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CzechPunter

Tennis Tips - October 29 - November 4

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8 hours ago, opole said:

You probably don't have too wait that long to go against Alex Zverev.

Mahut/Tiafoe in the second round could be a possible upset too.

I agree on this and basically assumed u were referring to Tiafoe. He looked good today.  I see a lopez/tiafoe r16. Or exactly the opposite

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Aryna Sabalenka to beat Ashleigh Barty at 1.61 with bet365

Aryna just recently beat Ash in Wuhan semis in straight sets and there's no reason to think that Aryna has slowed down with her form. This season Aryna has done what Ash hasn't she's won big titles and made a big progress in her own development. She has become far better than Ash has been and I don't think she will lose this match.

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3.4 is not the odds I was looking for on tiafoe. I’m probably going to pass up betting on this.  I will cheer for a Diego Alexander match up and warn you guys that Zverev if he does win will probably cover the handicap

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Challenger Eckental

Daniel Brands vs. Ruben Bemelmans

=> Daniel Brands @ 2.84 Pinnacle stake: 3/10

I think Bemelmans is a bit overrated here due to playing a solid match vs. Thiem in Vienna. I think this is an equal matchup, history showed both players are at the samel level as the H2H is 4-4. Interesting fact: Both met three times in Eckental. Brands won two of those three meetings. If we take a deeper look into those eight matches we can clearly see that it was always a tight affair between those two. Only three of those eight matches ended in straight sets (2-1 Bemelmans), other five matches were close matches that went the distance. I expect another close match here with some tiebreaks. I think odds are way too high.

Edited by opole

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Just now, money44 said:

3.4 is not the odds I was looking for on tiafoe. I’m probably going to pass up betting on this.  I will cheer for a Diego Alexander match up and warn you guys that Zverev if he does win will probably cover the handicap

I got 4.18 on Tiafoe at Pinnacle. I think this is solid enough to take. I don't know if would bet on ~3.4...probably not.

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ATP París 

Book: William Hill

Phillip Kohlschreiber to beat Cilic@3.15

Lucas Pouille to beat Simon@2.35

The only thing I will tell you guys is Simon had some problem With his leg in his last match in Switzerland versus Roger. The indoor surface change could also affect him and you’ll have to trust me on the other one ride the Lightning. 

Please excuse bold text I can’t change it on my phone.

 

Edited by money44

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Jeremy Chardy to beat Fernando Verdasco at 2.25 with bet365

This one feels like an upset mainly because Jeremy is french and because Fernando reached the Vienna semis. It doesn't hurt that Jeremy has a 3-1 record versus Fernando and won their last match 6-1 6-2 in Cincinnati this season.

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Andrea Arnaboldi to beat Daniel Masur at 2.37 with bet365

I saw Andrea ilve in stockholm open qualies two weeks ago, he was good enough then to win this match and should be now to. I think the market overreacts to Daniel having homeadvantage and a decent hardcourt record. But Andrea is not bad on hardcourt so this match may be up to him if he wants to win it. In playing strength Andrea is stronger than Daniel.

Edited by four-leaf

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On 10/28/2018 at 11:50 AM, money44 said:

PL tennis stats 11-14, +10.72 units

Event: Wta Mumbai

sportsbook: Heritage

Mrdeza 7.15

Thandi 3.7

Kovinic 3.8

Radwanska 3.1

Lisicki 2.9

Jia-Jing Liu 4.6

Khazaniuk 5.05

I will do analysis when I have more info on next matches maybe in Paris

 

Very first match here Lu cash at 4.6 odds. This was the first post that I put out this week right behind czech punter opening the thread.. khazaniuk also in a dog fight third set @5.05 odds. More of these matches will probably cash.

Update: second match Khazaniuk cash 5.05 

Edited by money44

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what do you think on Nadal's return afterr his knee injury?? for me, he normally doesnt play well afetr an injury, or do you think he'll have a good tournament here in Paris? he's next match is against Verdasco, a player he knows well. So, what you think?

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Well, you either bet on Verdasco before the match, hoping that Nadal is in a bad shape, or you watch live, see what happens in the first couple of games and decide at that point. There isn't much to go on at this point as far as I'm concerned, so it's impossible to call.

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@CzechPunter if you’re awake take a punt on Sousa. I have him winning the match outright. You can go 50/50 on the set handi. I saw a clip of djokovic running recently, and I don’t think his speed and fitness is going to be there today. Or at least at these odds it’s worth the chance to try because I might be right, And I’ve been running pretty good with my pics recently

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