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Racing Chat - Saturday 5th November


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Putting this one up early it may well drift but covered by BOG  & have 6Places

November  Handicap

3.13  Doncaster - I really fancy 2020 winner to run a big race in this again  ground no issue  not been in wonderful form hence the  price & is  2 years old now  but carrying 7lb less decent jockey on top, Alan Kings horse are in resonable form  a big e/w shout to  ON TO VICTORY 20/1 Bet365 is my call.

Best  Of Luck  fellow punters.

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1 hour ago, Tedthewolf said:

Putting this one up early it may well drift but covered by BOG  & have 6Places

November  Handicap

3.13  Doncaster - I really fancy 2020 winner to run a big race in this again  ground no issue  not been in wonderful form hence the  price & is  2 years old now  but carrying 7lb less decent jockey on top, Alan Kings horse are in resonable form  a big e/w shout to  ON TO VICTORY 20/1 Bet365 is my call.

Best  Of Luck  fellow punters.

Good hunting ted "  - Ive allready punted Teed up in it 16's  but i like yours also?

Edited by black rabbit
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Doncaster. 

Single. 

1.30. Moon De Vega. ......... 9/2.          coral..... unpl 

Good luck all. 

Ralph Becketts runner, the trainer has won this race four times here's hoping for a fifth. 

Unfortunately drifting as they say like a barge..... so a flutter on Star Fortress. 12/1 ew.... unpl. 

 

 

Edited by kensland
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Irish Prophecy        1 50 Win/       1/20th  0f a pt win       14/1

Teed Up                  3 13 Dnc/       1/20th  of a pt win       16/1    { mentioned in reply to ted's post }

Family Way             5 50 Kld/        £25 ew = { 1/20th of a pt staked} 40/1 

 

Teed Up    2nd    ran a fine race/

 

 

 

 

P/L    + 160  PTS

Edited by black rabbit
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150 winc 

Enrilo  8.2  5/1 

Frodon   7.8  9/4 

Slipway  7.8  16/1 

Red happy   7.4 

Tricky race  ..  frodon is,all the rage  ....looks well hcapped on best form but age is negative so got to take on at price    .    Red happy ran well last time and has a fitness advantage but takes a huge step up in class so for me Enrilo and slipway look good ew bets in a fairly open looking race 

Enrilo  5pt ew 5/1 

Slipway   5pt ew 16/1 

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November hcap 

Israr   9.0  3/1 

Cemhaan   8.7 14/1 

Dark jedi   8.3 

Alright sunshine 8.0 

Heavy ground is a bummer but top 2 look strong enough to hive this a good go .....I'll try 10pt win top rated ...5pt ew cemhaan ....3pt win doubles top 2 this race with enrilo and Slipway above 

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Wincanton 1.50 

Frodon 9.97 9/4 won 

Rocco 9.72 16/1 

El Presente 9.72 16/1 4th 

Cap Du Nord 9.42 15/2 3rd 

Frodon  has been re routed from a grade 1 in Ireland because of the ground being too soft. Off this mark I’d be disappointed if he never won if I was Paul Nicholls . Goes well fresh and should be too good for these . Some nice prices behind , but Frodon looks the bet because he’s a class above these . I’ll try a small r/ forecast as well . 

5 points win frodon , 2 points R/F top 3 

Edited by Villa Chris
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Wincanton 3.00 

Sceau Royal 9.75 11/10 

Milkwood 9.14 9/2

Knights Salute 8.9 8/1

Knappers Hill 7.8 2/1

Sceau Royal will be very hard to beat even though he’s not getting any younger, he’s still a class act and has his ground . Knights Salute is overpriced surely. 
 

5 points win top rated 

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43 minutes ago, calva decoy said:

2.11 Aintree - SPIRITOFTHEGAMES 8/1 eway bet365 ( 4 places ) free bet 

3.13 Doncaster - METIER 8/1 eway bet365 ( 6 places ) 

Yet to look at the 2.11 Aintree but I’m hoping Spiritofthegames is up there. One of my favourite horses is runs well but rarely wins . Let’s hope he can go in today. 

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2 minutes ago, Villa Chris said:

Yet to look at the 2.11 Aintree but I’m hoping Spiritofthegames is up there. One of my favourite horses is runs well but rarely wins . Let’s hope he can go in today. 

Ill buck the TV out the window if Spirit wins i have backed soooo many time  giving it a by ball Today,  I like french import GRESSKILLE  a lot i'm on @12's e/w 4P bog will be most disappointed  if i don't get some sort of return!

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4 minutes ago, Tedthewolf said:

Ill buck the TV out the window if Spirit wins i have backed soooo many time  giving it a by ball Today,  I like french import GRESSKILLE  a lot i'm on @12's e/w 4P bog will be most disappointed  if i don't get some sort of return!

You know what’s going to happen now. At least you won’t have to watch the wolves ?

Edited by Villa Chris
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On 11/3/2022 at 4:08 PM, Tedthewolf said:

Putting this one up early it may well drift but covered by BOG  & have 6Places

November  Handicap

3.13  Doncaster - I really fancy 2020 winner to run a big race in this again  ground no issue  not been in wonderful form hence the  price & is  2 years old now  but carrying 7lb less decent jockey on top, Alan Kings horse are in resonable form  a big e/w shout to  ON TO VICTORY 20/1 Bet365 is my call.

Best  Of Luck  fellow punters.

Ill add a small e/w on the masively priced LUNAR JET  66/1  bog  6places 7lb out of the handicap but  8lb lower than last year! rRn well in this last year at 125/1 the 8yo may sneek a place again! Also i think FAYLAQ  bog 5p 28/1is well handicaped so had a sniff e/w on thatt too!

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Don 1150

Couple of moneyback offers, went with

Danger alert fav

Night out.

 

Also a trble freebie on ew

Don 1513 on to victory (6)

Kee 2040 rebels romance (4)

Kee 2140 taiba (3)

 

Aintree 1301

Gericault bridge moneyback offer

milan bridge free bet b365

 

Keenland treble freebie

1750 nashwa

1830 Jackie's warrior

2140 flightline

 

Keenland double freebie

1910 Kinross

2140 flightline

 

treble favs freebie

don 1442 galvin

ain't 1445 brewinupastorm 

kee 1629 golden pal

 

Wincanton double

1350 Frodon 

1500 sceau Royal 

 

Double

Don 1250 tarhib

Win 1315 mcfabulous

 

Got a few more to stick on, will update if I get chance as just heading out.

Good luck all.

 

Edited by fd1972uk
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Three selections today.

The flat is fading into the distance and we have the breeders cup looming with what will hopefully be another flat superstar emerging.

Galvin and Frodon faced off at down Royal this time last year and Frodon won well.

They'll face off again today but in different  races across the Irish sea.

FRODON starts the ball rolling with a drop in class at wincanton. Frodon has the benefit of wind surgery and Briony in the saddle.

Nicholls yard going well and hopefully will win.

GALVIN has had a good prep run for his race and comes here in winning form. Yard are doing well as always and has a good chance of going one better if seeing a clear round. Kemboy the danger.

FLIGHTLINE has swept all before him and looks likely to carry on in his trajectory may be hard to beat.  The offer of four lengths+ at 5/4 is my choice here. I'm not going to talk up the hype about this exceptional racehorse but if he continues and confirms his impressive progress he could and should demolish this field on all known form. But we all know it's a funny old game and the stunts pulled in the States sometimes makes the British and Irish game look like tiddlywinks in comparison.

FRODON win

1.50

Wincanton 

Galvin

Win

2.32 Down Royal

 

FLIGHTLINE

9.40 pm

English time

To win by four plus lengths @ 5/4

Maximum win bet.

FLIGHTLINE/FRODON/GALVIN

Win treble  at available odds for a short priced treble.

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11.50 Don Harry's Halo 0.5 ew 4TBP at 12/1 @Alastair nap is good enough for me (interesting that I seem to remember someone saying never follow a 2 year old into a handicap.  That applies to Danger Alert.  Let's see if it works out.

Back soon

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

So many PL members going against my KO Cup selections it has put me off backing them in a Trixie.

Instead, I have had a 0.25p ew double on @richard-westwood's selections in the 1.50 Win Enrilo 7/2, & Frodon 5/2 + 3.13 Don Israr 3/1 and Cemhaan 20/1 = £2.00 outlay Return difficult to predict, but it won't be £55 as suggested by Bet365 ?.  Missed his latest post so have not considered this one

3.35 Win Carolines Charm 0.5 Ew at 33/1 (3TBP) Top conditional jockey )let's hope he doesn't pull the horse up 

Against the odds on favourite bets

I have decided it is easier to lay these than try to find an alternative winner

1.15 Win Lay McFabulous 1.02 pts at 1.85 = +£1 v -0.85

6.30 Chlm Lay Queen Of Ipanema £1.02 @ 1.72 = + £1.00 v -0.73

= 4 pts staked on win bets & 1.58 Liability on Lay bets

------------------------------------------------------------------------

A profit on the day thanks to Alistair of 4.20.  MTD -12.20 & YTD -223.94

Laying odds on shots had 1 loser & 1 winner = 0.27 profit.  Cum -1.73

I'm still not happy with the changeover to the jumps and the end of the flat.  I am finding it very difficult to find selections to be confident about  

Edited by The Equaliser
RESULTS UPDATE
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15 hours ago, richard-westwood said:

150 winc 

Enrilo  8.2  5/1 

Frodon   7.8  9/4 

Slipway  7.8  16/1 

Red happy   7.4 

Tricky race  ..  frodon is,all the rage  ....looks well hcapped on best form but age is negative so got to take on at price    .    Red happy ran well last time and has a fitness advantage but takes a huge step up in class so for me Enrilo and slipway look good ew bets in a fairly open looking race 

Enrilo  5pt ew 5/1 

Slipway   5pt ew 16/1 

Slipway non runner ....10pt win frodon instead ....looks like Nicholls 1 2 

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