Judeksi

Juventus has been a better team in this year's CL. But in this final match it's a little bit different situation because of the neutral field where the match is played. Still, odds for Juventus look tempting. Like said before they have a bit more balanced team than Real Madrid, and in the best case scenario for Juventus this could end up being a same kind of match than against Barcelona.

Jiri Vesely can beat Roberto Bautista-Agut

Hyeon Chung to beat Sam Querrey at 2.12 with Pinnaclesports
Got to take Hyeon here. He's proven himself against the best lately on clay. Sam Querrey should have a hard time here as clay is not where he usually does his best. Sam can play on clay no doubt about that but I just think Hyeon is so good right now except when facing someone like Berdych who he lost against in Lyon in straight sets. Anyway Hyeon is dangerous and Sam should beware of the danger that lies ahead of him.
Philipp Kohlschreiber to beat Nick Kyrgios at 2.57 with Pinnaclesports
I think Philipp can do some damage tomorrow. He's got what it takes to take out Nick who is not at his best on clay. Nick is probably mostly waiting for the grass season to begin and feels that clay is just something to get over with quickly. Have chosen Pinnaclesports in case of retirement by Nick.

Houston Dynamo -0.5 @ 1.93(pinnacle)
Whitecaps may have 2 straight home wins in a row but Houston Dynamo is a very different side to average Montreal or poor Rapids. They have beaten quality teams like Sounders and Red Bulls at home so far. Only complacency against Minnesota prevented them from a 6 home wins out of 6 record. They should prove too strong for Whitecaps especially when the league leading scorer Cubo Torres is back too. Considering Houston poor road record, this is a pivotal game for them too as they will embark on a 3 games road trip next week.

My main pick today is Paire @2,17
He is doing very well so far, winning against Carreno Busta and Wawrinka, while Cuevas had some problems against Mahut and Bellucci. Furthermore he has a 3-0 (H2H) record against Cuevas without dropping a set.
Other bets: Coric +5.5 games, Kyrgios, Sevastova and Bouchard.

Sounders -0.5 @ 1.88(pinnacle)
This is a quick turnaround for Toronto. They have to travel about 3500km to Seattle to play the earliest game of the Sunday schedule. They started their last 2 games with the same lineup so it's almost certain there will be some rotation. The onslaught by Orlando in the 2nd half will also likely takes it toll on them. To make things worse, they will have another midweek game against Columbus Crew on next Thursday. That's a conference game which is likely to be more of a priority for them than a revenge game. Sounders will be disappointed that they failed to pick up a 2nd straight win last week but they should be able to do it against a rotated or tired Toronto side(depending on which team Gregg Vanney plays).

My bet is that Dimitrov basically just tanked in Marrakech while collecting the entrance money (or whatever it is called). It was surprising to me that he even wanted to play there before the big claycourt tournaments like Monte Carlo.
Robredo looks like he's heading into retirement soon. His backhand was very weak and he couldn't even produce good points with his forehand either.

AS Monaco - Borussia Dortmund

Curiously enough, Dortmund are favorites to win in 90 minutes despite the Ligue 1 side boasting a strong home record in Europe.
Monaco have won 21 of the 30 Champions League matches they have hosted, and of the sides in the history of the tournament who have hosted at least 30 games, only Real Madrid, Barcelona and Bayern Munich boast a better home win percentage. Dortmund, for their part, have only won two of their last six away games in the competition, with their only clean sheet during that time coming at an extremely poor Legia Warsaw.
 
Monaco therefore look to be a little over priced, and this exciting, attacking team look good value to record another home win. However, instead of backing them outright for the win, i will take the price of 2.05 for the hosts to score over 1.5 goals.
Leonardo Jardim's men are the top scorers in Ligue 1 this season with 90 goals in 32 games, while at home they have netted 54 goals in 16 games. In the Champions League, meanwhile, they have scored at least two goals in their last three home matches.
Against a Dortmund side who do not look particularly solid defensively, Monaco look well placed to net at least twice.

 Monaco to score more than 1.5 goals @ 2.05 

is it me or ruud at 3.50 is massive value? ruud is clearly a clay courter, he did really well in rio and he's won all his tournaments on clay (2 futures and 1 challenger) in the last 52 weeks he has a record of 15-8 on clay in atp and challenger. Struff has a really decent record too he is 23-8 in the same conditions and he's been playing quite good recently. However he's already played 5 matches since April 10th, he struggled a bit in the first round against Mathieu. If struff wasn't in form i'd price this match as a 50-50 but given he's playing his best tennis recently i accept he's favourite prior to this match but honestly i don't see any reason to price him at 1.25 to me that's just poor value. Ruud is not some tomic or muller on clay, he can clearly perform well. This montecarlo surface is really slow so i expect long rallies and in a long match struff might start feeling some fatigue... so all in all is ruud to me to win this match and to win at least a set.
ruud to win at 3.50
ruud to win a set at 1.80
medvedev seems also a good value to me and on the outright i fancy thiem to win his quarter however 5.00 seems a bit short to me especially if he will probably face goffin and djokovic. nadal seems to have an easy road to the SF (Zverev seems the biggest threat here) but at 1.50 there's probably no value. Q1 is similar, can't see murray losing to any of his opponents... just kohlscrheiber can put him into some trouble but after reaching the final in morocco i don't know how much he's left on the tank.
good luck this week

what a gift odds on juventus, allegri already said juventus will play to score goals which mean's of course they are not stupid or naive like psg to defend 90 minutes. most will expect barcelona to turn it around except me of course because i will be big money on juventus to win and both to score. 

Difficult round of games this week but my winning bet will be Tottenham -1 at 1.60. If someone can tell me why this won't win, I'm all ears. Looks pretty straightfoward to me 

NYC DNB @ 2.36(marathonbet)
Philly is a complete dumpster fire. They are winless in their last 13 games, a streak which was extended from last season. Coach Jim Curtin has look clueless so far and probably thanking his lucky stars that he still has a job now because of Philly good start last season. According to his match press conference, he is going with the same tactic and probably also the same personal and just hope for footballing gods to have some mercy on them. Even with this 3 home games stretch, I won't be surprised to see them getting 0 points.

This is a tough weekend IMO.
Crystal Palace - Leicester over 2,5 might be the bet I'm taking. Everton had problems with their defensive lineup against Leicester, but Leicester also leaked 4 goals against them. CP also has a lot of firepower, Zaha, Benteke etc.. Maybe small stakes for this one but this looks tempting to me.

Yes, and they don't like to play out 0-0 score bores. They prefer goals & excitemnt, could be worth looking at

Has to be Chelsea at 8/13 for me this week.
Bournemouths style will suit Chelsea, who will soak it up and pick them off on the break, a comfortable away win as Chelsea close in on the title.

I think I'm going to drop out from the Leicester bandwagon this weekend, I just think that the crucial CL match against Atletico Madrid has to be the match that they are aiming for now. But my bet from Premier League this weekend is:
West Ham - Swansea over 2,5 goals, highest odds around 1.87 (Marathonbet)
Both teams have been leaking goals recently. Swansea record of over 2,5 goals in 11 of their 15 away matches, whereas West Ham has had over 2,5 goals in 5 of their previous home matches. The only concern to me here is fatigue because of the midweek matches. On the other hand that tiredness could cause more defensive mistakes. Both teams are still fighting to stay in the league, so motivation for winning this match must be high for both teams.

I think I'm going to drop out from the Leicester bandwagon this weekend, I just think that the crucial CL match against Atletico Madrid has to be the match that they are aiming for now. But my bet from Premier League this weekend is:
West Ham - Swansea over 2,5 goals, highest odds around 1.87 (Marathonbet)
Both teams have been leaking goals recently. Swansea record of over 2,5 goals in 11 of their 15 away matches, whereas West Ham has had over 2,5 goals in 5 of their previous home matches. The only concern to me here is fatigue because of the midweek matches. On the other hand that tiredness could cause more defensive mistakes. Both teams are still fighting to stay in the league, so motivation for winning this match must be high for both teams.

I think I'm going to drop out from the Leicester bandwagon this weekend, I just think that the crucial CL match against Atletico Madrid has to be the match that they are aiming for now. But my bet from Premier League this weekend is:
West Ham - Swansea over 2,5 goals, highest odds around 1.87 (Marathonbet)
Both teams have been leaking goals recently. Swansea record of over 2,5 goals in 11 of their 15 away matches, whereas West Ham has had over 2,5 goals in 5 of their previous home matches. The only concern to me here is fatigue because of the midweek matches. On the other hand that tiredness could cause more defensive mistakes. Both teams are still fighting to stay in the league, so motivation for winning this match must be high for both teams.

I think I'm gonna stay on Leicester bandwagon. Leicester with -1 and/or -1,5 handicaps looks tasty enough to me. Sunderland are heading towards the relegation and Leicester is moving to the exact opposite in the standings.

Leicester to beat Stoke has to be the bet of the weekend for me:
- Leicester has been totally reborn and rejuvenated after Ranieri was kicked out.
- Leicester has now beaten Sevilla, Liverpool and Hull at home after Ranieri went away, I expect this run of fantastic home performances to continue.
- Bardsley is out for Stoke, even though this is not a huge blow for Stoke, it's changes the defensive lineup for Stoke.

Alexander Dolgopolov to beat Philip Kohlschreiber at 2.00 with bet365
So nice price on the dog. Got to take it. He's lost twice to Philip on grass in Germany and won once on the indoor hardcourts of Paris. Now it's hardcourt again, and a hardcourt that suits Alexander way better then Philip and the form of Alexander is looking terrific. No brainer for me, got to take this bet. High stake!

First time poster here. That Millwall-Leicester FA Cup match looks definitely interesting, I would also like to get more feedback on that match.
I believe Millwall will go with their best possible starting XI. Leicester has very important CL match against Sevilla next wednesday, so I strongly believe there will be rotation. CL has to be Leicester's main motivation at the moment, even though the situation in PL looks tough.
All in all Leicester looked like a team which lacks self confidence when they lost against Swansea last weekend. Leicester's situation is a mess and Millwall has already beaten two premier league teams on FA Cup 16/17, so that's why Millwall's victory with those odds looks tempting. But I think I will have to wait for the starting XIs.

Back Diego Sebastian Schwartzman to beat Elias Ymer for a 8/10 stake at 2.40 with BetVictor Back Marsel Ilhan to beat Radek Stepanek for a 8/10 stake at 2.50 with Betway Back I.Marchenko/G.Monfils - Over 3.5 sets for a 7/10 stake at 2.50 with Paddy Power Back Ilya Marchenko to beat Gael Monfils for a 2/10 stake at 8.50 with Paddy Power Back Mardy Fish (-6.5) to beat Marco Cecchinato for a 8/10 stake at 1.90 with Paddy Power Another awful Monday? I hope not. Schwartzman and Ilhan are the must picks for me today as far as the underdogs are concerned, really don't know why the odds aren't the other way around, Ymer is nothing special on the hard courts and Stepanek is just in a bad form generally. Marchenko should also have a shot against Monfils, who's been playing average tennis recently, especially after coming through the qualifiers. Finally, Cecchinato was crushed by Bedene last week and I expect to see something similar today with the over-motivated Fish on the other side of the net. Full preview here: https://www.punterslounge.com/us-open-betting-novak-djokovic-starts-his-flushing-meadows-journey-on-monday