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Showing content with the highest reputation on 03/25/2023 in all areas
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Racing chat-Saturday 25th March
azzybear and 6 others reacted to Wildgarden for a topic
Looks favs day at Bangor with Hughes in control all to bsp 123 so elegant 308 jungle jack 343 rock hauley 418 methodtothemadness 453 ballybawn Not that excited about Newbury 205 heltenham / ridersonthe storm ew 425 not available/ family business7 points -
Done the speed figures for Meydan. Couple of additional thoughts 1) Andre Fabre is a genius, 2) Do not underestimate the Japanese horses they are race fit. but here we go.... 1205 golden goal 132 bathrat leon 129 prince eiji 128 1240 quickthorn 142 (wow). i like enemy but 2m is a big question so will pass subjectivist is a danger if it is back to where it was before injury. Addition- given my perceived weakness (quickthorn excluded now backed into 8/1) of this race i have an update, the German raider Sisfahan is a dark horse to consider, breeding says should stay the trip and at 50/1 must be worth a sheckle or two. and a r/fc with Quickthorn 115 al suhail (never won at the trip) 132. san donato 131 danyah 130 150 too hard to rate 225 switzerland 127 310 lord north 139 nations pride 135 master of the seas 133 400 botanik 134 rebel romance 130 shahryah 127 435 panthalasa 133 (won the saudi cup) 9/1 is an insulting price algiers 130.7 points
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6 points
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Four i have picked today Lingfield 1:45 - Pablo Prince 6/1 Lingfield 2:55 - Erosion Risk 11/4 Lingfield 4:40 - Mashaan 3/1 Wolverhampton- 5:30 - You Saw Brigadoon 3/1 How long would you guys trial a method/system until it's failed? This is the first time trying anything like this, it has not gone well ?6 points
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Racing chat-Saturday 25th March
azzybear and 5 others reacted to richard-westwood for a topic
I kept looking at that horse tbh ....but then I said is he really an 8f horse ??....he looks more a 6f horse to me ?6 points -
Racing chat-Saturday 25th March
azzybear and 4 others reacted to Nigwilliam for a topic
I'm with Richard, Curr 325 Current Option 25/1 ew skybet 7pl5 points -
Racing chat-Saturday 25th March
azzybear and 4 others reacted to Wildgarden for a topic
Lingfield aw to bsp 330 kiwano 440 mashan / triggered 515 hit mac5 points -
Racing chat-Saturday 25th March
azzybear and 4 others reacted to Wildgarden for a topic
Kelso to bsp 335 hill station 410 caithness 445 bolingerandkrug5 points -
Yes this was my only offput, but with such a tricky race I've stuck with my gut, looking forward to the race regardless ? good luck on your selections I am going to have a little e/w on those5 points
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Racing chat-Saturday 25th March
azzybear and 4 others reacted to Tedthewolf for a topic
Irish Lincoln 1pt e/w CARRYTHEONE 16/1 6p bog. .5 e/w LAELAPS 40/1 bog 6p 1pt win 5.00 NB SAINT XAIER 8/1 bog --- 0.5 RFC saint xaier-chirico vallis 1pt e/w 3,35 Kelso MIGHTY THUNDER 12/1 bog 7pts Invested P/L + 30.825 points -
Newbury. 4.25. Moonlighter 5/1 unpl stk 5.00 rtn 30.00. Good luck all.5 points
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Racing chat-Saturday 25th March
azzybear and 3 others reacted to richard-westwood for a topic
Curragh irish lincoln Current option 8.9 25/1 Cosmic vega 8.7 14/1 Mashoor 8.4 25/1 Very very difficult race ....no degree of certainty here as its,as wide open as you'd imagine ....but good prices so I'll try 5pt ew top 3 and Hope lady luck lends a hand ✋4 points -
4 points
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Curragh 3.25. Saltostall 20/1 2nd just pipped bugger / Big Gossey 33/1 unpl. both ew. Good luck all.4 points
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Patent. 2.20. Ling. Charitable 16/1 unpl. 5.30. Wolv. Blue Yonder 7/2 8.00.Wolv. My Boy Jack 2/1 nr singles & double stk 3.50. rtn 215.50. Good luck all.4 points
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Double. 4.00. Meydan. Westover 7/1 unpl 7.00. Wolv. Verbier 10/3 1st singles & double stk 6.00 rtn 94.00. Good luck all.4 points
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Good luck on this one Richard I'm going with No More Porter at 12/14 points
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4:18 Bangor. Feuille De Lune (5/2 Bet365). Backed her last time when she was 3rd at Huntingdon, ran slightly free but on reflection it was decent effort. Will give her another chance here back in mare's company and back up to 3m. Backed into fav but probably too exuberant again ?4 points
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Racing chat-Saturday 25th March
azzybear and 3 others reacted to Tedthewolf for a topic
0,1pt e/w bet 365 bog = 3pt +P/L 37.82 pts Mogwli @ 10/1 Curragh 17:37 - Winner 5 - 1/ 5 0 Carrytheone @ 16/1 Curragh 15:25 - Winner 6 - 1/ 5 Chilean @ 33/1 Curragh 17:07 - Winner 5 - 1/ 5 0 Destined To Shine @ 6/1 Newbury 16:25 - Winner4 points -
2023 Grand National (Aintree April 15th)
alexcaruso808 and 2 others reacted to The Brigadier for a topic
This year’s Grand National is three weeks away and I thought it would be worthwhile to have an early look at the race. Obviously we’ve no idea what the ground will be although nowadays with the welfare of the horse very much in mind it’s very unlikely to ride too fast unlike when Mr Frisk was breaking the course record back in 1990 on firm ground would you believe. Here’s a synopsis on each of the 57 horses remaining in the contest although obviously only 40 can actually run. ANY SECOND NOW Has been placed in the last two renewals, 3rd in 2021 and runner up last year to Noble Yeats. Prepped, like last year, by winning the Webster Cup at Navan over 2m 4F in March. A pound higher than last year so is 18lb better off for 2 1/4L with last year’s winner Noble Yeats. Carries a big weight but looks sure to be thereabouts for JP McManus. T M Walsh 11-12 NOBLE YEATS Ran out a 50/1 winner of this race last year. Has taken a further step forward since over park fences winning at Wexford and here in the Many Clouds Chase. Not disgraced when 4th in the Cheltenham Gold Cup beaten 15L by Galopin Des Champs last time. Plenty going for him in in his attempt to back up last season’s win although is now 19lb higher in the weights. Emmet Mullins 11-11 GALVIN Touch of class about him who has some decent wins on his CV. Took well to the Cross Country fences at Cheltenham last time when getting the worst of the battle with stable mate Delta Work going down by 2 1/2L. Extra 6F to travel here but appeals as an out and out stayer. Gordon Elliott 11-11 ROYALE PAGAILLE Rich Ricci’s mud lover has plenty of ability and was last seen when running 6th in the Cheltenham Gold Cup. Yet to race beyond 3m 2f although looks likely to stay further. Key to him is the ground, he must have it as soft as possible and could only really be fancied if we have a soft ground Grand National. Venetia Williams 11-8 ENVOI ALLEN Has bounced back to form this season winning the Ladbrokes Champion Chase in November and following a poor run in the King George VI Chase the Ryanair at the Cheltenham Festival. Escapes a penalty for that latest win which was gained over 2m 4 1/2f and has his stamina to prove stepping up a mile and a quarter. Henry De Bromhead 11-8 FURY ROAD Placed in two grade one chases in Ireland this season prior to a credible 6th in the Ryanair under Davy Russell. Has yet to race beyond three miles and is another who has stamina to prove. One of several Gigginstown Stud entries here and has a touch of class about him. Gordon Elliott 11-6 THE BIG DOG Irish raider who took his form up a notch when winning the Munster National at Limerick and Troytown Handicap Chase at Navan at the backend of last year. Was still in there battling when falling two out in the Irish Gold Cup at Leopardstown at the Dublin Racing Festival won by Galopin Des Champs and with his handicap mark unmoved is an interesting outsider. Peter Fahey 11-5 CAPODANNO Lightly raced over fences having only raced six times. Was a decent novice chaser last season winning the big grade one 3M novice chase at the Punchestown Festival in April. Only seen the once since when 3rd of 4 in the Red Mills Chase at Gowran Park in February and untried beyond three miles. One of six runners in race owned by legendary owner/punter J P McManus. W P Mullins 11-5 DELTA WORK Former smart chaser who mostly plies his trade in the Cross Country races at Cheltenham nowadays. Won the last two renewals of the Cross Country race at the Cheltenham Festival over 3M 6F. Was third in this race last season ( beaten 22L by Noble Yeats) and is a pound lower now so twenty pounds better off with the winner. Versatile and can play a hand in the finish. Gordon Elliott 11-4 SAM BROWN Ran out a 15L winner of a handicap chase at the meeting last year over the Mildmay fences but yet to sparkle this season including when reverting to hurdles last time at Uttoxeter. Needs soft ground to be seen at his best and stamina to prove (though does shape like he will stay long distances.) Anthony Honeyball 11-4 LIFETIME AMBITION Smart second season chaser who has yet to race beyond three miles. Was 4th in the Grand Sefton last November over these fences and not totally disgraced in four starts since including when reverting to hurdles at Thurles last time when 3rd of 5 to Summerville Boy. Mrs Jessie Harrington 11-3 CAREFULLY SELECTED Smart novice chaser back in season 2019/2020 and following a lengthy absence of over a thousand days bounced back with a win in the Thyestes Handicap Chase at Gowran Park in January off of a mark of 147. Slightly disappointing when only 4th in the Bobbyjo Chase a month at Fairyhouse. Has stamina to prove. W P Mullins 11-1 COKO BEACH 50/1 chance when 8th (beaten 66L) in last year’s renewal. Jumped well when winning Punchestown’s Gran National Trial in February by 5 1/2L but has been re-assessed and will have to race off of a 3lb higher mark than last year. Bidding to become the fourth grey to win this famous race and first since Neptune Collonges won in 2012. Gordon Elliott 11-0 LONGHOUSE POET A winner over hurdles at Limerick and fences at Down Royal this season. Ran in last year’s race finishing 6th having disputed the lead two from home eventually coming home some 34L behind the winner Noble Yeats. Trainer won this race back in 2006 with Numbertenvalverde. Martin Brassil 11-0 GAILLARD DU MESNIL A possibly fortunate winner of the 3M 6F NH Chase at Cheltenham in March with Mahler Mission falling two out when in command. Goes unpenalised for that win but did have a hard race with his trainer stating afterwards that they would have get him home and see how he comes out of that race. If allowed to run would be a serious player. W P Mullins 11-0 DARASSO Another J P McManus owned contender. Has mixed chasing with hurdling this season winning over the bigger obstacles at Thurles last December. Yet to race beyond three miles so has a definite question mark over his ability to stay this far and his owner appears to have better claims with others here. Joseph O’Brien 10-13 HAPPYGOLUCKY Has won three of his eight career starts over fences with his biggest win coming at this meeting two years ago over the regulation fences in the Betway Handicap Chase. Wasn’t seen again for 595 days and has plenty to prove now following two disappointing efforts in valuable handicaps at Cheltenham. Yet to run beyond 3M 1F and yet another with stamina to prove for trainer who won this race with Mr Frisk way back in 1990. Kim Bailey 10-11 LE MILOS Appears to have improved for a stable switch to Dan Skelton. Winning at Bangor and the valuable Coral Gold Cup at Newbury. Traded at 1.01 when coasting home at Kelso in the listed Premier Chase over just short of 3M only to be caught on the run in by Empire Steel. Stamina could be an issue if the way he stopped there is anything to go by. Dan Skelton 10-11 THE SHUNTER Ten year old who mixes fences and hurdles and has definite stamina doubts having never run beyond 3M. Owned by J P McManus and ran third at Kelso last time behind Le Milos. Has a bit to prove and his best days may be behind him nowadays. Owner has more credible candidates. Emmet Mullins 10-11 QUICK WAVE Stays very well and arrives in good form having won two of his last three starts latterly over 3M 4F in Haydock’s Grand National Trail Handicap Chase by 3/4L from Snow Leopardess. Ten years old now but will be staying on when most have called enough. Suited by soft conditions so any rain will suit. Trainer took this with 100/1 shot Mon Mome in 2009. Venetia Williams 10-11 ESCARIA TEN Went off 25/1 for race last season only to weaken quickly two from home eventually finishing 9th beaten some 75L. Shown little since including when pulling up in Plate Handicap at Cheltenham Festival in March. Hard to fancy much especially the way he weakened last year. Gordon Elliott 10-10 THE BIG BREAKAWAY Has run well on his first two starts this season especially when a 1 1/4L runner up in the Coral Welsh National last December. Trip looks likely to suit so could run well at a price although was very disappointing last time out pulling up in the Ultima Handicap Chase at Cheltenham. Joe Tizzard 10-10 CAPE GENTLEMAN Lightly raced Irish chaser who’s only run the eight times over fences. Joined current trainer from Emmet Mullins in December 2022 and only run the twice since when not showing that much in handicap hurdle and conditions chase. Yet to race beyond three miles and unlikely to be troubling the judge. John Joseph Hanlon 10-8 ROI MAGE Eleven year old Irish chaser who’s won 9 of his 51 career starts. Came back to form at Down Royal last time when 1 1/4L runner up to Longhouse Poet. Appears to stay well but an outsider who at his advancing age is hard to fancy to play a part in the finish. Patrick Griffin 10-8 DIOL KER Owned by Gigginstown Stud this 9 year old Irish chaser should stay well. Best recent effort came when runner up in the Paddy Power Handicap Chase at Leopardstown over Christmas, only going down by the shortest of heads. Soundly beaten since in the Punchestown Grand National Trial but will be staying on when others have cried enough. Noel Meade 10-8 A WAVE OF THE SEA Yet to race beyond three miles and stamina could be big issue here. More hit than miss this season and was last seen when a 50/1 shot and pulling up at Cheltenham in the two mile Grand Annual. Impossible to fancy so look elsewhere for the winner. Joseph O’Brien 10-6 MINELLA TRUMP Prolific winner in Northern chases winning 8 of his 12 starts over the larger obstacles at up to three miles. Not been seen since last June and has quite an absence to overcome. At the right end of the weights mind and will love good Spring ground. Has beaten some decent chasers in his run of wins and is trained by Red Rum’s trainer Ginger McCain’s son Donald who took this himself with Ballabriggs in 2011. Donald McCain 10-6 VANILLIER A second season novice who’s kept good company this season and looked back to his very best when chasing home the 12lb superior Kemboy in the Bobbyjo Chase at Fairyhouse in February giving that one 8lb. The handicapper appears to have ignored that run and in his best form holds decent each way claims. Gavin Cromwell 10-6 VELVET ELVIS Relatively lightly raced over fences having taken his form to a new level on his last two starts, winning over 3M at Fairyhouse and running last year’s runner up Any Second Now to 7L at Navan recently. Hard to believe he can turn the tables with that one mind but should stay ok (6th in last season’s Irish National). Thomas Gibney 10-6 AIN’T THAT A SHAME Yet to race beyond three miles in his ten race career though appears to stay that trip well as was runner up in the Munster National at Limerick last October. Dropped in trip when running out a comfortable winner over 2M 4F at Gowran Park recently and arrives here in fine form. Only lightly raced and may have further improvement to come for trainer who won race in 2021. Henry De Bromhead 10-5 CORACH RAMBLER Current favourite following his winning defence of the Ultima Handicap Chase at the Cheltenham Festival. Unpenalised here so is 10lb ahead of his handicap mark and if staying looks sure to be thereabouts. Ran 4th beaten 19L in last season’s Classic Chase over 3m 5F which is the furthest he’s tried. A major player for his Scottish handler who took this in 2017 with One For Arthur. Lucinda Russell 10-5 ENJOY D’ALLEN Another J P McManus owned, Irish trained runner. Only made it as far as the first when unseating his rider in last year’s race when a 20/1 chance. Shown precious little in three chases and two hurdle contests since and is hard to fancy that much. CIaran Murphy 10-5 MR INCREDIBLE A lightly raced seven year old who will be having only his tenth career start if facing the starter. Placed in two valuable handicap chases this season including when third in the Kim Muir at Cheltenham last time. This longer trip may suit though is a very quirky type who if taking to the unique fences could outrun his big odds. W P Mullins 10-4 CLOUDY GLEN Races in the colours of the late Trevor Hemmings who’s won this prestigious contest a record three times. Winner of the 2021 Ladbroke Trophy at Newbury but lightly raced since and hard to fancy on his latest effort when pulling up in the Ultima Handicap Chase at Cheltenham won by Corach Rambler. Venetia Williams 10-4 GIN ON LIME One of five entries for Henry De Bromhead who won the 2021 National with Minella Times. A decent novice chaser last season winning five times. Yet to really cut any ice this season in three outings and has stamina to prove (yet to race over further than three miles) Henry De Bromhead 10-4 MISTER COFFEY His esteemed trainer has yet to win a National of any sorts but has each way claims here with his 8 year old who was a good second in handicap at Uttoxeter in February over 3M. Wasn’t disgraced when third in NH Chase at Cheltenham over 6F further and should stay this marathon trip very well. Nicky Henderson 10-4 BATTLEOVERDOYEN A winner of 5 of his 27 starts over fences but it’s been a while since he last won (July 2021 and 15 runs). No evidence that he will stay this far and it’s easy to overlook this rank outsider. Gordon Elliott 10-4 HILL SIXTEEN Trained in Scotland. Last seen when running seventh over these fences to rival Ashtown Lad back in December beaten 14L. Had run better in same race the previous year when going down by a nose and with that track experience is capable of running alright if seeing out the longer trip. Sandy Thomson 10-2 GABBY CROSS Another of the five Henry De Bromhead trained runners this one owned by R S Brookhouse. A winner at the Galway Festival last July he’s kept valuable handicap company this season with no success. Yet to race beyond three miles so has to prove his stamina here. Henry De Bromhead 10-2 RECITE A PRAYER Has experience of these unique fences when running twelfth in the Becher Chase here in December beaten a long way at 20/1 also beaten far in the valuable Paddy Power Chase at Leopardstown over Christmas and despite connections this eight year old is impossible to fancy. W P Mullins 10-1 EVA’S OSKAR An out and out stayer who won at Cheltenham last December over 3 1/4M. Ran a credible 20L 4th in Eider Chase last time over 4M 1 1/2 F. Trained in Wales and a big outsider here though will be plugging on when others have had enough. Tim Vaughan 10-1 OUR POWER 6lb well in here having no penalty for his latest win which came at Kempton in February. A winner of 4 of his 8 chases and is a progressive 8 year old in good hands who if getting a run could be a very lively outsider although another who has his stamina to prove (yet to race beyond 3M). Sam Thomas 10-0 DUNBOYNE Another of the Elliott battalion who steps up to a marathon trip for the first time here. Arrives in decent enough form having been placed in valuable 3M 1F handicaps at Gowran Park and Cheltenham. Best form on soft ground so any rain would be a big help. Very unlikely to give Elliott his third National win Gordon Elliott 10-0 FRANCKY DU BERLAIS 6 wins from 26 starts over fences for this ten year old trained in Wales. Last won at Uttoxeter a year ago. Not shown much this season and refused last in Cheltenham’s Cross Country race at the Festival when a well beaten off third. Hard to fancy this long shot. Peter Bowen 10-0 FORTESCUE A winner of 6 of his 18 chases and appears to stay this trip. Best run this year when 4th in Becher Chase to Ashtown Lad last December. Only 28/1 last year in this race when unseating his rider four from home when looking well beaten. A long shot who is hard to fancy. Henry Daly 9-13 BACK ON THE LASH Has been running predominately over the Cheltenham Cross Country fences for the past two years winning twice in handicap company over 3M 6F. Pulled up in the latest renewal of that race in March where his trainer stated his horse hated the soft ground. Hard to fancy and needs the rain to stay away. Martin Keighley 9-13 DEFI BLEU Another of the Gordon Elliott/ Gigginstown battalion who’s best ever runs have come over the furthest distances he’s run over when runner up in the Cork Grand National last November and third in the Punchestown Grand National Trial in February. Todays trip could well suit and one of the better big outsiders if making the cut. Gordon Elliott 9-12 MILAN NATIVE You have to go back eleven starts and 30 months to find the ten year olds last success. Won the Kim Muir at the Cheltenham Festival in 2020 and well treated here on that run but looks a former shade of that horse nowadays and a no hoper. Gordon Elliott 9-10 PUNITIVE Won the 3M 5F Porterstown Handicap Chase at Fairyhouse last December looking a true stayer although has run moderately in two starts since, pulling up at Cheltenham in the Kim Muir when a 40/1 chance. May well stay but Gordon Elliot has others with much better chances than this 9 year old. Gordon Elliott 9-10 GEVREY Did well at Cheltenham last time when finishing fourth at 125/1 beaten only 5 1/4L in the Plate Handicap Chase over 2 1/2M. Has raced predominately at that intermediate trip throughout his career and the massive step up to 4M 2 1/2F here is not certain to suit this big outsider. Gordon Elliott 9-10 BORN BY THE SEA Just 2 wins from 19 starts over fences in his career and this Irish trained 9 year old also has stamina to prove. Soundly beaten all four starts this season and impossible to give any chance too. Paul Gilligan 9-10 FAKIERA Lightly raced Irish chaser who’s yet to win over fences in ten starts. Runner up over 3m 5F in Porterstown Handicap Chase at Fairyhouse last December was his best run this season. 50/1 chance when pulling up in NH Chase at Cheltenham Festivalon latest start. Unlikely to break his maiden over fences here. Gordon Elliott 9-8 MORTAL Last won over fences back in August 2020 and has gone 17 races since visiting the winners enclosure. Eleven year old now and unlikely to make the final field. Gordon Elliott 9-8 CAPTAIN KANGAROO Winner of the Cork Grand National last November but this eight year old Irish chaser has lost his form completely since and pulled up in the Midlands Grand National in March. Unseated at 9th on only taste of these unique fences in the Becher Chase last November and is unlikely to make the final field. W P Mullins 9-8 DARRENS HOPE Irish mare who won a grade two chase at Punchestown last November beating Minella Crooner at 20/1. That was over 2M 6F and has yet to try distances beyond 3M so stamina could be an issue here. Looking to become the first mare since Nickel Coin in 1951 to win the Grand National though is highly unlikely. Robert Murphy 9-8 CAPTAIN CATTISTOCK Ten year old gelding who has won 5 of his 20 starts over fences and stays very well. Was runner up in the Edinburgh National at Musselburgh when last seen in February, a race he won the previous year. No doubt he stays well but unlikely to get into the final field. Fergal O’Brien 9-5 SECRET REPRIEVE Former dual winner of the Welsh Grand National. Appears to have lost his form though and was last seen pulling up in the Midlands Grand National at Uttoxeter in March. A doughty stayer trained in Wales who’s best on very soft ground although unlikely to make the final field. Evan Williams 9-5 FANTASTIKAS It’s been a while since he’s shown any real form and although he’s very well handicapped over park fences is likely to be way out of the handicap proper if making the final field which looks slim. Very hard to fancy and a big outsider. Nigel Twiston Davies 9-5 Summary:- Corach Rambler can race off of the same mark that he won the Ultima Handicap Chase at Cheltenham and is the right favourite as he is 10lb well in here although he does still have to prove his stamina (ran 4th beaten 20L in the 3M 5F Classic Chase last season which is the furthest he’s ever run over). Placed in the last two Nationals Any Second Now looks sure to be thereabouts although will have to shoulder top weight in the absence of Hewick. Last year’s winner Noble Yeats ran well in the Gold Cup and is another possible although he is some 19lb higher this year and I would prefer the Cheltenham Cross Country winner Delta Work who ran third last year beaten 22L and is now 20lb better off with Noble Yeats. Willie Mullins’ second season novice Gaillard Du Mesnil had a tough race in winning the NH Chase at Cheltenham possibly fortuitously and has yet to be confirmed a definite runner. My shortlist comprises of the aforementioned Delta Work, Vanillier who ran well behind Kemboy in the Bobbyjo Chase at Fairyhouse last time and looks well treated and The Big Dog. The latter is a very interesting runner trained in Ireland by Peter Fahey. He’s looked an improved performer this season winning valuable staying chases at Limerick and Navan prior to a credible third in the Welsh Grand National. He was actually mixing it with the Gold Cup winner Galopin Des Champs in the Irish Gold Cup last time when falling two out when bang in contention. He surely wouldn’t have troubled the winner that day but could easily have hit the frame which would of been a hell of a effort. His trainer has reported since that he’s fine after the fall https://www.racingfactors.com/news/article/the-big-dog-impresses-fahey-with-racecourse-school___01gty9caxv66r4wrg29sf0g684 and they will doing extensive schooling from now on in. To be fair he’s usually a sound jumper and had never fallen before in his career under rules. His best form appears to be on soft ground so the more juice in the ground the better. An out and out stayer who’s in top form this season he’s worth backing now each way with the firms who are paying five places at the general 25/1. THE BIG DOG 1 point each way @ 25/1 William Hill, Betfred, bet365 1/5th 123453 points -
Racing chat-Saturday 25th March
black rabbit and 2 others reacted to The Equaliser for a topic
RESULTS UPDATE A very good day for me with 7 winners and two win doubles. This was even after indulging in the Meyden meeting and the crazy Irish Lincoln. My profit on the day was 37.21 points. This makes my MTD +47.62 which has brought my YTD down to -47.65. So much racing on one day. Billy The Kid produced the double for me. Just two meetings in the UK tomorrow, why don't they spread it out? I was much happier with my approach today so I will try to follow this in the future3 points -
SIR PUNTALOT KO CUP FINAL - Deadline Saturday 2pm
Kingdom for and 2 others reacted to Carole-dawney for a topic
Thanks trotter better luck next time! And thanks MCClarke.3 points -
SIR PUNTALOT KO CUP FINAL - Deadline Saturday 2pm
Kingdom for and 2 others reacted to Trotter for a topic
Well done Carole ! ? thanks for the comp McC ....... ?3 points -
Racing chat-Saturday 25th March
calva decoy and 2 others reacted to azzybear for a topic
ew Elvis mall 3.353 points -
Racing chat-Saturday 25th March
calva decoy and 2 others reacted to Zilzalian for a topic
Here is something to consider for the lottery that is the Irish Lincoln. I am Superman comes into this on topweight (22/1) straight from a group1 at Meydan into a handicap, how big is the gulf between Group 1 and a H/cap? If you think it is half stone then its chucked in, it is fit but the only prob is the going.3 points -
Racing chat-Saturday 25th March
azzybear and 2 others reacted to Wildgarden for a topic
I'd say have more than one system according to race type etc I have 40 odd plus trend data, speed data course style etc and trainer info3 points -
Racing chat-Saturday 25th March
azzybear and 2 others reacted to black rabbit for a topic
Emporio 3 25 Cur/ 1/40th of a pt win 10/1 { have punted it at bigger odd"s days been aimed at this race since last year } Good Heavens 3 25 Cur/ 1/40th of a pt win 16/1 Arecibo 3 30 Lin/ 1/40th of a pt win 14/1 Junko 3 10Med/ 1/40th of a pt ew 14/1 Bavington Bob 3 35Kel/ 1/40th of a pt ew 28/1 P/L +160.25 pts3 points -
Racing chat-Saturday 25th March
azzybear and 2 others reacted to richard-westwood for a topic
Looking at speed ....it looks like all the pace horses are drawn high ....I can see this going to high draws3 points -
Racing chat-Saturday 25th March
azzybear and 2 others reacted to calva decoy for a topic
Both Boughey's & Haggas's are currently vying for favouritism at around 13/2 but both are drawn high which hasn't brought any winners recent runnings & on any type of going .3 points -
Racing chat-Saturday 25th March
azzybear and 2 others reacted to richard-westwood for a topic
Struggled with this one ....so many possibles and heavy ground....itsza nightmare ....but hey ..big prices so I've gotta have a go .....Good luck anyone who has a go at this3 points -
Racing chat-Saturday 25th March
azzybear and 2 others reacted to calva decoy for a topic
Won't be able to watch the race as I'm at the football but 3 of last year's top 6 are entered again & all on good marks so when bet365 price paying 6 places will back . CASANOVA 25/1 3rd 40/1 ? STAR HARBOUR 16/1 COMFORT LINE 14/1 Last 5 winning draws / going 2022 ( 12 ) Yielding 2021 ( 5 ) Soft / Heavy 2020 ( 1 ) Good to Firm 2019 ( 3 ) Yielding to Soft 2018 ( 1 ) Soft / Heavy In 2014 stall 18 on soft to heavy won the highest drawn in long while with stall 3 being the most successful . I AM SUPERMAN 20/1 all prices bet365 b.o.g & 6 places . well a high draw won , 1st time in donkeys years .3 points -
Racing chat-Saturday 25th March
MCLARKE and one other reacted to Wildgarden for a topic
2 points -
Racing chat-Saturday 25th March
calva decoy and one other reacted to kroni for a topic
Meydan all e-w 1240 - Global Storm | Enemy | Get Shirty 115 - Ladies Church | Thunder Of Niagara 150 - Derma SotoGake | Es-Unico 225 - Sibelius | Red Le Zele 310 - Junko | Shirls Speight 400 - Win Marilyn | Shahryar 435 - Emblem Road | Ushba Tesoro2 points -
Racing chat-Saturday 25th March
azzybear and one other reacted to The Equaliser for a topic
In danger of spending too much today but what the heck Meyden Selections 12.40 Quickthorne 0.50 win at 8/1, Subjectivist 0.50 win at 9/1 1.50 Tall Boy 0.50 ew at 12/1 4pl 3.10 Real World 0.50 win at 7/1, Nations Pride 0.50 win at 7/1 and Lord North 0.50 win at 7/2 4.00 Rebels Romance 0.50 win at 9/2 Here's hoping that Will Buick has a good day. Total stakes 4 pts for some fun entertainment Back with proper bets later2 points -
I also had Hayyan but didnt include it in my write up because it is a race for "Arabian" horses not thoroughbreds.2 points
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Racing chat-Saturday 25th March
The Brigadier and one other reacted to MCLARKE for a topic
I tend to paper trade first and ideally would like to see that it's been profitable for a full season. When going live I would keep faith until it showed a loss of 50 points.2 points -
Tennis Tips - March 20 - March 26
Foo_Fighter and one other reacted to Swami for a topic
Samsonova @1.78 vs. Zheng - bf I have to go with Liudmila here... I like Zheng but she had a shaky start against a mediocre player like Begu and she is coimig from an injury stop and other issues with her wrist. Recently, in Abu Dhabi 23, Samsonova won in 3 sets. H2H 2-1 in favor of Liudmila, the one won by Zheng was on clay.2 points -
Good luck Carole ! I'm going with ..... Bang 3.08 - Jungle Jack - 3/1 Ladbrokes Bang 3.43 - Rock Hurley - 11/10 Ladbrokes Bang 4.18 - Methodtothemadness - Evens bet365 res Kels 4.45 - Bollingerandkrug - Evens bet3652 points
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DAILY LUCKY 15
The Equaliser and one other reacted to justanotherpunter for a topic
Day 2 Musselburgh 3.00 You Some Boy 20/1ew 4pl---lost Musselburgh 3.30 Cuban Cigar 9/1ew 4pl---1st 9/1 Newcastle 7.15 Athollbliar Boy 25/1ew ------1st 14/1 Newcastle 8.15 Nellie French 9/1ew 4pl---lost Day 2 profit £29.16 Overall £29.16 - £2.24 = £26.92 profit2 points -
80p is 80p more than I got !2 points
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DAILY LUCKY 15
justanotherpunter and one other reacted to MCLARKE for a topic
2 points -
Racing chat-Saturday 25th March
azzybear and one other reacted to The Brigadier for a topic
The ITV cameras roll on to Newbury (3 races) and Kelso (4 races) with the ground currently good to soft at Kelso (and likely to stay that way) and soft at Newbury with further rain to come so it would be no shock were the Berkshire track to soften more. They also show the final three races from Meydan including the Dubai World Cup at 4.35. Here’s my thoughts on those ten races - Newbury 1.30 A dozen novice hurdlers face the starter in this 2m 3F valuable novices’ handicap hurdle. Likely favourite is the Gary Moore trained Inneston who’s already won in handicap company at Sandown in February and ran a stormer when runner up in the EBF Novices’ Handicap Hurdle Final at the same track a fortnight ago. The handicapper has had his say mind in raising him 7lb but he still looks the one they all have to beat. Kerry Lee’s Atlanta Brave is making his handicap debut having won a couple of small races at Chepstow and Hereford in January and is possibly well treated along with Chris Gordon’s Red Windsor who’s recent second at Fontwell has been boosted by the subsequent victories of the winner and the fourth that day. Michael Bell is better known as a flat trainer but his bottom weight Artistic Choice ran well over the minimum trip here last time in handicap company and is yet another with claims now stepping up 3F in trip. A tough race to start the afternoons terrestrial TV action but I have to stick with Innneston who’s second last time came in a better race than this and under trainer’s son Jamie should go very close with my next best being Red Windsor. INNESTON 2 points win @ 10/3 William Hill Kelso 1.50 Run over 2m 5F next up we have the Bet Victor Go North Cab On Target Handicap Hurdle Final with a good sized field of 15 facing the starter. Another hard race to crack although I do think that the Darragh Bouke trained eight year old Coral Blue has a very solid look about him. He’s on a hat trick of wins having scored at Musselburgh and Ayr in February rising 13lb and with Sean Bowen taking the ride looks sure to be thereabouts. Diane Sayer’s The Navigator is an interesting opponent but he’s down to run on Friday so must be considered doubtful. Sue Smith’s Prairie Wolf could also take a part in the finish having gone down by a short head at Doncaster to Galahad Threepwood earlier this month. He’s been given a 5lb rise for that effort but can be competitive under Ross Chapman. A tough race with preference just for Coral Blue who is still improving. CORAL BLUE 1 point each way @ 6/1 William Hill 1/5th 1234 Newbury 2.05 Just ten have declared for this class 2 2m 4f handicap chase and it’s fair to say that all ten have some sort of chance. Dan Skelton’s bottom weight Heltenham is the current favourite and must have a solid chance having been raised 7lb for his cosy 4L win at Ffos Las last month. Henry Oliver’s The Big Bite had Paul Nicholl’s Espoir De Guye 18L behind when winning the Greatwood Gold Cup over course and distance three weeks ago and it’s surprising that on 8lb better terms the latter is shorter in the betting currently. Richard Hobson’s Riders Onthe Storm is back on a winning mark and in a first time visor has to be respected but the one that takes my eye is the Nigel Twiston-Davies’ Super Six. He’s only had four runs over fences and is probably still on the upgrade. He was impressive when a 15L winner at Haydock last time and although he’s up 9lb for that run there may well be more to come with the trainer’s son Sam on top. SUPER SIX 1 point each way @ 13/2William Hill 1/5th 1234 Kelso 2.25 Just the seven here for this class 2 3m 2f handicap hurdle. Cases can be made for all with bottom weight Jet Legs my pick. He came late and fast to pass Shot Boi on the run in over 3M at Wetherby earlier in the month and todays extra 2F look ideal for Martin Todhunter’s six year old. He’s been shunted up 5lb for that victory although with useful 5lb claiming conditional jockey Patrick Wadge taking over from 3lb claiming conditional Theo Gillard thus reducing the rise by a couple of pounds. Top weight Pym will surely need this run his first for 538 days so the biggest threats may well come from the hat trick seeking Nick Alexander trained Theme Tune who’s recent win at Newcastle was boosted by the subsequent win of the runner up Bushypark and Samuel Drinkwater’s Spike Jones who was last seen when winning at his favourite track Fontwell on Danny Burton’s final ride before retiring. JET LEGS 1 point win @ 10/3 bet365 Newbury 2.40 A mares only novices’ handicap hurdle with a maximum field of 18 is up next and as you would expect has a very open look about it. Many have chances including handicap debutant Ruby Island from the Mark Walford stables and the Skelton runner Royale Dancer also making his handicap debut. Top weight Ilovethenightlife’s form ties in with Noel Williams’ Moviddy though have enough weight to my eyes. On my shortlist is the very much in form Nicky Richards runner Aubis Walk, a very easy 23L winner at Sedgefield last time who could be well treated under San Quinlan and Blue Beach who is trained by the under estimated handler Mel Rowley. His form stacks up well having been impressive in his only bumper and running into the Cheltenham mares novice hurdle winner You Wear It Well back in October. She was a comfortable winner at 4/11 last time at Huntingdon and a mark of 108 may well underestimate her ability. With her jockey Alex Andrews claiming 3lb she’s my main bet here but I must have a small stakes each way saver on the Northern raider Aubis Walk. BLUE BEACH 1 point each way @ 12/1 William Hill 1/5th 123456 AUBIS WALK 1/2 point each way @ 9/1 William Hill 1/5th 123456 Kelso 3.00 A field of nine assemble for this class 2 mares’ novices handicap hurdle run over 2m and gives us a good betting opportunity in the shape of the Fergal O’Brien trained Bonttay who has a a touch of class about her even if she can take a bit of a hold. She was a smart bumper horse winning three times including in listed company at Cheltenham and broke her duck over hurdles at the third time of asking when winning well at Exeter in February. No match for the higher rated Hourvari at Market Rasen since she can take this in first time cheek pieces which hopefully will enable her to settle better. Her biggest threat may come from top weight Autumn Return whose latest second has been subsequently boosted by wins for the fourth and fifth that day and has the added bonus of 5lb conditional jockey Patrick Wadge on board. With Paddy Brennan here to ride Bonttay she can out class these. BONTTAY 3 points win @ 9/4 bet365 Meydan 3.10 With a cool £2,500,000 up for grabs for first prize not surprisingly the 9F Dubai Turf has attracted a stellar international field of fifteen now with the late defection of favourite Do Deuce due to lameness. The Japanese still head the market however with the impressive Serifos who holds a decent chance. Ryan Moore who knows the Japanese form well made a point of mentioning another Japenses runner in Danon Beluga as well in his recent Betfair column so maybe he’s one to keep an eye on. To be honest I’ve no idea how good the Far Eastern form is so I’ll be sticking with the European team which includes a Charlie Appleby pair of Nations Pride and Master Of The Seas with Buick presumably picking the former. John and Thady Gosden should never be discounted on their foreign trails and they have Lord North entered who prepped for this race by winning at Lingfield a month ago in the Winter Derby. The one horse who looks a bit overpriced on his form is Saeed Bin Suroor’s Real Word who is actually the top rated horse in the field. A smart gelding who was runner up to Baaeed twice last year (what price would he be in this field?) and apparently badly needed his prep run for this race over course and distance with his trainer stating before hand he was only 80-85% fit. On his best form and surely straighter now he maybe the value bet each way from a favourable gate draw of 7 and with Oisin Murphy on top. REAL WORLD 1 point each way @ 8/1 1/5th 1234 Kelso 3.35 Back at Kelso and it’s a 3M 2F class 2 handicap chase featuring ten runners. An interesting runner is the Irish trained Clonguille Way in the care of John McConnell who brings just the one runner over for this meeting so has to be respected. The horse that is very much in the upgrade unlike many of these is the Anthony Honeyball trained Forward Plan who’s won two of his three starts over fences both at Southwell in class 4 company. This represents a step up in grade but he appears to be improving fast and even a 10lb rise for his latest victory may not be enough to stop this Ben Godfrey ridden seven year old from getting his hat trick up. He’s the bet here but I ask you to keep an eye on Lucinda Russell’s Mighty Thunder who’s now rated 17lb lower than his Scottish National win of 2021. Today may not be the day for him but with that race on the horizon it’ll be interesting to see if he shows any sparkle. FORWARD PLAN 2 points win @ 3/1 bet365 Meydan 4.00 Ten assemble for the Dubai Sheema run over 12F of the turf course. The prize money is something else with the winner taking home a cool £3 million and even the 6th capturing £100k. With the bottom horse rated 113 this is a very classy international renewal as you would expect. The Japanese have 3 entries including the short priced favourite Equinox who’s won two big races in his native country in the Arima Kinem and Tenno Sho and is (apparently!) the pick of that trio although he can take quite a keen hold. Back to Ryan Moore again and his Betfair column and he put in a good word for Win Marilyn at a double figure price. Moore himself rides last year’s Irish Derby winner Westover for Ralph Beckett and should be thereabouts. His Arc De Triomphe run can easily be dismissed as the race was run on ground that was too testing for him. Charlie Appleby’s runner is Rebels Romance who’s won his last five races in England x2, Germany x2 and America - a real tough horse who can also run well. The bet though must be the John and Thady Gosden trained Mostahdaf who looked an improved performer when bolting up in Saudi last month taking a race worth three quarters of a million pounds apart winning by 7L over 1m 2 1/2F. He won’t mind stepping up in trip here and is worth an each way bet under Jim Crowley who knows him so well. MOSTAHDAF 1 point each way @ 13/2 William Hill 1/5th 123 Meydan 4.35 The afternoon’s entertainment concludes with the £10 million guaranteed Dubai World Cup which will be run on the dirt over 10F. Fifteen go to post which includes last year’s winner Country Grammar trained in America by Bob Baffert. Last seen when runner up in the Saudi Cup in February securing a ridiculous £2,917,000 for being beaten!, he’ll be ready to roll this afternoon with Frankie Dettori looking to top up his coffers on board in his final year race riding. He has drawn stall 14 mind which is not ideal.The British interest surrounds around the Simon and Ed Crisford trained Algiers who’s taken his form to another level this year at Meydan winning two grade two’s by 6L. The Newmarket based six year old will be ridden by James Doyle who has been on board for both starts this season. The only negative is the fact he’s been drawn out wide in stall 13 which is not ideal and he’ll be out wide with the favourite Country Grammar looking to get across. The Japanese are a major force nowadays in these big international races and have eight running here. If he wasn’t drawn outside I would suggest a bigger bet on last years winner Country Grammar but with Dettori the master tactician I’m sure he’ll have a plan and I’ll take him to small stakes to win back to back Dubai World Cups. COUNTRY GRAMMAR 1 point win @ 4/1 William Hill2 points -
Racing chat-Saturday 25th March
black rabbit and one other reacted to Tedthewolf for a topic
Hope your right i fancy Carrytheone to run a big race but its drawn out at the carpark2 points -
SIR PUNTALOT KO CUP FINAL - Deadline Saturday 2pm
The Equaliser reacted to MCLARKE for a topic
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SIR PUNTALOT KO CUP FINAL - Deadline Saturday 2pm
LEE-GRAYS reacted to Carole-dawney for a topic
Sorry 1.30 Newbury inneston1 point -
BILLY HILLS NAP TABLE - March 2023
MinellaWorksop reacted to MCLARKE for a topic
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Naps - Friday 24th March
justanotherpunter reacted to In Play Race Reader for a topic
19:45 Newcastle—Starshiba 15/2 BV1 point -
Tennis Tips - March 20 - March 26
alexcaruso808 reacted to four-leaf for a topic
Carlitos to beat (-6.5 games) Facundo Bagnis at 1.66 with Unibet Petra Kvitova to beat Linda Noskova at 1.58 with Unibet Varvara Gracheva to beat Ons Jabeur at 2.80 with Unibet Botic Van De Zandschulp to beat Alexei Popyrin at 1.78 with Unibet These four to me feels like pretty solid picks and should come in. Total odds for parlay: 13.071 point -
Tennis Tips - March 20 - March 26
Gizmo reacted to CzechPunter for a topic
Petra Kvitova to beat Linda Noskova at 1.53 with William Hill Well, Kvitova is still the better player in general, but the more important angle is that Noskova will be playing against someone she has a lot of respect for and who she looked up when developing her tennis skills. First meeting as well as far as I know, which could make things very difficult in terms of nerves and stuff.1 point