alexcaruso808 Posted July 2, 2022 Share Posted July 2, 2022 (edited) A few from Chelmsford for me. 2.10 - Lila Girl @ 2.20 - win 3.20 - Internationalangel @ 4.50 - win 3.55 - Shanko @ 7.50 - EW 4 places Good luck and enjoy the racing. Edited July 2, 2022 by alexcaruso808 Selection added The Equaliser, kensland, black rabbit and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zilzalian Posted July 2, 2022 Share Posted July 2, 2022 Cracking race at 3:00 St-Cloud tomorrow more competetive than the eclipse in my opinion. Notebook horse Baratti runs, i think 33/1 (imo should be around 8/1 in this race) is good ew value but i do like Alpinista 6/1 which beat last years arc winner torquator tasso (won today) quite easily last year I wonder what Sir Mark Prescotts and the owners thoughts were after that Arc. This really is a very competetive race and i think anything can happen so singles and Rfc's for me. Also another notebook horse as highlighted by @calva decoy runs at chelmsford tomorrow at 5:40 Enshrine currently around 11/8f alexcaruso808, calva decoy, Budgie 65 and 5 others 5 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fd1972uk Posted July 2, 2022 Share Posted July 2, 2022 Wee ew flutter on deminaur at Pakenham 235am. kensland, alexcaruso808 and black rabbit 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zilzalian Posted July 3, 2022 Share Posted July 3, 2022 Just looking at yesterdays results Beve 2 favs won both odds on 5 favs lost Carl 1 fav won Odds on 6 favs lost Hayd 1 JF won 6 favs lost Leic 1 fav won odds on 6 favs lost Nott no favs won 6 favs lost Sand no favs won 7 favs lost alexcaruso808, The Equaliser, MCLARKE and 2 others 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted July 3, 2022 Share Posted July 3, 2022 Few fun bets today as I'm home ....nothing too serious 245 chelm Gdaay 8.0 5/1 Baileys accolade 7.7 12/1 2x 2pt ew both kensland, black rabbit, alexcaruso808 and 3 others 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kroni Posted July 3, 2022 Share Posted July 3, 2022 300 Saint-Cloud - Sweet Lady @ 50/1 e-w Bet365 Looks too big price to me, needs more but she is still progressing, 3 wins from 4 starts at he track and unexposed at this distance. Will probably need couple of the others to under perform which i think could happen. alexcaruso808, The Equaliser, richard-westwood and 2 others 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted July 3, 2022 Share Posted July 3, 2022 1 hour ago, Zilzalian said: Just looking at yesterdays results Beve 2 favs won both odds on 5 favs lost Carl 1 fav won Odds on 6 favs lost Hayd 1 JF won 6 favs lost Leic 1 fav won odds on 6 favs lost Nott no favs won 6 favs lost Sand no favs won 7 favs lost What's your take on that ?...just one of those annoying blips considering a fav strike rate shoukd be 25-30%?...or bookies setting up false favs ?? black rabbit and alexcaruso808 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LEE-GRAYS Posted July 3, 2022 Share Posted July 3, 2022 13 hours ago, Zilzalian said: Cracking race at 3:00 St-Cloud tomorrow more competetive than the eclipse in my opinion. Notebook horse Baratti runs, i think 33/1 (imo should be around 8/1 in this race) is good ew value but i do like Alpinista 6/1 which beat last years arc winner torquator tasso (won today) quite easily last year I wonder what Sir Mark Prescotts and the owners thoughts were after that Arc. This really is a very competetive race and i think anything can happen so singles and Rfc's for me. Also another notebook horse as highlighted by @calva decoy runs at chelmsford tomorrow at 5:40 Enshrine currently around 11/8f I’m having a bit of baratti to ?soft there today so should be a leveller watch out for bottom weights in the handicapped races today there could be some nice prices ? Zilzalian, kensland, black rabbit and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted July 3, 2022 Share Posted July 3, 2022 2 hours ago, Zilzalian said: Just looking at yesterdays results Beve 2 favs won both odds on 5 favs lost Carl 1 fav won Odds on 6 favs lost Hayd 1 JF won 6 favs lost Leic 1 fav won odds on 6 favs lost Nott no favs won 6 favs lost Sand no favs won 7 favs lost I fail to see the relevance of the above. 39 minutes ago, richard-westwood said: What's your take on that ?...just one of those annoying blips considering a fav strike rate shoukd be 25-30%?...or bookies setting up false favs ?? Taking in all JT favs as favs (hence 9 favs @ Haydock and only 7 races) Fav to runner ratio still shows that Favs outperformed their chances of winning by +2.67% While non favs under performed by -0.36% alexcaruso808, black rabbit, Nigwilliam and 2 others 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kensland Posted July 3, 2022 Share Posted July 3, 2022 (edited) Lucky 15. 5.40. Clm. Flag of Truth. 9/4......... unpl 1.50.M/r. Landacre Bridge. 3/1..... unpl 3.55.Clm. Crimson Sand. 15/8.... unpl 4.55. Tram. Withallduerespect........ 11/4.... unpl. Good luck all. Edited July 3, 2022 by kensland alexcaruso808, black rabbit and The Equaliser 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Equaliser Posted July 3, 2022 Share Posted July 3, 2022 Once more into the breach...... 3.20 Chelm Soft Whisper 3/1 3.55 Chelm Crimson Sand 9/4 4.30 Chelm Shifter 4/1 4.37 Ayr Littus 10/3 6 x 0.5 win dbles, 4 x 0.5 win trebles and 1x 0.5 win 4fold = poss return of 331.17 for 5.50 stakes Singles and place bets 2.45 Chelm G'Day 0.5 win at 6/1, Baileys Associates 0.5 win at 12/1 and Beauty Choice 1 pt win at 13/2 3.20 Chelm Bounce The Blues 1 pt win at 7/2 3.55 Chelm Ayr Harbour 1 pt win at 6.8 and Mohareb 0.5 win at 16/1 4.02 Ayr Tilsit 0.5 win at 15/2, Dulla Bhatti 0.5 win at 10/1 1 pt 3TBP at 3.9 4.20 Tram Reverse Polarity 1 pt ew at 8.8 4.30 Chlm Mcqueen 1 pt win at 4.0 4.55 Tram Matur Matuta 1 pt ew at 9.4 5.20 M/R Pateen 1 pt win at 7.0 Total stakes = 19 points today Looks like a lot of races with short-priced favourites today; maybe the favourites will have a turnaround from yesterday ? Wildgarden, alexcaruso808 and black rabbit 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted July 3, 2022 Share Posted July 3, 2022 1 hour ago, richard-westwood said: What's your take on that ?...just one of those annoying blips considering a fav strike rate shoukd be 25-30%?...or bookies setting up false favs ?? Just the randomness of numbers I suspect. richard-westwood, black rabbit and Wildgarden 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fd1972uk Posted July 3, 2022 Share Posted July 3, 2022 A little go at alpinista. BBBC and LEE-GRAYS 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
azzybear Posted July 3, 2022 Share Posted July 3, 2022 flyaway Maggie 2.00 black rabbit and The Equaliser 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zilzalian Posted July 3, 2022 Share Posted July 3, 2022 2 hours ago, richard-westwood said: What's your take on that ?...just one of those annoying blips considering a fav strike rate shoukd be 25-30%?...or bookies setting up false favs ?? My take on it? Not a lot, i just noticed it and said to myself i'm glad i don't back favs. June july is supposed to be the strongest month for favs winning. (for info) 9 consecutive favs got beat in the last 9 races. Half interestingly if you had backed all the number ones you would have hit a 16/1 9/1 5/6 8/11 black rabbit and richard-westwood 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zilzalian Posted July 3, 2022 Share Posted July 3, 2022 3 hours ago, kroni said: 300 Saint-Cloud - Sweet Lady @ 50/1 e-w Bet365 Looks too big price to me, needs more but she is still progressing, 3 wins from 4 starts at he track and unexposed at this distance. Will probably need couple of the others to under perform which i think could happen. Well Baratti beat it about a length but Sweet lady has a 4lbs swing so you would assume if form works they will be close today so if im right and you are right we should have a big F/C worth a quid of anyones dosh. chuck in alinista for the TC ? kroni and LEE-GRAYS 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zilzalian Posted July 3, 2022 Share Posted July 3, 2022 (edited) 16 hours ago, Zilzalian said: Cracking race at 3:00 St-Cloud tomorrow more competetive than the eclipse in my opinion. Notebook horse Baratti runs, i think 33/1 (imo should be around 8/1 in this race) is good ew value but i do like Alpinista 6/1 which beat last years arc winner torquator tasso (won today) quite easily last year I wonder what Sir Mark Prescotts and the owners thoughts were after that Arc. This really is a very competetive race and i think anything can happen so singles and Rfc's for me. Also another notebook horse as highlighted by @calva decoy runs at chelmsford tomorrow at 5:40 Enshrine currently around 11/8f Filled my boots unbelievable price on Alpinista (i got 11/1) f/c was 112/1. I got 198/1 Edited July 3, 2022 by Zilzalian calva decoy, BBBC, yossa6133 and 2 others 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted July 3, 2022 Share Posted July 3, 2022 5 hours ago, richard-westwood said: Few fun bets today as I'm home ....nothing too serious 245 chelm Gdaay 8.0 5/1 Baileys accolade 7.7 12/1 2x 2pt ew both 2nd ..ew money at 7/1 alexcaruso808 and Bedlam 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fd1972uk Posted July 3, 2022 Share Posted July 3, 2022 Nice win, only bet for me. alexcaruso808 and Bedlam 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kroni Posted July 3, 2022 Share Posted July 3, 2022 5 hours ago, kroni said: 300 Saint-Cloud - Sweet Lady @ 50/1 e-w Bet365 Looks too big price to me, needs more but she is still progressing, 3 wins from 4 starts at he track and unexposed at this distance. Will probably need couple of the others to under perform which i think could happen. 1 hour ago, Zilzalian said: Well Baratti beat it about a length but Sweet lady has a 4lbs swing so you would assume if form works they will be close today so if im right and you are right we should have a big F/C worth a quid of anyones dosh. chuck in alinista for the TC ? Well like all good each-way bets Sweet Lady was 4th good job i saw your post @Zilzalian got 138/1 for F/C ? shame Bubble Gift spoiled the tricast, alexcaruso808, calva decoy and Zilzalian 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexcaruso808 Posted July 3, 2022 Author Share Posted July 3, 2022 23 hours ago, alexcaruso808 said: A few from Chelmsford for me. 2.10 - Lila Girl @ 2.20 - win 3.20 - Internationalangel @ 4.50 - win 3.55 - Shanko @ 7.50 - EW 4 places Good luck and enjoy the racing. 2.10 - Lila Girl @ 2.20 - win - 1st ? 3.20 - Internationalangel @ 4.50 - win - 8th 3.55 - Shanko @ 7.50 - EW 4 places - 6th Overall it has been a good day. Thankfully I followed @Zilzalian's tip on Baratti and have brought my bank up a good bit. ? Zilzalian, The Equaliser and richard-westwood 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Equaliser Posted July 3, 2022 Share Posted July 3, 2022 9 hours ago, The Equaliser said: Once more into the breach...... 3.20 Chelm Soft Whisper 3/1 3.55 Chelm Crimson Sand 9/4 4.30 Chelm Shifter 4/1 4.37 Ayr Littus 10/3 6 x 0.5 win dbles, 4 x 0.5 win trebles and 1x 0.5 win 4fold = poss return of 331.17 for 5.50 stakes Singles and place bets 2.45 Chelm G'Day 0.5 win at 6/1, Baileys Associates 0.5 win at 12/1 and Beauty Choice 1 pt win at 13/2 3.20 Chelm Bounce The Blues 1 pt win at 7/2 3.55 Chelm Ayr Harbour 1 pt win at 6.8 and Mohareb 0.5 win at 16/1 4.02 Ayr Tilsit 0.5 win at 15/2, Dulla Bhatti 0.5 win at 10/1 1 pt 3TBP at 3.9 4.20 Tram Reverse Polarity 1 pt ew at 8.8 4.30 Chlm Mcqueen 1 pt win at 4.0 4.55 Tram Matur Matuta 1 pt ew at 9.4 5.20 M/R Pateen 1 pt win at 7.0 Total stakes = 19 points today Looks like a lot of races with short-priced favourites today; maybe the favourites will have a turnaround from yesterday ? RESULTS UPDATE What a pity that Crimson Sand got beat by a head; had it won I would have been in profit for the month. A win double returned 10.0 points and just one single win of 6.88 on Pateen. I incurred a small loss of 1.12 which makes my MTD -15.44 and YTD -158.46. I don't think I want to bet at Tramore in the future. I'm always apprehensive about betting in Irish races so I think I will try to avoid all of them. Wildgarden and alexcaruso808 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yossa6133 Posted July 4, 2022 Share Posted July 4, 2022 19 hours ago, kroni said: Well like all good each-way bets Sweet Lady was 4th good job i saw your post @Zilzalian got 138/1 for F/C ? shame Bubble Gift spoiled the tricast, Don't get many successful 138/1 tips! Pretty epic. alexcaruso808 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
.thumb.JPG.8c5a15b710f7a4188ce438df64354c1e.JPG)
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.