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Racing chat Wednesday 23rd October
Tedthewolf and 6 others reacted to black rabbit for a topic
Bless Him 7 40Kem 1/40th of a pt ew 20/1 Bellachi 4 05Kem 1/40th of a pt ew 25/1 Ziggy's Phonex 4 05Kem 1/40th of a pt ew 20/1 -Won Thorntonnledale Max 6 40Kem 1/40th of a pt ew 18/1 -3rd P/L + 180.45pts7 points -
Racing chat Wednesday 23rd October
BBBC and 4 others reacted to richard-westwood for a topic
405 newm Twirling 553 386 total 939 Queens reign 528 353 total 881 Zapphire 510 372 total 882 Twirling ran a stinker last time ....maybe there was something amiss...has a high rating on both form and class maybe he can bounce back with Ryan Moore up?? ....5 PT Ew 6/15 points -
Racing chat Wednesday 23rd October
LEE-GRAYS and 3 others reacted to black rabbit for a topic
"looks like we'll be getting jiggy at the cat house again tonight Lee" 🏇 😃 after a few beers and a 'curry" of course4 points -
Racing chat Wednesday 23rd October
Nigwilliam and 3 others reacted to Robski for a topic
Wednesday ratings. 4.05 nmkt. Twirling.111. 8/1 Mallavelly. 100. 10/1. 3.40 Fontmell. Colours of canvas.135. 11/2 Whatsuowithyou.135. 15/8. 7.40 kemp. Fantasy believer.105.12/1 Tempus.103. 20/1. 8.10 kemp. Duke of Oxford. 105. 3/1. Red flyer.100. 8/1. All 2pts win,10,s and over 1pt e.way.and 1/2 pt r.f.c all races.4 points -
Racing Chat - Friday 25th October
richard-westwood and 2 others reacted to The Brigadier for a topic
Seven races from ITV today and here's my thoughts - Cheltenham 1.50 Just five line up for this class 2 2M novices’ chase, the first race of the new season at Cheltenham for the ITV cameras. Four of the five are carrying penalties with the one exception being Gavin Cromwell’s Path d’Oroux. He’s raced in and shown good form in decent handicap company but is nought from ten over fences hence he retains his novice status. On official ratings he’s 16lb and more superior to his four rivals and should be winning this all be it at skinny enough odds. PATH d’OROUX 1 point win @ 6/4 BetVictor Doncaster 2.08 An eight runner fillies maiden is one of three races covered at the Yorkshire track by the ITV crew and although we have two nicely bred newcomers in the shape of the Gosden’s Queen Of Thieves who is a full sister to Cracksman and the William Haggas trained Wonder Star who cost 200,000 guineas as a yearling you can’t beat experience, especially on the likely testing ground so the pick is the David Menuisier trained Janey Mackers who was strong in the market on her racecourse debut when a 1 1/2L third in a Yarmouth maiden won by a promising Gosden debutant. Sure to have improved for that this daughter of New Bay can put that experience to good use and go two better. JANEY MACKERS 1 point win @ 3/1 bet365 Cheltenham 2.25 A valuable class 2 two mile handicap chase features nine speedy chasers including last year’s one-two Dancing On My Own and Triple Trade who both have good claims especially the former who is actually 4lb better off with his old rival today and arrives on the back of a win at Ballinrobe 60 days ago. The fancy however is the in form Nigel Twiston-Davies runner Matata who has a 100% record fresh over the past three seasons so a 195 day absence shouldn’t be a problem for this likeable six-year-old who runs in the double green colours of Simon Munir and Isaac Souede. MATATA 1 point win @ 11/4 bet365 Doncaster 2.43 Fourteen run in this class 3 1M handicap run on the straight corse on soft ground. Many here are proven in soft ground and the race has a wide open look about it. One of six three-year-olds in the race William Muir & Chris Grassick’s Ebt’s Guard was very well backed when winning a classified stakes race at Ascot last time out having previously finished a decent sixth in the Cambridgeshire and with his liking for soft ground can be competitive off of just a 2lb higher handicap mark. He can be backed each way with additional places. EBT’S GUARD 1 point each way @ 7/1 William Hill 1/5th 1234 Cheltenham 3.00 Just six go to post for the 2M Grade 2 Sky Bet Novices’ Hurdle. The stand out performer here is the Adrian Keatley winning machine Gale Mahler. She has won six of her seven career starts with her best performance coming when upped into listed company at Galway in July when running out a 10L winner. She is penalised 5lb for that run but the likeable five-year-old mare can win again with Paul Nicholls’s Brave Knight the one to chase her home with his latest victory already working out well. GALE MAHLER 1 point win @ 4/5 bet365 Doncaster 3.18 A nine runner class 2 6F handicap in which the stand out horse is without doubt the improving three-year-old of William Haggas’s Altmore. The gelding won without coming off of the bridle on his handicap debut at Pontefract earlier this month on soft ground and even though that was a class 5 contest he looked a horse way ahead of his mark and with Tom Marquand taking over from Danny Tudhope stands out as the best bet of the day with conditions to suit again even though he will have to cope with a rise of 11lb. Zoum Zoum is interesting making his handicap debut on ground that suits for Ralph Beckett and looks the danger. ALTMORE 2 points win @ 6/4 William Hill Cheltenham 3.35 A highly competitive handicap chase for amateur jockeys only is up next to be run over 3M 1F. Nineteen will line up and we’ll need some luck in running here for sure. Last year’s winner Mole Court is back to defend his title along with the third and fourth from that race Wick Green and Strictlyadancer. They all have claims but it’s the younger Atlanta Brave that catches my eye. Kerry Lee has her string in good form and saddles her six-year-old with the experienced Zac Baker on top. This will only be his fifth career start over the bigger obstacles so there may easily be some improvement to come if straight enough for his first run since March. ATLANTA BRAVE 1 point each way @ 8/1 Quinnbet 1/5th 123453 points -
Plymouth have to be opposed tonight in the Championship against a home team who beat them twice last season without conceding Millwall @ 1.6 with William Hill3 points
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Fond memories of this event as I picked out Ross Smith to win it a few years back. The top half is probably where you want to be. I'll be going with the following : Anderson 16/1 BetVictor --------------------------------------------- Schindler e/w 50/1 Sky De Decker e/w 50/1 (60/1 boosted with Laddies) Van Veen e/w 125/1 (Sky) Pie 300/1 e/w (sky)3 points
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2 points
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Sea Prince 2:43 Southwell (12/1 Betfair and a couple others). They tried holding this one up over 2M3F at Huntingdon last time but he's best leading over 2M on fast ground. Dropped a generous 5lb for that run and leaves him looking nicely handicapped off 108 (won brush hurdles off 112 in the summer). Usual jockey goes to Fontwell for one ride but they've booked Carver who is decent. Mr Mackay and Duke of Luckley don't look well handicapped while the fav won a 3m point and might find this a bit sharp after a break. 2pts win 12/1 P/L: +2.5pts. Skybet have him 6/1 without the fav and I've taken some of that too. Went out like a light before the home straight, Guess he is done for the season 😬2 points
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Not a bad day. 7pts profit 11/2 winner,plus £9.87. F.cast.and 20/1 place.2 points
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Racing chat Wednesday 23rd October
LEE-GRAYS and one other reacted to Tedthewolf for a topic
Well done with Ziggy . I have had a few shillings e/w on Bless Him tonight with your old mate on top!!!! i hope i don't regret it. lol2 points -
Midweek Football Bets > 22nd - 24th October
ThunderDan9 and one other reacted to yossa6133 for a topic
Away double. WBA have hit the buffers a little lately but can get back on track at a pretty bad Blackburn. Burnley played well away at Wednesday and I want to keep opposing Hull. Double pays 5.37/1 with Bet365 (slightly bigger elsewhere but the 2 goal early payout is a good offer). 1pt double P/L: -3.6pts2 points -
If anyone bk a winner today at Newmarket, they must have a crystal ball.lot of big priced winner's that I wouldn't of chosen with 3 selections per race.coming to the end of the flat season, and the form doesn't hold up. Personally going to concentrate on the jumps now.2 points
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£20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome
The Equaliser and one other reacted to waggy for a topic
Result: Deep Purple 1st. Won £22 Profit to date £172 points -
Midweek Football Bets > 22nd - 24th October
andypandy23 and one other reacted to harry_rag for a topic
I wish I was your bookie! Not saying it's a bad bet but it's not a great price. 9.6 on the exchange and your tenner gets you £84.28 after commission.2 points -
Midweek Football Bets > 22nd - 24th October
harry_rag and one other reacted to andypandy23 for a topic
I fancy an upset in the Man City Sparta Prague game tonight. Double chance is 6 to 1! Tenner gets you £70.2 points -
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DAILY LUCKY 15
The Equaliser and one other reacted to MCLARKE for a topic
I think you would be better off with Betfred 3X offer although you would only really know if you kept detailed records over a period of time. I've just had a quick look at today's Newmarket card and Betfred offer the better odds, perhaps that is a one off.2 points -
European Championship Finals
Fader and one other reacted to ThunderDan9 for a topic
Frankly, I don't have strong "longshot" leanings this time... I can't get over the dominance Humphries showed in ET 13 last week... and his recent major tournament results are also outstanding... and then Littler and MVG also fired in big 100+ averages last week... add the strange fact that there are no 150/1 standouts this time (bookies are getting smarter? I mean, there are more dominant players now, the two Lukes primarily, and still, players like Ross Smith are around only 30/1...). Two players I kind of like is Wade and Noppert. Both in the "Luke" half though, and especially Wade seems to have a harsh draw... most probably he would need to beat Cross+Dobey+Humphries+Littler to get to the finals... ouch. So Noppert... well, he hits very good averages, he usually goes some rounds... but never wins a tournament... still, I think I'm rolling the dice on Noppert at 50/1 (I don't have sky unfortunately) - and will once again regret it. 😁2 points -
DPW Tour Genesis Championship 2024
MinellaWorksop and one other reacted to CakeCakeCake for a topic
Top 10 prices matched at - Brandon Stone 4.3/1 - Richard Mansell 4.3/1 - Tom Vaillant 5/1 - Jason Scrivener 10/1 - David Law 8.2/12 points -
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European Championship Finals
ThunderDan9 and one other reacted to Trimble89 for a topic
Will be having a proper look at this later today, but as said previously you want to be in the top half. I've obviously made an error earlier in the year when I tried to back Ross Smith & Cullen for one of the European Tour events. Logged into Ladbrokes and I've open bets for them both to win this weekend. So accidentally, I'm already on: Ross Smith e/w 35/1 - Best price currently available 33/1 Joe Cullen e/w 60/1 - Best price currently available 125/1 😅2 points -
£20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome
Nigwilliam and one other reacted to waggy for a topic
Southwell 15.18 £20 Deep Purple @11/10 William Hill2 points -
PGA ZOZO Championship 2024
tonythepaint and one other reacted to CakeCakeCake for a topic
Top 10 prices matched at - Justin Thomas 2.3/1 - Will Zalatoris 3.8/1 - Beau Hossler 4/1 - Gary Woodland 6/1 - Ryo Hisatsune 7.4/12 points -
Well done to Andy, back to winning ways in the PLO game McG takes over at the top of the league and the 3 way tie for 3rd has now been replaced by a 2 way tie for 2nd and a very close battle behind to grab the spoils. So it's all to be decided in the final leg of NLHE with the usual points multiplier playing and extra points at stake. Game starts at 8.10pm, get in at the start if possible please. (I'm an unlikely runner so am not early registering in case I would have to sit out all night.)2 points
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I also have twirling top rated by 11lbs. Mallavelky a distant 2nd in my ratings2 points
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£20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome
MCLARKE and one other reacted to Nigwilliam for a topic
2nd. R4. + £35. + £1222 points -
Naps - Tuesday 22nd October
LordMulberry and one other reacted to kenisbusy for a topic
NC17:25 Happy To Fly 41 pp2 points -
1 point
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Red Bull at 4.5 with MGM for me. That's too big and Red Bull have been going well enough recently.1 point
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PGA ZOZO Championship 2024
MinellaWorksop reacted to tonythepaint for a topic
1 point -
£20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome
The Equaliser reacted to silver fox for a topic
Lost Month: -£18.331 point -
Another issue would be the difference with the turf track and the dirt track so either way the sample size is not adequate but we can glean a few pointers i suppose.1 point
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DAILY LUCKY 15
MCLARKE reacted to The Equaliser for a topic
I keep hoping that a bookmaker will read all your comments about me and offer me £200 in free bets, but it hasn't happened yet. Well done with your treble; I hope you enjoyed your chicken dinner1 point -
No, missed that in my haste! I'll see if I can quickly factor that in tomorrow, it might change the perspective slightly. Though of course we're ending up with a smaller sample size for the higher number draws.1 point
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I assume you saw the runners in the final column of my post. Interestingly in past breeders cups i have looked at "ordinary" meetings at the track but discovered that they bore little resemblance to the "breeders cup" draws and concluded that the BC is quite specific due to them supposedly being the creme de la creme of horses running for serious money so technically should/could overcome the draw or are all run at breakneck pace. You confirmed my feeling that draw 1/5/6 was a good plus so thanks for that. That draw 11 is interesting in that not all races have 11 runners but they all have 1/5/6 runners.1 point
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Racing chat Wednesday 23rd October
Wildgarden reacted to richard-westwood for a topic
Rubbish ....that's twice now the horse hasn't turned up ....queens 2nd ..zapphire 4th1 point -
Naps-Wednesday 23rd. October
LordMulberry reacted to Zilzalian for a topic
1 point -
£20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome
Wildgarden reacted to Nigwilliam for a topic
Sth 533 Stuti 12/1 £10 ew bet365 4pl.1 point -
£20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome
Wildgarden reacted to silver fox for a topic
4.40 Newmarket: Byblos @ 3/1 (WHill)1 point -
Division 5 - Week 7 Selections
CakeCakeCake reacted to avongirl for a topic
These are all time stamped after the 3pm Saturday deadline so bets not taken.1 point -
Naps-Wednesday 23rd. October
Wildgarden reacted to Gary66 for a topic
7-10 kempton masqool 40/1 365 ew1 point -
Of the opening matches on Thursday do like the talented youngster Gian van Veen to extend his 3-0 H2H over Edhouse 1.61 with Coral1 point
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Midweek Football Bets > 22nd - 24th October
ThunderDan9 reacted to yossa6133 for a topic
Small bet on QPR at half time to turn it around, Coventry are a mess and the QPR left winger is having some success. 0.25pts QPR @ 9/1 Coral or Betfair exchange. P/L: -2.6pts.1 point -
DAILY LUCKY 15
MCLARKE reacted to The Equaliser for a topic
I was really pleased to see you get a couple of winners yesterday, seemingly, from your comments, following an in form trainer as opposed to a horse's ability to win the race. We all need to think outside the box. Well done1 point -
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Racing chat Wednesday 23rd October
Wildgarden reacted to yossa6133 for a topic
Golden Ambition 2:30 Fontwell (15/8 Bet365). Very well backed last time and pulled clear of the field but beaten by one of Jonjo's, hopefully go one better here. 2pts win 15/8 P/L: +6.25 Wins well, runner up was hammered into fav but didn't really look like winning.1 point -
DAILY LUCKY 15
MCLARKE reacted to The Equaliser for a topic
I wholeheartedly agree with you Michael. However all this is just experimental in my attempt to prove that I can place lots of bets for fun without causing too much damage to my betting bank. Around April my L15 balance was -95 and yesterday it hit -117.52. this is over a 20 point walk the wrong way. At the end of the year I will review my experimental project and may well have the data available to be much more selective. Many thanks for your advice. What I would be interested in if you and others can give an opinion in relation to my comment yesterday that although I obtain 3 times the odds using Betfred when I only get 1 winner in a L15 and would only get 2 x the odds if I used Bet365. This is because I have noticed that Bet365 consistently give me much better odds for my selections than Betfred. Considering we don't get something for nothing, I am thinking of using Bet365 quite soon to see if I will be better off in the long run.1 point -
Division 5 - Week 7 Selections
CakeCakeCake reacted to harry_rag for a topic
Saturday 3:00 deadline currently looking like it might save you a losing bet, unless City buck their ideas up!1 point