Racing Chat - Monday 1st August.

[kensland]

Double. 

7.00. Win. Elenan's Gift.       4/1.... 1st 

6.05.Car. Barenboin.          7/2....... unpl 

singles & double 

Good luck all. 

Edited August 1, 2022 by kensland

[black rabbit]

Lipsink  6 25 Win     1/5 pt win      30/1          

[Trotter]

Following on from my RPR/RTF system yesterday I'm having another go with a couple of tweaks ......

First of all I'm sticking to handicaps today because the RPR is likely to be based on more evidence than for novice, maiden, two year old conditions races etc. I would probably include group & listed races for older horses but there aren't any today

Secondly I'm only going to post the top and second top rated ...... no point really posting 3 horses in a race, I can't see any circumstance in which I'd ever back 3 horses in a race, but I would sometimes back two

Here's this afternoon's handicaps (might check out the evening cards later)

 

Ayr 1.48 - Ayr Poet 132, City of Life 127
Ayr 2.18 - Water of Leith 140, Earn Your Stripes 116
Ayr 2.48 - Glasses Up 147, White Willow 142, Whats The Story 142
Ayr 3.18 - One Last Hug 134, Milliemix 131

Rip 2.25 - Dream Deal 129, Bonita B 127
Rip 2.55 - Storm Chaser 145, Lord Caprio 133
Rip 3.25 - Joint top - Dakota Gold 165, Chairmanoftheboard 165
Rip 3.55 - Gainsbourg 158, Cosmos Raj 132
Rip 5.00 - Bit of a Quirke 135, Spantik 133

 

Edited August 1, 2022 by Trotter
get rid of those spaces between lines !

[Fist2k8]

Hi all this is my first post. Hope to get to know you all as time goes by

I am surprised that 6/4 is currently available on the machine for HDB's Ballybough Native who I fully expected to be 4/6 at best

My only bet today

 

Edited August 1, 2022 by Fist2k8

[The Equaliser]

6.40 Carl Clifftop Heaven 4/1 (My PL Nap)

7.15 Carl Blazing Hot 4/1

8.00 Win Millie Miglia 4/1

8.15 Carl Where's Jeff 10/3

6 x 0.5 win dbles, 4 x 0.5 win trbles and 1 x 0.5 win 4 fold = 5.5 poss return of 565.79

Singles bets

6.40 Carl Clifftop Heaven 2 pts win at 5.4, Vis A Vis 0.6 win at 10/1 and Tonto's Spirit 0.20 win at 25/1

7.15 Carl Blazing Hot 1 pt win at 5.6, Hot Scoop 0.6 win at 11/2 and Georgeous General 0.4 win at 8/1

8.00 Win Millie Miglia 1 pt win at 6.2, Star Of Valour 0.6 win at 17/2, How Hard Can It Be 0.3 at 16/1 and Plastic Paddy 0.2 at 16/1

Couldn't resist a punt in the 6.25 at WIndsor, Class 2 event.  Lequito 0.6 win at 7/1, Indian Creak 0.6 win at 9/1, Total Commitment 0.3 at 14/1, Cuban Breeze 0.3 win at 10/1 and Lipsink 0.2 win at 25/1

People who like market movers may be interested in No.4 Mac Ailey 5.30 at Carlisle.  It was 13/2 last night but has been backed off the boards into as short as 2/1 with Betvictor.  I don't see it myself so we just have to wait and see if it sprouts wings.

Total stakes 8.9 on singles and 5.5 on multiples = 14.4 today

Good luck to all chancing their arm on mainly low-class racing today

8.45 Kilconquhar 1 pt win at 18.  That should stop Nicola Currie.  She lost on my horse earlier and had 3 other winners ? 

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

I winner and a couple of non-runners.  A loss of 12.55 on the day.  MTD -12.55 YTD -214.73

Obviously class 5 races are not a good medium for my strategy.  I was hoping that with multiple bets in each race this would even itself out.  All I got was more of the unreliable same.  Only Class 4 and upwards again for me from now on.  Also, I will only be putting a win bet on my strongest (usually nap) selection to recover costs in my multiple selections.  All other singles bets as before.  I should have had at least an extra point on Cuban Breeze as Alastair napped it and Richard had it as his second top rated.  

Looking at Tuesday's racing, there is nothing much in the class 4 and upwards races.  The earlier races seem to have odds on favourites and that only leaves me with the 7.20 (C4) & 7.50 (C2) at Kempton.  It will be good if @richard-westwood finds some time to rate up the 7.50 race ?

Edited August 2, 2022 by The Equaliser
RESULTS UPDATE

[MCLARKE]

22 minutes ago, Fist2k8 said:

Hi all this is my first post. Hope to get to know you all as time goes by

I am surprised that 6/4 is currently available on the machine for HDB's Ballybough Native who I fully expected to be 4/6 at best

My only bet today

 

Welcome to the forum @Fist2k8, good luck today !

[black rabbit]

5 hours ago, black rabbit said:

Lipsink  6 25 Win     1/5 pt win      30/1          

i have put up " what i think was the "dapper milo's speed figure's system on sat' 31 racing chat /

 

[richard-westwood]

625 wind

Lequinto  8.4 7/1

Cuban breeze  8.2  10/1 

Get it     7.8  

I'll try 5pt ew top 2 

[Villa Chris]

4 hours ago, Trotter said:

Following on from my RPR/RTF system yesterday I'm having another go with a couple of tweaks ......

First of all I'm sticking to handicaps today because the RPR is likely to be based on more evidence than for novice, maiden, two year old conditions races etc. I would probably include group & listed races for older horses but there aren't any today

Secondly I'm only going to post the top and second top rated ...... no point really posting 3 horses in a race, I can't see any circumstance in which I'd ever back 3 horses in a race, but I would sometimes back two

Here's this afternoon's handicaps (might check out the evening cards later)

 

Ayr 1.48 - Ayr Poet 132, City of Life 127
Ayr 2.18 - Water of Leith 140, Earn Your Stripes 116
Ayr 2.48 - Glasses Up 147, White Willow 142, Whats The Story 142
Ayr 3.18 - One Last Hug 134, Milliemix 131

Rip 2.25 - Dream Deal 129, Bonita B 127
Rip 2.55 - Storm Chaser 145, Lord Caprio 133
Rip 3.25 - Joint top - Dakota Gold 165, Chairmanoftheboard 165
Rip 3.55 - Gainsbourg 158, Cosmos Raj 132
Rip 5.00 - Bit of a Quirke 135, Spantik 133

 

Some cracking results there . 

[Trotter]

Results update from system selections above - top two rated in handicaps 

Ayr 1.48 - Ayr Poet 132 (WON 5/2) City of Life 127
Ayr 2.18 - Water of Leith 140 (WON Evs) Earn Your Stripes 116
Ayr 2.48 - Glasses Up 147, White Willow 142, Whats The Story 142 (WON 11/8)
Ayr 3.18 - One Last Hug 134 (2nd), Milliemix 131

Rip 2.25 - Dream Deal 129, Bonita B 127 (WON 3/1)
Rip 2.55 - Storm Chaser 145, Lord Caprio 133 (WON 16/1)
Rip 3.25 - Joint top - Dakota Gold 165 (2nd), Chairmanoftheboard 165 (3rd)
Rip 3.55 - Gainsbourg 158, Cosmos Raj 132 (WON 8/1)
Rip 5.00 - Bit of a Quirke 135, Spantik 133 (2nd)

 

Have to say that is a pretty good day !

[Trotter]

Left Carlisle out as it's one of those Ladies Pro-Am meetings

Here's the system selections for Windsor ...

Wind 5.15 - Delegate This Lord 148, For Peats Sake 138
Wind 6.25 - Total Comittment 177, Cuban Breeze 170
Wind 7.00 - Yarralumla 149, Lebsayer 135
Wind 8.00 - Janus 149, Charlie Arthur 148
Wind 8.30 - Mr Freedom 165, King of the Kippax 127

 

[Wildgarden]

40 minutes ago, Trotter said:

Results update from system selections above - top two rated in handicaps 

Ayr 1.48 - Ayr Poet 132 (WON 5/2) City of Life 127
Ayr 2.18 - Water of Leith 140 (WON Evs) Earn Your Stripes 116
Ayr 2.48 - Glasses Up 147, White Willow 142, Whats The Story 142 (WON 11/8)
Ayr 3.18 - One Last Hug 134 (2nd), Milliemix 131

Rip 2.25 - Dream Deal 129, Bonita B 127 (WON 3/1)
Rip 2.55 - Storm Chaser 145, Lord Caprio 133 (WON 16/1)
Rip 3.25 - Joint top - Dakota Gold 165 (2nd), Chairmanoftheboard 165 (3rd)
Rip 3.55 - Gainsbourg 158, Cosmos Raj 132 (WON 8/1)
Rip 5.00 - Bit of a Quirke 135, Spantik 133 (2nd)

 

Have to say that is a pretty good day !

u gona do tomorrow seems interesting

[richard-westwood]

3 hours ago, richard-westwood said:

625 wind

Lequinto  8.4 7/1

Cuban breeze  8.2  10/1 

Get it     7.8  

I'll try 5pt ew top 2 

+50.00 .....we  are back in business ? 

[alexcaruso808]

1 hour ago, Trotter said:

Results update from system selections above - top two rated in handicaps 

Ayr 1.48 - Ayr Poet 132 (WON 5/2) City of Life 127
Ayr 2.18 - Water of Leith 140 (WON Evs) Earn Your Stripes 116
Ayr 2.48 - Glasses Up 147, White Willow 142, Whats The Story 142 (WON 11/8)
Ayr 3.18 - One Last Hug 134 (2nd), Milliemix 131

Rip 2.25 - Dream Deal 129, Bonita B 127 (WON 3/1)
Rip 2.55 - Storm Chaser 145, Lord Caprio 133 (WON 16/1)
Rip 3.25 - Joint top - Dakota Gold 165 (2nd), Chairmanoftheboard 165 (3rd)
Rip 3.55 - Gainsbourg 158, Cosmos Raj 132 (WON 8/1)
Rip 5.00 - Bit of a Quirke 135, Spantik 133 (2nd)

 

Have to say that is a pretty good day !

Thank you for sharing your picks, I choose to do place bets for these, so I have had a good return on them.  ?

[azzybear]

shampion 7.30

[azzybear]

detective 7.45

[Trotter]

This evenings results from the RPR/RTF system ......

Wind 5.15 - Delegate This Lord 148, For Peats Sake 138
Wind 6.25 - Total Comittment 177, Cuban Breeze 170 (WON 17/2)
Wind 7.00 - Yarralumla 149, Lebsayer 135 (2nd 9/4)
Wind 8.00 - Janus 149 (3rd 12/1), Charlie Arthur 148
Wind 8.30 - Mr Freedom 165, King of the Kippax 127

not as good as this afternoon but a nice priced winner and a couple of places

[Wildgarden]

20 minutes ago, Trotter said:

This evenings results from the RPR/RTF system ......

Wind 5.15 - Delegate This Lord 148, For Peats Sake 138
Wind 6.25 - Total Comittment 177, Cuban Breeze 170 (WON 17/2)
Wind 7.00 - Yarralumla 149, Lebsayer 135 (2nd 9/4)
Wind 8.00 - Janus 149 (3rd 12/1), Charlie Arthur 148
Wind 8.30 - Mr Freedom 165, King of the Kippax 127

not as good as this afternoon but a nice priced winner and a couple of places

atm ur best going 2nd rated only (the value pick shall we say) as win only. 8-1, 3-1, 17-2, 16-1. 14 races - + 22 more or less.

Edited August 1, 2022 by Wildgarden