harry_rag Posted April 13, 2023 Share Posted April 13, 2023 29 minutes ago, MCLARKE said: BET365 offer a super boost Man Utd to win Antony over 0.5 SOT 4/6 to 1/1 Probably a reasonable shout, getting evens about something that should be at least a shade of odds on. Hills dangling the carrot of a double up from 9/4 to 9/2; United win and Antony, Martial and Sancho all to have a SoT. I'd say the 9/4 would be terrible and 9/2 could be value or fair at worst. I'll swerve it but see how it goes. A bit of calculator stabbing brings it out at around a 4/1 shot for me but with nowhere near enough confidence to commend it as a bet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted April 13, 2023 Author Share Posted April 13, 2023 1 minute ago, harry_rag said: Probably a reasonable shout, getting evens about something that should be at least a shade of odds on. Hills dangling the carrot of a double up from 9/4 to 9/2; United win and Antony, Martial and Sancho all to have a SoT. I'd say the 9/4 would be terrible and 9/2 could be value or fair at worst. I'll swerve it but see how it goes. A bit of calculator stabbing brings it out at around a 4/1 shot for me but with nowhere near enough confidence to commend it as a bet. Not really sure what the true value is, I'm putting a bit of faith in BET365 that the original odds are realistic. Certainly that was the case on the horse race today, the 11/2 pre-boost price was the best on offer. harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted April 13, 2023 Share Posted April 13, 2023 Done a "just for fun" bet on the West Ham game (I think the hotshots are a great buy at 28 with SPIN but I don't play where an arb exists; they're 35 to buy with SX). Done Gent double chance, >3.5 goals and either Orban or Cuypers to score (split stakes across 2 bet builders, 10/1 and 9/1 respectively). MCLARKE 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted April 13, 2023 Author Share Posted April 13, 2023 21 minutes ago, harry_rag said: Done a "just for fun" bet on the West Ham game (I think the hotshots are a great buy at 28 with SPIN but I don't play where an arb exists; they're 35 to buy with SX). Done Gent double chance, >3.5 goals and either Orban or Cuypers to score (split stakes across 2 bet builders, 10/1 and 9/1 respectively). All a bit complicated for me ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted April 13, 2023 Author Share Posted April 13, 2023 4 hours ago, MCLARKE said: BET365 offer a super boost Man Utd to win Antony over 0.5 SOT 4/6 to 1/1 Paid out after 21 minutes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LEE-GRAYS Posted April 13, 2023 Share Posted April 13, 2023 I tried the red card out again result let me down @harry_rag 😂 MCLARKE 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted April 13, 2023 Share Posted April 13, 2023 2 hours ago, MCLARKE said: All a bit complicated for me ! Hotshots made up at 50 for a 12 point profit, only 2 goals but scored by the right players. Cuypers scored and Gent avoided defeat but not enough goals to land the Bet Builders. Need another Antony SoT (preferably a goal) before he gets subbed! MCLARKE 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted April 13, 2023 Author Share Posted April 13, 2023 12 minutes ago, harry_rag said: Need another Antony SoT (preferably a goal) before he gets subbed! I just need 3 more goals £170 ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted April 13, 2023 Share Posted April 13, 2023 Oh well, I guess some people benefited from the “2 up” early payout! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted April 13, 2023 Author Share Posted April 13, 2023 6 minutes ago, harry_rag said: Oh well, I guess some people benefited from the “2 up” early payout! Yes the superboost paid out early Once again the only winner in the bets I'm tracking is the favourite HT / FT, over 1 goal That's the 3rd time in the last 5 bets it's paid out because of the early payout offer Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LEE-GRAYS Posted April 14, 2023 Share Posted April 14, 2023 I think in the second legs of the Europe games the red card could come in to play perhaps do your main bet then had the red card to the same bet at smaller stakes to bump odds up ? 👍 harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted April 14, 2023 Author Share Posted April 14, 2023 No football offer today (yet) but there is a 25% boost on the 4.05 at Aintree harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted April 14, 2023 Share Posted April 14, 2023 2 hours ago, LEE-GRAYS said: I think in the second legs of the Europe games the red card could come in to play perhaps do your main bet then had the red card to the same bet at smaller stakes to bump odds up ? 👍 My experience suggests you’ll struggle to make a profit backing red cards at the odds offered by the bookies. You could have a finely poised tie with plenty of niggle from the 1st leg and a card happy ref but that will usually be more than factored into the price. I wouldn’t consider it unless 365 were clear best price about a red card and I had a strong fancy for a feisty game. It’s one of those markets that attracts so much casual money that it’s almost always unattractively priced. LEE-GRAYS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted April 14, 2023 Share Posted April 14, 2023 3 hours ago, MCLARKE said: No football offer today (yet) I imagine Boro v Norwich would be the game if there was to be one. I've had a look to keep my eye in but it won't be an official bet for the thread assuming they don't put it up late. Boro to win, >2 goals and Akpom at least one SoT would be 9/4 (can be had at 12/5 with Hills in the absence of the 25% boost being on offer). 10/3 with Akpom to score instead of SoT doesn't look bad and looks even better with Hills boosting it to 4/1. I'd split any stakes 2/3 on the SoT version and 1/3 on the to score version. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted April 14, 2023 Author Share Posted April 14, 2023 Doesn't look like a bet today, I'm not sure what the criteria is for deciding which matches to offer There is a super boost Middlesbrough to win Akpom over 0.5 SOT 6/5 - 7/4 There is also a super boost on the snooker Tournament 147 6/4 - 2/1 There have been 2 in the last 3 years although a fair gap before then Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted April 14, 2023 Share Posted April 14, 2023 Boro 4-1 up at the break and Akpom yet to get a shot off! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted April 14, 2023 Share Posted April 14, 2023 17 minutes ago, harry_rag said: Boro 4-1 up at the break and Akpom yet to get a shot off! He must have heard me and pulled his finger out! MCLARKE 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted April 14, 2023 Author Share Posted April 14, 2023 Yes he took his time Boro 5 shots, 5 goals Apparently Akpom had scored in each of the last 8 home games Pity this one wasn't part of the offer, it would have ticked a lot of boxes harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted April 14, 2023 Share Posted April 14, 2023 1 hour ago, MCLARKE said: Yes he took his time Boro 5 shots, 5 goals Apparently Akpom had scored in each of the last 8 home games Pity this one wasn't part of the offer, it would have ticked a lot of boxes Possibly why it wasn't offered. I'm sure they don't pick the matches out of thin air. MCLARKE 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted April 14, 2023 Share Posted April 14, 2023 5 minutes ago, Torque said: Possibly why it wasn't offered. I'm sure they don't pick the matches out of thin air. Probably more a case of them not wanting to over-feature Boro, if I’m not mistaken they’ve been involved in at least 2 of the games since this thread started. I guess there has to be the occasional “no offer” day especially as there’s occasionally 2 games (last Saturday if I’m not mistaken). If they’re willing to feature City and Haaland or Real and Benzema I doubt they’d run scared of Akpom! I think they’ll pick the game based on its profile in terms of bringing traffic to the site. alexcaruso808, Torque and MCLARKE 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexcaruso808 Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 no featured game today either . Maybe Bet365 are focusing on Aintree at the minute with special offers e.g. 6 places. harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 6 minutes ago, alexcaruso808 said: no featured game today either . Maybe Bet365 are focusing on Aintree at the minute with special offers e.g. 6 places. I’ll check later and choose a “match of the day” to have a look at if not. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexcaruso808 Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 2 minutes ago, harry_rag said: I’ll check later and choose a “match of the day” to have a look at if not. I'm looking at Man City vs Leicester and will probably do a BetBuilder. Man City to win, > 1 goal in the match...not sure what else. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 Haaland to walk on water? Though I suppose there’s a chance he’ll be rested. alexcaruso808 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 Watkins is a best price and (for me) backable 12/5 anytime with 365 which would make him a viable leg of a bet builder. Only a passing thought given shortage of time but I do like >2.5 goals, btts and Watkins and Isak at least 1 SoT each at 13/5. Had the offer applied and given. Bit more time I’d have probably gone for that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted April 15, 2023 Author Share Posted April 15, 2023 2 hours ago, alexcaruso808 said: no featured game today either . Maybe Bet365 are focusing on Aintree at the minute with special offers e.g. 6 places. They have a 25% winning boost on the 2.25 at Aintree. Same principle really, you'll make a profit long term backing the favourite. alexcaruso808 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexcaruso808 Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 30 minutes ago, MCLARKE said: They have a 25% winning boost on the 2.25 at Aintree. Same principle really, you'll make a profit long term backing the favourite. I choose West Balboa. Good luck! MCLARKE 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexcaruso808 Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 Thanks @MCLARKE Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted April 15, 2023 Author Share Posted April 15, 2023 1 hour ago, alexcaruso808 said: I choose West Balboa. Good luck! Good choice. I went with Good Time Jonny. West Balboa is the first leg of my lucky 15 so could be a big day ! alexcaruso808 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted April 15, 2023 Author Share Posted April 15, 2023 30 minutes ago, MCLARKE said: West Balboa is the first leg of my lucky 15 so could be a big day ! Irish Point won the second leg at 7/1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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