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amity

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Everything posted by amity

  1. Re: March 9 - March 15 Thanks for the tips Torque. I saw Riske playing Zvonareva recently and she was very poor, even just keeping a rally going proved a challenge for her, a lot of unforced errors. Zvonareva didn't play that well herself but she still had enough to break Riske once in each set. Unless Riske has gotten her act together, I would be afraid that Radwanska will come out and blow her off the court, sometime like 6-1, 6-2, as she's well capable of doing. The only thing in Riske's favour is home advantage, perhaps that will give her an extra game or two, but I would be amazed if she won a set, and breaking the 5.5 handicap is a big ask, in my opinion.
  2. Re: March 9 - March 15 Agree with matrixman's assessment. Melzer has been poor enough in the last few months and Russell comes into his best when playing in front of his own fans. I can see it going to three sets, but Russell could well nick it with the home support.
  3. Re: February 23 - March 1 Shocking stuff from Murray alright. I had to leave the house unfortunately otherwise I would have thrown a few quid on Coric halfway through that first set as I could see Murray wasn't in the zone, but he's turned it around before after a shocking first set, so declined once I knew I wouldn't be able to see the rest of the match.
  4. Re: Australian Open 2015 @1moregamedad Fair enough if that's your opinion but some decorum wouldn't go amiss. Czech, like anyone, doesn't always get it right, but what he does is for all of our benefits, providing well researched tips daily. You don't have to agree with him or take his tips but if you're gonna disgree with him, at least show some respect.
  5. Re: Australian Open 2015 Fully agree with you here Czech. Goerges is playing well alright, but she's been very poor for much of the last two years. Hradecka has to be the value bet here.
  6. Re: Australian Open 2015 Thanks for the suggestions guys. Baghdatis also benefits from the Greek Australians in the crowd, of which there are many. This is probably worth a few games to him. If Marcos can harness that, he should take at least one set, perhaps more.
  7. Re: Australian Open 2015 Personally, I'm taking Makarova to beat Vinci (1/3 with Paddy Power). Makarova was dominant in her first round match and has a proven record at the slams in recent years while Vinci's best days as a singles player seem increasingly to be behind her as she focusses more on the doubles these days with Errani.
  8. Re: Australian Open 2015 Karlovic should have too much for Kyrgios, also the Aussie was treated for his back during that match. Goffin often lets a set (or even two) slip against inferior opponents, so I wouldn't be surprised to see the Cypriot taking a set, but Goffin should take care of this in 4 sets. I agree that Fed to win 3-0 is not banker material, Bollelli has been playing very solidly of late, he could well take Fed to a tiebreak in one of the sets, still though it should be 3-0 so long as Rog stays focussed throughout.
  9. Re: Australian Open 2015 So, gents, thoughts on the main draw? A tough starter for Federer, if Lu is up for it, he could cause the Swiss some problems. Home hope Kyrgios is chronically short of match practice, so I can't see him going far. Murray has Dmitrov waiting for him down the line, and then Fed, Nadal/Berdych and Novak/Stan/Kei, so I think we can rule him out. Is Nadal gonna be ready for this? I'm not convinced. The one light on the horizon was his performance in the Doubles recently where him and Monaco won recently. Stan and Kei should both make their projected quarter final, could be looking at another five setter there. Djoker has all the weapons to win back his title, as we all know, and it will take a monumental performance from any of the other contenders to topple him. Roll on Sunday night/Monday morning!
  10. Re: Australian Open 2015 It's been a long season for Wawrinka, he's only just finished up after a sterling performance in London and helping Switzerland to the Davis cup, so even with the couple of months break they get, he might not be firing on all cylinders straight away. But that said, the man is playing supremely well. If he can keep that form going into the start of '15, he has a really solid chance. The thing with Stan though, is he sometimes presses the self destruct button. He really should have beaten Nishikiori in New York, he wouldn't have feared Djokovic and even an inspired Cilic(who Simon should have beaten long before the final). A small speculative e/w on Stan might be worth a shout, but I'd hold off on anything bigger til we get into January or until we get to see the draw.
  11. Re: October 27 - November 2 I can't see Robredo winning this one, unless Kei has lost some fitness from not playing, but I doubt it. Robredo ground his way through his last match with Pospisil, despite having several breaks to get treated on his back and being a break down in the third set, but he hung in there and Pospisil's self doubts crept in and Tommy snook it in the end. But like you said, he has to be very tired by now, I just can't see him beating a superfit guy like Nishikori who can play all day and who returns everything.
  12. Re: US Open 2014 Anyone see Fed's match last night? I saw some of it and I was struck by how he is playing with abandon, quite brilliant at times, but he is also guaranteed to throw in one or perhaps two very sloppy service games per set. Fortunately he is returning so well that he's getting away with it. It's great to watch though, it's rare to see a top player so totally playing with his instincts rather than slowing things down so as to think through what he should do next. Against Bautista-Agut, he didn't have to hit top gear, I feel he has another level he can hit, which he will need in his upcoming match(es).
  13. Re: US Open 2014 Hewitt was indeed awful against Benneteau recently, he just didn't seem interested. But the week before that, he was brilliant, beating several high ranked players, serving superbly and pushed Raonic very close, and could easily have taken a set off him. It depends which Hewitt turns up, hopefully it being a major, the motivated Hewitt will play rather than the can't be arsed version. As for Chardy, yes he was awful against Falla, but aside from the first set, he turned it up when it mattered most. If he stays focussed, he could beat Kavcic with a bit to spare. Speaking of Falla, what a frustrating player he is, he had so many chances, had the upper hand so many times against Chardy, but let him back in every time.
  14. Re: US Open 2014 Groth has drifted from 4/7 to 4/5, no clues on his twitter feed. Anyone know whay this might be?
  15. Re: US Open 2014 Will be fascinating to see how this quarter pans out. Rosol beat big server Janowicz in the final in Winston-Salem so he's not without hope against Raonic presuming he comes through his first round match, and after that the draw opens up nicely for him. Another dangerous floater is Robredo, he beat Djokovic in Cincinatti only a few weeks ago and it took the eventual runner-up Ferrer to beat him in three close sets. With doubts over Nishikori's fitness and Wawrinka inconsistent, he could be worth a shout, so long as he handles Posposil in the second round (he's also playing well of late, reaching the final in Washington a month ago).
  16. Re: US Open 2014 Samuel Groth to beat Albert Ramos-Vinolas (4/7 with Paddy Power) I've seen a bit of Sam Groth in recent months and have been pretty impressed. He had a great run in Newport(grass) last month where he beat Young, Jaziri and Mahut before going out to Karlovic in the semis. Admittedly, his results on HC have not been that noteworthy of late, although he did push Gasquet to two tiebreaks last month. In terms of ranking, there's not much between the two, both of them just inside the top 100, and overall you would have to say Ramos has the better overall game and has some decent results on clay this year, however, his last game on HC was in the Australian Open back in January, where he was beaten in straight sets by Andujar. Meanwhile Groth has been playing on hardcourt all year, albeit with mixed results, but he's clearly more at home on the surface than Ramos. Added to that, Groth has a monster of a serve, indeed he holds the record for fastest serve ever. Ramos might make it to a tiebreak or two, and might snatch a set 7-6 but overall, I think Groth's huge serve and greater experience on HC will win out.
  17. Re: August 4 - August 10 I had a look at the odds on Paddy Power, surprised to see Hewitt out at 300-1, when he's been playing well lately, and was only beaten in two tiebreaks by eventual winner Raonic last week. Unfortunately he's in the same quarter as Raonic but on a slightly slower court, he might have a shot. Of course he's not getting any younger, and on any given day, he can throw in a shocker, but at those odds, he might be worth a punt at very small stakes. Tsonga is at 66 to 1 with PP, considering he's capable of troubling all the top players, that's also pretty generous odds.
  18. Re: July 21 - July 27 Hi Czech, I should have come into this thread a lot earlier but got caught up with work stuff yesterday. I was following Sela Vs Karlovic recently and was really impressed with the Israeli. He definitely should have taken the first set tiebreak when leading 4-0 and in the second set tiebreak, he only lost by the odd point, so he was in good shape coming into this. So I was tempted by the juicy odds on Sela to beat Querrey yesterday as Querrey has no real Plan B when his serve isn't firing, Sela has a better all round game in my opinion. Sadly I wasn't brave enough to take the plunge on Sela having been stung by some other recent bets. As for Istomin Lacko, yes it was a surprsing loss considering how well Istomin has been performing of late. I was following this one as well, and won a few quid on Lacko in running, once I could see how poorly Istomin was performing. It's hard to say if this will be a turning point in Lacko's season or if Istomin just had an off day. Either way, the Slovakian did well to mosrly dominate the match from early in the second set onwards, despite almost throwing it away with some nervy serving when approaching the finish line.
  19. Re: March 17 - March 23 Anyone see Batista-Agut's game yesterday against Steve Johnson? He started slowly, and threw in a poor service game early doors, but thereafter he had breakpoints on almost every one of Johnson's service games, and he steamrolled through almost every one of his own service games. Have to say I was impressed. I thought he might be fatigued after going deep in recent tournaments but no, he looked fresh, and he'll be a threat to anyone, even the big guns, if he keeps this standard up.
  20. Re: March 17 - March 23 @Torque Agree with you certainly on Thiem, I was very impressed with him against Rosol, who played reasonably well, but threw in one or two sloppy service games and that was all the young Austrian needed. He also more than matched Rosol in the longer rallies too, which I wasn't expecting. I think Thiem could well take this, unless Robredo brings his best game.
  21. Re: March 10 - March 16 I watched almost the entire match and won some cash in running, before losing it all and more when Monfils inexplicably threw away the game when serving for the match What a pair of clowns They're both capable of terrific tennis but neither is capable of maintaining focus beyond a few games at a time, and this is why neither will make (or at least stay for any length of time) the top ten The amount of chances both players fluffed was staggering Fognini is a grade one buffoon, talent to burn but he can't be arsed to stay focussed, Monfils is not much better, but at least his inconsistency can partly be explained by little niggles he picks up (as he did during this match) Monfils' collapse when serving for the match was outrageous And I thought the women were flakey! f&ck me, these two take the biscuit I will think very carefully before throwing money on either of these two gimps again
  22. Re: Australian Open 2014 That's a fair comment, and on first glance, 2.15 on Murray to beat Federer is crazy odds and should be snapped up before the bookies realise their mistake. However, all that said, two points should be kept in mind: 1) Murray has very little game time since his back surgery and although he's performed pretty well since arriving in Melbourne, he still showed some signs of flakiness, like fluffing three matchpoints in the third set against Robert, also the way he capitulated to Mayer a few weeks ago was pretty shocking, assume it was injury related though. My point anyway is that in the longer matches, Murray is gonna show some signs of weakness. However, If he can wrap this up in three sets, then that won't be an issue. 2) Which brings me to my next point, Federer was impressive against Tsonga, admittedly Tsonga was pretty poor, but Fed was the dominant player through most of the match, even when his first serve wasn't firing, his second serve and netplay was still giving Tsonga plenty of problems, and so I don't see Murray wrapping this up in three sets, which means Murray is gonna experience some problems, whether it's enough to prevent him winning the match in four, or perhaps five sets, I can't say. Heart says Federer, but Head says Murray, 3 sets to 1, so yes, definitely worth taking those 2.15 odds if they're still to be had.
  23. Re: Australian Open 2014 Niculescu hung in there against Lisicki and allowed the German to self destruct, as she often does She(Lisicki) made a f&ckload of unforced errors, and Niculescu had only 8 winners, would you believe! The Romanian's big strength is her unusual playing style which can throw off opponents and her ability to scamper after and return all but the most well placed of shots But if her opponent doesn't make many errors, she can come unstuck I just have a feeling that Makarova, who has a much better temperment than Lisicki, will have too many weapons for Niculescu
  24. Re: Australian Open 2014 I'd agree with this one Wang had some difficulties beating Irish no. 1 James McGee in the first qualifying round, he won that 7-6 7-5, but McGee (who is well down the rankings) broke him a couple of times in the second set, which is not a good sign I think Lu should win this in straight sets and should be capable of covering the handicap, 6-4 6-3, 7-5 or equivalent, would be surprised to see Wang taking a set, if he does it'll be in a tiebreak, but even then I'd rate Lu as a good shot to cover the handicap
  25. Re: Australian Open 2014 Draws have been made: http://www.ausopen.com/en_AU/scores/draws/index.html