 on the ratings) and evens for Dobbins as well (top rated at 53 with an edge of 5.7%). at Giants 10/3 for Wan'Dale Robinson offers an improbable sounding 27.6% edge and comes in at 58.5 on the ratings. Daniels offers a 6.9% edge but isn't quite rated highly enough to be a bet. at Green Bay Gibbs is rated at 57.3 and offers a 10% edge even at 10/11. At odds against on the exchange that looks a solid pick. Doubs a bet at 11/5 (54.4 and a 17.5% edge) and Wicks is off the charts at 9/2 ( 71.5 and a 55.9% edge). Again, you may eke out a bit more on the exchange. See how those prices move nearer the games (and when Lads bother to price up) but, with so many games, I need to get ahead of things a bit.

Eintracht Frankfurt 1.33 Leeds 1.18 £300 Double