Leaderboard

Ratings. 6.00 Chelmsford. RIOT. 104. 4/1. G'dday.100.8/1 6.30. Resperio solitario. 106. 4/1 Cuban lynx. 101.11/1. 7.00 mein tian. 97.7/1 United force.95.8/1. 7.30. Justcallmepete. 92.8/1 Macundo. 90.11/1. 8.30.sesmer.105.4/1 Mahajim. 102.11/2. 2pts win. 1pt e.way 10/1 and over.

Couple of fancies today, will add anymore if and when... 2.05 Market Rasen Ziminiyi 10/3 2pt win 12.20 Market Rasen Dark Mix 11/2 1.5pts e/w

110 chelt Risky one this .....I wasn't going to bother because there's lots of unbeaten horses in here and any one of them could bounce forward and win ......computer has these 3 top ... Whatuowithyou 10.0 Fosterisland 50/1 Stayifuwanto 23.0 I don't have much confidence as the jockeys are novices and crap but good prices so I'll try 3pt wins all 3 and hope fosters springs a surprise 🫢

"Risky Richard" ? 😄 i love a bit of risk !! its my middle name pal 😄

Won, SP 4/6 6 from 10, LSP 20.53

Friday ratings . 1.10 Cheltenham. Stay if u want 2. 136. 25/1. Phantom of the 10/1. points.132/forstersis land.132 33/1.and 10/1. 2.55. Mr coffey. 174.4/1 Tommy beau.170. 5/1. 4.00. Balhamber. 141.7/2 Lesterson lily.136. 5/1. 2pts win 2.55 and 4.00. 1.10 1pt e.way. going g try 1pt r.f.c in 4.00.

Or maybe not! 😆

Well I shouldn't be surprised that VdB would mightily screw it up and somehow contrive to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. 🙈 How many missed match darts was it, 5? 6? I lost count, he had so many chances. Shambles. 🤡

1st from USA will add more

Chelmsford 6.00 Airshow 16/1ew Chelmsford 7.00 United Force 9/1ew 4pl Chelmsford 8.00 Marcus 15/2ew 4pl Chelmsford 8.30 Sunset In Paris 15/2ew 4pl Chelmsford 6.00 lucky15 ew £3.00 £1,810.93

I think there's value in Van Den Bergh tonight. Anybody else think he could beat Watti over the longer format I think he is a better player.

The first and last race decent numbers but the rest are disappointing. The going does have Good/Soft in it so I don’t see the issue. Wasn’t long ago it wouldn’t stop raining.

730 c Fantasy Master place 3 9/5 3pt win 10/1 1pt

1pt Littler to hit a 170 checkout 10/1 skybet 1pt Littler to hit a 9 darter 28/1 skybet 0.25pts both to hit a 170 checkout 200/1 skybet

Oh, and I'm sure he tries in Saudi and maybe even China, where he's pampered and the money is that much better than tournaments at home.

I never thought he would steal tbh, although Guodong gave him all the encouragement in the world with the way he played from frame ball onwards. I'd say O'Sullivan is permanently in a 'can't be bothered' mindset, with the possible exception of the Worlds and today is a perfect example of that - if he wins 4-0, great and if he loses 4-3 from 3-0 up then so what.

5 Fold AccumulatorRef: 614180836 5 Selections 248.56/1 6. Miss Fedora - 3/1Winner - 13:15 Sedgefield 1. Zwicky - 7/4Winner - 14:25 Sedgefield 7. Bread And Butter - 2/1Winner - 14:40 Market Rasen 3. Lock Out - 7/4Winner - 14:50 Taunton 5. Getmetothemoon - 7/4Winner - 15:25 Taunton Stake£ 0.10 Potential Returns£ 24.96 TreblesRef: 614180839 5 Selections 6. Miss Fedora - 3/1Winner - 13:15 Sedgefield 1. Zwicky - 7/4Winner - 14:25 Sedgefield 7. Bread And Butter - 2/1Winner - 14:40 Market Rasen 3. Lock Out - 7/4Winner - 14:50 Taunton 5. Getmetothemoon - 7/4Winner - 15:25 Taunton Stake£ 0.50 Potential Returns£ 13.93 Four FoldsRef: 614180842 5 Selections 6. Miss Fedora - 3/1Winner - 13:15 Sedgefield 1. Zwicky - 7/4Winner - 14:25 Sedgefield 7. Bread And Butter - 2/1Winner - 14:40 Market Rasen 3. Lock Out - 7/4Winner - 14:50 Taunton 5. Getmetothemoon - 7/4Winner - 15:25 Taunton Stake£ 0.25 Potential Returns£ 20.89 Keep bets in betslip? Total Stake£ 0.85 Total Potential Returns£ 59.78

Lucky15Ref: 614172565 4 Selections 3. Natural Ability - 11/4Winner - 13:15 Sedgefield 5. Reel Rosie - 13/2Winner - 13:50 Sedgefield 6. School For Scandal - 4/1Winner - 14:50 Taunton 12. Swift Reply - 16/1Winner - 15:00 Sedgefield Stake£ 0.75 Potential Returns£ 217.97

Todays runners - Sedgefield 12.40 Malinka 3/1 £2.00 365 Sedgefield 1.50 Myfavouritesister 40/1ew £2.00 W Hill Market Rasen 12.20 Dark Mix 11/2ew £2.00 W Hill Market Rasen 12.55 Zarhanya 6/1ew £2.00 Fred Taunton 1.40 Kauto The King 8/13 n/b Chelmsford 6.30 Advertorial 4/1ew £2.00 Coral Chelmsford 6.30 Manara 6/1ew £2.00 365 Betfair(might get better odds later in the day ?) Sedgefield 12.40 Malinka 4.30 £1.00 £3.30 Sedgefield 1.50 Myfavouritesister 50.00 £0.23 £11.27 Sedgefield 1.50 Myfavouritesister 46.00 £0.77 £34.65 Market Rasen 12.20 Dark Mix 6.80 £1.00 £5.80 Market Rasen 12.55 Zarhanya 9.20 £1.00 £8.20 Taunton 1.40 Kauto The King 1.75 n/b Chelmsford 6.30 Advertorial 5.90 £1.00 £4.90 Chelmsford 6.30 Manara 7.60 £1.00 £6.60

Chelmsford City 17.30 £20 Waiting For Love @6/4 bet365

🐌he will get there in the end.

6.00 Chelmsford: Ultramarine @ 5/1 (WHill)

Lucky 15 E/W Market Rasen 12:20 Archille des Rocs 11/1 3:15 Natchez Chase 25/1 Sedgefield 3:00 Sefton Warrior 16/1 Chelmsford 7:00pm rising force 33/1

O'Sullivan has to be opposed in some form I'd say. I watched Trump-Robbo also and it was a shame to hear such sour grapes from Trump afterwards - complaining about Robbo getting the run of the ball and playing too slowly. From what I saw, Trump had bits of luck also where he missed pots and left nothing and then of course luck is a part of the game so there's not much point in complaining about it - sometimes it goes for you and sometimes it goes against. There's also no point in complaining about Robbo going too slow - that's his prerogative and absolutely nothing to do with Trump and not something he can control. What he can control is how he responds to that style of play and it's clear he didn't respond well based on his comments after the match. Ultimately there are different ways to win matches and not all of them are about power scoring at speed which obviously is the style of play that Trump likes. It's also what Robertson prefers and most likely he didn't intend to play that way, but having played the second match in the afternoon fatigue was becoming an issue. Trump wasn't hampered by that and so it's hard to be too sympathetic. It's also hard to be sympathetic about Trump losing when his pot success was so low. He had plenty of chances and just didn't take them and he'd have been better off saying that at the end and losing with good grace. Having said all that though, to be the best I suppose you need to be a bit arrogant and Trump certainly has that base covered.

I have looked at my data which covers the last 10 years. A proviso is that it only includes horses that have had at least 1 previous run that season (and my season is November to April). Some of the key stats where the AE is greater than 1.02 (i.e. should return a profit to proportional stakes after betfair commission) Course = Huntingdon 1.087 Going = Good To Soft 1.024 Distance = 2m4f / 2m5f 1.030 Weight = 9st 12lb to 11st 3lb 1.025 Days since last run = 3 to 17 days 1.026 Jockey claim > 3lbs 1.041 Forecast odds = 7/2 to 9/2 1.067 Finish position last run = 4 1.037 Race type = Maiden 1.031 Number of runners in previous race = 9 to 15 1.026 Previous course = Ludlow 1.154 Drop in class = 3 levels 1.030 Increase in race distance = 1 furlong 1.046 Weight variance compared to previous race < 4lbs 1.025 Previous race type <> Handicap 1.024 Previous race type = Novice 1.024 Moving from a non handicap to a handicap 1.065 OR compared to previous run = 3lbs to 9lbs lower 1.025 OR = 69 to 92 1.069 Previous run = Poor (finished in bottom third) 1.023 Career starts = 3 to 15 Current season runs = 4 1.061 Make of that what you will !

Two NRs so -16pts for the day 🤝🏽

Hope not... GVV has been playing INSANE in this tournament!

I'll have a think about that, already done the 2 for today Greece 43/10 + 25% £10 Belgium 41/10 + 25% £10

Week Eleven NFL Predictions YTD P50 W23 D2 L25 Staked 300 pts, returned 84.68 pts = YTD loss of 215.32pts. (1) Vikings to win ATS -6.0 points @ 10/11. The Titans have a relatively strong defence, however, the Vikings has a quality offence with Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison (quality wide receivers) and Aaron Jones and Cam Akers a dual rushing threat. The Titans offence is limited to Calvin Ridley and Tony Pollard. Expect Will Levis to get pressurised. (2) 49Ers to win ATS -6.5 points @ 10/11. Although not as exciting as last year, I have been expecting the 49Ers to hammer their opposition for a while now. Christian McCaffrey is now back and after a fairly quite game last week, I am expecting him to rip the Seattle defence to shreds. (3) Dolphins to win ATS -7.5 points @ 10/11. Miami is known as being a difficult place to play. This year due mainly the concussion suffered by QB Tua their record is 1-3. This should be corrected against a Raiders team which is 1-4 on the road this season. (4) Texans to win ATS -7.5 points @ 20/21. The Cowboys without Dak Prescott were demolished by the Eagles. I can see the Texans doing the same here. (5) Green Bay Packers to win ATS -5.5 points @ 10/11. The Bears let me down badly last week. My report was as follows: “The Bears defence is one of the best in the NFL but did not show up last week. I shall give them another chance at home against a poor New England team. This week the offence did not turn up. Caleb Williams was sacked nine times and for the second straight week, the Bears didn't score a touchdown (the first time in 20 years”. No further chances for the Bears. The Packers have played fairly consistently throughout the season to take this. Bet: 10 x 1 point trebles 5 x 3 point 4 timers 5 point accumulator

Lost (2nd) Month +£212

Chelmsford 6.00 Airshow 16/1ew Chelmsford 7.00 United Force 9/1ew 4pl Chelmsford 8.00 Marcus 15/2ew 4pl Chelmsford 8.30 Sunset In Paris 15/2ew 4pl Chelmsford 6.00 lucky15 ew £3.00 £1,810.93

Chelmsford 6.30 Manara 7/4 W Hill

Chelmsford 6.00 Airshow 16/1 ew

No joy with the last bet, unfortunately it wasn't subject to a "settled as a winner if they score the first penalty in a shootout" offer! No bet in the thriller that is Armenia v Faroe Islands. Managed to miss winning bets on both Austria goalscorers because I was too busy arguing with the geezer who reckons it's impossible to make a profit from betting. How's that for irony!

5.5pts Over 11.5 180s Bunting v Anderson 8/11 Paddypower 4pts Bunting to hit the most 180s vs Anderson 6/4 Paddypower I don't think this should be 6/4. Bunting has a slightly higher rate at the moment and has 9 in the 3 matches he has played. Anderson got 5 against MVG but only 1 in the last match. Think its worth it at these odds. I can't see how this has less than 12 180s, too.

So probably about half that or less at the bookies.

Lucky15Ref: 614250526 4 Selections 1. Needlepoint - 9/4Winner - 17:30 Chelmsford 3. Kessaar Power - 7/2Winner - 19:00 Chelmsford 3. War Zone - 9/2Winner - 20:00 Chelmsford 5. Global Resolve - 12/1Winner - 20:30 Chelmsford Stake£ 0.75 Potential Returns£ 106.31

Lucky15Ref: 614245027 4 Selections 14. Sheephavenbaystory - 4/1Winner - 17:00 Chelmsford 1. Riot - 9/1Winner - 18:00 Chelmsford 11. Suanni - 9/4Winner - 20:00 Chelmsford 4. Sunset In Paris - 15/2Winner - 20:30 Chelmsford Stake£ 0.75 Potential Returns£ 133.19

Lucky15Ref: 614162854 4 Selections 5. Trafalgar Square - 7/1Winner - 12:40 Sedgefield 1. American Land - 4/1Winner - 13:05 Taunton 4. The Electrician - 14/1Winner - 14:05 Market Rasen 4. Hedera Park - 6/1Winner - 15:25 Taunton Stake£ 0.75 Potential Returns£ 345.55

Update after Australia 🇦🇺 and Japan 🇯🇵 France 🇫🇷 Uk out £21 in £12

Just those two 👍🏼

6.00 Chelmsford city revolutionise 16/1 e/w bet365

7pts Over 5.5 frames - Selby v Murphy 4/7 Paddypower 2pts Guodong to beat Ronnie 7/4 Bet365 I'm going to add the overs for Selby v Murphy. It's always been a close match between these two. Murphy has won the last 3 but the scores have been 10-8, 10-9, 6-3, 4-3 and 3-2 in the past 5 matches so I can't see it going any shorter than 4-2.

Chelmsford City 17.30 Waiting For Love @6/4 bet365

7.00 Chelmsford: Eagle Landed @ 12/1 E/W (Bet365)

Market Rasen 12:55; After Midnight 200/1 E/W

Day 59 +£445 12.40 sedgefield Sweet soul music 40/1 £10 e/w bet365

4 from uk 🇬🇧 USA later

one thing he does have a chance on is most 180s. If anybody sees the market open for most 180s in worlds let me know please. He just cannot stop hitting them.