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kempazzo last won the day on July 3 2019

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About kempazzo

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  • Birthday 03/13/1980

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  1. Agree about Rublev @3.30 He's on the rise and full of confidence. The same could be said about Medvedev, but his fatigue has already been discussed in this thread, so no need to repeat it. Also Czech's Sakkari bet looks good in my eyes.
  2. I think Andreescu is worth a shot @2.75 - she was good vs Bertens, motivated as hell, the crowd is all behind her and it seems to be powering up her performences. Moreover - she used drop-shots very well, and Pliskova is much worse than Bertens when it comes to court movement. Were it anywhere else than Canada - I wouldn't touch it, but in Toronto - I'm in.
  3. Good playing Davis from 2:1 to 2:6 after picking up injury when trying to stop at the net... this is enough for me for a period... Have a nice Wimbledon
  4. Late call, as the gentlemen are starting... I pick Beranki to win at least a set and keeping it close vs Tsonga. He's used to low bounce from many indoor tournaments and that's where he's good at. Tsonga isn't a great returner IMO, so tiebreaks and close sets are possible Also, I saw Davis in 1st round and I liked her.. I think she should make Kerber fight for it, so +5,5 @2,30 seems nice About Goerges - I know she's good on grass - but I still rate her as a player with mental problems, not the cleverest one on court... I think young gun with good serve (I read that, as I haven't seen Flink by myself) can match that +5,5 easily, as well. Good Luck, may this Wimbledon be somewhat nicer that until now...
  5. Well, after 7 years after registering, I thought I'd post a big of my thoughts... The beginning was brilliant, as someone told me... that was nice... But, as in real life, not only nice things happen... Wimbledon picks weren't great so far.. at least the ones I believed the most.. but I think with good money managment and self-thinking You could've taken something of that picks in advance...not to get into red, at least... Just like yesterday and today, my most confident picks weren't succesfull... If not about the secondary ones, this would be a disaster... but it was just two days and still - it made user called 'eros' , a known one here, made me a send a private message about "how suicidal is to follow me" etc.... well, I hope You don't throw your words into wind, eros Just like all of You, I've had better betting days, as well as the worse... nothing new, nothing special.. but I really thought this wouldn't happen in this forum, as I've read it for many years before posting.. I know it's nothing to do with most forums members and owners, which probably know how it is for themselves.. nevertheless, it touched me, so I thought I better write it down here, and maybe make 'eros' think it over again, as it's not about me, but about anyone writing here... anyone can be attacked mentally by him... and he'd still be considered a cool guy.. well, he's not for me.. I probably will still write here, as he's not anyone I respect much, now.. but I just wanted You to know - EROS is the tipster bashier!.. I think it should be known! Respect for all the rest! F**** you, eros!
  6. Tomljanovic *2:0 to 2:6 0:6 (12 games lost in a row) is just what I needed for confidence
  7. after what I see... I'll just point out my not-yet-posted-feelings: I dont think Putintseva should be such a fav I think Buzarnescu can match +5,5 vs Halep I think Goffin, Rybarikova, Granollers and Seppi should come through as favorits if they bring their A-games. Verdasco-Edmund and Kachanov-F.Lopez should be at least 4-setters
  8. I decided to tak early treble: Tomljanovic +4,5 vs Azarenka ( I think Azarenka isn't still where she would like to be and Tomljanovic can play on grass); Flipkens +3,5 vs Hsieh (I see a close match, Hsieh is good, but is better vs one-dimensional players, and I dont rate Flipkens this way); Svitolina (simply I think 1.55 is worth for her in a Wimbledon, when opponent is at least a class weaker) treble @5.42 uni let's see...
  9. The more and more I think about Leo Mayer, the more I like his chances... last year he even beat Kevin Anderson in London, and that tells a lot about his abilities on grass... Big server, somewhat similar in play to Lajovic, who was defeated by Hurkacz in 1st round, but with a lot better results on this surface, better serve, more powerful player... and about match Hurkacz-Lajovic.. after 2nd set, won by Lajovic, I thought the match is going my way.. the way they played, the way Lajovic came to break points and his calm, even when not converting, everything pointed in my eyes that the match is on Lajovic's racquet.. that time it didn't happen, but I strongly believe in Leo Mayer taking his chances, today. Leo Mayer @2,85 uni is my call with confidence.
  10. Kudermetova @2.60 vs Wozniacki - she had good run in Hertogenbosch (lost in SF to eventual winner Riske), in Eastbourne she lost as a qualyfier to Bencic. In that place, Wozniacki reached 3rd rnd where she lost to Sabalenka in 3 sets. Wozniacki's preparations for grass season were "hampered" by her wedding and that tells sth about the Dane's attitude toward tennis these days - she's past her prime time, now there are other important things in life... She had luck with opponent's injury to come back from 0:4 to 5:4, when Sorribes Tormo retired. Now, Kudermetova, who's 100% into tennis as a yound gun, will give her hard times on court.
  11. Well, mixed results yesterday for me, with Querrey, Riske, Berankis and combo delivering, while my 1st choice picks turned out to be bad (Jabeur and Mannarino), as well as Pavluchenkova and Maria lost without taking a set at least. About Tomic's performance - it was my last time with him, as if he can't be motivated at WImledon, then nowhere, I hope he won't get money for that performance, but I'm afraid they couldn't prove him "tanking" ( Hopefuly today can be better...I think I won't write much, as it's qute pointless from yesterday's look From the first look I like Popyrin vs Medvedev @4.25 uni (I don't like Medvedev on grass, while Popyrin, like almost every Aussie, has that sth to play on it) and again vs Hurkacz (this time Mayer @2.85 - big serve and not bad results on grass in recent years; mainly opposing Hurkacz, who doesn't convince me).
  12. out of these I wrote about - Jabeur is my no.1, 2nd would be Mannarino
  13. Yup, it's sad actually.. didn't want to sound like happy about it... just for the info
  14. We could do with such inside-info before the match : in-life problems over the last 48hours...
  15. There are a few other matches I'm thinking of getting involved into, but due to lazyness will take only one-sentence reasoning: Querrey @2,35 - after returning from injury he's splashinig aces as crazy. Good form, good play for grass. Thiem without grass match practice will have hard time to adjust to conditions vs aggressive player that shouldn't give him rythm. Pavluchenko +1,5set @2.10 - great odds, as Pavluchenkowa was able to take at lease one set in all 4 previous meetings of these two. Have to admit she's without match practice on grass,but odds justify that. Bencic can play well on grass, but it's WTA, so mental collapses happen often. Maria +1,5set @3.05 - Maria has the game for grass, as well as Kerber, but - again - it's WTA - where amazing happens. With clever play Maria can be a pain in the ass for Kerber, as she's not a modern ball-basher, but an intelligent "oldschool" player. I have also a hunch that Tomic can make good things vs Tsonga with good return and being a grass-player; Riske-Vekic - very good match-up in terms of grass quality - should be taken live, if there's even better odds for Riske than @2.50; Berankis is a typical player for fast surfaces with low bounce (inddor or grass), so he can also take at least a set vs Shapovalov, who's got a big swing and sometimes can spread errors generously; For a combo I think I'd go with: Pouille, J. Souza, Fritz, Baghdatis (starting now) @3.06 Good Luck!