Swami Posted March 24 Share Posted March 24 Zhang @1.81 vs Andreeva bf I'm torn about this one because I can't find any news about Zhang's retirement in Indian Wells, just a generic "illness"... anyway I'll give it a try, Zhang in Miami has some points to defend and overall I think is a mismatch for the young Andreeva, too much experienced Zhang and these courts should really suit her game... the only issue is her health, if she is fit she will make it CzechPunter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted March 24 Author Share Posted March 24 Grigor should win unless he has one of his days. amity 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted March 24 Share Posted March 24 (edited) Carlitos to beat (-6.5 games) Facundo Bagnis at 1.66 with Unibet Petra Kvitova to beat Linda Noskova at 1.58 with Unibet Varvara Gracheva to beat Ons Jabeur at 2.80 with Unibet Botic Van De Zandschulp to beat Alexei Popyrin at 1.78 with Unibet These four to me feels like pretty solid picks and should come in. Total odds for parlay: 13.07 Edited March 24 by four-leaf Foo_Fighter, alexcaruso808 and money44 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amity Posted March 24 Share Posted March 24 I'm going to go with Yibing Wu to beat Diego Schwartmann at 4/11 typically with most bookmakers. Short enough odds true but Diego has been a shadow of himself in 2023. Wu meanwhile has had some decent results of late, and made the semis in Dallas recently, before losing 6-4 in the final set to Fritz. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Foo_Fighter Posted March 24 Share Posted March 24 Liam Broady vs Gabriel Diallo - First set, Broady to break Diallo's serve? - No! at 3.75 with bet365 I need something juicy and I think this one's worth a shot. Breaking the youngster's serve isn't the easiest thing in the world. four-leaf 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Foo_Fighter Posted March 24 Share Posted March 24 That was a much-needed big win for me. Gonna watch the Fruhvirtova's vs Gauff/Pegula now. Fun bet: a 2-1 victory (5.00+) for the American girls. CzechPunter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amity Posted March 24 Share Posted March 24 4 hours ago, amity said: I'm going to go with Yibing Wu to beat Diego Schwartmann at 4/11 typically with most bookmakers. Short enough odds true but Diego has been a shadow of himself in 2023. Wu meanwhile has had some decent results of late, and made the semis in Dallas recently, before losing 6-4 in the final set to Fritz. Wu playing like a complete novice against a rejuvenated Diego ?♂️ Hope none of you followed me. ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted March 24 Share Posted March 24 10 minutes ago, amity said: Wu playing like a complete novice against a rejuvenated Diego ?♂️ Hope none of you followed me. ? Don't feel bad @amity Wu had an injury timeout which couldn't have helped, add to that not being able to consolidate the first set break plus Diego doing what he always used to do by saving a truck load of break points and that's most of the ingredients needed to send the bet down. You'll get the next one I'm sure amity 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sterziyskii Posted March 25 Share Posted March 25 Guys do you think there might be a surprise in the Lehecka - Musetti match? I'm thinking about playing the early matches first, Coric, Lehecka and De Minaur at 2.8-9 odds. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted March 25 Author Share Posted March 25 Shouldn't be, but Lehecka has never played in Miami before, hard to say how he likes the conditions. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swami Posted March 25 Share Posted March 25 Samsonova @1.78 vs. Zheng - bf I have to go with Liudmila here... I like Zheng but she had a shaky start against a mediocre player like Begu and she is coimig from an injury stop and other issues with her wrist. Recently, in Abu Dhabi 23, Samsonova won in 3 sets. H2H 2-1 in favor of Liudmila, the one won by Zheng was on clay. sterziyskii and Foo_Fighter 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted March 25 Share Posted March 25 I'm all over Nishioka tonight. Yoshihito Nishioka to beat (-1.5 games) Alex Molcan at 1.95 with Unibet Molcan seems so unfit today compared to last season. He's doing his first full season as a top 100 player but he is not convincing. Not even on clay where he should feel as most comfortable. Easy cover for Yoshi. Foo_Fighter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Foo_Fighter Posted March 25 Share Posted March 25 Martina Trevisan to beat Claire Liu at 2.2 with bet365 B.H Maia to beat Jelena Ostapenko at 2.75 in-play with bet365 Both picks with substantial value compared to their actual probability of being confirmed. Good luck. four-leaf 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted March 25 Share Posted March 25 @Foo_Fighter now it's gone about a half hour since you posted but I've said before that Bia Haddad isn't in form anymore. She loses sets so easy now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Giantlife Posted March 25 Share Posted March 25 Nishioka is down a set... What do you think ? Can he come back ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Foo_Fighter Posted March 26 Share Posted March 26 Vamos Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted March 26 Share Posted March 26 @Foo_Fighter Rybakina gonna pay for her lack of game next week. Someone can knock her out this time. Foo_Fighter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
888888 Posted March 26 Share Posted March 26 Anyone sees small value on Davidovich beating Paul at 2.30 ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Foo_Fighter Posted March 26 Share Posted March 26 2 hours ago, four-leaf said: @Foo_Fighter Rybakina gonna pay for her lack of game next week. Someone can knock her out this time. Her lack of game? She has embarrassed Iga twice in two months... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted March 26 Share Posted March 26 28 minutes ago, Foo_Fighter said: Her lack of game? She has embarrassed Iga twice in two months... She's lost something from last week and isn't in the same form now I've seen and it's gonna cost her more than a set if she continues like this in Miami. Doesn't matter if she's embarrassed Iga or not. If it's Sabalenka in a final again, she's toast. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swami Posted March 26 Share Posted March 26 21 minutes ago, four-leaf said: She's lost something from last week and isn't in the same form now I've seen and it's gonna cost her more than a set if she continues like this in Miami. Doesn't matter if she's embarrassed Iga or not. If it's Sabalenka in a final again, she's toast. I'm not sure... the big question is if she has enough resources to make it to the final... then (if Sabalenka makes it) it's an open match like the 2 previous finals this year. Rybakina doesn't attract the same media attention of other players but on hard courts as for now she is second to none. Anyway the draw is pretty open now, and yesterday it was again FULL WTA MODE, with favs like Gauff, Azarenka, Samsonova (Argh, this one hurts... ?) blowing leads and eventually losing quite badly... will see what tomorrow brings Foo_Fighter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swami Posted March 26 Share Posted March 26 Ostapenko - Trevisan 2-0 @ 1.53 meagre odds, but there is still value here imo... Ostapenko has an open draw here I don't think she might want to waste time with Trevisan, who is an overachiever (and for this one should give her full credit) but has certain limits which is very difficult to overcome at this level Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted March 26 Share Posted March 26 8 minutes ago, Swami said: Ostapenko - Trevisan 2-0 @ 1.53 meagre odds, but there is still value here imo... Ostapenko has an open draw here I don't think she might want to waste time with Trevisan, who is an overachiever (and for this one should give her full credit) but has certain limits which is very difficult to overcome at this level Can be hard to take out Ostapenko if she gets on a run here and I certainly agree about this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted March 26 Share Posted March 26 Bianca Vanessa Andreescu to beat (-1.5 sets) Sonya Kenin at 2.32 with Unibet I'm on Bianca tonight because she's been quite reasonable with her game this week and it seems to work for here. I even think she's won Miami before in 2019 or if it was Indian Wells, don't remember but anyway she's got 3 straight 2-0 victories in this matchup. I know Kenin has some connections to Miami being there already at 6 years old and being walked around by Kim Clijsters and saying hello to Andy Roddick. She also wanted to get a haircut at the venue as she told Kim but that was another story. However Bianca is ranked 32 right now and Kenin has made progress with her game but she even lost 2-0 before to Bianca in Miami and the other two times was in Toronto and a smaller ITF. Kenin isn't there yet to challenge Bianca who did well enough by taking out Sakkari to be able to take out Sonya in straights again. So I think this 2.32 price should be taken. Depending on how the match evolves there might be some higher odds to come by in-play but I'm just not gonna sit and wait for that to happen. BTW doesn't Andreescu sound romanian? Varvara Gracheva to beat (-1.5 sets) Magdalena Frech at 1.94 with Unibet Varvara has it in her to progress further in this tournament. I don't expect her to win by numbers like 6-2 again because Ons Jabeur is playing much worse than Magdalena is right now. Ons just isn't top 10 quality anymore, not even top 50 to be honest. Varvara however is going forward and has the game to keep playing good enough again to get by Magdalena in straights. Magdalena had some difficulties for a set with Erika Andreeva and it doesn't look good ahead of this matchup so it's gonna be very risky to go against Varvara in this match, even going for Magdalena to take a set could be highly risky. I might be reluctant to take Varvara to cover -4.5 games handicap because like I've said I can't expect Magdalena to play as bad as Ons did and being completely run over tonight since I think there is a chance she'll cover 4.5 games. Even if it gets tight with some tie-break Varvara hasn't shown anything lately suggesting that she would lose a breaker to her polish counterpart. What Varvara does on court now is equal to an inform player in the top 30. Double at 4.50 with Unibet Surely should be other bookies like Pinnacle or so outthere offering slightly improved price so go for other bookies if you guys like but I'm gonna stick with my bookie on this one. I don't even like Pinnacle that much because of their turnover requirement of 3 times the deposit. Back this tonight and it might give a chance for a happy day. CzechPunter, money44, Foo_Fighter and 2 others 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted March 26 Share Posted March 26 Is this place dead tonight or what's up? I've posted a perfectly good double here for tonight and nobody gives a dime about it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted March 26 Share Posted March 26 Hello guys where are you? It's betting time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swami Posted March 26 Share Posted March 26 4 minutes ago, four-leaf said: Hello guys where are you? It's betting time. it's Sunday... ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted March 26 Share Posted March 26 1 hour ago, Swami said: it's Sunday... ? A very special sunday, it's sunday in mars while third round and second round is being played in Miami so I figure it's betting time for most people here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted March 26 Share Posted March 26 If someone posts a suggestion like I did being Gracheva and Andreescu tonight I think if anyone of you here wants to win you should check in here and see what's going on while it's a sunday like this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Foo_Fighter Posted March 26 Share Posted March 26 @four-leaf can Madison Keys pull off the upset? I kinda like her odds Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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