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Racing Chat Friday 24th September

The Brigadier

By The Brigadier
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The Brigadier

The Brigadier

Posted
Posted

Day 2 of the Newmarket Cambridgeshire meeting and here’s my thoughts and fancies for the six ITV races including a couple of tough looking handicaps at York. The ground is likely to be good fast conditions for both meetings.

 

Newmarket 1.50

The listed Rosemary Stakes is run over a mile of the Rowley mile and has attracted 13 fillies and mares this year. The race has an open look about it with the highest rated being the Godolphin three year old Soft Whisper who will be ridden by Frankie Dettori. She won a couple of nurseries last season before being shipped over to Meydan for the Dubai festival where she won twice more but this time on the dirt before she flopped badly in the UAE Derby. She’s not been seen since but the vibes are good for her recent work at Newmarket and at an each way price as officially the best in the race is worth a small bet. Roger Varian’s Fooraat ran well at York last time and with her stable in form may be the biggest threat. 

SOFT WHISPER 1 point each way @ 9/1 1/5th 1234 Bet365 

 

York 2.25

An open end of season 6F handicap in which bets should be kept to a minimum in my opinion with plenty of these sprinters having had long seasons. The best recent form is brought to the table by John Quinn’s Mr Wagyu who ran an excellent third in the Ayr Gold Cup last Saturday. He should be competitive today. A horse who had Mr Wagyu behind him last time is the Ed de Giles trained Treacherous and he maybe the one to be backing small each way here today. He’s yet to win this season but did win five times last season and has run credibly on occasions this season including last time out when 4th in the Portland Handicap behind Hurricane Ivor (won since) with the aforementioned Mr Wagyu 1/2L behind. There’s others with chances but I’ll stick with Treacherous to finally come good but to small stakes. 

TREACHEROUS 1 point each way @ 13/2 1/5th 1234 William Hill

 

Newmarket 2.25

Albaflora has the highest official rating here but is a much better horse when the mud is flying and with conditions tightening up all the time Ralph Beckett’s mare is worth opposing today.  One horse I haven’t lost faith in is the Hugo Palmer trained four year old Golden Pass who loves to hear his hooves rattle and simply bumped into a Gosden improver in Free Wind last time out at Doncaster in the Group 3 Park Hill Stakes. That was over 14F and the drop to a mile and a half may well suit this daughter of Golden Horn as her best run this season was when out battling the aforementioned Free Wind at the July course at Newmarket over today’s distance of 12F. Ryan Moore takes over for the first time and with conditions likely to suit looks excellent each way value. His trainer was talking him up on the excellent Nick Luck Daily podcast earlier in the week. 

GOLDEN PASS 1 point each way @ 15/21/5th 1234 William Hill

 

York 2.40

13 go to post for this 7F class 3 handicap and has an open look about it. La Trinidad is on my shortlist as he goes so well at this track but is creeping up the handicap whilst recent Doncaster winner Able Kane can be competitive with only a 3lb rise although he has to prove his stamina here having never run at 7F. John Quinn’s five year old Poets Magic has been in fine shape all season having only been out of the frame once in nine starts and can reward an each way bet. This confirmed front runner was chinned on the line at Doncaster last week and can race off of the same handicap mark today (he’s due to rise 1lb in future handicaps). Jason Hart knows him well and is in the saddle again today. He may have Challet as a contender out front but as long as he can bowl along out front will be a hard one to pass. 

POETS MAGIC 1 1/2 points each way @ 9/1 1/5th 1234 Paddy Power

 

Newmarket 3.00

The 7F Rockfel  Stakes is a Group two contest for fillies and looks most likely to go the way of the Andrew Balding trained Majestic Glory who’s the clear form horse having followed up her maiden victory on the July course here by winning the Group 3 Sweet Solera Stakes at the same venue last month. That success was given a major boost by the victory last weekend of the runner up Wild Beauty in a grade 1 contest in Canada. Her two most likeliest dangers are both stepping up in class with Ralph Beckett’s Girls On Film having won a maiden on the July course here last month and Roger Charlton’s Jumbly who’s won a maiden and a novice stakes contest. They’re both progressive but will need to step up dramatically to beat the 104 rated selection who stands out as the days best bet. 

MAJESTIC GLORY 3 points win @ 7/2 Bet365

 

Newmarket 3.35

An excellent renewal of the Group 2 Joel Stakes with it an odds on chance that the winner will be carrying the blue colours of Godolphin. Favourite Master Of The Seas hasn’t been seen since running Poetic Flare to a short head over course and distance in the 2000 Guineas in May and this lightly raced Dubawi colt can make up for lost time by winning this en route to some nice worldwide targets this Autumn. The vibes are strong that he’s working well and of course William Buick will be on top. His major danger may well be the Saeed Bin Suroor trained globetrotting Benbatl who’s won 10 of his 23 starts and should of added to that tally last time at Goodwood when he fell out of the stalls and didn’t have the clearest of passages though was only denied by the shortest of margins by Lavenders Blue at the finish with Pogo and Perotto behind and now held that day. The Shadwell runner Laneqash will appreciate the drying conditions and could hit the frame but for me Master Of The Seas can lead home a Godolphin 1-2. 

MASTER OF THE SEAS 2 points win @ 6/4 William Hill

 

 

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Zilzalian

Zilzalian

Posted
Posted (edited)

3:00 Newmarket Rockfell stks G2 2yo speed figures

1 Romantic Time           121           14/1 didnt stay 7f

2 Hello You                    117           8/1   won

3 Majestic Glory             115          9/4   ???

Edited by Zilzalian
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Bang on

Bang on

Posted
Posted (edited)

September running total = + 20.91 pts

Seem to be missing the target recently and taking small losses. Quite busy with 4 selections today.

Todays selections - bet365 B.O.G.

3.50 York - Captain Cooper - 4/1 ... lost

4.02 Worc - Pagero - 9/4 ... WON

5.25 York - Topanticipation - 2/1 ... lost

7.00 Newc - Hostelry - 3/1 ... lost

Another frustrating day. September now = + 20.16 pts

Edited by Bang on
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ipswich45

ipswich45

Posted
Posted (edited)

Friday Fun Fancies    plenty of them about today and just playing for fun

1330 Haydock - 4 Eesha Meesh      9/4 Bet365       Non Runner
1340 Listowel - 11 San Salvador   11/2 Bet365        WON
1350 Newmarket - 13 Wedding Dance  11/2 Bet365   Unplaced
1405 York - 5 Cairn Island   7/2 Bet365  3rd
1410 Listowel - 1 Belfast Banter  15/2 William Hill  Fell
1425 Newmarket - 5 Golden Pass  5/1 Bet365 Unplaced
1435 Haydock - 9 Reversion           6/1 William Hill  Unplaced
1440 York - 3 Lion Tower   11/2 William Hill  Unplaced
1527 Worcester - 1 Pardon Me  11/4 Bet365 Unplaced
1535 Newmarket - 2 Benbatl     9/4 Bet365  WON
1545 Haydock - 8 Saratoga Gold     7/2 Bet365  Unplaced
1550 York - 6 Power Station  9/2 Bet365 Unplaced
1555 Listowel - 15 Northern Love  4/1 William Hill WON
1602 Worcester - 2 Shetland Bus  4/1 Bet365 Unplaced
1620 Haydock - 1 Piece Of History    4/1 Bet365 Unplaced
1707 Worcester - 1 London Eye  7/4 Bet365 Unplaced
1730 Newcastle - 3 Fossos  7/2 William Hill 2nd
1815 Dundalk - 14 West Coast  5/1 Bet365 3rd
1830 Newcastle - 2 Stallingrad  7/2 Bet365  Unplaced
2030 Newcastle - 4 Thornaby Pearl  11/2 Bet365 Unplaced

Edited by ipswich45
results being added
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The Equaliser

The Equaliser

Posted
Posted

BEST OF THE BEST SELECTIONS

These are not tips

B/Fwd Sep -6.56

1.00 Hd Locherbie 8/13                                                  Alt (4) 3/1

3.10 Hd Dream Weaver 2/1                                            Alt (1) 9/2

1.15 Nm Al Jaddaf 4/9 DTR                                            Alt No Bet

3.35 Nm Master Of The Seas  5/4                                  Alt (2) 9/4

2.45 List Game Catch 7/2                                              Alt (13) 6/1

3.20 List Lord Gillgooley 5/2                                         Alt (3) 6/1

3.55 List Buttons And Bows 2/1 DTR                            Alt (7) 7/1

3.50 YK A Boy Named Ivy 11/4                                    Alt (7) 6/1

2.52 Worc Thistle Do Nicely 5/4  DTR                           Alt (2) 7/2

4.35 Worc Golf Clair 15/8                                            Alt (8) 5/2

5.07 Worc London Eye 2/1                                         Alt (9) 6/1

8.00 Nc Musashaba 7/2                                             Alt (2) 10/3

12 Selections from 51 races = 23.5%

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Book Bets

2.25 Nm Forbearance 5/1

2.52 Worc Thistle Do Nicely 6/5

8.00 Nc Musashaba 7/2

One £1 win Trixie = £4 = Poss return of £109.50.

Had £1 win at 9/2 on Jessica Harrington's Forbearance in the 2.25 at Nm

  = £5 staked so far

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yossa6133

yossa6133

Posted
Posted

Gone for Whoshotwho in the first at Worcester. Think the drop to 2 miles makes sense after he ran well for a long way at Uttox. Dropped a decent amount in the weights and would likely have won on his return at Warwick off today's mark. Not the best jumper but these fences are pretty easy and doesn't look a strong race, around 9/1 at the moment. 

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Wildgarden

Wildgarden

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, Bang on said:

September running total = + 20.91 pts

Seem to be missing the target recently and taking small losses. Quite busy with 4 selections today.

Todays selections - bet365 B.O.G.

3.50 York - Captain Cooper - 4/1

4.02 Worc - Pagero - 9/4

5.25 York - Topanticipation - 2/1

7.00 Newc - Hostelry - 3/1

such a great start im not suprised. some of these look bigger prices and there is more picks so will be more variance.

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The Brigadier

The Brigadier

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  • Author
Posted
23 hours ago, The Brigadier said:

Day 2 of the Newmarket Cambridgeshire meeting and here’s my thoughts and fancies for the six ITV races including a couple of tough looking handicaps at York. The ground is likely to be good fast conditions for both meetings.

 

Newmarket 1.50

The listed Rosemary Stakes is run over a mile of the Rowley mile and has attracted 13 fillies and mares this year. The race has an open look about it with the highest rated being the Godolphin three year old Soft Whisper who will be ridden by Frankie Dettori. She won a couple of nurseries last season before being shipped over to Meydan for the Dubai festival where she won twice more but this time on the dirt before she flopped badly in the UAE Derby. She’s not been seen since but the vibes are good for her recent work at Newmarket and at an each way price as officially the best in the race is worth a small bet. Roger Varian’s Fooraat ran well at York last time and with her stable in form may be the biggest threat. 

SOFT WHISPER 1 point each way @ 9/1 1/5th 1234 Bet365 

 

York 2.25

An open end of season 6F handicap in which bets should be kept to a minimum in my opinion with plenty of these sprinters having had long seasons. The best recent form is brought to the table by John Quinn’s Mr Wagyu who ran an excellent third in the Ayr Gold Cup last Saturday. He should be competitive today. A horse who had Mr Wagyu behind him last time is the Ed de Giles trained Treacherous and he maybe the one to be backing small each way here today. He’s yet to win this season but did win five times last season and has run credibly on occasions this season including last time out when 4th in the Portland Handicap behind Hurricane Ivor (won since) with the aforementioned Mr Wagyu 1/2L behind. There’s others with chances but I’ll stick with Treacherous to finally come good but to small stakes. 

TREACHEROUS 1 point each way @ 13/2 1/5th 1234 William Hill

 

Newmarket 2.25

Albaflora has the highest official rating here but is a much better horse when the mud is flying and with conditions tightening up all the time Ralph Beckett’s mare is worth opposing today.  One horse I haven’t lost faith in is the Hugo Palmer trained four year old Golden Pass who loves to hear his hooves rattle and simply bumped into a Gosden improver in Free Wind last time out at Doncaster in the Group 3 Park Hill Stakes. That was over 14F and the drop to a mile and a half may well suit this daughter of Golden Horn as her best run this season was when out battling the aforementioned Free Wind at the July course at Newmarket over today’s distance of 12F. Ryan Moore takes over for the first time and with conditions likely to suit looks excellent each way value. His trainer was talking him up on the excellent Nick Luck Daily podcast earlier in the week. 

GOLDEN PASS 1 point each way @ 15/21/5th 1234 William Hill

 

York 2.40

13 go to post for this 7F class 3 handicap and has an open look about it. La Trinidad is on my shortlist as he goes so well at this track but is creeping up the handicap whilst recent Doncaster winner Able Kane can be competitive with only a 3lb rise although he has to prove his stamina here having never run at 7F. John Quinn’s five year old Poets Magic has been in fine shape all season having only been out of the frame once in nine starts and can reward an each way bet. This confirmed front runner was chinned on the line at Doncaster last week and can race off of the same handicap mark today (he’s due to rise 1lb in future handicaps). Jason Hart knows him well and is in the saddle again today. He may have Challet as a contender out front but as long as he can bowl along out front will be a hard one to pass. 

POETS MAGIC 1 1/2 points each way @ 9/1 1/5th 1234 Paddy Power

 

Newmarket 3.00

The 7F Rockfel  Stakes is a Group two contest for fillies and looks most likely to go the way of the Andrew Balding trained Majestic Glory who’s the clear form horse having followed up her maiden victory on the July course here by winning the Group 3 Sweet Solera Stakes at the same venue last month. That success was given a major boost by the victory last weekend of the runner up Wild Beauty in a grade 1 contest in Canada. Her two most likeliest dangers are both stepping up in class with Ralph Beckett’s Girls On Film having won a maiden on the July course here last month and Roger Charlton’s Jumbly who’s won a maiden and a novice stakes contest. They’re both progressive but will need to step up dramatically to beat the 104 rated selection who stands out as the days best bet. 

MAJESTIC GLORY 3 points win @ 7/2 Bet365

 

Newmarket 3.35

An excellent renewal of the Group 2 Joel Stakes with it an odds on chance that the winner will be carrying the blue colours of Godolphin. Favourite Master Of The Seas hasn’t been seen since running Poetic Flare to a short head over course and distance in the 2000 Guineas in May and this lightly raced Dubawi colt can make up for lost time by winning this en route to some nice worldwide targets this Autumn. The vibes are strong that he’s working well and of course William Buick will be on top. His major danger may well be the Saeed Bin Suroor trained globetrotting Benbatl who’s won 10 of his 23 starts and should of added to that tally last time at Goodwood when he fell out of the stalls and didn’t have the clearest of passages though was only denied by the shortest of margins by Lavenders Blue at the finish with Pogo and Perotto behind and now held that day. The Shadwell runner Laneqash will appreciate the drying conditions and could hit the frame but for me Master Of The Seas can lead home a Godolphin 1-2. 

MASTER OF THE SEAS 2 points win @ 6/4 William Hill

 

 

started well with a nice winner but all downhill from there i'm afraid!! just a small loss today. Saturdays selections on site now.

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The Equaliser

The Equaliser

Posted
Posted
10 hours ago, The Equaliser said:

BEST OF THE BEST SELECTIONS

These are not tips

B/Fwd Sep -6.56

1.00 Hd Locherbie 8/13                                                  Alt (4) 3/1

3.10 Hd Dream Weaver 2/1                                            Alt (1) 9/2

1.15 Nm Al Jaddaf 4/9 DTR                                            Alt No Bet

3.35 Nm Master Of The Seas  5/4                                  Alt (2) 9/4

2.45 List Game Catch 7/2                                              Alt (13) 6/1

3.20 List Lord Gillgooley 5/2                                         Alt (3) 6/1

3.55 List Buttons And Bows 2/1 DTR                            Alt (7) 7/1

3.50 YK A Boy Named Ivy 11/4                                    Alt (7) 6/1

2.52 Worc Thistle Do Nicely 5/4  DTR                           Alt (2) 7/2

4.35 Worc Golf Clair 15/8                                            Alt (8) 5/2

5.07 Worc London Eye 2/1                                         Alt (9) 6/1

8.00 Nc Musashaba 7/2                                             Alt (2) 10/3

12 Selections from 51 races = 23.5%

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Book Bets

2.25 Nm Forbearance 5/1

2.52 Worc Thistle Do Nicely 6/5

8.00 Nc Musashaba 7/2

One £1 win Trixie = £4 = Poss return of £109.50.

Had £1 win at 9/2 on Jessica Harrington's Forbearance in the 2.25 at Nm

  = £5 staked so far

RESULTS UPDATE

The big 3 got 2 winners today out of 12 and luckily they were at a price of 7/2 each.  This didn't pay for the losers though and the net result was - 3 points.  This makes a c/fwd of -9.56 points.

My alternatives had 2 winners out of 11 selections but created a loss of -3.75. this gives a c/fwd of - 75.2

60 races to look at tomorrow.  I'll be glad when this trial of the big 3 is over it is too time consuming.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

I suppose that I shouldn't complain too much as at least I got a double and a win bet in today.  Very sadly my short priced selection Thistle Do Nicely was tragically injured in its race.

The double Returned £27.00 and my single £5.50; therefore my net profit was £27.50.  My new balance is £717.13 (Bank £1056.22)

 

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