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** October Poker League Result : 1st avongirl, 2nd McG, 3rd Rhino_Power **
** October Naps Competition Result: 1st internetmails, 2nd Donnyflyer, 3rd vangovin, 4th Peter York. KO Cup Winner mickyftm32. Most Winners waggy: **


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Everything posted by amity

  1. Paddy Power have the US at 9/2 outright, with the cash out option open currently. They might close off the cash out option though, not sure, but if they don't and the US beat Italy, then their odds will shorten and we could already be in profit. Going to throw something on this (not the house mind you!) 😁
  2. Another one I advised here but didn't put money on myself 😕 (would have been Nadal+games, not sure I would have backed him outright)
  3. Nice work @Fader! And thanks for more excellent tipping advice! I still have Soutar and Wattimena outright, at 200/1 e/w and 150/1 e/w respectively, albeit relatively small stakes, let's see how far they can go!
  4. One thing to keep in mind re Ruud is that his record against lefties is not so great. He's lost to left handed players a few times this year. Hence even though Nadal is out of contention, Ruud might not find it so easy against him, and although Ruud probably will prevail, Nadal could keep it close. It depends as well on whether Ruud needs to win to progress, anyway it's something to keep in mind for the Ruud Nadal clash.
  5. Thanks Czech! I needed that after a few bad losses lately! 😀
  6. Yeh we were unlucky there, could easily have had two in the semis but ended up with none, them's the breaks 😕
  7. De Decker into the semis so we're guaranteed a payout at least! Tough assignment vs Price but he's playing well so you never know!
  8. my internet went on the blink for a while earlier, I was furiously pressing on that 9/2 all morning with william hill but no joy, it wouldn't go through 😕 sure enough, the tip comes in in the meantime! the luck's just not with me at the moment! thanks for the great tip all the same @Fader, the betting gods will surely send some good luck my way for a change soon!
  9. cannot believe I missed out on this 😕 I bet on a couple of others but skipped on Smith as couldn't get the better odds you mentioned Fader 😒 still though, great work @Fader!
  10. Yeh I saw part of it, Doherty played so-so, nothing special, some good long pots but equally a few shocking misses too and his positional play left a lot to be desired at times. Like you said, Williams was a disaster, might as well not have bothered showing up! Anytime he got given an opportunity, which Doherty gave him on several occasions, he made an absolute meal of it. Only positive is as you mentioned that Doherty is likely to get beaten next round so that should provide some opportunities for us.
  11. I'd like to go with you here Czech but what puts me off is how utterly dire Tiafoe was in his last match vs Ruusovorri, he was shocking! Maybe you're right though, he'll have points to defend and good memories of doing well here last year, so perhaps he'll play like we know he can!
  12. There's something not right with her for most of the season. I suspect she has post covid symptoms and has not been either physically or psychologically in a good place since early this year. Hope she manages to get back to her true self for next year, as she's been an absolute pale shadow of the player she was in 2021.
  13. You could be right Czech, although I will say that Badosa has certainly improved, she could easily have been one set up in both of her last two matches against decent opponents. I expect it will be close match, wouldn't be surprised to see it going three long sets.
  14. Saw a bit of Ding's match. Yes he certainly underperformed although I have to say White was in sterling form, nonetheless a focussed Ding would still have been too good for him, but sadly aside from one or two flourishes, this was a very poor effort from the Chinese.
  15. I think Collins to win San Diego at 13/2 with Bet365 is not the worst price, considering that she's already in the quarter and due to meet the winner of Chirico and Badosa, the former who won her first WTA match in five years to get here and the woefully out of form Badosa. Collins at 4/7 to win Q4 is another option, again with Bet365. I must say though, I was impressed with Chirico's performance against Riske, an amazing comeback, and Badosa's level was certainly better vs Kvitova in her last match then in her previous dire efforts. Still though, with Collins set to play either the inexperienced Chirico or the out of form and likely low in confidence Badosa, you'd have to fancy her to win that. Then she'd face most likely Sabalenka in the semis and Swiatek in the final, if she were successful, very tough matches, but so long as she makes the semis, there'll be hedging opportunities to ensure we don't lose out. In my view, it's worth a go anyway.
  16. Steadman didn't really show up tonight it looks like, admittedly Lilley seemed to be playing very well for the few minutes of it I saw. Ah well, onwards and upwards!
  17. I saw some of the match, Karatsev is such a frustrating and inconsistent player, when he was in the zone for much of the second set, he was immense, I don't think any player hits it as hard as him. Incredible power and some outstanding winners. He played some tremendous tennis in that second set, and not just power, he had some lovely deft volleys too. However he was all at sea in the first and third sets, the occasional brilliant point, followed by numerous UEs, and I think he threw in the towel once he went a break down in the final set. Ymer, for his part, was very solid for most of the match, aside from when he lost a few games in a row in the second set. He's exceptionally fast and his retrieval skills are among the best on the tour. He's made real improvements to his game over the last year or two and is now a consistently high performer. I'd like to see him go on and win the tournament, playing like this he definitely has a chance.
  18. anyone know what the heck happened to van Rijthoven this morning... was he carrying an injury or something? Can't see how he could put in such a pathetic performance otherwise 😕
  19. I'll be looking to take on Badosa again in some form or other vs Alison Riske, who is demolishing Louise Chirico as we speak. Hope we get plus odds on Riske. I will say though that Badosa actually played pretty well vs Kvitova in her last match and probably should have taken the first set, so perhaps she's starting to turn the corner, but a lively Riske, with home support behind her, will still present a challenge, so let's see what odds we get for her later tonight or tomorrow. EDIT: Chirico is blazing back into this one, she's just taken the second set having been a double break down!
  20. I would agree normally however my only concern is it looks like Golubic hasn't played since the US Open, if my information is correct? EDIT: sorry, Google gave me wrong results on that, I checked on Flashscore just now and see that she's played a couple of tournaments in the interim and done pretty well overall, only losing to Muchova in Talinn (although she was admittedly beaten quite well by her in the end).
  21. Great call! Sadly am only seeing it now 😕 But very well done!
  22. Anyone get on this? All of them came in! (yes I know Swiatek won her match via retirement but PP still paid out!) And as per normal, I didn't put much of my money where my mouth was, played it too safe 😕 At least I had a double on a Djoker + Tsitipas 2-0 each which also came in, so I still made some cash.
  23. I think it's worth going against Badosa again vs Kvitova, the latter who has been pretty solid, her recent losses have mostly been to top players like Pegula or those in great form like Garcia (who she lost to in the Cincinatti final), whilst Badosa has done nothing of note in recent months, often losing badly in matches where she was favourite, her only notable win of recent tournaments was against Gauff in San Jose. There's definitely something not right with her this last six months, whether it's something off court or perhaps Covid after effects, she's just way too inconsistent these days and her current ranking of 4 doesn't reflect her standard of late which is perhaps top 50 level, probably not even top 25 level. At 8/13 (Paddy Power), I think Kvitova is the wise bet here, and the 2.5 game handicap (again with Paddy Power) also looks like a steal, considering that Badosa is clearly not playing to anything like her best in recent months. Admittedly Badosa won their last H2H in Wimbledon but Paula has gone backwards since, so I'm prepared to go against her here. I notice a special on Paddy Power for Swiatek and Kvitova to both win 2-0 at 10/3. I think this is also worth a small wager. Swiatek plays Tomljanovic who is in pretty good form too it has to be said, still though if Iga is switched on, she wins this in two.
  24. I see Paddy Power have a special on Raducanu and Dart to win in straights at 14/1. Bit of a long shot but might be worth a small wager, if you reckon Raducanu could do it in two sets.
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