Jump to content
** March Poker League Result : =1st Bridscott, =1st Like2Fish, 3rd avongirl **
** Cheltenham Tipster Competition Result : 1st Old codger, 2nd sirspread, 3rd Bathtime For Rupert **

aphro

New Members
  • Posts

    102
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Reputation Activity

  1. Like
    aphro reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - September 23 - September 29   
    Vasek Pospisil to beat Jordan Thompson at 2.25 with Bet365
    Not much luck going my way at the moment it seems, but the season is still fine, so I'm going to continue chipping away and this does look like value to me, as I'd rate the chances as even at the very least. Pospisil has been at the venue for a while now, practicing with Grigor Dimitrov, while Thompson was spending much of his time in the Laver Cup. He did get to practice with some strong players there, but it must've been a bit disappointing for him given that he didn't even play a single shot during the actual event, and he now faces a long trip to play against a motivated opponent that's coming back from a long break. Pospisil looked very fine in the US Open and I wouldn't be surprised to see him get a deep run in one of the Asian tournaments this year.
  2. Like
    aphro got a reaction from darko08 in US Open 2019   
    Yes, his win over Djokovic is impressive, but recent Medvedev's odd grow makes it valueable, so i go against this:
    Medvedev to beat Wawrinka at 2.27 with Pinnacle.
  3. Like
    aphro got a reaction from CzechPunter in US Open 2019   
    I bet on her as well and take Schwartzman tonight
  4. Sad
    aphro got a reaction from CzechPunter in US Open 2019   
    I would assume that it's almost strangest day from my point of view:
    Vasek Pospisil won Karen Khachanov odd: 8.76
    Thomas Fabbiano won Dominic Thiem odd: 6.5 (started at 11.96)
    Cedrik-Marcel Stebe won Filip Krajinovic odd: 5.27
    Pablo Andujar won Kyle Edmund odd: 5.03
     
    Is it solar or moon influence? should i go to astrologyst next time before betting?
  5. Haha
    aphro got a reaction from South_African_Punter in US Open 2019   
    I would assume that it's almost strangest day from my point of view:
    Vasek Pospisil won Karen Khachanov odd: 8.76
    Thomas Fabbiano won Dominic Thiem odd: 6.5 (started at 11.96)
    Cedrik-Marcel Stebe won Filip Krajinovic odd: 5.27
    Pablo Andujar won Kyle Edmund odd: 5.03
     
    Is it solar or moon influence? should i go to astrologyst next time before betting?
  6. Haha
    aphro got a reaction from bobix in US Open 2019   
    I would assume that it's almost strangest day from my point of view:
    Vasek Pospisil won Karen Khachanov odd: 8.76
    Thomas Fabbiano won Dominic Thiem odd: 6.5 (started at 11.96)
    Cedrik-Marcel Stebe won Filip Krajinovic odd: 5.27
    Pablo Andujar won Kyle Edmund odd: 5.03
     
    Is it solar or moon influence? should i go to astrologyst next time before betting?
  7. Sad
    aphro got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - August 12 - August 18   
    Disagree on this, i think that Albot wins
  8. Like
    aphro got a reaction from Blackroses in Tennis Tips - August 5 - August 11   
    I've explained it here several times, this is math system that has ROI more than 20%. I don't give more info not just because i'm greedy or lazy - don't have that info.
    When it comes to coincidence with some user's tips - ROI can reach 50 and more percents, that's why i'm posting my picks here
  9. Thanks
    aphro reacted to darko08 in Tennis Tips - August 5 - August 11   
    Ilia Ivashka to beat Kwon Soon-wo at 2.62 with bet365
    Im a little bit surprised for the odds. I think Kwon is overrated here (or Ivashka underrated) so I'm gonna take Ivashka here. Both players come from the qualy (Ivashka has won against Harris and Nishioka and Kwon has won against Haase and Millman). Ivashka is clear the better player here so I'm a little bit surprised (if anyone knows something about this match that i don't know please tell me?)
  10. Like
    aphro got a reaction from freeyourself84 in Tennis Tips - July 29 - August 4   
    I would bet on his win without handicap.
  11. Like
    aphro got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - July 29 - August 4   
    I would bet on his win without handicap.
  12. Like
    aphro got a reaction from cialivinci in Tennis Tips - July 15 - July 21   
    Hello everybody!
     
    Value radar:
    Bublik to beat Sandgren at 2.43 with Pinnacle.
  13. Thanks
    aphro got a reaction from Sportwetten in Tennis Tips - July 15 - July 21   
    Hello everybody!
     
    Value radar:
    Bublik to beat Sandgren at 2.43 with Pinnacle.
  14. Like
    aphro got a reaction from freeyourself84 in Tennis Tips - July 15 - July 21   
    Hello everybody!
     
    Value radar:
    Bublik to beat Sandgren at 2.43 with Pinnacle.
  15. Haha
    aphro reacted to bobix in Wimbledon 2019   
    Ok, I have to admit that Retardishvili was a bad pick, him being simply awful. Kyrgios was not up to the task with too many sloppy errors at crucial points and shame on Parmentier for not being able to close the first set from 5-2, could have ended differently. The only one who delivered was Davis, still more than nothing ?
    For tomorrow I really like Azarenka and Fabbiano with Halep might be slightly injured, and Verdasco as well. The Spaniard is lucky to be here in the 3rd round, but he also had problems with his back and was forced to withdraw from the doubles later. I would definitely play Fabbiano with a bookie who settles tennis bets after 1st ball or 1st set played just in case Verdasco retires.
    Regarding the rest, I think both Bautista and Goffin have a slight edge, and Opelka might surpise as well because Raonic is far from being 100%.
    From the women menu Zhang and Golubic might worth a shot, and Collins can take at least a set against the apparently shaky Martic.
  16. Like
    aphro got a reaction from eros in Tennis Tips - June 24 - June 30   
    Value radar:
    Fritz to beat Querrey at 2.41 with Pinnacle
  17. Like
    aphro got a reaction from Hermes in Tennis Tips - June 24 - June 30   
    Carreno-Busta to beat Sonego at 2.31 with Pinnacle
  18. Like
    aphro reacted to South_African_Punter in Tennis Tips - June 24 - June 30   
    Kecmanovic to beat Thompson - 2.40 with Sportingbet
    I've been greatly impressed with how Kecmanovic has played in this tournament- he hasn't dropped a set yet. He also beat Thompson in 2018 (although on a hard court).
  19. Haha
    aphro reacted to Torque in Tennis Tips - June 24 - June 30   
    I'd have a hard time backing Bertens also. She's a double fault machine just now, in contrast to Pliskova who has one of the better serves on tour. It could easily come down to who serves better - and right now that has to be Pliskova.
  20. Like
    aphro got a reaction from Smiles Tennis in Tennis Tips - June 24 - June 30   
    High odds contain value as well, but they may lead to more losses in a row and it's mentally harder
    So i prefer not to bet on underdogs when favourite have odds lower than 1.6.
    At this moment i'm preparing stats report of coincidences value radar and forum users picks, looks promising, hope to share it couple days.
  21. Like
    aphro reacted to four-leaf in Tennis Tips - June 24 - June 30   
    You must have missed seeing Victors performance on his second serves yesterday and he only won because clearly it was an opponent who didn't want to be in Antalya. I've already written Miomir -1.5 sets at 3.00 with Betfair.
  22. Haha
    aphro reacted to Torque in Tennis Tips - February 18 - February 24   
    Best analysis ever! 
  23. Like
    aphro reacted to kempazzo in Tennis Tips - June 17 - June 23   
    I think it's time for Berrettini to call it a day. He's been brilliant lately, but I think Goffin is smart and skilled enough to defeat him. Also, Goffin's profile is somewhat similar to Simon (who beat weaker version of Berrettini 3:0 in Wimbledon last year), also Seppi has made most problems for Mateo and Goffin is able to perform in Seppi's style and in better way overall.
    Goffin beat tall strong server with average movement on grass - A. Zverev yesterday - and it's a great way to be prepared for Berrettini.
    I was on Seppi, I gotta be on Goffin. You can find him @2,70 Unibet and it's much worth it IMO.
  24. Thanks
    aphro got a reaction from nanishka in Tennis Tips - June 17 - June 23   
    I have my value radar signal on Goffin as well
  25. Thanks
    aphro got a reaction from darko08 in Tennis Tips - June 17 - June 23   
    One more tip from value radar:
    Goffin David to beat Alexander Zverev at 2.42 with Pinnacle (available at 2.5 with WH as well)
×
×
  • Create New...