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Royal ascot Tuesday


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5 hours ago, Zilzalian said:

420 ASCOT I have watched the 2000g a good few times now and am convinced (or convinced myself) lusail would have gone close with a better clearer passage and for me Lusail also puts bayside boy in the picture, both are big prices. Coroebus for me was a worthy winner on the day but i dont think that price is any where near what it should be 8/11 for me is stupid in this race it should be around 5/2 its going to be interesting either way.

Great run ?

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5 hours ago, Zilzalian said:

420 ASCOT I have watched the 2000g a good few times now and am convinced (or convinced myself) lusail would have gone close with a better clearer passage and for me Lusail also puts bayside boy in the picture, both are big prices. Coroebus for me was a worthy winner on the day but i dont think that price is any where near what it should be 8/11 for me is stupid in this race it should be around 5/2 its going to be interesting either way.

Great run ?

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On 6/12/2022 at 4:21 PM, richard-westwood said:

420 ascot 

Corebus  9.3  4/5 

Mighty ulysses  8.6   16/1 

My Prospero  8.4 

New energy   8.1 

Berkshire shadow  7.9 

Corebus will be hard to beat if holding form ....of the rest ...mighty ulysses is overpriced with frankie on board so looks the ew value ....20pt win top rated... 2pt ew mighty ulysses 

Classy horse ....he was in all sorts of trouble boxed in and still managed to win ....+92.00 on the day altogether

Mighty ran well too 

Edited by richard-westwood
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5 hours ago, Zilzalian said:

420 ASCOT I have watched the 2000g a good few times now and am convinced (or convinced myself) lusail would have gone close with a better clearer passage and for me Lusail also puts bayside boy in the picture, both are big prices. Coroebus for me was a worthy winner on the day but i dont think that price is any where near what it should be 8/11 for me is stupid in this race it should be around 5/2 its going to be interesting either way.

sometimes you just have to ignore the "noise" and trust yourself. they (murtagh et al) were correct, dobbs should have closed him off.

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On 6/13/2022 at 9:03 AM, The Brigadier said:

Ascot 2.30

We start Royal Ascot with the group one Queen Anne Stakes where William Haggas’s superstar Baaeed has an easy task to take his unbeaten run to eight from eight. He really does look the real deal and I can see him going off a 1/6 chance or even shorter. His recent win at Newbury in the Lockinge has him way ahead of Real World (beaten 3 1/4L), Chindit (5L) and Sir Busker (6 1/4L) and he should have a comfortable victory here under regular rider Jim Crowley. Sit back and enjoy.

 

Ascot 3.05

Seventeen colts go to post for this year’s renewal of the group 2 Coventry Stakes and with the 11th hour defection of Noble Style has the Adrian O’Brien unbeaten Blackbeard and Richard Hannon’s similarly unbeaten Persian Force battling it out for favouritism. Preference of the pair is the latter who has looked a smart prospect winning the Brocklesby at Doncaster and a small field at Newbury. His trainer Richard Hannon has gone in print saying he is comparable to the smart Canford Cliffs whom he trained. He’s the main bet here although one horse who impressed me immensely on his racecourse debut was the Archie Watson trained Bradsell who bolted up at Yorkmon his debut under PJ McDonald who’s replaced today by Hollie Doyle. He is by all accounts held in very high esteem by his trainer and I’ll be backing him each way along with Persian Force.

 

PERSIAN FORCE 2 points win 3/1 William Hill

BRADSELL 1 point each way 8/1 bet365 1/5th 12345

 

Ascot 3.40

A decent sized field of 18 go to post for the group 1 Kings Stand Stakes which has a very international look about it this year with Australian, American, Irish and even a Czech runner alongside the usual British contingent. The top rated here is Australian superstar Nature Strip who has plenty of experience as a seven year old in his native country having won eight group ones. This will be his first run outside of Australia although his work according to his trainer Chris Waller has all gone well having been housed at Charlie Hills’ stable in Lambourn. Drawn 10 gives him options and is a fascinating runner. The market suggests that the American trained Golden Pal will be a big threat. A very fast horse who his trainer Wesley Ward has been talking up in the last week has actually been beaten twice in his ventures to this country and I would favour Aussie Nature Strip who is the main bet. Obviously with the travel involved there is the possibility that both the front two could bomb out and at around 8/11 the pair I will all also be playing one of the others small each way. Tim Easterby’s Winter Power totally blew out on his re-appearance at Haydock behind two of today’s rivals in Kings Lynn and Twilight Calls. He was very easy to back that day and let’s not forget he was a group one winner last season and has to be better than that last run so looks each way value with the extra place.

 

NATURE STRIP 2 points win 5/2 bet365

WINTER POWER 1/2 point each way 20/1 Coral/Ladbroke 1/5th 1234

 

Ascot 4.20

The group 1 St James Palace Stakes is next up. Run over a mile it’s for three year old colts and has attracted a field of 13. Warm favourite is the Charlie Appleby trained Coroebus who had plenty of these behind him when winning the 2000 Guineas. He’s yet to race around a bend although his trainer feels that may actually suit him and he’s fared well with the draw in stall 2. He’s hard to oppose with William Buick in the saddle. William Haggas saddles a brace in his German 2000 Guineas winner Maljoom and Heron Stakes winner My Prospero with preference for the latter. It will be a shock to me if Coroebus can’t win again.

 

Ascot 5.00

A true stamina test with the 2m 4F Ascot Stakes Handicap featuring twenty potential stayers. The two favourites are trained by trainers more associated with Cheltenham than Royal Ascot with Willie Mullin’s Bring On The Night and Gordon Elliott’s Pied Piper. Preference is for the latter who has turned into a smart hurdler since joint Elliott from John Gosden. He’s rated 145 over sticks but only 96 today so may have a bit in hand although like Bring On The Night has to truly prove he stays this stamina sapping trip and with the pair around the 7/4 mark coupled it’s maybe worth looking elsewhere for some each way value especially with the extra places. Another hurdler at a much bigger price who looks well handicapped is Paul Nicholls’ Scaramanga the mount of Hollie Doyle. He has claims but it’s yet another hurdler that catches my eye in the John Queally trained eight year old gelding Arcadian Sunrise. He will stay this trip and there were excuses for his latest credible 4th in the Chester Cup (took a keen hold on his first start for 187 days and may not have been at home on the tight track). At the prices I’ll play him each way with the icing on the cake being the booking of useful 5lb claimer Harry Davies.

 

ARCADIAN SUNRISE 1 point each way 17/2 William Hill 1/5th 12345

 

Ascot 5.35

A competitive renewal of the listed Wolverton Stakes run over 10F for four year olds and upwards. Last years winner Juan Elcano is back to defend his crown and has definite claims. Bar outsiders Moving Time and Palavechino there is actually only four pound between the other fourteen runners. Plenty hold chances but the one I like is the Andrew Balding trained Foxes Tales although I must admit the widest draw in 16 is a bit of a concern. A Group 3 winner last season at Haydock he misses a penalty for this contest by a couple of week. He’s run well on both outings this season in group 3 company including last time out when 4th to Ilaraab at Newbury with the horse that finished just ahead of him Without A Fight winning well at the weekend. It’s a tough race with bets best kept to a minimum.

 

FOXES TALES 1 point each way 11/1 BetVictor 1/5th 1234

 

Ascot 6.10

A maximum field of sixteen go to post for this 1m 6F Copper Horse Handicap, a class 2 handicap for four year olds and upwards. Red hot favourite and sure to be thereabouts at the finish is the Aiden O’Brien trained Cleveland who will be ridden by Ryan Moore. He came from the back to take the half mile further Chester Cup last time and has been raised 5lb for that victory. He’s yet to encounter ground this fast but is the one to beat. The ground may well ride too fast for the likes of Not So Sleepy and Get Shirty. The Gosden’s run an interesting runner here in Stowell who is making his handicap debut under Frankie Dettori and can be competitive. Charlie Appleby saddles Bandinelli in first time blinkers but he ran so bad last time it’s hard to be too confident about him. A tough handicap but they all have to beat Cleveland who has a touch of class about him and a 5lb rise may not be enough to stop him winning again despite his cramped odds.

 

CLEVELAND 2 points win 3/1 bet365

 

Profit of 8.3 points on the day. Two winners at 8/1 and 5/2. Wednesday selections already up this morning.

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10 hours ago, The Equaliser said:

12 Selections in 12 races  covered in 4 multiple bets = 0.10 ew bets

(A) 3.05 Asc No 2 7/2, 5.35 Asc No 13 15/2, 6.10 Asc No.4 7/1 and 4.05 Thsk No. 7 4/1 = 12 d 27.32 and 8 t = 105.31

(B) 3.40 Asc No. 5 7/2, 4.40 Thsk No. 8 7/2, 5.15 Thsk No.3 11/2 and 7.45 Bev No. 5 6/1 = 12 d 20.89 and 8 t = 71.06

(C) 5.00 Asc No. 13 7/2, 2.55 Thsk No. 11 4/1, 6.45 Bev No.1 9/2 and 8.15 Bev No. 2 9/2 = 12 d - 17.89 and 8 t = 55.88

Top 1 - 4 price rated: 3.05 Asc No.2 7/2, 4.05 Thsk No. 7 4/2, 3.40 Asc No. 5 7/2 and 4.40 Thsk No.8 7/2 = 12 d = 14.32 & 8 T = 40.41

= 8 points staked in total

3.05 Asc Blackbeard 4 pts clear top Timeform rated so 2.3 pts at 4.6 = poss profit of 8.11 to pay for my multiples fun

= Total stakes of 10.3 pts so far

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Blackbeard lost.  Not taking short odds about Golden Pal in the 3.40 for a recovery bet.  Instead I have placed 2.4 points on Cliffcake in the 4.05 at Thirsk at 5.4 for a 10.35 profit

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Cliffcake wins so all my multiple bets are free for the rest of the day ?

RESULTS UPDATE

Three winners but not coupled in the same doubles or trebles.  I took a look at what it would cost to cover 12 selections in ew 0.1 doubles and trebles.  This would be 57.2 points so not my idea of fun even for an experiment.  The 8 points yielded 11.17 pts profit for my placed selections whilst my winning singles bets paid for the original stakes.  My profit today was 11.23 pts.  My MTD is now -46.75 & YTD is now -204.30.  Not a bad day considering.  It occurs to me that it may be beneficial to list the names of the selections at the top of the post beginning with my top 4 and then moving on downwards.  This depends a bit on time and I don't seem to make a lot of that.

A very good day for some tipsters on here so let's hope this continues tomorrow

   

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