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Turned a big corner in my operation recovery today ....feeling much more myself so getting stuck into big races ......I've been very impressed with the class form rating so I've rated the ayr bronze cup using it and it flagged 3 horses Monsieur Kodi 347 16/1 Vince lamour 336 16/1 Havana rum. 336 16/1 Trilby 327 Top 3 are quite a bit ahead of 4th and rest of field and hail from all powerful Fahey and easterby stables who do well in this race .....on top of that strangely they are all three drawn together on the high rail so if the ratings holds they can all drag each other along with the rail to help ......I'll try 5pt wins all 3 with forecasts

4.25.yarm.folio 102. 6/1 Amazonian dream. 99. 11/2. 2pts win on both. 1/2 point e.way r.f.c.

One to watch ......... Galveston, a two million guinea Frankel colt makes his debut for AoB in the 5,40, a 2yo 7f maiden race, at Naas Over 2 million quid for a racehorse ........ sounds like a hell of a gamble. There's a long list of million quid + horses who flop on the track Snaafi Dancer anyone ? Snaafi Dancer was the first horse to go for over 10 million dollars at auction 40 years ago (over 30 million in current values) He never raced. It was reported that he was so slow in training that it would have been embarrassing to run him in public. He was retired to stud duty where he was discovered to have fertility problems. From two years of breeding, he sired only four foals, three of which raced with very limited success. Just think how many lottery tickets you could have bought with that 10 million dollars !

I had the same two horses with my class rating but didn't get time to post it up ...I've backed them today too ...I really thought the forecast had a good chance 😔 it finished 5th

Result: Eternal Sunshine 1st. Won £20 September profit to date £14.86

3.42 Ayr. Bust a move 132. 22/1 Bennetot. 107. 6/1. 1point e.way 1/2 point r.f.c

Folio goes in,5,s and 6,s available all morning.

Tomorrow, the next event, this time in Hungary. Last year, Chizzy won an epic final against Humphries. I went with Chisnall 26 and Wright 29. I think they are both viable candidates, in good form too. They are on the same side of the bracket, but I hope one of them manages to get to the final. Good news: NO LITTLER!

233 PONTY APACHE GREEN 12/1 BET365

Might i suggest not picking the odds and go back to picking the horse? If you pick say 4 viable horses out in a day then just put the biggest price one on the naps comp.

Won Day Profit +£60 Month Return -£100

6.50 Tramore Mabel in May ( each way ) 8/1 William Hill

Marching Mac 14:20 Brighton 14/1 bet365 Each way

Ayr 1.15 The first of nine races covered by ITV is this class 2 1M handicap which features a maximum field of fourteen runners. It looks a wide open affair with top weight Mirsky for the David O’Meara stable bringing a decent piece of form to the stable which a last time out runner up (beaten 1/2L) in the Clipper Handicap at York won by Thunder Run. He’s 2lb higher now and may struggle to confirm the form with Andrew Balding’s Aragon Castle who was 1 3/4L back in sixth and is now 2lb better off. One of only two three-year-olds in the race he may still have further improvement to come and with P J McDonald in the saddle can reward an each way wager. There are many others with claims however including last year’s winner Revich who’s now 7lb lower in the ratings. ARAGON CASTLE 1/2 point each way @ 7/1 bet365 1/5th 1234 Newbury 1.30 The Dubai International Airport World Trophy Stakes is a Group 3 contest run over 5F which has attracted a field of eleven runners. The best in at the weights and a good 8lb and more ahead of his field is the Mick Appleby trained Annaf who was denied a clear run in the Haydock Sprint Cup last time out trailing in 15th of the 16 runners. I’m not entirely sure this Grade 2 7F winner wants a drop back to the minimum trip and is opposable. With a band of rain forecast the ground could easily ride on the slow side and that will be music to the ears of connections of the Rod Millman trained Adaay In Devon who’s been on the go since the first day of the season at Doncaster in March but appears to keep her form remarkably well. Her ideal conditions are 5F on soft ground and having run well on her last two starts on fast ground should appreciate stepping back on an easier terrain today. She looks good each way value under Silvestre De Sousa. ADAAY IN DEVON 1 point each way @ 5/1 bet365 1/5th 1234 Ayr 1.50 The Doonside Cup is a listed contest run over 1M 2F and has attracted a field of nine this year. Joint best in here on official ratings is the Ricard Hannon trained three-year-old Persico who holds the Group 1 Champion Stakes entry at Ascot next month. He should run well but I’m not sure drying ground is his favoured ground conditions so pass him over in favour of the penalised Phantom Flight. George Scott’s five-year-old carries a 3lb penalty for winning a listed contest on his first run for the stable back in July and has run well twice since in Group 3 company. Runner up last time out to See The Fire in the Strensall Stakes at York when he had the re-opposing Roger Varian runner Enfjaar 2 1/2L behind in sixth. The latter is now 3lb better off and can get closer especially as he had a wide trip that day but may just struggle to make up all of the ground on the selection. PHANTOM FLIGHT 1 point win @ 11/4 Betfred Newbury 2.05 A valuable class 2 1M 5 1/2F handicap has attracted fifteen runners and a very worthy favourite in the David Menuisier trained Waxing Gibbous who certainly won’t mind if the rain hits the Berkshire track. The four-year-old filly stepped up his form when moving up to 1M 6F in the valuable handicap the Old Borough Cup Handicap at Haydock earlier this month when going down by just a neck to Epic Poet. This will only be her eighth career start and may have further improvement in her. Shes fairly berthed in stall 8 and should be highly competitive with the Andrew Balding runner Lieber Power looking a likely threat . WAXING GIBBOUS 1 point win @ 4/1 bet365 Ayr 2.25 The first of the two 6F cavalry charges today is the Virgin Bet Silver Cup Handicap which features 23 runners. One horse stands out here to me and that’s the six timer seeking Craig Lidster trained Alfa Kellenic. The three-year-old filly has been a revelation this season rising some 23lb since starting her run and her recent victory at York over 7F has been boosted since by the 2nd and 4th finishing 2nd and 3rd in a Group 3 since. That victory came off of a mark of 88 and taking today’s jockey William Pyle’s 3lb claim into account is now only 2lb higher and should appreciate stepping back to 6F. The ex Archie Watson runner Rhythm N Hooves is interesting having his first run for sprint specialist Robert Cowell but this is all about Alfa Kellenic who it would be no shock were he to be well backed exiting from stall 22. ALFA KELLENIC 1 point each way @ 11/2 Quinnbet 1/5th 12345 Newbury 2.40 Eleven run in this valuable class 2 1M 2F handicap. Any easing in the ground is maybe against the likes of Flying Frontier and Quietness who are close to the head of the market and there may well be some each way value to be found in the shape of the Harry Eustace trained Mustazeed who always seems to run well at the Berkshire track with form figures here which read 01148. The David Probert ridden six-year-old is due to run at the track on Friday so may not be a certain runner but if he does run he’s worth a saver bet for sure. The main bet though is the Simon &b Ed Crisford trained three-year-old Involvement who was two necks behind the re-opposing Flying Frontier at Sandown last time and can turn that form around on 2lb better terms. He also has form on soft ground so may not mind were things to get muddy. INVOLVEMENT 1 point ew @ 9/2 bet365 1/5th 1234 MUSTAZEED 1/2 point each way @ 20/1 bet365 1/5th 1234 Ayr 3.00 Thirteen have declared for the Group 3 Firth Of Clyde Stakes run over 6F for two-year-old fillies. Arguably the form horse is the George Boughey trained Englemere, a winner in listed company and 4th in a Group 3 last time but she has yet to try this distance and it may be worth chancing one of those stepping up in class. William Haggas saddles his Newbury maiden winner Sky Majesty (runner up won in the week) and should be thereabouts along with the Henry De Bromhead trained Town And Country who was last seen winning a maiden at Navan from the 90 rated Snapdragon. Of the pair I prefer the former who is owned by Tony Bloom and can take this step up in grade in her stride under Callum Rodriquez. SKY MAJESTY 1 point each way @ 9/2 Betfred 1/5th 1234 Newbury 3.15 A field of ten have declared for the Group 2 Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes run over 6F for two-year-olds. Richard Fahey’s Powerful Glory looked smart when landing a gamble on his debut at Pontefract winning by an easy 5 1/2L with his trainer saying all the right things about him afterwards and nominating this race as a target. That was on good to firm ground though with Fahey staying he is ‘a very fast horse’. I just wonder if rain softened ground will suit and prefer the more established form line of the Group 2 Gimcrack Stakes from York in which Charlie Appleby’s Shadow Of Light had a head in front of Adrian Keatley’s subsequent winner Symbol Of Strength. There shouldn’t be much between them with slight preference for the former who will be ridden by William Buick. Closely related to heavy ground Group 1 winner Earthlight he may not be inconvenienced by the likely easier ground so is the pick. SHADOW OF LIGHT 1 point win @ 11/4 William Hill Ayr 3.35 The day’s feature handicap is the Virgin Bet Ayr Gold Cup Handicap run over 6F with a maximum field of 25. As you would expect there are many with chances including last weekend’s gambled on Portland Handicap winner American Affair who should appreciate stepping up half a furlong but does have to race off of a handicap mark 5lb higher. The one that takes my eye is the David Evans trained six-year-old Rohaan who was seventh in this last year from a modest draw only beaten 1 3/4L and returns off of a handicap mark 8lb lower. He bounced back to form with a credible third at Ascot last time out under today’s jockey Tom Queally and looks a very well handicapped at present as three of his handicap victories have come from a significantly higher handicap mark. Theres a lot to like and if drawn on the right side (he’s in stall 8 next to front runner Sergeant Wilko) can run a big race. ROHAAN 1 point each way @ 12/1 bet365 1/5th 123456

ahamoment 523 ayer 14/1 bet365

@MCLARKE This one was a loser . 😀

Gracious Leader 5:00 Yarmouth (4/1 Skybet). Hopefully too good for this lot back on turf for new trainer. *****NON RUNNER*****

Lost Month: -£120

I really fancied folio today m8,and saw money coming for amazonian dream last night.but drifted out this morning.f.cast would of been the cherry on top ,but will take the win.as my other rated race,selection came stone last. And was well ahead on my ratings,but was coming off a break.which can affect its rating big time.

Chelmsford 7.00 DASHIING DONKEY £20 win BSP

HELLOO FOLKS !!! 3.20 yarmouth - galactic charm 8/1 ew

He says that a lot 😂

1 pt win Off Spin 15/2 William Hill 2.12 Ayr

312 a Classy Clarets 11/1 €20 win

448 AYR NEVER BETTER 6/4 BET 365

2.42 Ayr: Frank the Spark @ 11/4 (WHill)

Ayr 15.12 £20 Eternal Sunshine @1/1 bet365

4.48 Ayr: Mysteryofthesand @ 17/2 E/W (Bet365)

16.30 Naas Mykonian Odyssey 13/2 coral

we always want more as in oliver twist film( there one for the teenagers) and its better to stick with the devil you know than the devil you don't keep up the good work and good luck

Day 203 -£40.50

Day 12 -£40 4.25 Yarmouth Inishfallen 16/1 £10 e/w bet365

English Football, new to betting - so looking for what others are doing

Tottenham and both teams to score at 3.40 with MGM for me this evening - can't see much else that appeals.

Lost. 8th. &. 6th

@Mclarke This was a loser . Thx

Got it so I will just use Lads as it was part of the screenshot. Thx once again.

you cannot win them all as long you show a profit over the season you done well as you get a good price for your bet you do not need many to show a good profit like last week keep it up

That is the danger of going for the big priced winners, there will inevitably be long losing runs. I adopted a similar process a while back for the naps comp but got fed up with all the losers so I went back to my previous method which usually ends up with selections in low single figures. At the end of the month I may have a punt on a longer priced selection. I am unlikely to win the naps competition with this approach very often but I am more interested in winning the annual comp, I think this is the true test of ability.

6pm Newcastle Different Drum ( each way ) 11/1 Bet 365

I have one bet for tonight in the FA Cup which I actually hope loses, but there is value to be had so with my betting hat on I have to take it. Gloucester were 2 up on Saturday against Gosport, but they got 2 goals fairly late on to send the game to a replay. It was no more than they deserved either as Gloucester look tired in the 2nd half. Having watched the 2nd Gosport goal where they just passed it around with little effort made to get the ball off them. Gloucester had two injuries to key players during the game as well and with the squad already suffering on that front they have barely 11 fit players and the bench is going to be very bare. Last Tuesday against Hungerford Gloucester also tired badly in 2nd half and were very fortunate to pick up the 3 points and another game is the last thing they need. Given our record in the FA Cup I would love nothing more than a run to the 1st round again, but with 11/4 on offer the away side are value to face Oxford City in the next round. Gosport 1pt @ 11/4 with Betfred and Skybet (If you happen to have a Star Sports account they are 31/10 and take up to 2/1)

You bet, couldn’t hit a barn door on Saturday Diamond Ranger 15.12 Windsor 13/2 Bet365 - EW King of the Jungle 15.50 Thirsk 8/1 BetVictor - EW Light Dragoon 16.00 Worcester 4/1 BetVictor RES Midnights Dream 16.20 Thirsk 7/4 Bet365

Aston Villa @ 1.50 Derby @ 2.45 RB Leipzig @ 1.50 10 treble

Aston Villa (1) @ 1.5 Walsall v Bradford - Over 2.5 @ 1.85 Gladbach v Stuttgart - Over 2.5 @1.44 treble - 20 points

ARSENAL ( 2 ) 2.30 BLACKPOOL ( 1 ) 1.67 10 point win double 👍

Well think of it this way, The bookie wants you to cash out. They even offer you the last 2 legs as non runners (sarcasm).

It's hard to look past Manchester City or Arsenal again this season. Liverpool will be in a period of transition after Jurgen Klopp's departure, Chelsea are all over the place again when they could've had consistency if they kept Mauricio Pochettino, and Manchester United just still feel like they are some way off competing yet. I'll probably put a bet on Arsenal just because they are better value and it feels like they are still progressing in the right direction. Where as City have got a few players who either look a bit aged or not quite where they were with their motivation levels.

7.00 Chelmsford Twitch (7/2 Bet365)